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Adaptive robust Kalman filter-based InSAR time series analysis for deformation monitoring

Publication date: Available online 18 November 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Yang Liu, Caijun Xu, Yangmao Wen

Enhancing Thermospheric Density Modeling Using Bias Factor Analysis

Publication date: Available online 18 November 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Yao Wu, Junyu Chen, Chusen Lin, Zijie Li, Yaobin Fang, Yu Wu

Real-time atmospheric precipitable water retrieval performance evaluation based on satellite-based Precise Point Positioning

Publication date: Available online 17 November 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Huizhong Zhu, Yunpeng Bai, Chunhua Jiang

Multi-Parameter GNSS Monitoring for Expansive Soil Hazards: A Case Study from Coastal Texas

Publication date: Available online 17 November 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Xiongchuan Chen, Shuangcheng Zhang, Yong Fang, Qingtao Zhang, Lidu Zhao, Peng An, Ning Liu, Qi Liu, Ningkang An, Jun Li, Zhilei Ye

Real-time estimation of inter-system bias with BDS-3 PPP-B2b by repairing the frequent jumps of satellite clock datum

Publication date: Available online 17 November 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Cancan Wang, Lin Pan

The deep sea and the Arctic must be included in efforts to tackle climate change

Phys.org: Earth science - Sun, 11/23/2025 - 01:00
This year's COP30 comes after the international Agreement on Marine Biological Diversity of Areas beyond National Jurisdiction (BBNJ) finally acquired the required number of ratification votes by United Nations member states.

When trade routes shift, so do clouds: Researchers uncover ripple effects of new global shipping regulations

Phys.org: Earth science - Sat, 11/22/2025 - 10:54
When militia attacks disrupted shipping lanes in the Red Sea, few imagined the ripple effects would reach the clouds over the South Atlantic. But for Florida State University atmospheric scientist Michael Diamond, the rerouting of cargo ships offered a rare opportunity to clarify a pressing climate question—How much do cleaner fuels change how clouds form?

Machine learning model sharpens snowfall forecasts for the Mountain West

Phys.org: Earth science - Sat, 11/22/2025 - 10:50
The varied topography of the Western United States—a patchwork of valleys and mountains, basins and plateaus—results in minutely localized weather. Accordingly, snowfall forecasts for the mountain West often suffer from a lack of precision, with predictions provided as broad ranges of inch depths for a given day or storm cycle.

Experiments on the complex conductivity signatures of pore pressure variations in soils

Geophysical Journal International - Sat, 11/22/2025 - 00:00
SummaryUnderstanding the effects of pore pressure changes on soil stability is important in geohazards and geotechnical studies. In situ measurements of PP are difficult at large scales. Geophysical methods can offer an indirect approach in understanding the effects of PP in soils. In this laboratory study, we investigate the complex conductivity (CC) signatures of soils undergoing increasing pore pressure inside a rigid cylinder. We experimented on different synthetic soil mixtures (with various clay percentages) as well as a natural soil sample collected from central Oklahoma, United States. We measured the CC response of the soil as we increased the pore pressure in small increments starting from atmospheric pressure up to 200 kPa. Our results show that the CC method is sensitive to changes in pore pressure values with imaginary conductivity magnitude increasing with increasing pore pressure for the samples containing clay minerals. The pure sand soil sample showed a less pronounced yet similar trend to clayey mixtures. The natural soil sample and samples with montmorillonite showed a direct relationship between imaginary conductivity and PP while real conductivity and PP showed an inverse relationship. In the samples without montmorillonite, we observed no changes in the characteristic relaxation time (τpeak) indicating no pore geometry changes in these samples. However, the samples with montmorillonite showed a direct linear relationship between PP and τpeak. Our findings indicate that under our controlled conditions, the CC measurements are sensitive to PP changes in clayey natural and synthetic soils, and although further research in the field with site-specific calibration, a wider spectrum of natural soil types and larger PP increments, is needed to validate our results; this is a starting point to evaluate the possible sensitivities of CC measurements to PP changes in earth materials.

Microseismicity Reveals Fault Activation and Fluid Processes Beneath the Neuwied Basin and Laacher See Volcano, East Eifel, Germany

Geophysical Journal International - Sat, 11/22/2025 - 00:00
SummaryThe Neuwied Basin within the East Eifel Volcanic Field (EEVF) is characterized by increased microseismicity, long hypothesized to be linked to the subsurface Ochtendung Fault Zone (OFZ). However, the source of this unrest remained elusive due to limited hypocenter resolution. Here, we present an extended local earthquake catalogue, compiled from a year-long Large-N deployment and a machine learning-based detection and location approach, including over 1,000 microearthquakes recorded between September 2022 and August 2023. This high-resolution dataset reveals new seismicity clusters, repeated waveforms, and distinct temporal bursts of activity, suggesting fluid-induced earthquake triggering. Probabilistic moment tensor inversion for 192 high-quality events (Mw 0.6-2.7) resolves predominantly strike-slip faulting along the OFZ, with localised clusters of normal faulting nearby, potentially associated with a previously unknown border fault of the NWB. Notably, we observe systematic rotations in P-axis orientations along the OFZ, which we interpret as localized stress perturbations induced by an overpressured reservoir beneath the Laacher See volcano - the youngest explosive eruption centre in the EEVF. These patterns, coupled with elevated magmatic CO2 emissions in the region and high waveform similarity, suggest that active magmatic and transcrustal fluid processes are influencing the stress regimes and driving the seismicity in the NWB. Our high-resolution seismicity and moment tensor catalogue offers new insights into the interplay between tectonics and fluid-driven processes beneath the youngest volcanoes in the EEVF.

Seismic Attenuation from within Mauna Loa and Kīlauea: A Comparative Analysis

Geophysical Journal International - Sat, 11/22/2025 - 00:00
SummaryThis study presents the first comparative measurements of seismic attenuation between Mauna Loa and Kīlauea volcanos on Hawai’i Island. The focus is on key physical variables found within Kīlauea, and extending our knowledge of these from Kīlauea to Mauna Loa. The measurements of attenuation, elastic/anelastic moduli (µ rigidity and K bulk), T temperature, P pressure, basalt activation energy, are uniformly applied to these adjacent volcanos (34 km separation) for comparative analyses. While numerous seismic attenuation studies have been conducted at Kīlauea, Mauna Loa has remained unexamined in this context until now. We extend previous methodologies to measure both shear (Qµ) and bulk (QK) attenuation over propagation paths from both volcanic calderas to the Aloha Cabled Observatory (ACO), located 442-464 km away at 4728 m depth. Utilizing earthquake displacement source spectra from shallow (near sea level) events beneath both calderas, we derive frequency-dependent effective Q values across the 2-35 Hz frequency band. Our analytical approach employs the t* formulation (ratio of travel time to Q) to separate attenuation along path segments, allowing direct comparison between the two volcanic systems. Results reveal that Mauna Loa exhibits substantially higher attenuation (lower Q values) than Kīlauea for both bulk and shear waves. At 10 Hz, Qµ is approximately four times higher for Kīlauea (∼400) than Mauna Loa (∼115), while QK displays even greater contrast with Kīlauea (∼425) exceeding Mauna Loa (∼25) by a factor of 17. Both volcanoes demonstrate QK < Qµ across most frequencies, emphasizing the significance of bulk losses in volcanic environments. This contradicts traditional assumptions held, that bulk attenuation is negligible in Earth. The pronounced difference in attenuation between these adjacent volcanoes, which share the same hot spot origin, cannot be explained solely by temperature-pressure dependent activation energy models. While we calculated expected Q variations using established basalt activation energies (59-68 kJ/mole), the observed differences exceed predictions by an order of magnitude. This suggests additional mechanisms are at work, likely involving partial melting processes. Our findings indicate that the internal structure of Mauna Loa may contain a greater proportion of partial melt or different melt geometry than Kīlauea, significantly affecting seismic wave propagation. At higher frequencies (17-33 Hz), both volcanoes show evidence of comparable scattering effects. This research provides new insights into the internal composition and dynamics of Hawaiian volcanoes, demonstrating that despite their proximity and shared magmatic source, Mauna Loa and Kīlauea possess distinctly different attenuation characteristics that reflect fundamental differences in their internal structure and melt distribution. These findings enhance our understanding of volcanic processes and contribute to improved interpretation of seismic data in volcanic environments.

First-ever full Earth system simulation provides new tool to understand climate change

Phys.org: Earth science - Fri, 11/21/2025 - 19:12
ACM, the Association for Computing Machinery, today presented a 26-member team with the ACM Gordon Bell Prize for Climate Modeling in recognition of their project "Computing the Full Earth System at 1 km Resolution." The award honors innovative contributions to parallel computing toward solving the global climate crisis.

Exploration of direct transfer opportunities and loitering strategies for lunar surface access

Publication date: Available online 17 November 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Mackenzie E. Mangette, Roshan T. Eapen

Short-Term Rainfall Forecasting Using GNSS-Derived PWV and ZTD Variations: Case Studies of Four Hong Kong Rainstorm Events

Publication date: Available online 17 November 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Yu Chen, Guangxing Wang, Massimo Menenti

Target Localisation using GNSS-R and Doppler Bound Estimation for NavIC -L5 Reflected Signal: A Simulation-Based Approach

Publication date: Available online 17 November 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Bushra Ansari, Sanat K. Biswas

A Color–Magnitude Approach to YSO Classification Using SED Slope and Gaia-Distance-Calibrated WISE/2MASS Photometry

Publication date: Available online 17 November 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Ayşe Yadikar Habalı, Volkan Bakış

Secure land rights linked to lower deforestation in Brazil's Amazon, study shows

Phys.org: Earth science - Fri, 11/21/2025 - 18:06
Who owns the rainforest—and who has the right to use it—might seem like a simple question.

Earth's crust under stress: Researchers decipher energy release during earthquakes

Phys.org: Earth science - Fri, 11/21/2025 - 15:41
Why do some earthquakes release more energy than others? A research team led by Prof. Dr. Armin Dielforder from the University of Greifswald has managed to demonstrate a clear physical connection between the energy released during earthquakes and the strength of rocks deep in the Earth's crust.

Sea level rise threatens the North Sea coast more than expected

Phys.org: Earth science - Fri, 11/21/2025 - 15:01
As a result of climate change, rising sea levels are threatening low-lying coastal areas around the world, such as the Wadden Sea in the North Sea. Tidal basins form a natural protective barrier there. They connect the mainland with the offshore islands. They fill with seawater during high tide and empty again during low tide. Sediments are deposited in the process, causing the seabed to rise steadily.

What Salty Water Means for Wild Horses

EOS - Fri, 11/21/2025 - 14:22

Shackleford Banks is an 8-mile-long barrier island off the coast of North Carolina made up of sandy beaches, marshes, and maritime forests. There are no vacation rentals, boardwalks, or seafood restaurants serving the residents of Shackleford Banks. That’s because the residents are more than 100 wild horses that call the sandy dunes of this island home.

The delicate ecosystem of Shackleford Banks is facing the effects of a changing climate, such as increasingly volatile storms and flooding, drought, erosion, and saltwater intrusion. The island’s low elevation means its freshwater sources can be infiltrated with salt water during king tide events and storm surges. During stretches of drought, freshwater sources for the island’s equine residents can run dry, leaving the horses to compete for these vital resources.

“These horses have been out here long enough to adapt and survive, but freshwater availability is a critical resource,” said Matthew Sirianni, a geoscientist at East Carolina University who will present his research on 16 December at AGU’s Annual Meeting. Sirianni and colleagues monitored freshwater sources on Shackleford Banks, finding that horse behavior changed when freshwater sources were scarce. As saltwater intrusion and coastal hazards increase along the islands off the coast of North Carolina known as the Outer Banks, these findings can improve understanding of how to manage wildlife during a changing climate.

Foraging for Fresh Water

Wild horses have lived on Shackleford Banks for centuries. One theory suggests they arrived in the 1500s, swimming to shore after Spanish explorers were shipwrecked along the East Coast. Genetic testing suggests today’s Shackleford Banks horses are related to Spanish horse breeds, but early English settlers also brought horses with them that may also have escaped or been abandoned along the Outer Banks.

A horse digs in a pool of surface water at a groundwater seep during low tide on Shackleford Banks. These temporary pools will be flooded by the next high tide. Credit: Matthew Sirianni

Today, Shackleford Banks’s wild horse population must be kept to a manageable number so that the island and its resources aren’t overwhelmed. National Park Service workers dart the mares with hormonal birth control each year to keep herd size low. The small, hardy equines have adapted to a life of eating marsh grass, sea oats, and wax myrtle. They drink from ponds and freshwater seeps, and they also dig holes in the sand to reach the freshwater belowground when other sources have dried up.

In the new study, researchers monitored surface and groundwater levels and conductivity—a proxy measurement for salinity because higher conductivity values mean saltier water—in six water sources (two ponds, one groundwater seep, and three dig sites) located across the island.

“Barrier islands often develop a freshwater lens in the subsurface that floats on top of the denser, saltier water,” Sirianni said. “By monitoring water level and water conductivity, we can, over time, see whether the freshwater lens is shrinking, growing, or getting saltier, which tells us how the island’s water resources are responding to things like tides, storms, or droughts.”

Researchers installed motion-activated trail cameras near the water sources to capture still shots of animals drinking. They then grouped time-stamped photos to connect the horses’ drinking activities with water level and conductivity data. From there, they searched for water usage patterns, as well as for information about how long horse-dug holes (some as deep as 3 feet) stayed full of fresh water.

“Preliminary results from July 2024 to April 2025 indicate that horses spend more time drinking at dig sites, where conductivity is lower and more stable, compared to ponds and the groundwater seep, where conductivity is higher and more variable. However, when rainfall is low, dig sites often run dry, leading horses to drink from these higher-conductivity sources,” Sirianni said.

A Saltier Future?

“In the past, we’ve said that horses wouldn’t drink brackish water, but we were wrong. They do drink brackish water when that’s the only thing available to them.”

“With the research that [Sirianni] is doing, we have learned that these ponds can be really brackish,” said Linda Kuhn, a volunteer veterinarian with the National Park Service who was not involved with the research. “In the past, we’ve said that horses wouldn’t drink brackish water, but we were wrong. They do drink brackish water when that’s the only thing available to them.”

If the freshwater sources become saltier, history has already shown how the wild horses could be in trouble. On the island of Chincoteague, Virginia, equine deaths and illness were linked to a toxic increase in salinity in freshwater supplies, possibly wrought by the storm surge from Hurricane Erin.

It took 2 weeks for volunteers and observers to figure out what was wrong at Chincoteague. “Here we have [Sirianni] giving us data in real time. He also has cameras out there so he can see who’s drinking.” In light of what happened to the Chincoteague ponies after Hurricane Erin, “it’s just such an important study at this time,” Kuhn said.

“These horses have been here for many years and weathered many storms, so…they are a symbol of wildness and freedom even in the face of adversity.”

And with the potential for stronger, damaging storms in the future, the wild horses in this precarious island habitat may face more water and food shortages—along with danger from the land itself. Previous modeling studies suggest sea level rise will cause the already shallow groundwater table to reach the surface, as well as cause the shoreline to retreat as land subsidence and erosion worsen.

Sirianni plans to continue monitoring Shackleford Banks’s wild horses and water sources through at least July 2026 while he works on a final study manuscript about his findings. But he hopes to fund this research into the future. “These horses have been here for many years and weathered many storms, so I like that they are a symbol of wildness and freedom even in the face of adversity,” he said.

Rebecca Owen (@beccapox.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: Owen, R. (2025), What salty water means for wild horses, Eos, 105, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250433. Published on 21 November 2025. Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
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