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ABIC-based Joint Inversion using Tsunami, GNSS, and SAR Data: Finite Fault Model of the 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake, Japan

Geophysical Journal International - Thu, 10/30/2025 - 00:00
SummaryNowadays, many joint inversions are carried out to understand the earthquake source process. In the joint inversion analysis, we have to determine the relative weights among different datasets in addition to the regularization term, such as smoothing. Akaike’s Bayesian Information Criterion (ABIC) is known to be useful to find the appropriate values of such hyperparameters. This study proposes a method to jointly invert tsunami, GNSS, and SAR data using ABIC to construct a finite fault model. We demonstrate our inversion scheme in the case of the 2024 Noto Peninsula earthquake, whose fault geometry is still under discussion. Since the dip angle of the fault can also be considered as a hyperparameter, we evaluate three types of dip angles and estimate an appropriate value based on ABIC. In other words, our inversion scheme utilizes ABIC to determine the dip angle, the weights among datasets, and the spatial smoothness of fault slip. Our fault model indicates that (1) listric fault, varying the dip angle with depth, is the most appropriate among the ones we proposed, (2) the largest slip is on the fault under the northwestern corner of the peninsula, and (3) coseismic fault slip extends to offshore faults east of the peninsula. In the case of the listric fault, ABIC values GNSS and SAR data, which improves the agreement of the on-land coseismic displacement while also reproducing tsunami data. We also find that analyzing tsunami records in the frequency domain helps to obtain a robust inversion result when employing ABIC.

Comparative analysis of the impact of different environmental loading products on contemporary vertical land motion of mainland China from multi-geodetic measurements

Geophysical Journal International - Thu, 10/30/2025 - 00:00
SummaryThe elastic deformation of Earth’s surface caused by internal mass distribution varies significantly across loading models, especially in high-precision applications. Although several studies have applied loading corrections to Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) time series in mainland China, discrepancies between models, particularly those involving Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) data and its downscaled derivatives, remain insufficiently explored. Moreover, previous research has not comprehensively assessed vertical crustal deformation after applying different environmental loading corrections. This study systematically evaluates the correction effects of various environmental loading models on GNSS vertical displacements across mainland China, generating vertical velocity maps along with their associated uncertainties. The results show that hydrological loading (HYDL) has the most significant impact on GNSS vertical displacements, whereas non-tidal oceanic loading (NTOL) has the least effect. Substantial differences exist between various HYDL models, while discrepancies between non-tidal atmospheric loading (NTAL) and NTOL models are relatively minor. A comparison of correction effects between the HYDL model and GRACE data reveals that the HYDL model offers more accurate corrections, whereas downscaled GRACE data demonstrates improved performance, underscoring its potential advantages. After applying loading corrections and filtering common mode error (CME), the uncertainty in GNSS vertical velocity is notably reduced, although velocity variation remains small. This effect is also evident in seasonal variations. Furthermore, a comparison of vertical land motion (VLM) constrained by different HYDL models and downscaled GRACE data with VLM constrained by an independent land-water fusion model reveals higher consistency between the downscaled GRACE data and the independent model in the North China and northwestern Tianshan regions, suggesting that VLM derived from downscaled GRACE data may be more reliable. We also quantify the combined impact of geocenter motion and glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) on the VLM trend across mainland China, estimated it at approximately 0.13 mm/yr. While the spatial characteristics of the VLM trend show minimal changes after correction, its intensity is significantly affected. This study provides crucial insights into the correcting of environmental loading effects in GNSS vertical displacements and contributes the latest observational results on vertical crustal deformation in mainland China.

Meteorite-like oxygen isotope ratios in ancient plants may unlock Earth's climate history

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 10/29/2025 - 18:40
A team of researchers at The University of New Mexico has uncovered how a peculiar, prehistoric plant might unlock new ways to reconstruct Earth's ancient climate.

2025 State of the Climate Report: Our Planet’s Vital Signs are Crashing

EOS - Wed, 10/29/2025 - 14:03
body {background-color: #D2D1D5;} Research & Developments is a blog for brief updates that provide context for the flurry of news that impacts science and scientists today.

A yearly analysis of climate change’s progress and effects shows a “planet on the brink” of ecological breakdown and widespread crisis and suggests that only rapid climate mitigation can avoid the worst consequences.

“We felt an ethical responsibility to document this turning point clearly.”

“We felt an ethical responsibility to document this turning point clearly and to speak directly to humanity about where we stand,” wrote William Ripple, an ecologist at Oregon State University and coauthor of the new report, in an email. “What we’re seeing now are signs of systemic distress.”

The sixth annual report, published in BioScience, analyzes global data on Earth’s atmosphere, oceans, energy, ecosystems, food systems, and more. Researchers identified our planet’s so-called vital signs, including ocean temperature, surface temperature, sea ice extent, and carbon pollution. Of the 34 vital signs, 22 were at record levels, indicating a highly stressed Earth system. 

For example, 2024 surpassed 2023 as the hottest year on record. Ocean heat and wildfire-related tree cover loss are both at all-time highs. Deadly weather disasters surged in 2024 and 2025, with floods, wildfires, and typhoons killing hundreds in the U.S. alone. Atmospheric warming is showing signs of accelerating. Ice at the poles continues to melt, contributing to sea level rise. And the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, a global network of currents critical for circulating heat on Earth, is showing signs of weakening, which could trigger further climate disruptions.

Sixteen of the 34 vital signs that researchers tracked as part of their 2025 State of the Climate report. Credit: Ripple et al. 2025, doi.org/10.1093/biosci/biaf149

“Without effective strategies, we will rapidly encounter escalating risks that threaten to overwhelm systems of peace, governance, and public and ecosystem health,” said Ripple in a press release. “In short, we’ll be on the fast track to climate-driven chaos, a dangerous trajectory for humanity.”

Another “State of the Climate” report was published in August. The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society report, authored by more than 500 scientists, presented similar indicators of a stressed Earth system, including record-setting ice loss at the poles, unusually high global temperatures, and an increase in the frequency and severity of weather disasters and wildfires. 

Notable climate anomalies and events in 2024, based on information from NOAA’s State of the Climate reports. Credit: Blunden et al. 2025, doi.org/10.1175/2025BAMSStateoftheClimate.1 Climate & Consumption

The new report identifies resource consumption, especially meat and energy consumption, as a major driver of climate change and ecological harm. 

“We can’t fix the climate by technology alone; we have to rethink the way we live.”

Global gross domestic product, or GDP, a measure of the goods and services produced in a given year, reached an all-time high in 2025 according to preliminary data. While such economic growth is often celebrated, it is also typically coupled with ecological degradation and increased emissions, the authors point out. Reducing consumption, especially among the world’s wealthiest individuals (who tend to consume more resources), is essential to managing the effects of climate change, they write. 

“We need systemic change: rethinking what we value, shifting toward circular economies, and promoting well-being over endless growth,” Ripple wrote in an email. “We can’t fix the climate by technology alone; we have to rethink the way we live.”

 
Related

Though the use of solar- and wind-powered electricity is soaring, so is fossil fuel consumption. The State of the Climate authors emphasize that a rapid reduction of fossil fuel use is both necessary and possible, and that renewable energy sources have the potential to supply most global energy needs by 2050.

“We are in a planetary emergency, but we are not powerless,” Ripple wrote. “The science is clear, the mitigation strategies are known, and every fraction of a degree matters.”

—Grace van Deelen (@gvd.bsky.social), Staff Writer

These updates are made possible through information from the scientific community. Do you have a story about science or scientists? Send us a tip at eos@agu.org. Text © 2025. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
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Microplastics Have Widely Varying Effects on Soil

EOS - Wed, 10/29/2025 - 13:20

As global plastic production has ballooned, small fragments of plastic have infiltrated rivers, sea ice, and even our brains. When the minuscule fibers and shards seep into soils, they change how the soil interacts with water, according to a new study.

The study, published in Vadose Zone Journal, measured water retention and conductivity in soils from three regions of Germany with and without four different microplastics. The researchers found that a plastic concentration of just 0.4% by mass can change how quickly water flows through soil, depending on both the type of plastic and the type of soil. The altered hydraulic properties likely result from the hydrophobic nature of plastic and the microplastic particles changing the arrangement of individual soil granules, the authors said.

Tiny soil particles stick together to form clumps. The spaces between these clumps form conduits for water, nutrients, and plant roots to move through. The size and distribution of these spaces affect soil drainage and water-holding capacity, which have implications for plant growth.

“The water characteristics of a soil tell you how quickly water drains through the soil, which impacts crops and aquifers.”

“The water characteristics of a soil tell you how quickly water drains through the soil, which impacts crops and aquifers,” said the study’s first author, Katharina Neubert, a soil scientist at Forschungszentrum Jülich in Germany.

Earlier research has shown that microplastics can alter soil structure and its hydraulic properties, but those studies each examined only one soil type or one plastic type. The new study is the first to evaluate how multiple types of microplastics affect multiple soil types.

The researchers collected soil from three distinct agricultural regions in Germany, which had varying textures, carbon levels, and pH levels. They then obtained four widely used microplastics ranging in size from 300 micrometers to 5 millimeters—polyethylene, polypropylene, polystyrene, and polyester. They broke down the larger particles in a blender, then mixed each plastic with each soil type at a concentration of 0.4% by weight. Combined with a plastic-free control for each soil type, this yielded 15 unique soil‑microplastic combinations.

The authors poured each mixture into a metal cylinder connected to a suction device to see how quickly the suction would pull water through the soil. They performed the test on wet soil and dry soil, as moisture level also influences how quickly water drains through soil.

Unearthing a Nuanced Relationship

All four microplastics altered water flow rates in at least one of the soils, but the magnitude and direction of the effect varied widely. For example, polyester fibers, commonly shed from some types of clothing, boosted the speed at which water flowed through one soil by more than 50% when the soil was wet, yet reduced the flow rate by more than 50% under dry conditions.

“It’s very difficult to make a general statement about how soil changes with microplastics.”

“All of the results are context dependent,” said Rosolino Ingraffia, a soil scientist at Università degli Studi di Palermo in Italy, who was not involved in the research. “It’s very difficult to make a general statement about how soil changes with microplastics.”

Another recent study coauthored by Neubert showed how differences in flow rates could translate to agriculture. She grew wheat plants in the same three soil types with and without two microplastics: polyethylene and polyester. The results were similarly complicated, with the added plastic increasing, decreasing, or not affecting root growth, depending on the combination.

The plastic concentration of 0.4% used in both studies is much higher than that which most agricultural fields harbor today, said both Neubert and Ingraffia. For example, arable lands that have been treated with biosolids for a decade see concentrations closer to about 0.002%. But calculations based on the current rate of microplastic accumulation suggest that many areas could reach this 0.4% concentration in 50 or 60 years, Ingraffia added.

Neubert hopes her research leads to regulations that keep microplastics from ever reaching those levels. Germany plans to phase out the use of nutrient-rich sewage sludge as fertilizer in most agricultural fields, in part because of concerns about plastic pollution, she said. One study identified the practice as a major source of soil microplastics in Germany.

Keeping plastic out of the ground is important because “we don’t yet know what consequences it has for our soils,” Neubert said.

—Mark DeGraff (@markr4nger.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: DeGraff, M. (2025), Microplastics have widely varying effects on soil, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250396. Published on 29 October 2025. Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Earth System Engineers Take Planetary Alterations to Extreme Scales

EOS - Wed, 10/29/2025 - 13:19

The term “ecosystem engineering” has been used for decades as a way to describe organisms that drastically alter their environment, changing the abiotic factors in their habitat as well as the lives of other organisms in their orbit. Beavers, bison, and possibly dinosaurs fall into this category.  

The idea has, over decades, helped ecologists move past the idea that animals are simply passive players in the environment toward an understanding that life itself affects its surroundings.

“Are we just a new version in a long line of the evolution of new processes that have fundamentally altered the planet? Or are we truly something new?”

A more expansive view of ecosystem engineering—one that identifies effects over geologic timescales—could be useful for Earth scientists as well as ecologists, according to a new framework recently published in Trends in Ecology and Evolution. The authors argue the framework could be useful for answering fundamental questions about humans’ role in Earth’s history.

“Are we just a new version in a long line of the evolution of new processes that have fundamentally altered the planet? Or are we truly something new?” said Kate Lyons, a paleoecologist at the University of Nebraska–Lincoln and coauthor of the new framework.

Engineering Earth

Lyons and the research team were inspired to create the new framework when they realized that many large-scale planetary changes caused by living beings didn’t fall strictly into the original definition of ecosystem engineering. “We felt we really needed a different term,” she said.

The framework distinguishes Earth system engineers from ecosystem engineers by the scale of their effects. Earth system engineers may be processes as well as organisms, and they affect their surroundings over longer periods of time and across larger, sometimes global, spatial scales. In many cases, Earth system engineers affect species they “don’t even coexist with,” Lyons said.

In fact, the fossil record shows that many biological and ecological processes both had a global impact and introduced changes in Earth systems that have lasted for millions and even billions of years. For example, the Great Oxidation Event, a period roughly 2.4 billion years ago during which single-celled organisms began to metabolize carbon dioxide and water, drastically increased the concentration of oxygen in Earth’s atmosphere. We’re still experiencing the aftermath of the Great Oxidation Event—it’s why all animals on Earth today are alive. 

Calcium carbonate biomineralization—the process by which marine life takes up calcium and carbon from seawater and produces mineral skeletons or other hard structures—is another Earth system engineering process, the authors write. This process has been a major contributor to the sequestration of carbon in the ocean, which helps to control the global climate.

Planetary History, Here and Beyond

The new paper’s authors suggest their framework could be useful for answering questions about whether the scale of humanity’s changes to Earth systems is unique in Earth’s history.

Similarly, the authors expect the framework to help in investigations of how often such planetary-scale changes happen and how they usually play out: “[Are they] typically followed by mass extinctions? [Do they] typically spur speciation?” Lyons said. 

These questions also have applications for astrobiology because knowledge of how organisms affect their environments on planetary scales—creating oxygen via photosynthesis, for example—could give insight into how and why some planets become habitable, said Peter Wagner, a paleobiologist at the University of Nebraska–Lincoln and coauthor on the new study. 

There is “growing interest” in the question “When does life leave a mark on the planet?” said Clive Jones, one of the scientists who originally developed the concept of ecosystem engineering in 1994. “It’s very worthwhile thinking about,” he said.  

What’s in a Name?

Scientists have been grappling with these questions for years, however, and the idea that ecosystem engineering could be a planetary process has been implicit in previous published work, said Erle Ellis, an ecologist at the University of Maryland, Baltimore County, who was not involved in the new paper. In fact, in 2012, Jones published a paper presenting a theory of when and why certain species create geomorphological signatures in the landscape, responding to a 2006 paper that raised the question of when life leaves a mark.

“There are some really cool interfaces between…ecosystem science and Earth system science.”

Ellis also cautioned that the line between “ecosystem engineer” and “Earth system engineer” may be arbitrary. Though it is helpful to recognize that ecosystem engineering can scale up, “there’s not really a clean break” between which processes are planetary and which aren’t, he said.

Creating a binary like the one presented in the paper “tends to divide up the community of scientists…when they’re actually working on the same thing,” Ellis said. “That’s not necessarily an advance in the sciences.”

Jones still thinks the new Earth system engineering framework could be useful. Just as the idea of ecosystem engineering helped ecologists conceptualize organisms as active agents in the abiotic environment, the idea of Earth system engineering could help scientists better understand the spatial and temporal scales of interactions between animals and Earth systems, he said.

Jones also hopes the new framework spurs additional collaboration. “There are some really cool interfaces between…ecosystem science and Earth system science,” he said. “That’s where the productive territory will be.”

—Grace van Deelen (@gvd.bsky.social), Staff Writer

This news article is included in our ENGAGE resource for educators seeking science news for their classroom lessons. Browse all ENGAGE articles, and share with your fellow educators how you integrated the article into an activity in the comments section below.

Citation: van Deelen, G. (2025), Earth system engineers take planetary alterations to extreme scales, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250402. Published on 29 October 2025. Text © 2025. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Developing Nations Need 12 Times More Financing to Meet Climate Adaptation Needs

EOS - Wed, 10/29/2025 - 13:07
body {background-color: #D2D1D5;} Research & Developments is a blog for brief updates that provide context for the flurry of news that impacts science and scientists today.

An annual United Nations report, published 29 October, reveals a “yawning gap” between existing and necessary climate adaptation finance that is “putting lives, livelihoods, and entire economies at risk.”

Adaptation needs in developing countries—estimated to be at least $310 billion per year by 2035—are 12 times higher than current public international finance flows, which currently sit at about $26 billion per year. 

This so-called adaptation gap limits poor countries’ ability to withstand the changing climate, the report states.

Poorer countries are often the hardest hit by the effects of climate change, despite emitting just a fraction of the world’s greenhouse gases. These countries rely on funding from other countries, from both public and private sources, to finance climate adaptation efforts.

A comparison of adaptation financing needs from nationally determined contributions (NDCs) and national adaptation plans (NAPs) and international public adaptation finance flows in developing countries. Achieving the Glasgow Pact and delivering the multilateral development banks’ (MDB) target would help narrow the gap slightly, but would not be enough to close the gap. Credit: UNEP

“We need a global push to increase adaptation finance—from both public and private sources—without adding to the debt burdens of vulnerable nations,” said Inger Andersen, the executive director of the UN Environment Programme, in a press release.  “Even amid tight budgets and competing priorities, the reality is simple: If we do not invest in adaptation now, we will face escalating costs every year.”

“New finance providers and instruments must come on board.”

The report credits the difficulty of mobilizing necessary financial resources to “current geopolitical tensions and cuts to overseas development assistance, among other factors.” 

The Glasgow Climate Pact, an international agreement adopted in 2021, set a goal to double international public adaptation finance by 2025. The goal will not be met under current trajectories, according to the report. The most recent climate finance target of $300 billion per year by 2035, agreed upon at the UN climate change conference last year, COP 29, is also insufficient to meet the adaptation needs of developing countries.

A failure to meet international finance goals means “many more people will suffer needlessly,” Andersen wrote in the report. “New finance providers and instruments must come on board.”

“The smart choice is to invest in adaptation now,” she wrote.

The report did include some silver linings: The adaptation finance gap is slightly smaller for Least Developed Countries, the UN’s classification for low-income countries facing severe obstacles to sustainable development, and Small Island Developing States. Additionally, in-country progress to plan for climate change is improving: 172 countries have at least one national adaptation strategy in place, while 21 others have started developing one.

However, the world is failing to reach other climate goals: Another UN report, published 22 October, found that oil and gas companies are still vastly underreporting their methane emissions. And ahead of COP30, scheduled to be held next month in Belém, Brazil, only 64 of the 195 nations party to the Paris Agreement have submitted their required updates to their emissions plans.

 
Related

The new report is expected to inform discussions at COP30. The Brazilian presidency of COP30 has called for the conference to be a “mutirão global,” a global collective effort, to achieve ambitious climate action. In the report, authors advise nations attending the conference in Belém to transition away from fossil fuels, engage additional financial system stakeholders, and avoid expensive but mostly ineffective maladaptations such as seawalls or wildfire suppression. 

In a recent interview with The Guardian about COP30 priorities, Secretary-General of the UN António Guterres said the world has “failed to avoid an overshooting above 1.5°C [2.7°F] in the next few years” and urged swift action.

“It is absolutely indispensable to change course,” he said.

—Grace van Deelen (@gvd.bsky.social), Staff Writer

These updates are made possible through information from the scientific community. Do you have a story about science or scientists? Send us a tip at eos@agu.org.

Text © 2025. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Measurement of turbulent velocity and bounds for thermal diffusivity in laser shock compressed foams by x-ray photon correlation spectroscopy

Physical Review E (Plasma physics) - Wed, 10/29/2025 - 10:00

Author(s): Charles Heaton, Hao Yin, Dimitri Khaghani, Hae Ja Lee, Hannah Poole, Eric Blackman, Nina Boiadjieva, Xiaoqian M. Chen, Celine Crépisson, Gilbert W. Collins, Adrien Descamps, Arianna E. Gleason, Christian Gutt, Alexander N. Petsch, Lisa Randolph, Silke Nelson, Peregrine McGehee, Rajan Plumley, Christopher Spindloe, Thomas Stevens, Charlotte Stuart, Joshua J. Turner, Hussein Aluie, Jessica K. Shang, and Gianluca Gregori

Experimental benchmarking of transport coefficients under extreme conditions is required for validation of differing theoretical models. To date, measurement of transport properties of dynamically compressed samples remains a challenge with only a limited number of studies able to quantify transport…


[Phys. Rev. E 112, 045218] Published Wed Oct 29, 2025

ID-GInSAR: An Improved Methodology for Integrating GNSS to Enhance InSAR-Based Deformation Monitoring

Geophysical Journal International - Wed, 10/29/2025 - 00:00
SummaryThis study presents an enhanced method for integrating Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR), referred to as Iterative Decomposition-based GNSS-enhanced InSAR (ID-GInSAR), to address both spatially correlated components (SCCs) and topographically correlated components (TCCs) in interferogram errors. While traditional GInSAR (GNSS-enhanced InSAR) is effective in mitigating long-wavelength SCCs, it often overlooks TCCs, which are particularly significant in regions with steep topographic gradients. The proposed ID-GInSAR approach employs an iterative decomposition process to decouple and independently model SCCs and TCCs, utilizing a combination of exponential and statistical models. The method is validated using Sentinel-1 SAR and GNSS data from California’s southern Central Valley. Results demonstrate that ID-GInSAR significantly lowers noise in interferograms, enhances the robustness of displacement time series, and improves the accuracy of co-seismic deformation and velocity field estimates. Specifically, ID-GInSAR reduces the root mean square (RMS) between GNSS and InSAR by up to 55% in individual interferograms and by an average of 30.4% in displacement time series compared to traditional GInSAR methods. Furthermore, ID-GInSAR effectively highlights subtle transient deformation, such as coseismic offsets, and provides more robust velocity fields over shorter time spans (less than three years). Finally, we compare our method with other approaches, including Remove/Filter/Restore (RFR) and GACOS, and discuss their applicability scenarios. Collectively, ID-GInSAR provides an alternative integration method for regions with complex topography where ground-based GNSS observations are available.

Rupture Directivity of Moderate to Large Earthquakes in the Slow Deforming Iranian Plateau

Geophysical Journal International - Wed, 10/29/2025 - 00:00
SummaryRupture directivity significantly increases horizontal peak ground acceleration, elongates aftershock clouds, and enlarges meizoseismal areas beyond the fault end in front of the direction of rupture propagation. In this study, we examine the directivity of 25 moderate to large earthquakes (Mw ≥ 6) from 1968 to 2017 in the Iranian plateau by employing relocated earthquake clusters, mapped surface ruptures, focal mechanisms of earthquakes, slip distribution models, spatial distribution of Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) amplitudes and macroseismic effects. The methodology overcomes the lack of dense seismic networks required to study directivity using methods based on the azimuthal variation of the spectrum of seismic waves. We show that 16 out of the 25 (i.e., 64%) of the earthquakes investigated have mostly unidirectional rupture. This implies that unidirectional ruptures in a slow deforming continental collision zone such as the Iranian Plateau is only slightly less common than those observed globally. With the understanding that unidirectional rupture increases the probability of ground shaking off the termination of the causative faults, our findings highlight the importance of considering the directivity effect in earthquake hazard assessment in Iran and also in other slow deforming continental regions.

The influence of a stably stratified layer on the hydromagnetic waves in the Earth’s core and their electromagnetic torques

Geophysical Journal International - Wed, 10/29/2025 - 00:00
SummaryEvidence from seismic studies, mineral physics, thermal evolution models and geomagnetic observations is inconclusive about the presence of a stably stratified layer at the top of the Earth’s fluid outer core. Such a convectively stable layer could have a strong influence on the internal fluid waves propagating underneath the core-mantle boundary (CMB) that are used to probe the outermost region of the core through the wave interaction with the geomagnetic field and the rotation of the mantle. Here, we numerically investigate the effect of a top stable layer on the outer core fluid waves by calculating the eigenmodes in a neutrally stratified sphere permeated by a magnetic field with and without a top stable layer. We use a numerical model, assuming a flow with an m-fold azimuthal symmetry, that allows for radial motions across the lower boundary of the stable layer and angular momentum exchanges across the CMB through viscous and electromagnetic coupling. On interannual time-scales, we find torsional Alfvén waves that are only marginally affected by weak to moderate stratification strength in the outer layer. At decadal time-scales similarly weak stable layers promote the appearance of waves that propagate primarily within the stable layer itself and resemble Magneto-Archimedes-Coriolis (MAC) waves, even though they interact with the adiabatic fluid core below. These waves can exert viscous and electromagnetic torques on the mantle that are several orders of magnitude larger than those in the neutrally stratified case.

Time-Lapse Airborne EM for monitoring the evolution of a saltwater aquifer - The Bookpurnong case study

Geophysical Journal International - Wed, 10/29/2025 - 00:00
SummaryA novel time-lapse modelling scheme for Airborne Electromagnetics (AEM) monitoring datasets is presented, using data from multiple surveys applied to study the hydro-related evolution of the Bookpurnong floodplain in South Australia. Additionally, it introduces a new wide-ranging approach for this type of study, incorporating new processing, validation, and interpretation tools.Time-Lapse studies are widespread in the literature but are not commonly applied to model EM data, particularly AEM data. This is linked to the challenges of performing overlapping data acquisition with inductive systems. The key features of the new time-lapse scheme, which address these issues, include the definition of independent forward and model meshes, essential for considering discrepancies in the location of soundings which arise in multitemporal AEM data acquisition, and the incorporation of system flight height in the inversion. This proved crucial for achieving satisfactory data fitting and limiting artifact propagation in the time-lapse models.Additionally, a novel processing workflow for AEM multitemporal datasets is presented. This has proven important for effectively processing the multitemporal datasets, which presents new challenges in identifying noise coupling arising from the use of different systems across vintages of data, possible variations in acquisition settings operated by different field crews, and changes in subsurface resistivity in the survey area. Results generated from the time-lapse modelling are evaluated with an Independent Hydrogeological Validation (IHV), designed to support the geophysical models validation and interpretation by providing a first-step hydrogeological evaluation.At Bookpurnong, along a sector of the Murray River floodplain, multitemporal AEM surveys were collected in 2015, 2022 and 2024, to study natural and engineered changes in the groundwater system over time. The time-lapse models show significantly smaller variations compared to those determined with individually modelled survey data sets, while delineating sharply bounded changes in resistivity across the floodplain. This demonstrates the effectiveness of the new time-lapse scheme in minimizing inversion variations typically encountered with independently modelled results affected by larger equivalence issues.Here, AEM models are first compared with resistivity borehole measurements, revealing a strong match between the two methodologies and spatial variations in resistivity consistent with a meandering river across the floodplain. These variations are further validated and interpreted using the IHV approach, which revealed a direct correlation between the hydrological stress of the Murray River and the response of shallow aquifers. Additionally, time-lapse geophysical models, combined with a hydrostratigraphic analysis, allow for a direct correlation between shallow and deep hydrogeological responses.We believe that the time-lapse methodology described here can be widely applied to multitemporal studies using AEM datasets, enabling the study of a broad range of natural processes with great accuracy and at the basin scale.

Judge Stops Shutdown-Related RIFs Indefinitely

EOS - Tue, 10/28/2025 - 21:51
body {background-color: #D2D1D5;} Research & Developments is a blog for brief updates that provide context for the flurry of news regarding law and policy changes that impact science and scientists today.

A judge has announced that the government cannot issue further reduction-in-force (RIF) notices to federal employees because of the government shutdown, nor implement RIFs that had already been issued during the shutdown.

The ruling by U.S. District Judge Susan Illston will mark the latest in a months-long court battle over RIFs at federal agencies.

“I think it’s important that we remember that, although we are here talking about statutes and administrative procedure and the like, we are also talking about human lives, and these human lives are being dramatically affected by the activities that we’re discussing this morning,” Judge Illston said at the top of the hearing, which was held at the headquarters of the Northern District of California in San Francisco.

 
Related

The case, American Federation of Government Employees, AFL-CIO v. United States Office of Personnel Management (OPM) (3:25-cv-01780), was first filed in February. AGU joined as a plaintiff in the case in March. Other plaintiffs include Climate Resilient Communities, the Coalition to Protect America’s National Parks, and the American Public Health Association.

Judge Illston granted a temporary restraining order earlier this month, which prevented the government from executing RIFs during the shutdown until further notice.

However, the Trump administration only paused some RIFs, arguing that most of the thousands of layoffs announced since the shutdown are not covered by the court order.

As part of the temporary restraining order, the court ordered the government to provide an accounting of “all RIFs, actual or imminent,” that it planned to execute during the shutdown. The list included 143 Fish and Wildlife Service employees, 355 USGS employees, 272 National Park Service employees, and 474 Bureau of Land Management employees.

On 22 October, Judge Illston broadened the reach of who was protected by the temporary restraining order by adding several unions representing federal employees as plaintiffs.

In today’s hearing, the plaintiffs argued for a preliminary injunction, a move that essentially preserves the status quo before the final judgement of a trial. Danielle Leonard, an attorney representing the plaintiffs, argued that, in this case, the state of affairs prior to the government shutdown should be considered the “status quo.” In essence, this meant seeking for a halt to RIFs that have occurred since the shutdown, not just future RIFs.

The plaintiffs sought prove that the RIFs were “arbitrary or capricious,” a legal standard that is part of the Administrative Procedure Act, which governs how federal agencies operate.

Michael Velchick, an attorney representing the U.S. government, argued that the government’s actions were not only not arbitrary or capricious, but good policy, and “the right thing to do.”

“Morally it’s the right thing to do, and it’s the democratic thing to do,” he said. “The American people selected someone known above all else for his eloquence in communicating to employees that, ‘You’re fired.’”

This was seemingly a reference to the president’s former reality TV show, The Apprentice.

Leonard argued that Velchick’s statement was offensive to the 1.5 million federal employees represented by her clients. She summed up the defendant’s argument like this:

“There is some general authority, and therefore that blesses the specific actions that are happening here for the reasons that the government has given, regardless of how poor those reasons are. And that’s just not the way the law works.”

Judge Illston seemed to agree, stating that the Office of Personnel Management and Office of Management and Budget were prohibited from issuing more RIF notices or implementing those already issued.

The judge noted that she will likely hold an evidentiary hearing to settle a potential dispute over whether specific RIF notices were issued because of the shutdown, or were “already in the works” and unrelated to the shutdown.

—Emily Gardner (@emfurd.bsky.social), Associate Editor

These updates are made possible through information from the scientific community. Do you have a story about how changes in law or policy are affecting scientists or research? Send us a tip at eos@agu.org. Text © 2025. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
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Six-million-year-old ice discovered in Antarctica offers unprecedented window into a warmer Earth

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 10/28/2025 - 20:37
A team of U.S. scientists has discovered the oldest directly dated ice and air on the planet in the Allan Hills region of East Antarctica.

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Publication date: Available online 24 October 2025

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Publication date: Available online 24 October 2025

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Publication date: Available online 24 October 2025

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Publication date: Available online 24 October 2025

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Publication date: Available online 23 October 2025

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