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Solar Wind‐Magnetosphere Coupling Efficiency and Its Dependence on Solar Activity During Geomagnetic Storms of 23–24 Solar Cycles

JGR:Space physics - Fri, 08/23/2024 - 14:00
Abstract

Space weather forecasts are of utmost importance in safeguarding navigation, communication, and electric power system operations, satellites from orbital drag, and the astronauts in the International Space Station from hazardous space radiation during extreme space weather conditions. The finest space weather prediction requires a clear understanding of solar wind-magnetosphere coupling. The in-situ measurements of the solar wind properties give unique information about the Sun and its activity on smaller to longer timescales. The present work investigates the influence of solar activity on the coupling of solar wind and Earth's magnetosphere during 23–24 solar cycles. The geomagnetic storms with Symmetric H-component (SYMH) ≤ −85 nT during the 23–24 solar cycles are considered. We present the results of statistical analysis and relationships between the various solar wind parameters such as the total strength of interplanetary magnetic field (B) and its three-axis components (Bx, By, and Bz), solar wind proton density (Nsw), solar wind speed (Vsw), SYMH indices, the amplitude, duration, and profile of the geomagnetic storms. The integrated electric field and integrated SYMH index during storms show the highest correlation of 0.92, implying that integrated SYMH is a better proxy of the injected solar wind energy in the magnetosphere in the form of the ring current. Moreover, we do see the difference in the solar wind-magnetosphere coupling efficiency during the phases of 23–24 solar cycles which is intriguing.

The North Pacific Meridional Mode and Its Impact on ENSO in the Second Version of the Chinese Academy of Sciences Earth System Model

JGR–Atmospheres - Fri, 08/23/2024 - 12:09
Abstract

The North Pacific Meridional Mode (PMM) is the strongest interannual air-sea coupled system in the subtropical northeastern Pacific, which can significantly impact the development of El Niño and Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This study examines performance of the second version of the Chinese Academy of Sciences Earth System Model (CAS-ESM2), developed primarily at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences (IAP/CAS), in simulating the PMM, ENSO, and their relationship. It reveals that CAS-ESM2 can well reproduce the tropical climate mean states, including sea surface temperature (SST), surface winds, and precipitation. Furthermore, the model shows a good ability in reproducing the seasonal evolutions of the PMM and ENSO. Moreover, CAS-ESM2 effectively simulates the influence of the PMM on subsequent ENSO and the underlying physical mechanisms, including the wind-evaporation-SST feedback process, the trade wind charging mechanism and summer deep convection mechanism. However, some improvements are still needed, particularly in representing the periodicity of the PMM, an overestimation of the ENSO intensity and westward extension of ENSO-related SST anomalies in the tropical Pacific. The results obtained from the CAS-ESM2 showcase significant progress in understanding the interaction between air-sea interaction systems over the tropics and subtropics.

The Abundance and Sources of Ice Nucleating Particles Within Alaskan Ice Fog

JGR–Atmospheres - Fri, 08/23/2024 - 11:55
Abstract

The Alaskan Layered Pollution and Chemical Analysis (ALPACA) field campaign included deployment of a suite of atmospheric measurements in January–February 2022 with the goal of better understanding atmospheric processes and pollution under cold and dark conditions in Fairbanks, Alaska. We report on measurements of particle composition, particle size, ice nucleating particle (INP) composition, and INP size during an ice fog period (29 January–3 February). During this period, coarse particulate matter (PM10) concentrations increased by 150% in association with a decrease in air temperature, a stronger temperature inversion, and relatively stagnant conditions. Results also show a 18%–78% decrease in INPs during the ice fog period, indicating that particles had activated into the ice fog via nucleation. Peroxide and heat treatments performed on INPs indicated that, on average, the largest contributions to the INP population were heat-labile (potentially biological, 63%), organic (31%), then inorganic (likely dust, 6%). Measurements of levoglucosan and bulk and single-particle composition corroborate the presence of dust and aerosols from combustion sources. Heat-labile and organic INPs decreased during the peak period of the ice fog, indicating those were preferentially activated, while inorganic INPs increased, suggesting they remained as interstitial INPs. In general, INP concentrations were unexpectedly high in Fairbanks compared to other locations in the Arctic during winter. The fact that these INPs likely facilitated ice fog formation in Fairbanks has implications for other high latitude locations subject to the hazards associated with ice fog.

Changes in the Asian ITCZ During the Last Interglacial, the Last Glacial Maximum, and the Mid‐Holocene

JGR–Atmospheres - Fri, 08/23/2024 - 11:29
Abstract

We investigate the position and intensity changes of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) over Asia (50°E−135°E) relative to the preindustrial period annually and seasonally during the Last Interglacial (LIG), Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), and mid-Holocene (MH) using available models from phases 3 and 4 of the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project. The multi-model mean shows that the June–July–August ITCZ variations generally dominate the annual changes. The Asian ITCZ shifts northward over western Asia and southward over the eastern side in both the LIG and MH, and the opposite occurs in the LGM. Its intensity varies with longitude similarly for the LIG and MH and generally weakens in the LGM. Precipitation changes associated directly with ITCZ indices are primarily caused by the dynamic term in the LIG and MH, while both dynamic and thermodynamic terms play roles in the LGM, with major contributions from the convergence components.

Influences of Background Rotation on Secondary Eyewall Formation of Tropical Cyclones in Idealized f‐Plane Simulations

JGR–Atmospheres - Fri, 08/23/2024 - 11:19
Abstract

This study investigates the background rotational influences on the secondary eyewall formation (SEF) in tropical cyclones (TCs) in quiescent f-plane environments. For given initial structures, simulated vortices tend to experience earlier SEF at lower latitudes. Yet the size of the secondary eyewall does not change monotonically with the latitudes. Specifically, ∼20°N provides the optimal amount of background rotation for the largest secondary eyewall size without considering other environmental forcings. Different background rotation rates affect SEF mainly by modulating the outer-core convection as well as the wind structures. Specifically, the lower rotation rate causes more outer-core surface fluxes, thus facilitating the outer rainbands (ORBs) at larger radii. Yet the secondary eyewall does not necessarily form at larger radii at lower latitudes since the transition from the ORBs to secondary eyewall is localized in a region of boundary layer (BL) convergence preceded by accelerated tangential winds. Budget analysis reveals that the differences in the acceleration of outer-core tangential winds among vortices at different latitudes are dominated by the radial flux of absolute vorticity. Due to the non-uniform influences of background rotation on the BL inflow and absolute vorticity, the most efficient spin-up of outer-core tangential winds is achieved at a medium latitude of 20°N, which leads up to SEF at the largest radii. By comparison, for TCs at lower (higher) latitudes, the lower outer-core absolute vorticity (radial inflow) limits the acceleration of outer-core tangential winds, thus placing SEF at smaller radii.

A Real‐Time Prediction System of the Intensity of Solar Energetic Proton Events Based on a Solution of the Diffusion Equation

Space Weather - Fri, 08/23/2024 - 09:20
Abstract

In this study, based on solar energetic particle (SEP) events classification and a solution of the diffusion equation, we present an efficient system, HITSEP, to predict the intensities in different energy channels (P4 15.0–44.0 MeV, P5 40.0–80.0 MeV, and P6 80.0–165.0 MeV) of energetic proton events observed by GOES spacecraft. The system can predict the rising phase (especially the peak time and peak intensity) of the energetic proton events using only a small amount of data at the beginning of the solar energetic proton events. Among the events that meet the conditions for the use of our prediction system from 2003 to 2017, for P4, P5, and P6 channels, the median Warning Times are 3.70, 2.52, and 1.69 hr; the median Error of the Intensity for events are 0.43, 0.23, 0.34 orders of magnitude; the median Error of the Peak Time for events are 2.53, 0.55, 0.43 hr, respectively. Our system is based on physical mechanisms and has a high accuracy in forecasting the peak intensity with a strict definition of the error. The HITSEP system has huge potential to apply in the space weather forecast. The application of the HITSEP system in space weather forecasting is very promising.

Insights Into a Correlation Between Magnetotactic Bacteria and Polymetallic Nodule Distribution in the Eastern Central Pacific Ocean

JGR–Solid Earth - Fri, 08/23/2024 - 08:59
Abstract

The Clarion–Clipperton Fracture Zone (CCFZ) in the eastern central Pacific Ocean is the world's largest area for potential deep-sea polymetallic nodule mining and is attracting increased scientific and commercial interest. Recent studies indicate that biogenic magnetite, generated intracellularly by magnetotactic bacteria (MTB), can carry a biogeochemical remanent magnetization in polymetallic nodules, although whether biogenic or physical-chemical processes are responsible for nodule formation remain poorly constrained. Here, we report a combination of magnetic, electron microscope and geochemical analyses on seafloor surface sediments from the eastern CCFZ to understand the spatial distribution of biogenic magnetite and possible relationships between MTB and polymetallic nodules. Experimental results indicate that sedimentary magnetic minerals from the northern and southern regions are dominated by detrital (eolian loess and volcanic material) and biogenic magnetic minerals (magnetosomes), respectively. Sediments from the intermediate region contain both detrital and biogenic magnetic minerals. Quantitative first-order reversal curve-principal component analysis indicates that biogenic magnetite has the highest concentration in the intermediate CCFZ region, coincident with the highest polymetallic nodule density. Combined with previous research, we speculate that MTB growth on the CCFZ seafloor is driven mainly by local redox conditions. Manganese nodule surfaces are rich in organic biofilms, which results in a relatively thick oxic-anoxic transition zone in high-abundance manganese nodule regions, which generates an optimal microenvironment for both MTB growth and magnetite biomineralization. This study provides new clues for understanding the ecological distribution of MTB and the biogeochemical remanent magnetization recorded by biogenic magnetite in deep-sea sediments.

A Prototype of a 900 MHz Band Integrated Rectenna by Using a Planar Monopole Antenna With Feeder

Radio Science - Fri, 08/23/2024 - 07:00
Abstract

A rectenna designed for wireless power transfer at 900 MHz focuses on conjugate impedance matching and image impedance matching for improved efficiency. To do them, a voltage doubler rectifier circuit (VD) and a planar monopole antenna (PMA) were engineered with the same pure resistance value and integrated into the rectenna. The input impedance of the VD with 30 Ω load resistance indicated a pure resistance of approximately 73 Ω. This value closely matches the input impedance of a dipole antenna operating as a pure resistor. Since the prototype rectifier circuit is unbalanced, the authors constructed a PMA, an unbalanced antenna similar to a dipole antenna, on a double-sided circuit board. In this setup, a microstrip line was created by extending the radiating element, achieving the impedance matchings. Measurements indicated a voltage standing wave ratio of approximately 1.03. A rectenna efficiency of 37.4% was observed for a transmission distance of 50 cm. The rectification efficiency of the VD is nearly 0% when the input power is less than −20 dBm, and the received power of the PMA is less than −20 dBm when the transmission distance is 60 cm or more. It is predicted that the rectenna efficiency will be 0% when the transmission distance is 60 cm or more. However, the rectenna efficiency was 24.6% when the transmission distance was 60 cm. This over 20% improvement is due to the connection between the PMA and the VD using pure resistance.

Longitudinal Range of the Eastward‐Traveling Equatorial Plasma Bubble Inducing Ionospheric Scintillation

Space Weather - Fri, 08/23/2024 - 06:58
Abstract

Equatorial Plasma Bubbles (EPBs) can generate ionospheric scintillation at GHz frequencies used in the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS). Emerging at any longitude following sunset and typically moving eastward, monitoring the EPBs is essential for space weather services. Using three GNSS receivers positioned at the same latitude (∼0°N) but separated in longitudes (∼9°, ∼16°, and ∼25°) and the 47 MHz Equatorial Atmosphere Radar (EAR) in Indonesia, our study delineates the zonal extent of eastward-traveling post-sunset EPB inducing ionospheric GNSS scintillation. Typically, the scintillation occurrences detected by a ground receiver concentrate between 19 and 01 local time (LT), with a peak incidence observed at 21 LT. Furthermore, an experiment combining EAR observations with GNSS receiver data allowed for the determination of the linear change in the speed of eastward-traveling EPB inducing scintillation during this time period. Interestingly, the longitudinal range of eastward-traveling EPBs increased with higher solar flux (F10.7) levels. Our findings suggest that EPB can induce scintillation up to a longitudinal distance of approximately 25° from the onset location at sunset to the eastern midnight region, particularly in F10.7 ranging from 90 to 150 solar flux units. Moreover, experiments using longitudinally separated GNSS receivers indicated that scintillations during 19–01 LT originate from post-sunset EPBs within a longitudinal range extending 25° to the west. In conclusion, our research provides valuable insight into the ability of eastward-traveling EPB to induce GNSS scintillation within a longitudinal range of 25°, thereby enhancing EPB and scintillation monitoring and prediction in regional space weather services.

Numerical stabilization methods for level-set-based ice front migration

Geoscientific Model Development - Thu, 08/22/2024 - 18:47
Numerical stabilization methods for level-set-based ice front migration
Gong Cheng, Mathieu Morlighem, and G. Hilmar Gudmundsson
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6227–6247, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6227-2024, 2024
We conducted a comprehensive analysis of the stabilization and reinitialization techniques currently employed in ISSM and Úa for solving level-set equations, specifically those related to the dynamic representation of moving ice fronts within numerical ice sheet models. Our results demonstrate that the streamline upwind Petrov–Galerkin (SUPG) method outperforms the other approaches. We found that excessively frequent reinitialization can lead to exceptionally high errors in simulations.

RCEMIP-II: mock-Walker simulations as phase II of the radiative–convective equilibrium model intercomparison project

Geoscientific Model Development - Thu, 08/22/2024 - 18:47
RCEMIP-II: mock-Walker simulations as phase II of the radiative–convective equilibrium model intercomparison project
Allison A. Wing, Levi G. Silvers, and Kevin A. Reed
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6195–6225, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6195-2024, 2024
This paper presents the experimental design for a model intercomparison project to study tropical clouds and climate. It is a follow-up from a prior project that used a simplified framework for tropical climate. The new project adds one new component – a specified pattern of sea surface temperatures as the lower boundary condition. We provide example results from one cloud-resolving model and one global climate model and test the sensitivity to the experimental parameters.

Quantifying the role of ozone-caused damage to vegetation in the Earth system: a new parameterization scheme for photosynthetic and stomatal responses

Geoscientific Model Development - Thu, 08/22/2024 - 18:47
Quantifying the role of ozone-caused damage to vegetation in the Earth system: a new parameterization scheme for photosynthetic and stomatal responses
Fang Li, Zhimin Zhou, Samuel Levis, Stephen Sitch, Felicity Hayes, Zhaozhong Feng, Peter B. Reich, Zhiyi Zhao, and Yanqing Zhou
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6173–6193, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6173-2024, 2024
A new scheme is developed to model the surface ozone damage to vegetation in regional and global process-based models. Based on 4210 data points from ozone experiments, it accurately reproduces statistically significant linear or nonlinear photosynthetic and stomatal responses to ozone in observations for all vegetation types. It also enables models to implicitly capture the variability in plant ozone tolerance and the shift among species within a vegetation type.

PIBM 1.0: An individual-based model for simulating phytoplankton acclimation, diversity, and evolution in the ocean

Geoscientific Model Development - Thu, 08/22/2024 - 18:47
PIBM 1.0: An individual-based model for simulating phytoplankton acclimation, diversity, and evolution in the ocean
Iria Sala and Bingzhang Chen
Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., https//doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2024-130,2024
Preprint under review for GMD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Phytoplankton, tiny photosynthetic organisms, produce nearly half of Earth's oxygen. To analyze their physiology, diversity, and evolution in the ocean, we developed a model that treats phytoplankton as individual particles. Moreover, our model considers phytoplankton size, temperature, and light traits, and allows for mutations in phytoplankton cells. Thus, our model provides a valuable tool for advancing the study of phytoplankton physiology, diversity, and evolution.

Presentation, Calibration and Testing of the DCESS II Earth System Model of Intermediate Complexity (version 1.0)

Geoscientific Model Development - Thu, 08/22/2024 - 18:47
Presentation, Calibration and Testing of the DCESS II Earth System Model of Intermediate Complexity (version 1.0)
Esteban Fernández and Gary Shaffer
Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., https//doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2024-122,2024
Preprint under review for GMD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Here we describe, calibrate and test DCESS II, a new, broad, adaptable and fast Earth System Model. DCESS II has been designed for global simulations over time scales of years to millions of years using limited computer resources like a personal computer. With its flexibility and comprehensive treatment of the global carbon cycle, DCESS II should prove to be a useful, computational-friendly tool for simulations of past climates as well as for future Earth System projections.

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