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Large Scale Simulation of 3D Fault Rupture Subjected to Far‐Field Loading With PDS‐FEM: Application to the 2018 Palu Earthquake

JGR–Solid Earth - Tue, 08/27/2024 - 11:44
Abstract

Simulating dynamic rupture of fault systems can be computationally demanding, as it requires reproducing complex fault geometry and accurately capturing waves propagating away from the rupture front. It is in particular challenging to predict an initial stress state consistent with fault geometries, heterogeneous distribution of surrounding materials, and far-field tectonic loading. While standard techniques such as contact analysis and Lagrangian multipliers can be used to model the fault, it can lead to significant computational overhead in FEM. We extended Particle Discretization Scheme-FEM, which provides numerically efficient crack treatment, without requiring contact analysis, to simulate dynamic fault rupture as a frictional crack propagating along a pre-existing shear crack surface. Initial stress, which is consistent with initial frictional forces, material distribution and fault geometry, is derived using Coulomb friction and far-field boundary conditions. The study first demonstrates the ability of the numerical method to reproduce a 2D ideal supershear scenario, and the underlying Burridge-Andrew rupture mechanism. The methodology is then applied to the large scale simulation of the 2018 Palu earthquake on the Palu-Koro fault. The simulation successfully reproduces the early and sustained supershear rupture which was observed for the Palu earthquake. Also, it indicates that the presence of an off-fault damage zone can contribute to the low rupture velocity measured during the earthquake. Unlike sub-Rayleigh earthquakes, the shockwave propagation was observed to lead to significant amplitudes of the ground motion even far from the fault.

Issue Information

JGR–Solid Earth - Tue, 08/27/2024 - 11:39

No abstract is available for this article.

Comparison of Inductive and Capacitive End Couplings in the Design of a Combline Microwave Cavity Filter for the E1 Galileo Band

Advances in Radio Science - Tue, 08/27/2024 - 08:50
Comparison of Inductive and Capacitive End Couplings in the Design of a Combline Microwave Cavity Filter for the E1 Galileo Band
Enrico Boni, Giacomo Giannetti, Stefano Maddio, and Giuseppe Pelosi
Adv. Radio Sci., 22, 1–8, https://doi.org/10.5194/ars-22-1-2024, 2024
The manuscript is about the design and experimental characterization of microwave filters to be used for satellite communication, especially for the E1 Galileo band. To feed the filter with microwave power, inductive and capacitive coupling schemes are adopted and compared. The measurement results show a good agreement with simulated ones. The outcome of this research is to compare the inductive and capacitive coupling schemes in the design of combline cavity filters.

Increasing Sensitivity of Tree Radial Growth to Precipitation

GRL - Tue, 08/27/2024 - 07:18
Abstract

The sensitivity of tree growth to precipitation regulates their responses to drought, and is a crucial metric for predicting ecosystem dynamics and vulnerability. Sensitivity may be changing with continuing climate change, yet a comprehensive assessment of its change is still lacking. We utilized tree ring measurements from 3,044 sites, climate data and CO2 concentrations obtained from monitoring stations, combined with dynamic global vegetation models to investigate spatiotemporal changes in the sensitivity over the past century. We observed an increasing sensitivity since around 1950. This increased sensitivity was particularly pronounced in arid biomes due to the combined effect of increased precipitation and elevated CO2. While elevated CO2 reduced the sensitivity of the humid regions, the intensified water pressure caused by decreased precipitation still increased the sensitivity. Our findings suggest an escalating vulnerability of tree growth to precipitation change, which may increase the risk of tree mortality under future intensified drought.

Seamless Hourly Estimation of Negative Air Ion Concentrations: Integrating Hybrid Stacked Machine Learning Models With Kriging Spatiotemporal Augmentation

GRL - Tue, 08/27/2024 - 05:24
Abstract

Negative Air Ions (NAIs), essential for environmental and human health, facilitate air purification and offer antimicrobial benefits. Our study achieves hourly estimations of NAIs using a machine learning framework, developed from a multi-layer selection pipeline of over 200 variables, to identify the key determinants critical for adapting to high-resolution NAIs dynamics. Addressing site sparsity and NAIs volatility, we introduced a hybrid stacking incorporating pseudo sites generated from Kriging Spatiotemporal Augmentation (KSTA) to mitigate spatial overfitting. Our approach, validated in Zhejiang, China, demonstrates exceptional accuracy, achieving R 2 values of 0.90 (sample-based), 0.85 (temporal-based), and 0.79 (site-based). This work not only sheds light on NAIs behavior in relation to diurnal shifts, land use, and environmental events, but also integrates a health grading system, enhancing public health strategies through precise air quality assessment.

Duct Effect of Magnetic Dips on the Propagation of EMIC Waves in Jupiter's Magnetosphere With Observations of Juno

GRL - Tue, 08/27/2024 - 04:54
Abstract

In recent years, it has been found that magnetic dip caused by diamagnetic motion of injected plasma can provide an appropriate environment for excitation of electromagnetic ion cyclotron (EMIC) waves. These findings have been widely reported in the Earth's magnetic environment. However, it has rarely been reported in Jupiter's magnetic environment. This paper reports the characteristics of EMIC waves observed by Juno in the magnetic dip of Jupiter. Multiple-band EMIC waves are observed in frequency range from 10−3 Hz to several Hz. The theoretical analysis shows that in this event both He+ band and O+ band EMIC waves can be constrained in the magnetic dip, which is consistent with the wave emissions observed inside the magnetic dip. Our result provides the first evidence that EMIC wave can be ducted inside a magnetic dip in Jupiter's magnetosphere.

Supersonic Waves Generated by the 18 November 2023 Starship Flight and Explosions: Unexpected Northward Propagation and a Man‐Made Non‐chemical Depletion

GRL - Tue, 08/27/2024 - 04:44
Abstract

On 18 November 2023, SpaceX launched the Starship, the tallest and the most powerful rocket ever built. The Super Heavy engine separated from the Starship spacecraft and exploded at 90 km of altitude, while the main core Starship continued to rise up to 149 km and exploded after ∼8 min of flight. In this work, we used data from ground-based GNSS receivers and we analyzed total electron content (TEC) response to the Starship flight and the two explosions. For the first time, we observed large-distance northward propagation of intensive 2,000 km V-shaped ionospheric disturbances from the rocket trajectory. The observed perturbations, most likely, represent shock waves propagating with the cone angle of ∼14° on the North and ∼7° on the South against the flight track that corresponds to the Mach angle of the shock waves in the lower atmosphere. The Starship explosion also produced a non-chemical depletion in the ionospheric TEC.

Traveling Light: Arctic Coastal Erosion Releases Mostly Matrix Free, Unprotected Organic Carbon

GRL - Tue, 08/27/2024 - 04:40
Abstract

The Arctic rapidly warms and sea ice retreats, a large fraction of organic carbon (OC), currently stored in coastal permafrost will be released into the marine system. Once reintroduced into the active carbon cycle, this material will either be decomposed or buried on the shelf depending on its hydrodynamic and chemical properties. Currently, carbon estimates are based on bulk measurements, which does not take the hydrodynamic pathway of different fractions into account. Therefore, eight coastal permafrost locations have been sampled along the Canadian Beaufort Sea Coast, hydrodynamically fractionated and analyzed for their C, N, 13C and 14C content. We found that the matrix-free fraction (low density <1.8 g/cm3, and high-density >1.8 g/cm3; <38 μm) account for 77%–98% of the OC. By using a coastal classification combined with field data, our results showed that short coastal segments can become key players in delivering matrix-free, easily degradable OC to the marine system.

High-altitude balloon-launched uncrewed aircraft system measurements of atmospheric turbulence and qualitative comparison with infrasound microphone response

Atmos. Meas. techniques - Mon, 08/26/2024 - 18:27
High-altitude balloon-launched uncrewed aircraft system measurements of atmospheric turbulence and qualitative comparison with infrasound microphone response
Anisa N. Haghighi, Ryan D. Nolin, Gary D. Pundsack, Nick Craine, Aliaksei Stratsilatau, and Sean C. C. Bailey
Atmos. Meas. Tech., 17, 4863–4889, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-17-4863-2024, 2024
This work summarizes measurements conducted in June 2021 using a small, uncrewed, stratospheric glider that was launched from a weather balloon to altitudes up to 30 km above sea level. The aircraft conducted measurements of wind speed and direction, pressure, temperature, and humidity during its descent as well as measurements of infrasonic sound levels. These data were used to evaluate the atmospheric turbulence observed during the descent phase of the flight.

Estimating hourly ground-level aerosols using GEMS aerosol optical depth: A machine learning approach

Atmos. Meas. techniques - Mon, 08/26/2024 - 18:27
Estimating hourly ground-level aerosols using GEMS aerosol optical depth: A machine learning approach
Sungmin O, Ji Won Yoon, and Seon Ki Park
Atmos. Meas. Tech. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-2024-142,2024
Preprint under review for AMT (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Air pollutants such as PM10 or PM2.5 can cause adverse public health and environment effects, therefore their regular monitoring is crucial to keep the pollutant concentrations under control. Our study demonstrates the potential of high-resolution aerosol optical depth (AOD) data from the Geostationary Environment Monitoring Spectrometer (GEMS) satellite to estimate ground-level PM concentrations using a machine learning model. 

Seasonal Variations and Controls on Triple Oxygen and Hydrogen Isotopes in Precipitation—A Case Study From Monitoring in Southwest China

JGR–Atmospheres - Mon, 08/26/2024 - 18:24
Abstract

Precipitation δ18O has offered valuable insights into the evolution of the Asian monsoon. Recent researches focusing on precipitation Δ′17O has enhanced our understanding by offering new perspectives beyond those of δ18O, revealing insights into vapor sources and continental recycling. Nevertheless, there remains a lack of interannual triple oxygen isotope data, particularly in the Asian monsoon region. In this study, we analyzed the triple oxygen isotopes and hydrogen isotopes in monthly precipitation samples collected from Chongqing in Southwest China between 2019 and 2022 A.D. Seasonal variations in δD, δ18O, δ17O, and d-excess values were observed, with lower values during the rainy season and higher values during the dry season, highlighting the impact of changes in moisture sources and local meteorological conditions on seasonal shifts in δD, δ18O, and δ17O. While, mean Δ′17O values were higher in rainy season and lower in dry season. Notably, during rainy season, there is a negative correlation between monthly Δ′17O values and the RH of the vapor source area, as well as a positive correlation with d-excess. Recalculated Δ′17O values based on RH of oceanic moisture source, are higher than the measured values for this period, indicating the contribution of terrigenous moisture to precipitation in SW China. Precipitation Δ′17O values provide a more precise reflection of changes in moisture source, continental recycling, and evapotranspiration processes that drive water cycling compared Integrating modeling works in future will facilitate the use of precipitation Δ′17O values to quantify the impact of different moisture source on precipitation.

Issue Information

JGR–Atmospheres - Mon, 08/26/2024 - 17:04

No abstract is available for this article.

The grid-level fixed asset model developed for China from 1951 to 2020

Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences - Mon, 08/26/2024 - 15:13
The grid-level fixed asset model developed for China from 1951 to 2020
Danhua Xin, James Edward Daniell, Zhenguo Zhang, Friedemann Wenzel, Shaun Shuxun Wang, and Xiaofei Chen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https//doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-138,2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
A high-resolution fixed asset model can help improve the accuracy of earthquake loss assessment. We develop a grid-level fixed asset model for China from 1951 to 2020. We first compile the provincial-level fixed asset from yearbook-related statistics. Then, this dataset is disaggregated into 1 km*1 km grids by using multiple remote sensing data as the weight indicator. We find that fixed asset value increased rapidly after the 1980s and reached 589.31 trillion Chinese yuan in 2020.

Modeling Soft X‐Ray Emissions at the Dayside Magnetopause

JGR:Space physics - Sun, 08/25/2024 - 20:44
Abstract

In this study, we simulate the Solar Wind Charge Exchange (SWCX) soft X-ray emissions at dayside magnetosheath and cusps by using magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) and LAtmos TEst Particle (LaTeP) models. MHD models are unable to resolve the particle kinetic effects, such as the different behaviors of ions with different q/m, or distinguish the magnetospheric plasma from the solar wind plasma. We investigate these effects with the LaTeP model. As the LaTeP model does not self-compute magnetic and electric field, the magnetic and electric field data obtained from Open Geospace General Circulation Model (OpenGGCM) and Lagrangian version of the piecewise parabolic method (PPMLR) MHD model are used as the input to LaTeP model. The soft X-ray emissivity maps simulated from pure OpenGGCM and PPMLR MHD approaches and from LaTeP-OpenGGCM and LaTeP-PPMLR approaches are presented and compared. The results indicate that the LaTeP model can well resolve the kinetic effects and can be used to investigate the individual spectral characteristics. Therefore, the LaTeP model is a complementary approach for simulating the X-ray emissions near the dayside magnetopause. We also calculate the ratio of integrated OVII/OVIII line intensities, produced by charge exchange of O7+ ions and O8+ ions, respectively. We find a relatively higher ratio at the bow shock compared to the surrounding areas, suggesting that this ratio can be an effective parameter to identify the bow shock location.

Thermoelastic Anomaly of Iron Carbonitride Across the Spin Transition and Implications for Planetary Cores

GRL - Sun, 08/25/2024 - 17:39
Abstract

Carbon and nitrogen are considered as candidate light elements present in planetary cores. However, there is limited understanding regarding the structure and physical properties of Fe-C-N alloys under extreme conditions. Here diamond anvil cell experiments were conducted, revealing the stability of hexagonal-structured Fe7(N0.75C0.25)3 up to 120 GPa and 2100 K, without undergoing any structural transformation or dissociation. Notably, the thermal expansion coefficient and Grüneisen parameter of the alloy exhibit a collapse at 55–70 GPa. First-principles calculations suggest that such anomaly is associated with the spin transition of iron within Fe7(N0.75C0.25)3. Our modeling indicates that the presence of ∼1.0 wt% carbon and nitrogen in liquid iron contributes to 9–12% of the density deficit of the Earth's outer core. The thermoelastic anomaly of the Fe-C-N alloy across the spin transition is likely to affect the density and seismic velocity profiles of (C,N)-rich planetary cores, thereby influencing the dynamics of such cores.

Effects of Resistivity on the Reconstructed Plasma Fields Revealed by a Three‐Dimensional Empirical Reconstruction Model

JGR:Space physics - Sun, 08/25/2024 - 05:35
Abstract

We extend the previous three-dimensional (3D) empirical reconstruction (ER) model for a set of ideal magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) constraints into a resistive MHD 3D ER model that includes additional resistive MHD constraints and additional measurements from NASA's Magnetospheric Multiscale (MMS) mission. The same form of a stochastic optimization algorithm is used as in the previous ideal MHD 3D ER model to directly minimize the loss function that includes a few more highly nonlinear terms characterizing the model-measurement differences and the model departures from physical constraints. The resistive MHD 3D ER model is applied to three regions of MMS measurements that correspond to direct sampling of an electron diffusion region (EDR), a region adjacent to the EDR, and one far away from the EDR. The reconstructed plasma and electromagnetic fields are of high quality in all three regions as measured by model-measurement difference indices and physics-based quality indicators. The reconstructed fields in the EDR provide us with a good view of the spatial configuration of the reconnection site. We specifically examine the effect of resistivity on energy exchange in the vicinity of the EDR. It was discovered that in the EDR, the energy exchange shows an exclusive and systematic one-channel process between the plasma thermal energy and electromagnetic energy with the conversion rate highly correlated with the strength of the turbulent electromagnetic fields. In the other two regions away from the EDR, the energy exchange between the electromagnetic energy and the plasma thermal and kinetic energies shows rapidly-varying and random characteristics.

Near‐Surface Wind Convergence Along the Sea Ice Edge in the Greenland Sea: Its Mean State and Shaping Process

JGR–Atmospheres - Sat, 08/24/2024 - 19:05
Abstract

At mid-latitudes, a narrow band of near-surface wind convergence (NSWC) overlies the western boundary currents in long-term climatology as a response to steep sea surface temperature gradients. The underlying dynamics shaping mean convergence in the mid-latitude region have been investigated in detail. In polar regions, surface temperature gradients are intense along the sea ice edges. However, literature concerning NSWC near sea ice edges is limited. This study investigates time-mean NSWC along sea ice edges and its shaping processes, focusing on the Greenland Sea, based on atmospheric reanalysis. In cold-season climatology, positive NSWC overlies the sea ice edge, resulting in a localized upward motion reaching the free atmosphere. The mean NSWC was insensitive to sea ice thickness and surface roughness in the regional model. This study suggests that, in addition to local atmospheric boundary processes, extreme NSWC events play a vital role in shaping the mean distribution. Although these features are similar to those along the Gulf Stream, atmospheric fronts appear to play a relatively minor role in the Greenland Sea. Instead, the frequent cyclone generation near the sea ice edge and the anticyclonic circulation over Greenland in conjunction with the transient synoptic circulation seem essential. In the warm season, positive NSWC was virtually missing in the Greenland Sea, unlike in the Gulf Stream region, reflecting the shallow virtual temperature response to the surface thermal forcing. This study contributes to understanding the mechanisms by which sea ice variability affects large-scale atmospheric circulation in remote regions.

Underestimation of Methane Emissions From the Sudd Wetland: Unraveling the Impact of Wetland Extent Dynamics

GRL - Sat, 08/24/2024 - 17:08
Abstract

Tropical wetlands account for ∼20% of the global total methane (CH4) emissions, but uncertainties remain in emission estimation due to the inaccurate representation of wetland spatiotemporal variations. Based on the latest satellite observational inundation data, we constructed a model to map the long-term time series of wetland extents over the Sudd floodplain, which has recently been identified as an important source of wetland CH4 emissions. Our analysis reveals an annual, total wetland extent of 5.73 ± 2.05 × 104 km2 for 2003–2022, with a notable accelerated expansion rate of 1.19 × 104 km2 yr−1 during 2019–2022 driven by anomalous upstream precipitation patterns. We found that current wetland products generally report smaller wetland areas, resulting in a systematic underestimation of wetland CH4 emissions from the Sudd wetland. Our study highlights the pivotal role of comprehensively characterizing the seasonal and interannual dynamics of wetland extent to accurately estimate CH4 emissions from tropical floodplains.

Tectonic Landform and Lithologic Age Impact Uncertainties in Fault Displacement Hazard Models

GRL - Sat, 08/24/2024 - 17:03
Abstract

Tectonic landforms and surficial lithologic age are essential data for producing quality late Quaternary fault maps and predicting coseismic fault rupture location before an earthquake. However, we lack a clear understanding of the relationship between tectonic landforms and shallow earthquake processes and how lithologic age relates to landform preservation. We assess how fault location error (rupture-to-fault separation distance) and coseismic displacement residual (difference between observed and predicted coseismic displacement) vary with tectonic landform and lithologic age for four historical earthquakes. Certain tectonic landforms identified before these earthquakes correlate with lower fault location errors and median displacements below model predictions. Faults cutting Holocene units exhibit the largest location errors, reflecting surface processes that erode or bury fault evidence. This study shows that tectonic landforms and lithologic age have a significant impact on fault location uncertainty and coseismic displacement, which should be considered in fault mapping and fault displacement assessment.

Distribution and Cycling of Nickel and Nickel Isotopes in the Pacific Ocean

GRL - Sat, 08/24/2024 - 16:59
Abstract

Nickel stable isotopes (δ60Ni) provide insight to Ni biogeochemistry in the modern and past oceans. Here, we present the first Pacific Ocean high-resolution dissolved Ni concentration and δ60Ni data, from the US GEOTRACES GP15 cruise. As in other ocean basins, increases in δ60Ni toward the surface ocean are observed across the entire transect, reflecting preferential biological uptake of light Ni isotopes, however the observed magnitude of fractionation is larger in the tropical Pacific than the North Pacific Subtropical Gyre. Such surface ocean fractionation by phytoplankton should accumulate isotopically lighter Ni in the deep Pacific, yet we find that North Pacific deep ocean δ60Ni is similar to previously reported values from the deep Atlantic. Finally, we find that seawater dissolved δ60Ni in regions with hydrothermal input can be either higher or lower than background deep ocean δ60Ni, depending on vent geochemistry and proximity.

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