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Canadian forest fires are losing their climate cooling power, says study

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 22:20
Diminishing periods of snow cover in northern forests, shortened by climate change, are poised to disrupt a delicate balance in some of the planet's most climate-sensitive regions—according to new research from McMaster University, VU Amsterdam, and the Woodwell Climate Research Center.

Atmospheric rivers over Japan intensify 8% in 42 years, raising flood risk

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 21:20
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are long, narrow bands of intense water vapor transport that move large amounts of moisture from low to midlatitudes, resembling giant rivers in the sky. They are gaining widespread attention because of their potential to trigger flooding across the Japanese archipelago. Researchers at the University of Tsukuba have discovered that, influenced by global warming and the strengthening of the North Pacific Subtropical High, the intensity of water vapor transport in ARs has increased by about 8% over the past 42 years, from 1981 to 2022. The findings are published in the journal Climate Dynamics.

Antarctic 'sky rivers' deliver up to 90% of snowfall, 3D algorithm suggests

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 21:20
Atmospheric rivers act like "rivers in the sky," shuttling intense bands of warm, heavy moisture from lower to higher latitudes. When an atmospheric river encounters cold air or mountainous terrain, the moisture it carries condenses and falls as heavy rain or snow. In Antarctica, the arrival of an atmospheric river can help build surface ice mass. Much of Antarctica is very dry; an atmospheric river can bring the moisture needed to potentially offset some ice loss.

Amazon rainforest emits new stress-defense molecules during El Niño drought

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 20:30
The Amazon rainforest responded to the most severe drought ever recorded in the basin with an unexpected defense mechanism. Researchers at the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry in Mainz, Germany, found that during and after the intense 2023–2024 El Niño cycle, the most intense drought ever recorded in the region, vegetation significantly changed its chemical emissions to cope with environmental stress. The study was published in Communications Earth & Environment.

Robust optimal control for reconfiguration of Coulomb spacecraft formations along invariant manifolds

Publication date: 1 June 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research, Volume 77, Issue 11

Author(s): Peerawat Artitthang, Chuang Yao, Mingpei Lin

Collaborative planning methodology for observation and data transmission missions of the lunar far side and polar landing regions

Publication date: 1 June 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research, Volume 77, Issue 11

Author(s): Xiaohan Mei, Wenkai Zheng, Yiqin Cong, Shengxin Sun, Cheng Wei

Lagrangian hierarchical mixed-integer programming for ultra-large-scale satellite scheduling under dynamic task delivery

Publication date: 1 June 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research, Volume 77, Issue 11

Author(s): Jiahao Qin, Hongxia Wang, Xudong Gao, Qian Wang, Xi Chen

Consensus control for relative configuration maintenance of large-scale LEO constellations

Publication date: 1 June 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research, Volume 77, Issue 11

Author(s): Xiaoyu Zuo, Ke Li, Ziyuan Yang, Lin Chen

Extreme weather is making Antarctic research harder, but new technology is providing some answers

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 18:40
When you think of Antarctica, you might imagine a stark, otherworldly continent of endless, white ice, with the only sound being the wind punctuated by the crack of a glacier calving in the distance.

Plate tectonics shaped the Cradle of Civilization by merging two ancient rivers, study suggests

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 18:20
The Euphrates River is the longest river in Western Asia and runs through the eastern side of the Fertile Crescent. Flowing over 1,700 miles from Turkey through Syria and Iraq, the river played a crucial role in sustaining the region known as the "Cradle of Civilization." Yet, researchers aren't sure about the river's origins or how tectonic activity might have shaped its evolution. A new study, published in Nature Geoscience, suggests that two ancient rivers, diverted by shifting plate tectonics, merged to form this vital river.

Why the Arctic's rivers are rusting now and where toxic orange water could spread next

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 18:20
Scientists have identified the two biggest reasons that once-pristine rivers across the Arctic are growing cloudy with toxic orange iron particles that smother insects and suffocate fish.

Distant climate patterns determine how cold Japan's winters become

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 16:40
Researchers have uncovered a key mechanism behind Japan's extreme winter weather, revealing how distant climate patterns interact to intensify cold waves and heavy snowfall.

Atacama Desert's extreme aridity initiated 20 million years earlier than previously thought, study finds

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 16:00
A collaborative study with the University of Cologne, recently published in Nature Communications, provides compelling evidence that the extreme aridity in the hyperarid core of the Atacama Desert began over 40 million years ago—significantly earlier than previously assumed. The findings require a reconsideration of how deserts form and offer a new perspective on the long-term evolution of Earth's most extreme environments. Researchers from SUERC Centre for the Isotope Sciences are co-authors of a study which casts new light on the history of Earth's driest region, the Atacama Desert in Chile.

Active fault mapped for first time in New Zealand's largest city

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 14:00
A fault line running alongside the Hunua Ranges in South Auckland is now identified as active and has the potential to cause a major earthquake with serious consequences, University of Auckland researchers say.

A Unique African Volcano Could Solve a Mystery on Mercury

EOS - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 12:40

The volcano Ol Doinyo Lengai in Tanzania is unique on Earth: Its lava is rich in carbon compounds that melt at significantly lower temperatures than typical silicon-rich lavas from other terrestrial volcanoes.

It is possible, however, that carbon volcanoes could exist elsewhere, including on exoplanets, or—as suggested in a recently published article in Icarus—perhaps even on planet Mercury.

Despite being known from antiquity, Mercury is very hard to study because of its closeness to the Sun. As a result, the best data so far were gathered within the past 20 years by NASA’s MESSENGER (Mercury Surface, Space Environment, Geochemistry, and Ranging) probe. In particular, scientists identified mysterious pits they dubbed “hollows” scattered across Mercury’s surface. The hollows’ relatively bright appearance indicates they were formed in recent geological times, and could even be still forming today. The origins and geochemical makeup of these hollows are unknown.

“Mercury looks like the Moon a little bit, so we don’t expect large volcanoes,” said Maximilian Paul Reitze, a planetologist at Universität Münster’s Institut für Planetologie who is first author of the Icarus study. Without volcanic conditions like those on Earth or even on Jupiter’s moon Io, researchers expect Mercury to be largely geologically dormant. In other words, to explain hollows, “we need some volcanism under the conditions we expect on Mercury,” Reitze said.

Hence the interest in Ol Doinyo Lengai, known as the Mountain of God to the Maasai and Sonjo peoples. This volcano produces lava made up of carbonatites, igneous rocks composed of more than half carbon (and which are known to host critical minerals). These lavas flow at temperatures roughly 100°C lower than Mercury’s blazingly hot daytime temperature of 424°C. If the planet has a carbon-rich subsurface, as Reitze and his collaborators proposed, then the hollows could be Mercury’s version of Ol Doinyo Lengai.

This theory, however, has its skeptics.

“We know that there is carbon in [Mercury’s] crust, but the amount is very low,” said Paul Byrne, a planetary scientist at Washington University in St. Louis, who was not involved in the Icarus study. He also pointed out that the surface regions where carbon is most concentrated don’t correspond to higher concentrations of hollows. “For this to be some kind of carbon-based lava, it would imply a lot more carbon than we might think, given how widespread the hollows are.”

The Making of a Weird Planet

Mercury’s proximity to the Sun means that NASA’s Mariner 10 spacecraft provided humanity’s first-ever views when it flew by in 1974 and 1975. Three decades later, the MESSENGER mission was the first probe to orbit Mercury, mapping the planet’s full surface and turning up unexpected features like the hollows. The BepiColombo mission, a joint project of the European Space Agency and the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, is only the third mission ever to visit the planet, so when its two spacecraft settle into orbit in November 2026, it will almost inevitably reveal something unexpected, because it’s a weird planet.

“Basically, Mercury is a molten ball bearing wrapped in a thin blanket of rock.”

Unlike Earth, Mars, or the Moon, Mercury has a freakishly large core and a thin mantle.

“Basically, Mercury is a molten ball bearing wrapped in a thin blanket of rock,” Byrne said. “One explanation is that early in the planet’s life, either one large or several smaller impacts stripped the outer portion away.”

The question then becomes what got vaporized, and what was left behind, particularly when trying to understand hollows. Many planetary researchers proposed that sulfides in the mantle could drive volcanism, but Reitze had doubts.

“The problem with sulfides I see is that they’re stable up to 1,000°C or so, which cannot explain the explosive volcanism that’s needed to form those hollows,” he said.

Instead, he and his coauthors contacted a colleague working on Ol Doinyo Lengai, who obtained a sample of the lava for laboratory study while it was still molten. Because carbonatite lava reacts chemically with Earth’s air very quickly, the researchers needed to isolate it to understand how the unaltered materials might behave under conditions on Mercury, particularly infrared spectra that could be confirmed by the BepiColombo mission.

Ol Doinyo Lengai, a volcano in Tanzania, is unique because of its carbonatite lava. Credit: Ben Shoshana/Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

In the hypothesis proposed by Reitze and colleagues, impacts from meteorites heat the carbon-rich magma below Mercury’s surface, melting it and driving eruptions. The hollows, which are found frequently on the slopes of Mercury’s craters or their central peaks, are the remains of those eruptions. Over time, further meteorite bombardments and intense solar radiation destroyed older hollows, which is why the ones in MESSENGER data were all formed within the past 270 million years—a short time ago, geologically speaking.

“Anytime people have been confident about anything in planetary science, [planets have] shown you wrong.”

“The carbonatite angle is an interesting one, and I certainly wouldn’t rule it out,” Byrne said. “Anytime people have been confident about anything in planetary science, [planets have] shown you wrong. I’m certainly open to it, but is it the only explanation for all of the hollows? I am skeptical of that.”

Byrne and Reitze both dream of a future Mercury lander, a very challenging and expensive proposition nobody expects will happen soon. In the meantime, they agreed that BepiColombo data will help settle the question of whether the most Mercury-like place on Earth is a volcano in Tanzania.

—Matthew R. Francis (@BowlerHatScience.org), Science Writer

Citation: Francis, M. R. (2026), A unique African volcano could solve a mystery on Mercury, Eos, 107, https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EO260176. Published on 2 June 2026. Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Rivers in the Antarctic Sky, Captured in 3D

EOS - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 12:38
Source: Geophysical Research Letters

Atmospheric rivers act like “rivers in the sky,” shuttling intense bands of warm, heavy moisture from lower to higher latitudes. When an atmospheric river encounters cold air or mountainous terrain, the moisture it carries condenses and falls as heavy rain or snow. In Antarctica, the arrival of an atmospheric river can help build surface ice mass. Much of Antarctica is very dry; an atmospheric river can bring the moisture needed to potentially offset some ice loss.

Antarctica’s varied topography and dry conditions have made detecting atmospheric rivers over the continent challenging. Previous efforts to do so have suggested that atmospheric rivers contribute up to 30% of Antarctica’s total annual precipitation, but these methods may not be capturing the full picture of atmospheric river activity.

Takahashi et al. developed a new 3D atmospheric river detection algorithm to better capture how atmospheric rivers affect Antarctica’s complex terrain. Previous methods have mostly been 2D, meaning they do not accurately account for the vertical variations within an atmospheric river.

To evaluate the algorithm, the researchers applied it to two datasets: (1) daily snowfall totals measured during the 44th Japanese Antarctic Research Expedition (JARE44) at Dome Fuji from February 2003 to January 2004 and (2) the ERA5 (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts atmospheric reanalysis) dataset of daily weather patterns and conditions in Antarctica from 1979 to 2023.

The results of the study’s new algorithm showed 16 significant snowfall events during the JARE44 expedition, all of which were not detected by the older 2D method. The new 3D method identified 17 days of atmospheric river activity, which corresponded with 10 heavy snowfall events and accounted for approximately 40% of the total precipitation. Between 1979 and 2023, atmospheric rivers occurred about 10% of the time yet contributed 30%–60% of total precipitation in the Antarctic interior.

The 3D method in the new study suggests that atmospheric river events contribute a greater proportion of total snowfall than previously thought—between 30% and 90%, depending on the Antarctic region. The researchers also suggest that long-term changes in Antarctic snowfall are closely linked with the changes in atmospheric river activity. This connection is especially apparent in East Antarctica, where the link between snowfall increases and atmospheric rivers had not yet been clearly identified in previous studies. (Geophysical Research Letters, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL120986, 2026)

—Rebecca Owen (@beccapox.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: Owen, R. (2026), Rivers in the Antarctic sky, captured in 3D, Eos, 107, https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EO260179. Published on 2 June 2026. Text © 2026. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Pre-Existing Structure and Stress Shape Geothermal-Induced Seismicity

EOS - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 12:00
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth

Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) can expand low-carbon energy production, but fluid injection may trigger earthquakes whose locations and mechanisms are difficult to predict. Feng et al. [2026] investigate induced seismicity at China’s first EGS site in the Gonghe Basin using a comprehensive observational dataset. Machine learning processing of data from 20 surface seismic stations produced a high-resolution earthquake catalog with well-constrained locations and focal mechanisms. Stress inversion and modeling, constrained by borehole stress measurements, reveal mechanically weak faults with low friction coefficients, indicating that low-to-moderate fluid overpressure can trigger seismic slip. Site-scale analysis shows that seismicity reflects shear reactivation of pre-existing natural faults, rather than the creation of new tensile fractures. Further integration with borehole image logs reveals a fine-scale relationship between the main seismogenic zones and stress heterogeneity, expressed as rotations of the principal stress axes that likely reflect localized lithological contrasts and fault-damage zones.

Together, these integrated analyses show that geothermal-induced seismicity is controlled by inherited fault architecture at the site scale and localized stress heterogeneity at the borehole scale. By linking seismic observations to borehole stress and image-log evidence, the study provides a more physically constrained framework for seismic-hazard assessment and stimulation design in enhanced geothermal reservoirs.

Citation: Feng, P., Wang, R., Zhang, H., Zhang, C., Schultz, R., & Yang, L. (2026). Pre-existing structures and stress variations jointly control the induced seismicity in enhanced geothermal system of Gonghe Basin, China. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 131, e2025JB033158. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JB033158  

—Xiaowei Chen, Associate Editor, JGR: Solid Earth

Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Onset of Rayleigh-Bénard convection at fuel-ablator interfaces in inertial confinement fusion simulations

Physical Review E (Plasma physics) - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 10:00

Author(s): Raymond Lau and Seth Davidovits

We demonstrate the onset of Rayleigh-Bénard convection (RBC) near the fuel-ablator interface of inertial confinement fusion (ICF) implosion simulations for the scenario in which Rayleigh-Taylor or Richtmyer-Meshkov instabilities are suppressed. This convective heating within the cold fuel can degrad…


[Phys. Rev. E 113, 065201] Published Tue Jun 02, 2026

Deep carbon cycling in subduction zones: 2. Moderate thermal parameter favors carbonate dissolution

Geophysical Journal International - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 00:00
SummaryCarbonate dissolution represents a key mechanism for slab carbon release in oceanic subduction zones. However, the magnitude and controlling factors of carbonate dissolution remain unclear. Here, we develop a coupled thermo-petrological modeling method that integrates slab dehydration, carbonate mineral abundances and their solubilities into subduction-zone thermal models. Systematic model results establish a quantitative relationship between the dissolved CO2 outflux and the subduction-zone thermal parameter (here defined as φ = slab age × subduction velocity/100 in kilometers), which reveals a peak outflux at φ ≈ 13 km, corresponding to warm subduction zones. The dissolved CO2 outflux exhibits a sublinear increase at φ < 13 km and an exponential decline at higher φ. This indicates that warm subduction zones with moderate thermal parameters provide the favorable thermal conditions for carbonate dissolution. The style of aqueous fluid migration strongly influences both the pattern and magnitude of carbonate dissolution. In the pervasive-flow system, fluid infiltration substantially enhances the dissolved CO2 outflux, producing magnitudes approximately three times higher than those in the channelized-flow system. The specific model results for three representative subduction zones—hot Cascadia, warm Nicaragua, and cold Hokkaido—confirm that warm Nicaragua exhibits higher dissolved CO2 outflux, potentially explaining its high arc CO2 degassing outflux.

Future jet stream changes could ease drying across Asian drylands

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 06/01/2026 - 22:20
Mid-latitude Asian drylands, stretching from Central Asia to northern China, are among the largest dryland systems in the world. Home to extensive agricultural activities and fragile ecosystems, the region is highly vulnerable to climate change and water scarcity.

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