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Senate Committee Approves Bill to Expand NOAA Capabilities

Wed, 03/04/2026 - 18:04
body {background-color: #D2D1D5;} Research & Developments is a blog for brief updates that provide context for the flurry of news regarding law and policy changes that impact science and scientists today.

In a short markup meeting this morning, a Senate committee passed a 17-bill package aimed at strengthening NOAA’s weather research programs and forecasting capabilities.

After years of development, the Weather Research and Forecasting Innovation Reauthorization Act of 2026 was officially introduced to the Senate last week by a bipartisan group of Senators from Alaska, Delaware, Hawaii, Kansas, Montana, Nevada, Texas, and Washington.

The bill was passed without markup and will now go to the Senate floor for a full chamber vote.

 
Related

The Weather Act “is aimed at improving the accuracy and actionability of forecasts and weather warnings, as well as modernizing weather systems,” said Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas), Chairman of the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation, in his opening statement. “It addresses hurricanes, tornadoes, wildfires, landslides, droughts, and atmospheric rivers.”

In her opening statement, Sen. Maria Cantwell (D-Wash.) cited recent examples of costly natural disasters in the United States, including atmospheric rivers in western Washington in December 2025, September 2024 floods in North Carolina in the wake of Hurricane Helene, and the January 2025 Los Angeles fires. Other examples include the devastating July 2025 floods in Texas, and the hundreds of tornadoes across the country last year. In 2025 alone, Cantwell noted, weather disasters cost the United States $115 billion.

AGU’s executive director Janice Lachance voiced AGU’s support for the bill in a press release from the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation.

“The Weather Act Reauthorization Act strengthens the nation’s weather enterprise so scientific advances move more quickly from the lab to forecasts, helping emergency managers, farmers, and families make informed decisions when it matters most. AGU strongly supports this bipartisan effort to ensure science continues to protect public safety, support economic stability, and build national resilience,” she said.

If passed, the Weather Act would, among other changes:

  • Update or expand the Tsunami Forecasting and Warning Program, the Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project, and the Tornado Warning Improvement and Extension Program
  • Establish an atmospheric river forecast improvement program and require the U.S. Geological Survey and NOAA to consider the risks of atmospheric rivers in programs to prepare for and respond to landslides
  • Create a project to improve marine fog forecasts
  • Establish an official Fire Weather Services Program within NOAA
  • Improve drought monitoring capability
  • Advance the accuracy of space weather forecasting

At the markup meeting, the committee also approved the NASA Transition Authorization Act of 2025, which includes dozens of priorities, such as directing NASA to develop a permanent Moon base, extending the ISS through 2032, and requiring that two commercial space stations be launched before the ISS is retired.

“Both of these pieces of legislation represent, I believe, critical green lights that use science to basically move the United States forward on technology and innovation so the United States can lead in both space and weather,” said Sen. Maria Cantwell (D-Wash.)

—Emily Gardner (@emfurd.bsky.social), Associate Editor

These updates are made possible through information from the scientific community. Do you have a story about how changes in law or policy are affecting scientists or research? Send us a tip at eos@agu.org. Text © 2026. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Editorial Handover at Tectonics

Wed, 03/04/2026 - 14:16
Editors’ Vox is a blog from AGU’s Publications Department.

After a 6-year term as Editor-in-Chief of Tectonics, Taylor Schildgen has handed over the reins to Giulio Viola. Here, Dr. Schildgen reflects on her tenure as Dr. Viola discusses his priorities for the journal moving forward.

Wrapping up – Reflections from Outgoing Editor-in-Chief Taylor Schildgen

Taylor Schildgen, the outgoing Editor-in-Chief of Tectonics.

It has been a great privilege, and sometimes a challenge, to serve as Editor-in-Chief of Tectonics for the past six years. Only a few months into my term, which started in January 2020, many of us long accustomed to field-based work and teaching scrambled to adjust to travel restrictions, loss of access to classrooms, offices, and laboratories, and all of the personal challenges associated with the isolation and illness of the pandemic. Writing manuscripts quickly proved to be one relatively clear path of productivity for those of us with at least a little data on hand.

The associated onslaught of manuscripts (approximately 30% increase in submissions above pre-pandemic levels) quickly highlighted our need for greater geographic diversity on our editorial board, and an overall greater number of Associate Editors to help shepherd manuscripts through the review process. I’m delighted that in that process, we also managed to bring a higher percentage of women onto the editoral board, as well as people whose specialities helped to increase the range of the board’s expertise. The editorial board’s need to evolve and remain representative of the authorship community, with regards to geographic, methodological, and process expertise, will remain a challenge as the field itself continues to evolve, incorporating new technologies and new priorities.

Parallel to these efforts, and together with the other AGU journals, we have aimed to better clarify the Aims and Scope of each journal, to ensure the best chances that manuscripts submitted will be handled by Editors, Associate Editors, and reviewers that are most capable of providing constructive reviews. Since these adjustments, for manuscripts that go out to review, the median time to first decision has been about 2.5 months in the last three years, and the median time to final decision has ranged from 5 to 6 months.

Since 2022, our need to make our science more open and accessible led to the implementation of FAIR (findable, accessible, interoperable, readable) data guidelines at all AGU journals, together with Plain Language Summaries in most journals. I was pleased by the speed and relative ease with which these guidelines were taken up, and that the members of our community and editorial board were among the first to suggest modifications of the guidelines and helped to craft guidelines for authors.

Political threats to science have always existed, and on some level have always directly impacted our ability to conduct research. But for the AGU journals, never has the political threat to science and scientific publication been more acute than with the inauguration of Donald Trump as United States president in January 2025. Withholding of grant money awarded by the U.S. National Science Foundation, widespread layoffs at nearly all governmental research agencies, and uncertainty in the funding future have hampered both ongoing projects and the future careers of many of our deeply valued, often early-career colleagues. The Editors of Tectonics, led by Djordje Grujic, published an editorial in April 2025, “Tectonics in Turbulence: Defending Science in Unstable Times,” to highlight the impacts of these threats and provide links to effective counter actions.

Moreover, the hypocritically named “Restoring Gold Standard Science” executive order of 25 May 2025 purports a need for political nominees to assess which science can and cannot be published. AGU journal Editors-in-Chief, led by Michael Wysession, published a response in August 2025 titled “The Executive Order ‘Restoring Gold Standard Science’ is Dangerous for America” in AGU Advances to this blatant move toward censorship and attempt to sow distrust in science. Most recently, threats of detention by Immigration and Customs Enforcement, even for those with work permits, have chilled what was once a vibrant and open research environment. These changes not only affect U.S. based researchers, but also international colleagues who had plans for or who still hope to conduct research stays in the U.S. Regardless of the outcome of the next mid-term and subsequent presidential election, vulnerabilities to a global powerhouse in scientific research have been vividly exposed.

Finding ways to articulate the value of our research, both on practical, applied levels and for the pure satisfaction of human curiosity, remains crucial.

How do we move forward? Finding ways to articulate the value of our research, both on practical, applied levels and for the pure satisfaction of human curiosity, remains crucial. Sharing our research widely, with appropriate context so that results are reproducible and can be built upon, is a necessity. Holding ourselves and our colleagues to the highest level of scientific rigor and ethical behavior is a basic tenet of our work. And reaching out for new perspectives from throughout the diverse membership of our community is likely the best route to solving our hardest problems. Publications at Tectonics play but a small role in these aims, but facilitate the kinds of broad international collaborations and networks that accomplish far more lofty goals, and can provide a buffer against the negative impacts of any given political administration.

I wish to express my sincerest gratitude to our authors, who decide to publish their excellent work and innovative ideas in Tectonics; to our reviewers, who generously contribute their time to providing feedback and guidance to authors; to our Associate Editors, who help guide authors through this process and often provide additional constructive comments; to the AGU staff, who help manage communication and trouble-shoot the challenges we all encounter with the GEMS online submission system; to the Editors-in-Chief of the other AGU journals, who create a community of shared experiences and support that help AGU journals as a whole to adapt to changes in the publication landscape and maintain a forward-looking perspective; and to the other Editors of Tectonics (Laurent Jolivet, Margi Rusmore, Djordje Grugic, Federico Rossetti), who have kept a watchful eye over all, including the direction of the journal, the work load of the board, and were a continuous source of helpful advice to both me and the AGU staff regarding what we can do to improve the experience for everyone involved with the journal.

I have full confidence that the new Editor-in-Chief will take up leadership of the journal with the level of energy, enthusiasm, and care that this flagship of our community deserves.

Finally, I thank John Geissmann, the previous Editor-in-Chief of Tectonics who first brought me onto the editorial board in 2014, and since that time has been a true friend and mentor in various aspects of publications and life. It has been a tremendous pleasure and honor to work with you all. I have full confidence that the new Editor-in-Chief of Tectonics, Guilio Viola, will take up leadership of the journal with the level of energy, enthusiasm, and care that this flagship of our community deserves. And I look forward to reading your work in Tectonics.

Looking forward – Aspirations from Incoming Editor-in-Chief Giulio Viola

Giulio Viola, the new Editor-in-Chief of Tectonics.

I am grateful and honored to succeed Prof. Taylor Schildgen as Editor-in-Chief of Tectonics. I have long considered this journal to be at the forefront of publishing high-impact, multidisciplinary research on the evolution, structure, and deformation of the Earth’s lithosphere through time. Since publishing my first paper in Tectonics more than twenty-five years ago, I have always admired its blend of methodological rigor, vision, and editorial quality, all aspects that have grown even stronger under Taylor’s leadership.

After a career devoted to studying deformation from the grain to the plate scale, mentoring young scientists, and serving on editorial boards, I am thankful for the opportunity to help guide the journal through the scientific and publishing challenges ahead. Together with the Editors and the renewed board of Associate Editors, I hope to build further on the journal’s already strong foundation, continue to develop its strategic vision, and explore new topics and directions for our community.

My immediate priority is to improve turnaround times while maintaining the highest scientific standards and adhering to a clear and well-defined strategic plan for the journal’s scope. I want to offer authors a transparent, straightforward, and efficient editorial path, which I believe is one of the most important aspects of scientific publishing. By making our processes more transparent and efficient, we can allow authors to focus on what matters most, i.e., producing excellent science for our readers, and attract even more outstanding contributions.

Looking ahead, I see important opportunities for Tectonics. The societal relevance of our field has never been greater. Research in tectonics informs earthquake hazard assessment, critical metals exploration, waste disposal, energy storage, and the broader energy transition. Inspired by the “Challenges and Opportunities for Research in Tectonics” white paper prepared for the U.S. National Science Foundation, I hope to see even more contributions that address these pressing needs while continuing to support fundamental, curiosity-driven research.

We will continue to broaden the geographical representation of our editorial board and reviewer community, and we will explore mentorship initiatives to support early-career researchers, especially those from underrepresented regions, as well as early-stage Editors.

I am committed to fostering an open dialogue in which anyone interested in the journal and in the future of the journal can contribute.

The publication landscape is evolving rapidly. How do we keep authors, reviewers, and readers engaged? What role should new technologies, including generative AI, play in scholarly publishing? How can we reach a broader, truly global audience beyond the English-speaking community, especially given the societal impact of much of our research? Not all the answers are clear to me, but I am committed to fostering an open dialogue in which anyone interested in the journal and in the future of the journal can contribute.

No Editor-in-Chief works alone. The success of Tectonics depends on the dedication of editors, associate editors, reviewers, authors, readers, and our publisher. I hope to contribute scientific breadth, editorial experience, and a genuine commitment to an engaged community.

Tectonics has been an important part of my professional life for over two decades, and I take on this role with both enthusiasm and a strong sense of responsibility. I hope that new generations of researchers will feel the same appreciation for the journal and will continue to choose it to publish their very best work.

—Taylor Schildgen (tschild@gfz.de, 0000-0002-4236-4609), GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Germany; and Giulio Viola (giulio.viola3@unibo.it, 0000-0002-8383-3328), Università di Bologna, Italy

Citation: Schildgen, T., and G. Viola (2026), Editorial handover at Tectonics, Eos, 107, https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EO265005. Published on 4 March 2026. This article does not represent the opinion of AGU, Eos, or any of its affiliates. It is solely the opinion of the author(s). Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

The “Wet-Gets-Wetter” Response to Climate Change Does Not Always Apply

Wed, 03/04/2026 - 14:00
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: AGU Advances

On very large scales, the precipitation response to warming is sometimes summarized as the “wet gets wetter and the dry gets drier.” This wet-gets-wetter response suggests that regions of tropical rainfall contract and intensify with warming. Ample evidence supports this response for the case of the annual-mean thermally driven Hadley circulation, in which moist air ascends near the equator and descends in the subtropics.

Sokol et al. [2026] test whether this response also applies to east-west overturning circulations, like the Pacific Walker circulation, in which air ascends in the western tropical Pacific and descends in the Eastern Pacific. In their idealized simulations of the Walker circulation, they find the opposite response: rainy regions expand as the surface warms, and the mean rainfall within them decreases, i.e., a “wet-gets-drier” response. They show that this response is driven by a rapid slowdown of the Walker circulation with warming, which is connected to changes in the vertical structure of the circulation. 

Citation: Sokol, A. B., Merlis, T. M., & Fueglistaler, S. (2026). No “wet gets wetter” in kilometer-scale mock-Walker circulations. AGU Advances, 7, e2025AV002040. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025AV002040

—Don Wuebbles, Editor, AGU Advances

Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

When the Snow Melts, Microbes Bloom

Wed, 03/04/2026 - 13:10

In temperate climates, the world slows down during the winter. Plants die or go dormant, animals hibernate, and snow blankets the ground. But soil below the snow is hardly frozen; it bustles with microbial life. All winter, these microscopic organisms feed on decomposing organic matter and release nutrients that will fuel plant growth in the spring.

Snowmelt is also a key component of nitrogen cycling. When snow melts each spring, microbial populations bloom and temporarily lock up available nitrogen in their biomass. This bloom is followed by a crash when the microbes die or decrease in number, releasing nitrogen back into the soil.

This microbial bloom-and-crash cycle has been observed in a variety of ecosystems, but the processes that cause it are not yet well understood. Climate change might further complicate what happens to the soil underneath snow. As warmer winters contribute to record low snowpacks, microbial activity may also change or slow. Nitrogen may be released into the atmosphere or exported into streams at different times or in different amounts—changes that would disrupt the nutrient balance that sustains plant life during the growing season.

A new study published in Nature Microbiology takes a peek at the microbial communities below the snow by tracing their chemical footprints in a high-elevation watershed in Colorado.

“What we wanted to do is to have a little bit more mechanistic understanding of the reasons why the [microbial] populations bloom, what types of nitrogen the soil microbiome uses to build biomass, and then, ultimately, what is the fate of that nitrogen after the population size crashes in spring?” said study author Patrick Sorensen, a microbial biogeochemist at the University of Rhode Island.

Digging in the Snow

The East River Watershed in Gunnison County, Colorado, is a high-altitude (9,022–13,123 feet, or 2,750–4,000 meters), mountainous area that is typically covered in multiple feet of snow between November and May. Most of its annual precipitation falls as snow, and over the past 50 years, spring snowmelt has been occurring progressively earlier.

“At this particular field site,” Sorensen said, “it’s pretty arid, so the soils were dry, even when there’s 6 feet of snow on top of them.” Credit: Patrick Sorensen

“Historically, we thought, just like trees are losing their leaves, that the soil was also dormant in the winter. It’s cold down there. If the plants aren’t providing any carbon inputs, maybe the microbes just aren’t active,” said Stephanie Kivlin, an ecologist at the University of Tennessee, Knoxville, who was not part of the study.

Researchers sampled the watershed six times over a period spanning the winter season, snowmelt, early growing season, and midsummer. “We snowshoed or cross-country skied out to the field site, dug snow pits, and that’s how we collected soils from beneath the snowpack,” said Sorensen. “Snow is a really good insulator, so the soils that we collect from underneath the snowpack are not frozen. At this particular field site, it’s pretty arid, so the soils were dry, even when there’s 6 feet of snow on top of them.”

Researchers split the soil samples into two groups for analysis. One set was tested for its physical and biochemical properties. The other was immediately flash frozen in dry ice to be sent to the Berkeley Lab for further genetic testing—meaning that scientists working on this project had to pack in coolers of dry ice and pack out soil samples through thick snow.

Blooming and Crashing

Research revealed that microbial populations in the soil were hardly dormant during the winter. Sorensen and colleagues divided the microbe populations into four groups:

  • Fall-adapted organisms and bacteria were most active after plants had senesced.
  • Winter-adapted organisms were most active when the snowpack was deepest.
  • The snowmelt specialists were most active, and their numbers peaked as the snow melted.
  • A final group, the spring-adapted microbes, thrived when the snow was gone and soils had warmed up.

Microbes take turns using different forms of nitrogen across the seasons, explained Sorensen. Winter-adapted microbes prefer inorganic nitrogen for their growth, while snowmelt specialists use organic nitrogen to build biomass when the soil is saturated. Once the snow is gone and soils have warmed, spring-adapted microbes take over to help convert nitrogen into a form that plants can use.

“These groups have adapted to use different types of nitrogen at different times of the year, and it’s related to the onset of snowmelt,” said Sorensen.

As snow melts and soils become saturated, the microbial population surges, rapidly incorporating nitrogen into their biomass. Their numbers then decline as conditions change.

Contrary to previous assumptions, Sorensen and colleagues realized that the bloom-and-crash cycle that microbial communities experienced during snowmelt was actually occurring much faster and in a much smaller window of time. While a typical winter lasts 120–150 days, the rapid microbial growth and decline occurs during the 60 or so days of active snowmelt, rather than gradually throughout the winter.

“It was shocking to me how much nitrogen was being cycled under the snow in the middle of the winter.”

“It was shocking to me how much nitrogen was being cycled under the snow in the middle of the winter. This is one of the first studies to really show the magnitude of that effect and who among the microbiome is doing all of that nitrogen cycling,” said Kivlin. “And, the other novel part is at snowmelt, there’s this huge flux of microbial activity, and then flux of nitrogen, probably creating available nitrogen for plants to grow once the snow has melted off of them.”

But as snowpack levels are decreasing due to warmer winters, soil microbial activity may be disrupted, Sorensen explained. Insulation from the snow keeps soils from freezing, so microbes can perform their bloom-and-crash cycle to release nitrogen as plants emerge from dormancy. More research is needed as the climate continues to warm—especially to examine how this process may affect soil microbe populations in regions beyond the mountains of Colorado.

“It’s possible that if that bloom-and-crash [cycle] starts to occur earlier and earlier in the year, but plants don’t start growing earlier, then those two processes could become decoupled. The consequences of that could be more nitrogen lost through aquatic ecosystems or through gaseous emissions. Either consequence is not great because nitrogen tends to be one of the nutrients that is most limiting for plant and microbial life on land,” said Sorensen.

—Rebecca Owen (@beccapox.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: Owen, R. (2026), When the snow melts, microbes bloom, Eos, 107, https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EO260073. Published on 4 March 2026. Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Engineering a Cleaner Way to Extract Lithium

Wed, 03/04/2026 - 13:08

Lithium mines located in arid regions of South America, China, and the United States are striking when viewed from above, appearing as sprawling, colorful pools popping out from the desert like a giant painter’s palette. The open-air pools are filled with brine pumped from underground reservoirs. Once on the surface, the water eventually evaporates, leaving behind concentrated lithium. Today, much of the world’s lithium is extracted this way.

But what makes the mines so eye-catching is also a burden: Current mining methods using brine require vast swaths of land and water, and removing the brine from underground can cause freshwater reservoirs to flow into the open space, lowering the water table and contaminating water supplies in already dry regions. The evaporation process is also slow, taking 1–2 years.

Now, a new study published in Joule describes a novel lithium extraction method that is faster and potentially more environmentally friendly. The technique, which uses a unique chemical solvent, could also unlock lithium reserves in areas where conventional methods are infeasible because of land and water constraints. One such location is California’s Salton Sea, where brines contain enough lithium to build batteries for more than 370 million electric vehicles.

Flipping a Chemical Switch

The demand for batteries is driving scientists to develop more efficient lithium-extraction technologies, but the new study sprang from research on unique chemical solvents, called switchable solvents, that change properties under different conditions. Ngai Yin Yip, an environmental engineer at Columbia University and a senior author on the paper, was particularly interested in several switchable solvents that have an affinity for water at room temperature but repel it when it’s heated to 158°F (70°C).

“I like to think of this switchable solvent as a sponge.”

While studying this material, the team noticed that at room temperature, the solvent also attracted lithium, in addition to water. “I like to think of this switchable solvent as a sponge,” said Yip. “So it sponges up water and ions at lower concentrations.” Although the researchers don’t entirely understand why lithium interacts with the solvent this way, they think that the small size of lithium atoms might allow them to become encapsulated in water, essentially hitching a ride with the water.

The researchers started to see potential for lithium extraction and set up laboratory experiments to dig deeper. They mixed the solvent with beakers of brines, including one simulating the brine under the Salton Sea. When they mixed brines with the switchable solvent in laboratory beakers at room temperature, the solvent was attracted to water in the brine, and the solvent, water, and ions separated from the rest of the brine. The researchers then removed the layer of solvent, now containing water and lithium, from the rest of the brine, and raised the temperature. The heat switched the solvent to a hydrophobic state, in which it began “squeezing out” the water and ions for collection by the researchers, Yip said. The researchers then measured the amount of lithium and other positively charged metal ions, such as potassium, sodium, and magnesium, in the water.

While the water did contain small amounts of other cations, lithium was approximately 13 times more enriched in the solution than was sodium and 24 times more enriched than potassium in tests using the simulated Salton Sea brine.

Accessing the Inaccessible

“These kinds of technologies are really promising for having very low impact production of minerals.”

Yip said the new extraction method is much faster than current methods, and the solvents can also be reused to extract lithium from multiple batches of brine. The solvents are readily available and inexpensive, he said. “That was intentional, because we didn’t want to start off with a material that requires very elaborate synthesis.”

Alissa Kendall, a University of California, Davis industrial ecologist who was not involved in the study, found the study important because the Salton Sea region has geothermal power plants that could provide low-carbon heat, potentially even using waste heat from electricity generation. “These kinds of technologies are really promising for having very low impact production of minerals,” she said.

In future studies, Yip wants to better understand why the solvent pulls lithium along with water, as this interaction could be refined to improve the efficiency of lithium extraction. He also hopes to test the process’s scalability to determine whether industrial applications are feasible.

“This is really an engineered process,” Yip said, in that scientists both create the material and design the method to optimize its performance. “That can be helpful in terms of rapidly scaling up production to meet the forecasted increases in lithium demand over the coming decades.”

—Andrew Chapman (@andrewgchapman.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: Chapman, A. (2026), Engineering a cleaner way to extract lithium, Eos, 107, https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EO260071. Published on 4 March 2026. Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Severe 2023 Drought: Sinking Carbon Sink in the Amazon

Tue, 03/03/2026 - 14:00
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: AGU Advances

The Amazonian forest takes up atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2), thus helping to buffer the effect of global anthropogenic emissions on climate. As the climate changes, however, this previously reliable carbon sink may be at risk. Extreme weather events, such as the drought of 2023 in the Amazon region, are becoming more common. Although the Amazonian forest is adapted to climatic variation and drought to some extent, severe drought can lead to reduced photosynthesis and greater emissions from fires. Estimating this effect at a scale as large as the Amazon Basin is challenging.

Botía et al. [2026] use multiple approaches that generally show a net release of carbon from the basin during 2023, although there are differences among methodologies. Satellite-based measurements, biogeochemical models, and CO2 concentrations measured at a tall tower indicated a regional net release of carbon, but of varying amounts. A more localized method of tower-based eddy covariance measurements showed a net uptake of CO2, indicating that the local patch of forest was responding differently than the basin-wide estimates. In an accompanying Viewpoint, Liu [2026], these complex responses are nicely explained and summarized by the author.

Citations:

Botía, S., Dias-Júnior, C. Q., Komiya, S., van der Woude, A. M., Terristi, M., de Kok, R. J., et al. (2026). Reduced vegetation uptake during the extreme 2023 drought turns the Amazon into a weak carbon source. AGU Advances, 7, e2025AV001658. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025AV001658

Liu, J. (2026). The growing threat of extreme drought-heat to the Amazon carbon sink. AGU Advances, 7, e2026AV002309. https://doi.org/10.1029/2026AV002309

—Eric Davidson, Editor, AGU Advances

Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Human Effects on Background Atmosphere have Affected Mercury Chemistry

Tue, 03/03/2026 - 14:00
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: AGU Advances 

The amount of time that mercury (Hg) spends in the atmosphere determines its global spread, and therefore the distribution of this toxic pollutant, even to remote ecosystems. Generally, previous studies have assumed the chemical lifetime of elemental mercury (Hg0) has been constant throughout history, mirroring the conditions of present-day (2010–2019). However, since pre-industrial times (about 1850), anthropogenic emissions have altered the concentrations of oxidants that affect the lifetime of Hg0, including bromine radicals (Br), hydroxyl radicals (OH), and ozone (O3).

Feinberg et al. [2026] use a state-of-the-art chemistry-climate model to analyze the effects of the changes in background composition between 1850 and now to examine the resulting effects on mercury deposition into water around the world. The increasing concentrations of OH and O3 lead to 16% faster Hg0 oxidation in today’s Northern Hemisphere, while the increased partitioning of Br to reservoir species slows Hg0 oxidation by 20% in the Southern Hemisphere relative to the 1850 atmosphere. These regional oxidation changes shift the pattern of where Hg deposits to the surface.

The shifts in Hg0 oxidation enhance deposition by 15% to tropical and subtropical oceans, which are critical regions for Hg exposure risks. The 1850 atmosphere, however, was more conducive to the spread of Hg to the remote Southern Hemisphere extratropics. This finding significantly affects the interpretation of the Hg deposition historical records from natural archives. This study reveals that the changing atmospheric composition has been a previously overlooked factor when considering human Hg exposure risk via altered Hg deposition patterns. 

Citation: Feinberg, A., Sonke, J. E., Cuevas, C. A., Li, M.-L., Acuña, A. U., Fernandez, R. P., et al. (2026). Shifts in atmospheric composition since the preindustrial era modified the transport and deposition of mercury. AGU Advances, 7, e2025AV002158. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025AV002158

—Don Wuebbles, Editor, AGU Advances

Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Bacteria Decide the Ocean’s Dissolved Organic Carbon Abundance

Tue, 03/03/2026 - 13:58
Source: Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences

In the ocean, a haze made from tiny bits of dead plants, animals, and microbes hangs in the upper reaches of the water. Each particle is just a fraction of a micrometer across, but together the carbon within these particles weighs around 700 billion tons—about as much as all the carbon in the atmosphere.

Dissolved organic carbon (DOC), as these little bits are called, is a food source that sustains marine bacteria and a carbon store with huge implications for climate change. Yet scientists don’t understand what dictates the distribution of DOC throughout the ocean.

Owusu et al. set out to explain the distribution of DOC with a focus on the North Atlantic subtropical gyre, where the concentration of DOC is particularly high. Some scientists have hypothesized that certain hard-to-break-down forms of DOC are sucked into subtropical gyres by strong currents, then remain trapped there long-term. But this team had a different suspicion: The type and number of bacteria present in the gyre dictate how much DOC accumulates.

To test their theory, the researchers used a consumer-resource model to study how bacteria compete for DOC when they have access to varying levels of nitrogen, which can limit bacterial growth. When the researchers varied bacterial prevalence, DOC concentration followed quite naturally, they found. However, the rate at which dead organisms produced DOC did not fully explain the prevalence of DOC. The results are consistent with a recent study in which researchers sampled water from the gyre and found there weren’t enough bacteria around to take advantage of all the DOC they could be munching on.

The findings represent a switch from the long-dominant theory that the biochemical properties of DOC determine how easily it breaks down. The study suggests that the microbial makeup of ocean water is actually the prime deciding factor in how much dissolved organic matter it contains. (Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JG009257, 2026)

—Saima May Sidik (@saimamay.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: Sidik, S. M. (2026), Bacteria decide the ocean’s dissolved organic carbon abundance, Eos, 107, https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EO260072. Published on 3 March 2026. Text © 2026. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
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Future Hotspots of Hazardous Rivers in the Atmosphere

Tue, 03/03/2026 - 13:31
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: AGU Advances

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are coherent current structures in the atmosphere that transport moisture and are important elements to deliver water through heavy precipitation events. They can also cause substantial hazards in many regions of the world. Due to their intrinsically long and narrow extent and high variability, it is challenging to observe and detect trends in AR activity and characteristics. Yet, this would be crucial for water resource planning and adaptation strategies.

Based on hourly atmospheric reanalysis data and applying several identification tools, Scholz and Lora [2025] find that the frequency of ARs in mid-latitudes of both hemispheres has robustly increased since 1940. Particularly, in the Southern Hemisphere, over the eastern United States, the North Atlantic region and into western Europe (see Figure), with concurrent increases in precipitation and snowfall. Less obvious surface impacts of ARs are warm winters and extreme heat events.

The longer-term context for AR trends that is established by the authors helps climate model simulations to better assess this important feature of atmospheric circulations and eventually improve projections. These are crucial inputs for decision makers to make water management and hazard prevention fit for the future. However, for example, formal detection and attribution studies on ARs are still challenging due to the large uncertainties associated with this fine-scale feature of atmospheric circulation.

Citation: Scholz, S. R., & Lora, J. M. (2025). Widespread increase in atmospheric river frequency and impacts over the 20th century. AGU Advances, 6, e2025AV001888. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025AV001888

—Thomas Stocker, Editor, AGU Advances 

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Antarctic Ice Sheet Has Lost a Connecticut-Sized Amount of Ice Over the Past 30 Years

Mon, 03/02/2026 - 20:14
body {background-color: #D2D1D5;} Research & Developments is a blog for brief updates that provide context for the flurry of news that impacts science and scientists today.

A new study of Antarctica has found that since 1996, its ice sheet has lost 12,820 square kilometers (nearly 5,000 square miles) of ice—nearly enough to cover the state of Connecticut, or 10 cities the size of Greater Los Angeles.

The study, published today in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, evaluated the retreat of the ice sheet’s grounding line over the past 30 years. A grounding line is the point at which continental ice (grounded on bedrock) meets a floating ice shelf, and as such serves as a good measure of the advance and retreat of ocean-terminating glaciers.

Since 1992, scientists have been monitoring the movement of grounding lines with synthetic aperture radar (SAR), the “gold standard for documenting ice sheet stability,” said Eric Rignot, a glaciologist at the University of California, Irvine, and coauthor of the new paper, in a statement

Data from multiple SAR-equipped satellites showed that about 77% of Antarctica’s coastline remains stable, but the unstable portions—West Antarctica, the Antarctic Peninsula, and portions of southern East Antarctica—are losing ice much faster as Earth’s climate warms.

Grounding line changes from 1992-2025 show quicker ice loss along West Antarctica, parts of the Antarctic Peninsula, and southern East Antarctica. Credit: Rignot et al. 2026, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2524380123

Glaciers in West Antarctica have retreated the farthest: In the last 30 years, Pine Island Glacier retreated 33 kilometers (20.5 miles), Thwaites Glacier—often called the Doomsday Glacier for its potential contribution to sea level rise—retreated about 26 kilometers (16.2 miles), and Smith Glacier retreated about 42 kilometers (26.1 miles). 

 
Related

“Where warm ocean water is pushed by winds to reach glaciers, that’s where we see the big wounds in Antarctica,” Rignot said. Thwaites and Pine Island glaciers, for instance, began their retreats in the 1940s, when a prolonged El Niño event likely brought warmer-than average temperatures to the Southern Ocean.

Though warm ocean waters mostly explain the retreats along West Antarctica, large retreats along the northeast side of the Antarctic Peninsula are more difficult to interpret, according to the authors. There, “we don’t have evidence for warm water,” Rignot said. “Something else is acting—it’s still a question mark.”

The data provided in the new paper offer future ice sheet scientists critical benchmarks to test how accurate their own models and projections of Antarctic ice loss are, Rignot said. “If a model can’t reproduce this record, the modeling team will need to go back to the drawing board.”

—Grace van Deelen (@gvd.bsky.social), Staff Writer

These updates are made possible through information from the scientific community. Do you have a story about science or scientists? Send us a tip at eos@agu.org. Text © 2026. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
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Salt of the Earth: Vast Underground Salt Caverns Are Preserving Our History—and Just Might Power Our Future

Mon, 03/02/2026 - 14:09
Ionic Compounds: Worth Their Salt? Salt of the Earth: Vast Underground Salt Caverns Are Preserving Our History—and Just Might Power Our Future How the Rise of a Salty Blob Led to the Fall of the Last Ice Age Insights for Making Quick Clay Landslides Less Quick Snowball Earth’s Liquid Seas Dipped Way Below Freezing Episodic Tales of Salt What Salty Water Means for Wild Horses

In spring 2025, torrential rains fell on central Romania’s Harghita County in Transylvania, causing the waters of the Corund River to flood its banks. Speaking to reporters at a press conference in early May, county prefect Petres Sandor estimated that the river, which winds through towns nestled in the foothills of the Carpathian Mountains, had swelled to more than a hundred times its normal flow.

The river had also begun to seep into the Praid salt mine, home to one of the largest salt reserves in Europe and the economic lifeblood of surrounding communities.

In the weeks that followed, access to the Praid mine was suspended, staff and nearby households were evacuated, and the underground dams built in haste to stave off flooding collapsed. Officials made efforts to redirect the river and save the mine, but the damage had been done: By July, the flooded mine was forced to close indefinitely.

Transylvania’s Praid salt mine was one of the region’s most popular tourist destinations, attracting half a million visitors annually.

Romans were the first to mine for salt at Praid beginning around the 2nd century CE. When the area was under Hapsburg rule in the mid-1700s, larger-scale extraction began, and it continued until the mine’s recent closure, producing up to 100,000 metric tons of salt per year at its peak.

But in the modern era, Praid was not only an operational salt mine. It was also one of the region’s most popular tourist destinations, attracting half a million visitors a year to repurposed caverns that housed—nearly 122 meters (400 feet) belowground—a medical center; an Orthodox church; a movie theater; a museum; and an adventure park featuring arcades, zip lines, and a planetarium.

Before it flooded in spring 2025, Romania’s Praid salt mine was a hugely popular tourist destination that housed amenities including a planetarium, a movie theater, a medical center, and an Orthodox church. Credit: Thomas Hackl/Flickr, CC BY-NC 2.0

There are two main categories of caverns formed via salt extraction, and both possess unique properties. These include pure, dry air, very low permeability, and—given the right conditions—structural stability. Some caverns, like Praid, are by-products of rock salt mining that began millennia ago and continues today. Others have been intentionally created for storage purposes, with the by-product being the salt.

Around the world, these properties have made salt caverns ideal for storing anything from archival film footage to the United States’ Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

Other uses are on the horizon. As the global community grapples with the need to alter its energy habits in the face of climate change, it may be that at least one clean energy solution lies right beneath our feet.

Old Salt

Between 10,000 and 12,000 years ago, humans began cultivating crops and domesticating animals. As diets changed for both humans and their livestock, the need for large quantities of salt grew.

“Previously, with hunter-fisher-gatherers, salt came into the diet mostly through meat, nuts, and small fruits,” said E. Cory Sills, associate professor of geography at the University of Texas at Tyler. “But with a move to more carbohydrate-based diets, salt needed to be found and manufactured.”

And once the use of salt as a food preservative became widespread, an industry was born, with efforts to find and mine the mineral cropping up across Asia, Central America, and Europe.

The world’s oldest salt mine is said to be Hallstatt, near the Austrian village of the same name (meaning “salt town”). In fact, Neolithic peoples likely settled at Hallstatt, located in a high Alpine valley, thanks to the presence of salt, as most communities at that time opted for the fertile plains.

Artifacts uncovered at Hallstatt include a deer antler pickaxe that dates to 5000 BCE.

Artifacts uncovered at Hallstatt include a deer antler pickax that dates to what were perhaps the earliest salt extraction efforts, around 5000 BCE, as well as textiles, human remains, and the oldest known wooden staircase in Europe. Researchers date the start of organized salt mining in the region to around 1500 BCE, and the activity contributed to the wealth of the community for more than a thousand years. Findings at Hallstatt reveal the progression of early mining activity, which by 400 BCE included tunnels more than 198 meters (650 feet) deep.

Salt mining operations in Europe developed further during the Middle Ages, particularly in western Poland and what is now Romania. Centuries later, as nations industrialized, technology helped miners dig deeper and identify where to drill. “Due to modern technology since World War II, geophysical equipment like ground-penetrating radar can look into the Earth and detect salt domes,” said Sills.

Some mines, like Hallstatt, have continued to produce salt. In both active and discontinued mines, the process of hewing away at walls of the mineral over the course of millennia, centuries, or mere decades has resulted in enormous underground caverns that, as it turns out, have some savory benefits.

We’re Not on the Surface of Kansas Anymore

“We will store anything that’s not illegal, flammable, or explosive.”

Nearly 200 meters (650 feet) below the grassland near Hutchinson, Kan., 20 hectares (50 acres) of hollowed-out salt caverns store government records, private assets, beloved film reels and movie props, and much more.

“We will store anything that’s not illegal, flammable, or explosive,” said Jeff Ollenburger, president of Underground Vaults & Storage (UV&S), which has operated a storage facility in the Hutchinson salt mine since 1959. At the company’s inception, the space was primarily used to store oil and gas records. Today its storage possibilities are limited only by the dimensions of its elevator—approximately 2.5 × 1.3 meters (8 × 4 feet).

UV&S has operated a storage facility in the Hutchinson salt mine since 1959. The company transports items including film reels, movie props, and government records down into its storage bays via its elevator, which measures about 2.5 × 1.3 meters (8 × 4 feet). Credit: Courtesy of UV&S

The Hutchinson mine, along with its companion museum, Strataca—which exhibits movie paraphernalia such as a shirt worn by James Dean in Giant, costumes from The Matrix, and props from Men in Black—is perhaps the United States’ most well known example of a rock salt mine living a second life.

But salt mines in Europe and other parts of the world have also carved out alternate existences.

Like Praid, the Wieliczka salt mine in Poland is a major tourist destination, though traditional mining operations there have largely ceased. Among the attractions for its more than 1 million visitors each year are a saline lake, elaborate salt sculptures and friezes, banquet halls, and entire chapels carved into the rock—much of it lit by multitiered salt-crystal chandeliers.

Salt caverns around the world have been repurposed in a variety of ways. Colombia’s Salt Cathedral exists in a former salt mine in Zipaquirá about 180 meters (600 feet) underground. Credit: Bernard Gagnon/Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

Other tourist destinations include Colombia’s Salt Cathedral of Zipaquirá and Romania’s Turda salt mine, once used as an air raid shelter and for cheese storage and now a theme park complete with a Ferris wheel and an amphitheater.

Among its many materials, DeepStore, in England’s Winsford salt mine, holds the fashion archive of Laura Ashley, including hand-painted wallpaper, clothing, and other items spanning the company’s 70-year history. With his Memory of Mankind project, Austrian artist Martin Kunze aims to save modern human heritage from potential oblivion by transferring the accumulated digital record onto ceramic tablets to be stashed for safekeeping at Hallstatt.

Salt mines have been used as both storage sites for radioactive waste and—as with Praid—medical centers and health spas that tout the underground environment’s alleged therapeutic properties, including air that helps to absorb bodily toxins. In Belarus, the National Speleotherapy Clinic makes use of underground salt caverns, claiming to provide relief for patients with respiratory ailments and allergic diseases.

During World War II, Nazis stashed looted valuables in salt mines like Austria’s Altaussee, as the mines were protected from allied bombs and inclement weather. Thousands of paintings and artifacts were eventually recovered from these sites by an international group of curators and historians known as the Monuments Men.

A decade later and an ocean away, an American veteran of the same war was one of several local business leaders seeking a safe place to store physical records in Hutchinson, according to Ollenburger of UV&S. The veteran recalled the recovery of artifacts from salt mines in Europe and suggested using caverns from the local mine, which had been operating since the 1920s, for storage.

The mine is located within a salt deposit known as the Hutchinson Salt Member, which covers more than 95,000 square kilometers (37,000 square miles) at depths of between 152 and 305 meters (500–1,000 feet). It was once believed that the salt in this region was found in isolated pockets, said Ollenburger. But drilling and modern technology revealed the true extent of the deposit, which was formed around 275 million years ago, when shallow seas evaporated under the extremely dry, hot conditions of the Permian (~298.9–252 million years ago).

The Hutchinson Salt Company, owner of the mine in which UV&S operates, extracts rock salt that is primarily used for deicing roads in winter. This form of mining leaves behind large cavities that are ideal for storage, with natural temperatures of around 20°C (68°F) and 45% humidity. UV&S currently occupies 50 of approximately 900 available acres, with individual storage bays that are each about the size of a football field.

And the Hutchinson Salt Company is still mining, Ollenburger said. “We will never run out of space.”

Because Hutchinson was developed as a rock salt mine only within the past century, its planners selected the location in part to avoid a fate like Praid’s.

Elsewhere in the United States, salt mines may contend with differing levels of humidity, moisture, and temperature, Ollenburger said. “We just do not” face such issues, Ollenburger said, “because of the geology above us.”

The Hutchinson mine, Ollenburger said, is incredibly stable. “It’s a very inert, safe environment to be in,” he said. “And it’s very elastic. We’ve had small earthquakes from time to time in the region, and the whole salt cavity kind of moves together.”

The same properties that make salt caverns ideal for preserving archival documents and film reels also lend themselves to storing an entirely different kind of treasure: the resources that fuel the world.

A Subterranean Solution

In 1888, the modern practice of solution mining began in New York, and several years later it was put into use in China. Canada took up the practice in the mid-20th century, and it’s now a widespread method of salt production. Solution mining involves drilling a well into a deposit, pumping freshwater through it to dissolve the salt, and then removing the resulting brine. Salt’s low permeability and porosity, combined with a natural plasticity that enables self-healing of fractures, means the resulting cavern is airtight and watertight.

Solution mining is still practiced in parts of the Hutchinson deposit today. The brine might be used in chemical processes or mineral production. Or it might be disposed of.

That’s because a number of the caverns created by solution mining—and their storage possibilities—have themselves become the purpose of the practice.

When it comes to energy storage, salt caverns are fairly agnostic. In the United States, caverns along the Texas and Louisiana coastlines are used to store the nation’s Strategic Petroleum Reserve in the form of 402 million barrels of crude oil. Elsewhere in the United States, as well as in Europe and China, salt caverns are reservoirs for natural gas. Because hydrocarbons like oil can accumulate around salt domes, caverns are also manufactured to store waste from nearby oil fields.

But applications for salt caverns that target more sustainable energy sources are also being put into practice.

Near the city of Changzhou in China’s Yangtze River Delta, development of what will be the world’s largest compressed air energy storage (CAES) facility has been underway since 2022. CAES optimizes existing sustainable energy sources, such as solar and wind power, by using the energy captured during higher production phases (i.e., periods of high sunlight or strong wind) to compress air. That air is then injected into a storage facility. When demand for energy peaks or when solar and wind production is low, energy generated by releasing the compressed air through turbines can fill the gaps.

Compressed air energy storage (CAES) facilities, such as this Hydrostor facility, store energy generated by wind and solar power in the form of compressed air, sometimes storing it in underground caverns. Credit: Hydrostor

CAES is a cleaner energy alternative that can contribute to power grid stability in part because of its capacity for longer-term energy storage relative to battery-based systems. And one key to the technology’s success lies in resilient, leakproof salt caverns.

The CAES facility in Changzhou, known as the Jintan Salt Cave CAES Project, entered its second phase in early 2025. The salt cavern facility, created using solution mining, is expected to have an annual output of approximately 924 gigawatt-hours of energy per year. In the United States, this would power around 84,000 homes per day.

Another CAES project, Nengchu-1 in the central Chinese province of Hubei, began operations in January 2025 and will have an output of around 319 gigawatt-hours of energy annually. Unlike Jintan, Nengchu-1 repurposes the existing caverns of an abandoned underground salt mine.

Though salt caverns meet the strict geological requirements of CAES facilities, more widespread use of the technology faces other hurdles. In addition to site limitations and the high cost of development, CAES poses safety risks including combustion and fire.

A Home for Hydrogen

Salt caverns are also ideal for storing hydrogen, another clean energy alternative. Like CAES, hydrogen energy solutions leverage solar and wind power and the favorable properties of salt caverns. During highly windy or sunny periods, energy generated by wind turbines or solar grids can be used to split water into hydrogen and oxygen. The hydrogen can then be stored in salt caverns and converted back to electricity during peak demand hours.

Not all caverns are created equal.

But not all caverns are created equal.

Solution mining in a salt dome creates cylindrical caverns ideal for storing and later delivering gaseous hydrogen, which can be used to supplement energy supplies when demand is high.

Unlike a salt dome, which is formed by salt tectonics and gravity and has a more vertical structure and homogenous composition, a salt bed like Hutchinson is characterized by horizontal layers of varying solubility and strength. Here, solution mining operations can be subject to geological constraints, explained Tingwei “Lucy” Ko, research assistant professor with the Bureau of Economic Geology at the University of Texas at Austin. Until drilling begins, no one knows how much the composition of a salt bed may vary, or where its weak layers are located. That variability, said Ko, “can cause a cavern to collapse.”

As with caverns used for storing other hydrocarbon reserves—such as those along the Gulf Coast of the United States—these reservoirs targeted for greener energy are created for storage purposes, and the resulting brine may wind up in leach ponds or saline aquifers, a practice that comes with its own environmental cost.

In fact, balancing the costs and benefits of hydrogen storage requires consideration of multiple factors, including safety. Hydrogen is highly flammable and must be stored under very high pressure, bringing the risk of combustion. Frequency of access is also a concern.

“If you use hydrogen as a fuel and you need to withdraw and inject the gas frequently, that could compromise geochemical properties,” Ko said.

Still, the benefits could be significant when it comes to cultivating a decarbonized and stable energy supply.

“With solar and wind, there’s a lot of curtailment, a lot of wasted energy and not enough capacity,” said Ko. “Geologic storage is a pretty great option.”

In some regions, including Utah, seen here, solution mining in salt domes leaves behind caverns that are used to store hydrogen. Credit: Archaeopoda/Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 3.0

Currently, there are only a handful of locations globally where salt cavern hydrogen storage has been put into practice, including the Gulf Coast, Texas, Utah, and the United Kingdom and Germany. All are areas where extensive salt domes are present. Which brings another issue to the surface: geology itself.

“Salt is not everywhere,” said Ko. “And it’s not always in the same place as wind turbines.”

Mining the Future

Without its economic lifeline, the town of Praid is looking to lure visitors with new experiences that take advantage of the region’s outdoor, gastronomic, and wellness offerings.

Like other incidents that came before it, the Praid flooding showed that there’s still much to learn about mitigating disaster in salt mines. And while technology is easing the way toward more widely spread energy storage in salt caverns, there remain enormous—and costly—challenges to overcome.

For Ollenburger, the future of salt cavern storage is filled with possibility.

“We’re finding new ways to offer storage to clients who might need different things,” he said. UV&S has built refrigerated storage panels for film industry clients who require their materials to remain at even lower temperature and humidity levels. The company has also discussed using the space for data centers, a need that will only increase with the rapid growth and development of artificial intelligence.

“What we have is an immense amount of space,” Ollenburger said, “and we’re trying to figure out how best to use it.”

—Korena Di Roma Howley (@korenahowley), Science Writer

Citation: Howley, K. D. R. (2026), Salt of the earth: Vast underground salt caverns are preserving our history—and just might power our future, Eos, 107, https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EO260025. Published on 2 March 2026. Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Tectonic Modifications Shape Surface Environment and Landscape

Mon, 03/02/2026 - 14:00
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: AGU Advances

The study of tectonic modifications is essential to understand how Earth’s surface changes over time, shaping mountains, oceans, and continents. It is also crucial for predicting natural hazards like earthquakes and volcanoes. The lithosphere of cratons – ancient and stable continental regions – carry a long history of tectonic modifications that are revealed by increasingly available Earth observations.

Yang et al. [2026] use ambient noise tomography to reveal deep (about 60 kilometers) seismic low velocity anomalies beneath the Illinois and Michigan basins. These perturbations are attributed to lithospheric modifications leading to an uplift of the terrestrial crust of about 3.5 kilometers in the late Paleozoic to the early Mesozoic. The findings present links between geodynamic drivers and geological records and offer implication to improve our understanding of how deep Earth processes shape the surface environment and therefore landscape evolution.

Citation: Yang, X., Peng, L., Stevens Goddard, A., & Liu, L. (2026). Lithospheric delamination below the North American midcontinent ceased subsidence in cratonic basins. AGU Advances, 7, e2025AV002051. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025AV002051

—Alberto Montanari, Editor-in-Chief, AGU Advances

Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
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A dramatic rockfall on the E134 road at Fjæra in Etne, Norway

Mon, 03/02/2026 - 08:04

An occupied vehicle was crushed, but the person in the car escaped unhurt.

On 1 March 2026, a very dramatic rockfall occurred in Fjæra in Etne in Vestland county, Norway. The rockfall, which originated on a steep rock slope on the flanks of Åkrafjorden, did not kill anyone, but it crushed a pick-up truck (see below). This event is a near-miss in terms of fatalities.

The rockfall was captured on video from the other side of the fjord. This has been posted to media sites and to Reddit:-

Rockfall in Norway crushing a road, a car, and then some
byu/SjalabaisWoWS inWTF

The aftermath was captured in a photo that has been released by the owner of the vehicle, Frode Mæland:-

The aftermath of the 1 March 2026 rockfall Fjæra in Etne in Norway. Image released by Frode Mæland.

Unbelievably, the car was occupied at the time of the rockfall, but the person (Christian Lee) was unharmed.

It appears that the location of this event at Fjæra is [59.87357, 6.38121], although this is unconfirmed.

The road is now closed for further investigation.

Return to The Landslide Blog homepage Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
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Greenland Dust Delivers Nutrients to Ice-Melting Algae

Fri, 02/27/2026 - 14:15

In the summers of 2016 and 2017, a small research team endured harsh conditions on the Greenland Ice Sheet to gather data about the aerosols above it. These tiny particles carry crucial information about the elements that contribute to glacial ice loss, making them invaluable in the fight against climate change.

In a new study published in Environmental Science and Technology, this team reported that aerosols contain significant amounts of mineral dust, which can feed phosphorus to hungry, ice-melting algae.

“This study’s findings are important,” said Jasper Kok, an atmospheric physicist at the University of California, Los Angeles, who was not involved with the research. “The Arctic is warming several times faster than the global average,” he explained, and this warming exposes more bare soils that will only increase dust emissions.

Dusty Fieldwork

Prior research found that mineral dust contains significant quantities of phosphorus, a key growth factor for many species of dark-colored algae. Because dark-colored algae infiltrate snow and glaciers, decreasing their albedo and forcing them to absorb more sunshine, understanding the mechanics of dust delivery is imperative for accurately measuring glacial melt and estimating the impact of ongoing climate change.

“Most climate models omit this high-latitude dust,” said Kok.

To better understand how mineral dust affects the Greenland Ice Sheet, researchers captured aerosols and took measurements from ice cores and snow samples at a location north of Kangerlussuaq in southwest Greenland.

“To my knowledge, this is the first study to conduct real-time aerosol measurements on the Greenland Ice Sheet and connect those results to the algal blooms forming on the ice.”

“We were in a tent camp approximately 35 to 100 kilometers into the Greenland Ice Sheet,” said Liane Benning, a biogeochemist at the GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences in Germany and coauthor of the study. “We were there for up to 5 to 6 weeks to get these samples.”

The collected materials enabled the researchers to scrutinize dust above and within the glacier, which would, in turn, allow them to determine the dust’s origin, composition, and how many algae it could feed.

Scanning electron microscopes revealed the aerosols were primarily composed of mineral dust from the southern end of the Greenland Ice Sheet, which aligns with past research showing that area is a great producer of dust emissions. The quantity within the aerosols suggests the dust contains enough phosphorus to fuel massive algal blooms within the ice sheet.

“To my knowledge this is the first study to conduct real-time aerosol measurements on the Greenland Ice Sheet and connect those results to the algal blooms forming on the ice,” said Jenine McCutcheon, a geomicrobiologist at the University of Waterloo in Canada and lead author of the study. “Local Greenlandic locations near the coast are the most likely source, which matches our geochemical analyses.”

Microbes on the Move

But the results also revealed something else. In addition to mineral dust, the aerosols contained soot, fungi, and different species of algae specialized to living in ice and snow. The researchers detected one species of glacial ice algae, Ancylonema nordenskioeldii, that is well-known to reduce glacial albedo and increase melting.

The study suggests ice-melting microbes may be blown across the ice sheet, allowing them to penetrate areas previously unexposed to microbes. “These organisms can be picked up by wind,” explained McCutcheon, “which may provide a means for these algae to be transported to new locations on the ice.”

New research finds that phosphorus (P), along with other minerals, is transported to the Greenland Ice Sheet from bare soil downwind. Credit: McCutcheon et al., 2026, https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.5c13873, CC BY 4.0

Because other high-latitude environments are similarly pilloried by nutrient-rich dust, the study has wider implications for the Arctic, said Kok. “This study underscores the need to include this dust for more accurate predictions of how the Greenland Ice Sheet, and the Arctic more broadly, will evolve in the future.”

McCutcheon agreed. “While these results won’t stop ice mass loss, they will help us better understand how melting will progress in the future,” she said.

—Taylor Mitchell Brown (@tmitchellbrown.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: Brown, T. M. (2026), Greenland dust delivers nutrients to ice-melting algae, Eos, 107, https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EO260069. Published on 27 February 2026. Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Marine Heat Waves Can Increase Coastal Rainfall

Fri, 02/27/2026 - 14:15

More than 2 billion people live within 50 kilometers of a coastline and are extremely vulnerable to climate hazards such as excessive rainfall and flooding.

A new study in Nature Communications shows how marine heat waves can worsen excess rainfall in coastal areas, potentially exacerbating flooding and its associated losses, including of human lives. Researchers found that from 1982 to 2022, between 5% and 25% of extreme rainfall events in coastal areas occurred downwind of nearby marine heat waves. Compared to events that weren’t downwind of marine heat waves, these rainfall events saw about 20%–30% more rain on average, as well as a 30% increase in fatalities.

“This is a serious concern because marine heatwaves not only intensify general rainfall but also exacerbate extreme rainfall events,” said Zhengguang Zhang, corresponding author of the new study and a climate scientist at the Ocean University of China in Qingdao, via email. Marine heat waves are happening more often and lasting longer, increasing the possibility that coastal rainfall and weather may be affected even more dramatically as the climate changes.

New Insights from Existing Data

In the study, the researchers define marine heat waves as those occurring when the sea surface temperature of an area exceeds 90% of the average value recorded over several decades for a period longer than 5 days. These heat waves can devastate marine ecosystems, and the ecological damage can have knock-on effects, causing massive losses to people and economies that depend on the ocean.

“This study beautifully reframes existing information [such as satellite data] in the context of marine heat waves and shows that coastal rainfall can clearly be impacted by these heat waves.”

The researchers combed through various long-term satellite and climate databases, such as NOAA’s Optimum Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature dataset, to build global maps of sea surface temperatures. They used these sea surface temperature maps to locate marine heat waves and linked them to excessive rainfall events in land areas as far as hundreds of kilometers downwind.

“This study beautifully reframes existing information in the context of marine heat waves and shows that coastal rainfall can clearly be impacted by these heat waves,” said Alex Sen Gupta, a climate scientist at the University of New South Wales in Sydney, Australia, who was not involved in the study.

From Hot Water to Excess Rain

Marine heat waves can vary widely in both their temperature and spatial extent, ranging from roughly 100,000 square kilometers—about the size of Iceland—to several million square kilometers or more. To compare heat waves with such different sizes, shapes, and characteristics, the researchers turned to mathematics.

“Marine heatwaves are characterized by a warm core with temperatures decreasing gradually outward, and Gaussian functions (a common mathematical tool) are often used to describe this kind of heat diffusion,” said Zhang. Using a Gaussian fit allowed the researchers to summarize and extract robust measures of scale and temperature gradients from noisy observational data and compare many marine heat waves and their effects on wind and rainfall.

“We found that marine heatwaves have the ability to influence the atmosphere above them and enhance rainfall downwind,” Zhang said. Areas downwind of marine heat waves experienced more frequent and more intense extreme rainfall, which the study defined as rain events that ranked among the wettest 1% of all rainy days in a particular land area. These extreme rain events peaked within the radius of the heat wave, which could sometimes stretch for hundreds of kilometers, and usually within 1–3 days of the heat wave forming.

The study analyses also yielded clues about how marine heat waves may be causing excess rain in downwind areas. The warm waters of a marine heat wave force the air above to mix violently, increasing atmospheric turbulence and strengthening winds. As these warm, wet winds move through and away from the marine heat wave, they collide with existing air and are forced upward, carrying their extra moisture with them. The rising, moisture-rich air then produces heavy rainfall, often over land downwind of the marine heat waves.

Connections Made, but Uncertainties Remain

Though the study clearly connects marine heat waves and downwind precipitation, the precise physical pathways involved may be more varied than they first appear, according to Sen Gupta.

“I don’t think the analysis necessarily distinguishes between different mechanisms as to how marine heat waves are impacting extreme rainfall events on land,” he said. For example, Sen Gupta noted that the study emphasized the importance of temperature gradients within marine heat waves as a key driver of rainfall downwind. “But temperature maximums within the heat waves may influence downwind rainfall just as much as temperature gradients.”

“Almost all the marine heatwave-related flood events that killed over a hundred people occurred in developing countries.”

Although the study builds a connection between marine heat waves and extreme rainfall, it does not establish a causal link between the heat waves and floods. “Establishing a direct connection is highly challenging due to the complexity of flooding, which is influenced by a lot of factors including topography, surface runoff, and even groundwater,” Zhang said. However, 10%–30% of flood events during the period covered in the study occurred downwind of a marine heat wave.

“Also, what we do not show in the paper is that, almost all the marine heatwave-related flood events that killed over a hundred people occurred in developing countries,” said Zhang. “Coastal communities, especially in developing countries, should incorporate marine conditions into their forecasts of extreme events, which may allow for a more accurate assessment of the severity of extreme rainfall or floods.”

—Adityarup Chakravorty (chakravo@gmail.com), Science Writer

Citation: Chakravorty, A. (2026), Marine heat waves can increase coastal rainfall, Eos, 107, https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EO260068. Published on 27 February 2026. Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Satellite View of the California Wildfires of January 2025

Fri, 02/27/2026 - 14:00
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: AGU Advances

In January 2025, a series of devastating wildfires swept through Los Angeles, causing widespread and catastrophic damage to critical infrastructure, displacing entire communities, and inflicting severe harm on the surrounding environment.

Landsat image of the Eaton fire on 14 January 2025. Brown and red colors display burned areas. Credit: Li et al. [2026], Figure 1e

By leveraging fire and emissions observations from remote satellites, Li et al. [2026] document the fire spread thus revealing how the fire moved after ignition and reached the urban settlements. In particular, the timing of the fire spread provides innovative information and supports the development of management strategies to cope with analogous future events. Interestingly, the authors found that residential fires released less carbon monoxide (CO) emissions per unit of radiative energy with respect to vegetation fires. The authors conclude that the observed dynamics of fire emissions and their linkage to fire intensity by new satellites open new opportunities to improve air quality forecasting.  

Citation: Li, F., Zhang, X., Cochrane, M., Kondragunta, S., & An, S. (2026). Fire spread, intensity, and emissions observations by multiple satellites: The southern California wildfires of January 2025. AGU Advances, 7, e2025AV002064. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025AV002064

—Alberto Montanari, Editor-in-Chief, AGU Advances

Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
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The 23-24 February 2026 landslide disaster in Juiz de Fora, Brazil

Fri, 02/27/2026 - 09:04

Heavy rainfall in the Zona da Mata area of Brazil has triggered multiple landslides. Over 50 people have been killed.

Over the period of 23 and 24 February 2026, extremely intense rainfall struck the Zona da Mata area of Minas Gerais (MG), Brazil, triggering landslides and flooding. The most seriously affected area was the city of Juiz de Fora, but Uba also suffered extensive flooding.

It is clear that the majority of fatalities occurred as a consequence of landslides, although the mainstream media persists in describing the event as flooding. Reports suggest that 54 people have been killed with a further 14 still missing.

Poder360 has posted some drone footage of the aftermath of this disaster to Youtube:-

This footage includes two damaging landslide sites. This is the first:-

The aftermath of one of the landslides triggered by the 23 – 24 February 2026 rainfall event in Juiz de Fora, Brazil. Still from a video captured by Viory and posted to Youtube by Poder360.

There are three landslides here, all in close proximity. The crown of the landslides appears to be in less steep, deforested terrain. The landslides appear to be in deeply weathered soil, and they are shallow in nature. The proximity of the houses to the foot of the slope is notable – and there are many other houses built on the slope.

The second site is somewhat different:-

The aftermath of another of the landslides triggered by the 23 – 24 February 2026 rainfall event in Juiz da Fore, Brazil. Still from a video captured by Viory and posted to Youtube by Poder360.

In this case, it appears that a flow down a gully on the upper slope has expanded onto the lower slope, entraining a large amount of material to form a significant landslide. Again, the landslide appears to involve a considerable volume of weathered material.

Judging by media images, there are many more landslides across the city.

That there is a high level of landslide risk in Juiz de Fora is well established. Indeed, in 2021 the Geological Survey of Brazil (CPRM) published a report (in Portugese) whose translated title is “Diagnosis of the population in areas of geological risk,  Juiz de Fora“. This identified 304 locations of high or very high landslide risk, comprising 16,436 households.

Given that the rainfall on 23-24 February 2026 was at a record level, the disaster was all but inevitable.

Reference

Lana, J.C and Marcussi, M.C.R. 2021. “Diagnóstico da população em áreas de risco geológico, Juiz de Fora, MG”. Publicação do Serviço Geológico do Brasil – CPRM. 15 pp.

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After Restructuring, NSF Wants to Hire More Staff but Reduce Solicitations

Thu, 02/26/2026 - 17:01
body {background-color: #D2D1D5;} Research & Developments is a blog for brief updates that provide context for the flurry of news regarding law and policy changes that impact science and scientists today.

After large reductions in staffing last year, the National Science Foundation (NSF) is now seeking to hire more employees.

The National Science Board, which determines NSF policies, met on 25 February. At the meeting, NSF’s chief management officer, Micah Cheatham, said the agency is seeking approval to bring staffing numbers up to “at least” a level allowed by President Trump’s federal FY26 budget request. Cheatham did not say how many staff members the agency was seeking to hire.

In 2025, NSF faced multiple waves of staffing reductions, first from a Department of Government Efficiency-related executive order on “workforce optimization,” then three additional rounds via a deferred resignation program that offered employees the choice to enter a period of administrative leave followed by resignation or retirement. In total, NSF lost 18.3% of its workforce between September 2024 and October 2025. 

“Today, we are at about 1,300 on [pay]rolls,” Cheatham said at the board meeting, “which is too low.” 

Cheatham said the 2025 staff reductions reduced the ratio of executives to nonexecutives, which he called “extreme,” and reduced bureaucratic distance between staff. “Most employees at this time last year had five layers of management between the heads of the agency and themselves. Now, today, most employees just have three layers,” he said.

 
Related

In June, NSF was also evicted from its headquarters in Alexandria, Va.. Since then, staff have been working remotely and out of multiple other government buildings.

Uncertainty over the agency’s funding, fear of retaliation, and lack of job stability led to a loss of expertise and an uptick in early retirement and resignation, a July letter from NSF employees alleged. 

Regardless, Brian Stone, NSF chief of staff and acting director, said changes to the agency last year were an opportunity to “fix things that needed to be changed.”

Fewer Grant Solicitations

At the meeting, Cheatham announced that in addition to hiring more staff, NSF also plans to cut the number of grant solicitations—opportunities offered by NSF to apply for research funding—from the current count of more than 200 to 100 or fewer. He said that fewer solicitations would reduce workload for NSF staff and also help applicants better manage their time. 

“The fewer solicitations you have, the less time grant applicants have to figure out which of our pigeonholes they fit into,” he said. “Reducing administrative burden is part of the President’s management agenda.”

Over the past year, thousands of NSF grants were terminated, spurring legal challenges. And recently, applicants for NSF’s major graduate research award noticed their applications had been returned without review, even though their proposals seemingly qualified for the program solicitation.

In the meeting, Dorota Grejner-Brzezińska a geodetic engineer at the University of Wisconsin-Madison and a member of the National Science Board, questioned whether fewer solicitations would result in fewer scientists receiving awards. 

Stone, in response, said that solicitations would be broader and that NSF was developing ways to better route solicitations so that they are reviewed by the correct staff.

—Grace van Deelen (@gvd.bsky.social), Staff Writer

These updates are made possible through information from the scientific community. Do you have a story about how changes in law or policy are affecting scientists or research? Send us a tip at eos@agu.org. Text © 2026. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
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Rare Hot Jupiters Could Reveal How All Giant Planets Form

Thu, 02/26/2026 - 14:26

Giant Jupiter-like planets dominate the star systems they inhabit. In our own solar system, Jupiter itself is more massive than all other planets, dwarf planets, asteroids, and comets put together. Current theories suggest it shaped phenomena and features stretching from the size of Mars to the very existence of the asteroid belt.

These effects are even more powerful among the rare exoplanet specimens known as “hot Jupiters”: massive worlds orbiting much closer to their host stars than Mercury does to the Sun. Unlike other known star systems (including our own), most hot Jupiter systems don’t have inner rocky planets.

Now, a new article by Juliette Becker in The Astrophysical Journal provides a possible explanation for why many hot Jupiter and other exoplanet systems look the way they do and might even help elucidate the formation of our own solar system.

“We are approaching the point of a unified giant planet formation model, which is super exciting.”

“One of the biggest open questions in planet formation theories is, Where do hot Jupiters come from?” said Becker, a planetary scientist at the University of Wisconsin–Madison.

In the new paper, she argues that the history of giant planets—and their sibling worlds—is very contingent on specific factors that determine whether the giant planets become hot Jupiters, warm Jupiters (at roughly Mercury’s distance from the Sun), or cold Jupiters (like the one in our solar system). In particular, Becker’s model shows that most hot Jupiters likely formed via an abrupt disturbance caused by a passing star or other massive object, while warm Jupiters move through their star systems via a slower process. The abrupt disturbance scenario also explains why inner planets are missing in hot Jupiter systems; the catastrophic migration of massive planets likely ejects them into interstellar space.

“The first formal question in the field of exoplanets was how hot Jupiters form,” said Brandon Radzom, a planetary scientist working jointly at Indiana University and the California Institute of Technology who was not involved in the research. “Three decades later, it feels like this field is maturing. We are approaching the point of a unified giant planet formation model, which is super exciting.”

Not Like Us

The first exoplanet discovered around an ordinary star was the hot Jupiter 51 Pegasi b, identified in 1995. As of 13 February 2026, astronomers have identified 6,107 exoplanets, of which only a few hundred are hot Jupiters. The precise number isn’t certain, partly because there isn’t a consensus on where the division lies between “hot” and “warm” Jupiters, but data and theory suggest only about 0.5% of exoplanets are hot Jupiters.

“They’re pretty rare, and that’s interesting because it tells us something about planet formation and evolution,” Radzom said.

Despite their rarity, the combination of large mass, large size, and small orbit makes hot Jupiters easier to observe than more common exoplanets. Solar system–like exoplanets (including cold Jupiters) are quite difficult to spot because their size and orbital paths make them much fainter. Instead, a large number of known exoplanets are “super-Earths”: presumably rocky worlds more massive than Earth, orbiting in the same general part of their star systems as our inner planets.

According to current planetary research, super-Earths and other rocky worlds form close to their stars, while gas giants like Jupiter form in the outer parts of a star’s protoplanetary disk of gas and dust. They first form as a dense icy core, then accrete hydrogen and other gases until they reach a large size and mass.

“I think Jupiter could have become a hot Jupiter. Luckily for us, it didn’t.”

However, giant planets don’t eat up every bit of material in the protoplanetary disk. Models show they lose some of their orbital momentum to the remaining gas and dust, which brings them closer to their host star, a slow process known as disk migration. This is one possible way to make hot and warm Jupiters.

Another way to move Jupiter-like planets toward their host stars is tidal migration, which involves gravitational perturbation from a nearby star—because many stars form in clusters—or another giant planet in the same star system. This interference can knock planets into extremely elliptical orbits that carry them close to their host star, the same process that steers comets close to the Sun. However, Jupiter-like worlds are much bigger than comets, and the tidal forces acting on them circularize their orbits over time, resulting in hot Jupiters.

Becker’s model showed that the few hot Jupiters with companion planets probably formed via disk migration, while those without companion planets very likely came about via tidal migration. Using a similar analysis, she found that many warm Jupiters could not have formed via tidal migration within the lifetime of the universe.

“I think Jupiter could have become a hot Jupiter,” Becker said. “Luckily for us, it didn’t. For a Jupiter-mass planet to become a hot Jupiter, it would require an extra-giant planet or a stellar companion or something else that would perturb [its orbit].”

Instead, many researchers think Jupiter formed about 3.5 times as far from the Sun as Earth is, drifted closer to the Sun via disk migration, then was tugged to its current position through a gravitational push and pull between the Sun and Saturn, a hypothesis known as the Grand Tack. While Becker’s paper didn’t address the Grand Tack, she found intriguing patterns that could help scientists understand how every giant planet forms and migrates, which indirectly could reveal something about our own Jupiter—and Earth.

—Matthew R. Francis (@BowlerHatScience.org), Science Writer

Citation: Francis, M. R. (2026), Rare hot Jupiters could reveal how all giant planets form, Eos, 107, https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EO260070. Published on 26 February 2026. Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Boomerang Earthquakes Don’t Need Complex Faults

Thu, 02/26/2026 - 14:15
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: AGU Advances

Large earthquakes often release energy in complex ways, and some even produce boomerang ruptures that reverse direction within seconds during the same event. Such reversals can lead to stronger shaking because the fault releases energy in several bursts instead of in one continuous motion. Previously, this behavior was assumed to require geometrically complex faults with bends or branches.

Sun and Cattania [2026] show instead that faults can naturally alternate between continuous sliding and brief, traveling pulses of slip. When a rupture transitions between these modes, it can spontaneously generate a backward-moving front that fills in gaps in the slip. Boomerang earthquakes can occur on simple, straight faults when three common conditions coincide: velocity-weakening friction, rupture starting from one end rather than the center, and faults large enough for the rupture to propagate into regions of lower stress. Their model predicts that earthquakes with slower rupture speeds and lower stress drops are more prone to produce these reversals, consistent with characteristics observed in real events (e.g., the 2016 Moment Magnitude (Mw) 7.1 Romanche and 2021 Mw 7.0 Taitung earthquakes).

Because these conditions are widespread in nature, boomerang earthquakes may be far more common than we can usually detect, and the findings provide physical clues for identifying these hard-to-detect events. Although the study is theoretical, its results offer important insight into why large earthquakes behave in unexpectedly complex ways and how this complexity can influence seismic hazard.

Citation: Sun, Y., & Cattania, C. (2026). Back-propagating earthquakes on simple faults. AGU Advances, 7, e2025AV001649. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025AV001649

—Marcos Moreno, Editor, AGU Advances

Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
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