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Syndicate content Wiley: Geophysical Research Letters: Table of Contents
Table of Contents for Geophysical Research Letters. List of articles from both the latest and EarlyView issues.
Updated: 1 day 11 hours ago

A Deep Learning Approach to Extract Balanced Motions From Sea Surface Height Snapshot

Fri, 04/05/2024 - 11:40
Abstract

Extracting balanced geostrophic motions (BM) from sea surface height (SSH) observations obtained by wide-swath altimetry holds great significance in enhancing our understanding of oceanic dynamic processes at submesoscale wavelength. However, SSH observations derived from wide-swath altimetry are characterized by high spatial resolution while relatively low temporal resolution, thereby posing challenges to extract the BM from a single SSH snapshot. To address this issue, this paper proposes a deep learning model called the BM-UBM Network, which takes an instantaneous SSH snapshot as input and outputs the projection corresponding to the BM. Training experiments are conducted both in the Gulf Stream and South China Sea, and three metrics are considered to diagnose model's outputs. The favorable results highlight the potential capability of the BM-UBM Network to process SSH measurements obtained by wide-swath altimetry.

Why Does the October Effect Not Occur at Night?

Fri, 04/05/2024 - 11:03
Abstract

The October effect is known as a rapid and strong decrease in the signal amplitude of radio waves with very low frequency (VLF), reflected at the lowest edge of the ionosphere. This strong decrease can be observed only during the daytime. Although the October effect is long known, it is hardly investigated and its mechanism is still unknown. To get closer to a mechanism, we answer why the October effect does not occur during nighttime. Therefore, average characteristics of the October effect are obtained from different VLF transmitter-receiver combinations. The occurrence of the October effect is then compared with characteristics of the neutral atmosphere temperature at VLF reflection heights as it seems to act as a proxy for the unknown mechanism. The temperature shows an asymmetric seasonal behavior at daytime VLF reflection heights poleward of 50°N but not during the nighttime, resulting in the October effect.

Radiative Effect of Two Contrail Cirrus Outbreaks Over Western Europe Estimated Using Geostationary Satellite Observations and Radiative Transfer Calculations

Fri, 04/05/2024 - 10:29
Abstract

Estimation of the perturbation to the Earth's energy budget by contrail outbreaks is required for estimating the climate impact of aviation and verifying the climate benefits of proposed contrail avoidance strategies such as aircraft rerouting. Here we identified two successive large-scale contrail outbreaks developing in clear-sky conditions in geostationary and polar-orbiting satellite infrared images of Western Europe lasting from 22–23 June 2020. Their hourly cloud radiative effect, obtained using geostationary satellite cloud retrievals and radiative transfer calculations, is negative or weakly positive during daytime and positive during nighttime. The cumulative energy forcing of the two outbreaks is 7 PJ and −8.5 PJ, with uncertainties of 3 PJ, stemming each from approximately 15–20 flights over periods of 19 and 7 hr, respectively. This study suggests that an automated quantification of contrail outbreak radiative effect is possible, at least for contrails forming in clear sky conditions.

Stochastic Assessment of Dissolution at Fluid‐Mineral Interfaces

Fri, 04/05/2024 - 09:59
Abstract

Chemical weathering associated with dissolution/precipitation at interfaces between minerals and flowing fluids is key for the evolution of geologic systems, including groundwater contamination and storage capacity. Relying on Atomic Force Microscopy (AFM) yields reaction rates at nanoscale resolutions. Challenges limiting our ability to quantify heterogeneity associated with these processes include establishing reliable platforms allowing AFM imaging of real-time and in situ absolute material fluxes across mineral surfaces under continuous flow conditions to complement typically acquired surface topography images. We provide an experimental workflow and heterogeneous absolute rates at the nanoscale across the surface of a calcite crystal under dissolution. These high-quality experimental observations are then interpreted through a stochastic approach. The latter is geared to embed diverse kinetic modes driving the degree of spatial heterogeneity of the reaction and corresponding to different mechanistic processes documented across the crystal surface.

Decadal Evolution of Ice‐Ocean Interactions at a Large East Greenland Glacier Resolved at Fjord Scale With Downscaled Ocean Models and Observations

Fri, 04/05/2024 - 09:43
Abstract

In recent decades, the Greenland ice sheet has been losing mass through glacier retreat and ice flow acceleration. This mass loss is linked with variations in submarine melt, yet existing ocean models are either coarse global simulations focused on decadal-scale variability or fine-scale simulations for process-based investigations. Here, we unite these scales with a framework to downscale from a global state estimate (15 km) into a regional model (3 km) that resolves circulation on the continental shelf. We further downscale into a fjord-scale model (500 m) that resolves circulation inside fjords and quantifies melt. We demonstrate this approach in Scoresby Sund, East Greenland, and find that interannual variations in submarine melt at Daugaard-Jensen glacier induced by ocean temperature variability are consistent with the decadal changes in glacier ice dynamics. This study provides a framework by which coarse-resolution models can be refined to quantify glacier submarine melt for future ice sheet projections.

Forecasting Tropical Annual Maximum Wet‐Bulb Temperatures Months in Advance From the Current State of ENSO

Fri, 04/05/2024 - 09:14
Abstract

Humid heatwaves, characterized by high temperature and humidity combinations, challenge tropical societies. Extreme wet-bulb temperatures (TW) over tropical land are coupled to the warmest sea surface temperatures by atmospheric convection and wave dynamics. Here, we harness this coupling for seasonal forecasts of the annual maximum of daily maximum TW (TWmax). We develop a multiple linear regression model that explains 80% of variance in tropical mean TWmax and significant regional TWmax variances. The model considers warming trends and El Niño and Southern Oscillation indices. Looking ahead, the strong-to-very-strong El Niño at the end of 2023, with an Oceanic Niño Index of ∼2.0, suggests a 2024 tropical land mean TWmax of 26.2°C (25.9–26.4°C), and a 68% chance (24%–94%) of breaking existing records. This method also predicts regional TWmax in specific areas.

Weakened Seasonality of the Ocean Surface Mixed Layer Depth in the Southern Indian Ocean During 1980–2019

Fri, 04/05/2024 - 06:51
Abstract

Temporal and spatial variations in the ocean surface mixed layer are important for the climate and ecological systems. During 1980–2019, the Southern Indian Ocean (SIO) mixed layer depth (MLD) displays a basin-wide shoaling trend that is absent in the other basins within 40°S–40°N. The SIO MLD shoaling is mostly prominent in austral winter with deep climatology MLD, substantially weakening the MLD seasonality. Moreover, the SIO MLD changes are primarily caused by a southward shift of the subtropical anticyclonic winds and hence ocean gyre, associated with a strengthening of the Southern Annular Mode, in recent decades for both winter and summer. However, the poleward-shifted subtropical ocean circulation preferentially shoals the SIO MLD in winter when the meridional MLD gradient is sharp but not in summer when the gradient is flat. This highlights the distinct subtropical MLD response to meridional mitigation in winds due to different background oceanic conditions across seasons.

Critical Size of Silver Iodide Containing Glaciogenic Cloud Seeding Particles

Fri, 04/05/2024 - 06:13
Abstract

Cloud seeding is considered a practical but unproved method to enhance precipitation or suppress hail, due to insufficient knowledge of ice formation and evolution after seeding clouds with ice nucleating particles. This study investigates the size effects on the immersion freezing of aerosol produced from commercial silver iodide (AgI) containing flares at mixed-phase cloud temperatures from 243 to 267 K. Flare-generated aerosol exhibited comparable ice nucleation ability (INA) to pure AgI particles in the size range of 200 and 400 nm. Non-AgI impurities reduced the INA of flare-generated particles ≤90 nm, which is lower than pure AgI particles ≤40 nm. The critical mass ice-active site density of the generated aerosols (critical-n m ) was derived, indicating the minimum mass of AgI particles required for efficient ice nucleation. The new parameterization to predict critical-n m can serve as a reference to optimize the effectiveness of cloud-seeding materials for practical use.

Influence of Lowering Soot‐Water Contact Angle on Ice Nucleation of Ozone‐Aged Soot

Thu, 04/04/2024 - 11:08
Abstract

Organic-lean and organic-rich size-selected soot particles were exposed to a varying O3 concentration, progressively decreasing the soot-water contact angle (θ) to study its impact on ice nucleation (IN). The IN ability of fresh and O3-aged soot between 218 and 233 K was observed while monitoring the particle mass and size distributions. The properties of fresh and O3-aged bulk organic-lean soot samples with a low and high O3-adsorption were characterized for soot-water θ, chemical composition, functional groups, soot-water interaction ability and porosity. By retaining the soot porosity between aged and unaged samples, we demonstrate that a decrease in θ after O3-aging enhances organic-lean soot IN via pore condensation and freezing. Fresh organic-rich soot exhibits suppressed homogeneous freezing, but after O3-aging it freezes within uncertainty of the homogeneous freezing threshold of solution drops, because of increased hydrophilicity.

Counter‐Helical Magnetic Flux Ropes From Magnetic Reconnections in Space Plasmas

Thu, 04/04/2024 - 09:00
Abstract

Magnetic flux ropes are ubiquitous in various space environments, including the solar corona, interplanetary solar wind, and planetary magnetospheres. When these flux ropes intertwine, magnetic reconnection may occur at the interface, forming disentangled new ropes. Some of these newly formed ropes contain reversed helicity along their axes, diverging from the traditional flux rope model. We introduce new observations and interpretations of these newly formed flux ropes from existing Hall Magnetohydrodynamics model results. We first examine the time-varying local magnetic field direction at the impact interface to assess the likelihood of reconnection. Then we investigate the electric current system to describe the evolution of these structures, which potentially accelerate particles and heat the plasma. This study offers novel insights into the dynamics of space plasmas and suggests a potential solar wind heating source, calling for further synthetic observations.

Spatiotemporal Variation of the Cretaceous‐Eocene Arc Magmatism in Lhasa‐Tengchong Terrane

Wed, 04/03/2024 - 08:54
Abstract

It was recognized that two magmatic belts in the Lhasa-Tengchong terrane formed due to the Mesozoic-Cenozoic Tethyan evolution. Still, their spatiotemporal variations of magmatic flare-ups/lulls are rarely discussed. Here we use the new U-Pb and Lu-Hf isotopic data of captured zircons and a comprehensive data set to show that the flare-up of northern magmatic belt has peak ages of 110 Ma in central and northern Lhasa and 120 Ma in eastern Tengchong, possibly related to the tectonic transition from Meso- and Neo-Tethyan double subduction to Neo-Tethyan single subduction. For the southern magmatic belt, the flare-ups at 100–85 Ma and 65–45 Ma in eastern southern Lhasa indicate obvious juvenile crustal growth, while flare-ups at 75–45 Ma in western southern Lhasa and Tengchong record ancient crustal reworking. Such flare-up variations in the southern magmatic belt possibly resulted from asynchronous changes in the Neo-Tethyan slab dip.

Attribution of Terrestrial Near‐Surface Wind Speed Changes Across China at a Centennial Scale

Wed, 04/03/2024 - 07:48
Abstract

Near-surface wind speed (NSWS) over China shows multiple time-scale changes at a centennial scale, but the contributions of internal variability (IV), anthropogenic forcing (ANT), and natural forcing (NAT) to those changes remain unknown. This study investigated the contributions of IV, ANT, and NAT to NSWS changes at a centennial scale. Results show that the NSWS changes were attributed mainly to IV. IV not only modulated the interannual changes in NSWS but also determined the interdecadal transition in NSWS. The relative contributions of IV to the interannual and decadal NSWS exceeded 75.0%. ANT contributed particularly to the long-term reduction in NSWS; especially, it has contributed 55.0% of the reduction in NSWS since 1957, serving as the major contributor to the reduction in NSWS. NAT had a small-to-negligible effect on China's NSWS throughout the study period. This study enhances our understanding of NSWS changes at different time scales.

Evidence for SSW Triggered Q6DW‐Tide and Q6DW‐Gravity Wave Interactions Observed by Meteor Radars at 30°S

Wed, 04/03/2024 - 07:10
Abstract

An exceptionally strong westward propagating quasi-6-day wave (Q6DW) with zonal wavenumber 1 in connection with the rare 2019 Southern Hemispheric Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) is observed by two meteor radars at 30°S and is found to modulate and interact with the diurnal tide and gravity waves (GWs). The diurnal tide is amplified every 6 days and a prominent 21 hr child wave attributed to Q6DW-diurnal tide nonlinear interaction occurs. Q6DW modulation on GWs is confirmed as the 4–5 day periodicity in GW variances. Simultaneously, the Q6DW appears to shift its period toward the periodicity of the modulated GW variances. Enhancement is also observed in the first results of meteor radar observed Q6DW Eliassen-Palm flux, which may facilitate the global perturbation and persistence of this Q6DW. We conclude that the observed SSW triggered Q6DW-tide and Q6DW-GW interactions play an important role in coupling the lower atmospheric forcings to ionospheric variabilities.

Methanogen‐Mediated Precipitation of Mn Carbonates at the Expense of Mn Oxides

Tue, 04/02/2024 - 08:34
Abstract

Whether Mn carbonates can be used as a proxy for the oxygenation event is debated. Here we examined the Early Cretaceous lacustrine Mn carbonates from North China, which contain abundant microbial fossils. The extremely positive δ13C (up to +15‰ relative to Vienna Peedee belemnite) and micro-area enrichment of Ni strongly indicate a methanogenic archaea origin of these microorganisms. Transmission electron microscope and electron energy loss spectroscopy show the nanoscale transformation of Mn-oxides (Mg-exchanged phyllomanganate) to Mn carbonates (kutnohorite), on extracellular polymeric substances. The reaction of the Mn oxides with organic matter resulted in increasing pH and alkalinity, together with the fluctuating pH, offering a suitable micro-environment for the transformation processes. These Mn carbonates are therefore indicative of an oxidized, sulfate-absent environment. The depicted scenario serves as a reference to ocean of the early Earth and provides a referable Mn oxide tracer for determining the emergence of the Great Oxidation Event.

Chemistry Contribution to Stratospheric Ozone Depletion After the Unprecedented Water‐Rich Hunga Tonga Eruption

Tue, 04/02/2024 - 05:39
Abstract

Following the Hunga Tonga–Hunga Ha'apai (HTHH) eruption in January 2022, stratospheric ozone depletion was observed at Southern Hemisphere mid-latitudes and over Antarctica during the 2022 austral wintertime and springtime, respectively. The eruption injected sulfur dioxide and unprecedented amounts of water vapor into the stratosphere. This work examines the chemistry contribution of the volcanic materials to ozone depletion using chemistry-climate model simulations with nudged meteorology. Simulated 2022 ozone and nitrogen oxide (NOx = NO + NO2) anomalies show good agreement with satellite observations. We find that chemistry yields up to 4% ozone destruction at mid-latitudes near ∼70 hPa in August and up to 20% ozone destruction over Antarctica near ∼80 hPa in October. Most of the ozone depletion is attributed to internal variability and dynamical changes forced by the eruption. Both the modeling and observations show a significant NOx reduction associated with the HTHH aerosol plume, indicating enhanced dinitrogen pentoxide hydrolysis on sulfate aerosol.

Mesoscale Eddy Variability Enhances Fixed Nitrogen Loss and Suppresses Nitrous Oxide Production in Oxygen Minimum Zones

Mon, 04/01/2024 - 10:35
Abstract

Within oxygen minimum zones, anaerobic processes transform bioavailable nitrogen (N) into the gases dinitrogen (N2) and nitrous oxide (N2O), a potent greenhouse gas. Mesoscale eddies in these regions create heterogeneity in dissolved N tracers and O2 concentrations, influencing nonlinear N cycle reactions that depend on them. Here, we use an eddy-resolving model of the Eastern Tropical South Pacific to show that eddies enhance N2 production by between 43% and 64% at the expense of reducing N2O production by between 94% and 104% due to both the steep increase of progressive denitrification steps at vanishing oxygen, and the more effective inhibition of N2O consumption relative to production. Our findings reveal the critical role of eddies in shaping the N cycle of oxygen minimum zones, which is not currently represented by coarse models used for climate studies.

Detection and Attribution of Human‐Perceived Warming Over China

Mon, 04/01/2024 - 09:18
Abstract

While previous studies have largely focused on anthropogenic warming characterized by surface air temperature, little is known about the behaviors of human-perceived temperature (HPT), which describe the “feels-like” equivalent temperature by considering the joint effects of temperature, humidity and/or wind speed. Here we adopted an optimal fingerprinting method to compare seasonal mean HPTs in China with those from simulations conducted with multiple climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6. We found clear anthropogenic signals in the observational records of changes in both summer and winter HPTs over the period 1971–2020. Moreover, the anthropogenic greenhouse gas influence was robustly detected, with clear separation from natural and anthropogenic aerosol forcings. The anthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing plays the dominant role (>90%) of human-perceived warming. Urbanization effects contribute slightly and moderately to the estimated trends in summer and winter HPTs, respectively, in addition to the effects of external forcing.

Factors Contributing to Historical and Future Trends in Arctic Precipitation

Mon, 04/01/2024 - 09:15
Abstract

The Arctic is notable as a region where the greatest rate of increase in precipitation associated with global warming is anticipated. The Arctic precipitation simulated by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 models showed a strong increasing trend since the 1980s. We found that the forcing factor of the trend is a combination of the continued strengthening of greenhouse gas forcing and the leveling off of aerosol forcing dominated in earlier periods. From an energetic perspective, we found that the increased atmospheric radiative cooling and reduced sensible heat transport from lower latitudes contributed equally to the recent increase in Arctic precipitation. The combination of these two energetic factors suggests a doubling of the Arctic amplification factor for precipitation relative to that for temperature. Future Arctic precipitation will change in proportion to the temperature change, and the fractional contributions of the energetic factors will remain stable across various scenarios.

Continued Convergence After the Occurrence of a Slab Break‐Off: The Case of the Cyprian Arc

Mon, 04/01/2024 - 08:18
Abstract

The detachment (i.e., break-off) of down-going subducting oceanic slabs is a major geodynamic event with far-reaching consequences, one of which is the reduction of the slab pull force acting on the trailing plate. We investigate the motion of the Sinai Microplate where a recent (∼1 Myr ago) slab break-off occurred along its sole converging plate boundary (Cyprian Arc) with the overriding Anatolia Microplate. Based on new bathymetric mapping, high-resolution seismic reflection imaging, geodetic and earthquake data, we show that Sinai is actively moving in a northwest direction with respect to Nubia. Our results indicate that despite the recent slab break-off, Sinai has and is still being pulled (or pushed) toward the overriding Anatolia Microplate. The continued convergence possibly occurs because of a persistent slab pull force, a suction force induced by the down-going detached slab and/or by the upper mantle flow induced by the Afar Plume.

Role of Ice Mechanics on Snow Viscoplasticity

Sat, 03/30/2024 - 18:24
Abstract

The porous structure of snow becomes denser with time under gravity, primarily due to the creep of its ice matrix with viscoplasticity. Despite investigation of this behavior at the macroscopic scale, the driving microscopic mechanisms are still not well understood. Thanks to high-performance computing and dedicated solvers, we modeled snow elasto-viscoplasticity with 3D images of its microstructure and different mechanical models of ice. The comparison of our numerical experiments to oedometric compression tests measured by tomography showed that ice in snow rather behaves as a heterogeneous set of ice crystals than as homogeneous polycrystalline ice. Similarly to dense ice, the basal slip system contributed at most, in the simulations, to the total snow deformation. However, in the model, the deformation accommodation between crystals was permitted by the pore space and did not require any prismatic and pyramidal slips, whereas the latter are pre-requisite for the simulation of dense ice.

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