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Magma displacement triggered tens of thousands of earthquakes, Santorini swarm study finds

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 09/24/2025 - 15:00
Tens of thousands of earthquakes shook the Greek island of Santorini and the surrounding area at the beginning of the year. Now, researchers have published a comprehensive geological analysis of the seismic crisis in the journal Nature.

中国推进现代农业,小农户面临风险

EOS - Wed, 09/24/2025 - 14:47
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: Community Science

This is an authorized translation of an Eos article. 本文是Eos文章的授权翻译。

在中国,通过大规模耕作实现农业现代化的努力,将许多参与了全国大部分粮食生产的小农户推到了边缘。一个颇具前景的解决方案是“循环农业”,它通过鼓励大规模和小规模农业经营之间的合作,重点关注可持续性、生产力和农村经济发展。

Community Science期刊关于可持续农业跨学科合作的特刊中,Li 和 Nielsen[2025]研究了中国西南部一个将柚子种植与养猪相结合的循环农业项目。作者对小农户、政府官员、金融机构员工以及其他各类利益相关者进行了35次访谈,了解了该模式面临的各种利益和风险。

他们的研究结果表明,地方政府在搭建合作平台方面发挥着关键作用,而农业合作社则是商务管理的核心。该研究还揭示了政府参与往往出于政治动机,小农户在决策过程中可能失去自主权和公平代表权等挑战。作者建议,要使循环农业真正惠及每个人,小农户需要有话语权和权力来决定自己的未来,而不能让自己的利益受到侵犯。

Citation: Li, H., & Nielsen, J. Ø. (2025). Smallholders, capital, and circular agriculture—The case of combined pomelo and pig farming in southwest China. Community Science, 4, e2025CSJ000127. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025CSJ000127

—Claire Beveridge, Editor, Community Science

Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

More than half of world's coastal settlements retreating from rising seas, study shows

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 09/24/2025 - 14:33
Human settlements around the world are moving inland and relocating away from coastlines as sea levels rise and coastal hazards grow more severe, but a new international study shows the poorest regions are being forced to stay put or even move closer to danger.

The Ganges River is drying at an unprecedented rate, new study finds

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 09/24/2025 - 13:34
The Ganges River is in crisis. This lifeline for around 600 million people in India and neighboring countries is experiencing its worst drying period in 1,300 years. Using a combination of historical data, paleoclimate records and hydrological models, researchers from IIT Gandhinagar and the University of Arizona discovered that human activity is the main cause. They also found that the current drying is more severe than any recorded drought in the river's history.

Major Droughts Coincided with Classic Maya Collapse

EOS - Wed, 09/24/2025 - 10:55

A stalagmite in a Yucatán cave has provided new insight into the role drought may have played in Maya sociopolitical shifts more than 1,000 years ago. A recent analysis of a rainfall proxy in the Maya lowlands revealed that several episodes of severe, prolonged drought occurred during the Maya Terminal Classic Period (roughly 800–1000 CE), a time when large urban centers experienced major sociopolitical shifts.

The researchers suggest that just as climate change acts as a threat multiplier today, drought may have amplified existing troubles in Maya political centers like Chichén Itzá and Uxmal and added climate stress to societies already under pressure.

“These climate events would have affected each individual site in a very specific way depending on the resilience of that site at that time,” said lead researcher Daniel James, who studies paleoenvironmental reconstruction at University College London. “Hopefully the precision of this record allows that [analysis] to be done at individual sites…then we can really start to build up a picture of what I am certain will be a wide variety of societal responses to climate change across this time and across the region.”

Extended Droughts During Wet Seasons

During the Maya Terminal Classic Period, several Maya city-states in the southern lowlands (in modern-day Mexico, Belize, and Guatemala) experienced sociopolitical upheaval, site abandonment, and depopulation. Political and cultural centers shifted northward. Although the societal changes are clear in the archaeological record, there is still widespread debate about the potential drivers of these shifts as well as why some city-states survived while others did not.

This map of the Maya lowlands in Yucatán marks sites of prior paleoclimate studies with white squares, with this study’s site, Grutas Tzabnah, marked with an X. White circles denote Northern Maya Lowland sites, and stars denote sites of interest to this study. The land is shaded on the basis of its elevation in meters above sea level (m asl). Blue contours outline modeled mean annual total rainfalls from 1979 to 2022 in millimeters per year. Credit: James et al., 2025, https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adw7661, CC BY 4.0

Drought comes up often in these debates as a potential destabilizer: Insufficient or unpredictable rainfall can lead to food instabilities, trade disruptions, disease, and even military conflicts. But previous paleoclimate studies failed to precisely pin down the timings and durations of droughts in the Maya lowlands during the Terminal Classic Period, James said.

James and his colleagues trekked to a cave called Grutas Tzabnah, in the state of Yucatán, Mexico, located near several large Classic Maya sites, including Chichén Itzá and Uxmal. This cave has been sought out before for paleoclimate studies of the region because of its accessibility and well-preserved cave formations. What’s more, Grutas Tzabnah is also a relatively shallow cave, which means that water does not take long to drip into the cave from ground level.

The researchers chose a stalagmite that has been growing for thousands of years and shows distinct annual growth layers. This particular stalagmite grew fast in the layers that dated back to the Maya Terminal Classic Period, James said, so the team was able to collect 10–20 data points within each annual layer to determine subannual, seasonal rainfall.

Researchers Daniel James (left), Ola Kwiecien (center), and David Hodell (right) install a drip water autosampler in Grutas Tzabnah to analyze seasonal changes in drip chemistry. Credit: Sebastian Breitenbach, 2022

“You can see wet seasons and dry seasons in our record, whereas previous records from the same cave are looking at annual average rainfall,” James said. “Wet season rainfall is what determines the success or failure of agriculture, as opposed to annual average.”

They measured the ages of the layers using uranium-thorium radiometric dating and rainfall quantity using a stable oxygen isotope ratio, δ18O, within calcite. Stalagmite samples that recorded a lower δ18O indicate more rainfall, while higher δ18O indicates less rainfall. The team calibrated their paleoclimate calculations with modern rainwater and cave drip measurements over a few years to ensure that they could convert the stalagmite’s δ18O measurements to rainfall.

From 871 to 1021, the stalagmite recorded eight extreme droughts during wet seasons, each lasting at least 3 years. A 4-year drought that started in 894 was interrupted by a single wet year and was followed by another 5 years of wet-season drought. A few decades later, the region had experienced 13 consecutive years of wet-season drought (929–942), longer than any multiyear drought in local historical records. This research was published in Science Advances in August.

“The chronology makes this one of the most detailed paleoclimate records available for understanding human-climate interactions during the Maya collapse period.”

“This new study represents a significant advancement in our understanding of Terminal Classic drought patterns, primarily due to its exceptional temporal resolution and robust age control with uncertainties of just a few years,” said Sophie Warken, who studies speleothems and climate variability at Universität Heidelberg in Germany and was not involved with this research.

“This high-resolution approach enables the authors to examine the timing and duration of individual drought episodes very precisely, which previous studies could only identify as broad periods of drying,” Warken added. “The chronology makes this one of the most detailed paleoclimate records available for understanding human-climate interactions during the Maya collapse period.”

One Piece of the Puzzle

While this rainfall record is a big step forward, Warken said that she would like to see it verified using additional proxies like trace elements, as well as a longer modern calibration period. She would also like to see this record extended to before and after the Terminal Classic Period to gauge whether those droughts were truly exceptional for the region.

“Such expanded paleoclimate networks could also provide crucial baselines for assessing recent and future climate changes in this vulnerable region,” she added.

Despite the fact that the extended droughts coincide with major societal shifts, James cautioned that this does not mean that drought caused these changes or were even the most important factor.

“I would love for this data to be used to pick apart individual stories from individual sites of resilience and survival, as well as the stories of disintegration of systems and abandonment and loss of population.”

“Other hardships like famine, disease, and internal violence could have been caused by drought or indeed could have been ongoing beforehand and made the society more susceptible to and less prepared for climate hardship,” James said.

Importantly, archaeological evidence suggests that two Maya cities near this cave, Chichén Itzá and the regional capital of Uxmal, did not decline at the same rate. (Uxmal declined much more rapidly.) Understanding the pressures that the two cities experienced, including drought, will be key to creating a holistic picture of how the cities functioned during the Terminal Classic Period.

“While climate stress likely played an important role in the Terminal Classic transformations,” Warken said, “the Maya’s response to drought was probably mediated by existing social, political, and economic vulnerabilities that varied between different centers and regions.”

“It could be how well were they ruled, how rigid or flexible was their political system, how good was their water management at the time,” James said.

“I would love for this data to be used to pick apart individual stories from individual sites of resilience and survival, as well as the stories of disintegration of systems and abandonment and loss of population,” he added.

—Kimberly M. S. Cartier (@astrokimcartier.bsky.social), Staff Writer

Citation: Cartier, K. M. S. (2025), Major droughts coincided with Classic Maya collapse, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250361. Published on 24 September 2025. Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Free-Roaming Bison Graze Life into Grasslands

EOS - Wed, 09/24/2025 - 10:47

By the end of the 19th century, most of the estimated 30 million to 60 million bison roaming North America’s Great Plains had been eradicated, forever changing the landscapes that they lumbered across. Today, only about 400,000 bison remain in North America, and 95% of those animals are raised and managed for meat production. The remaining bison live in carefully controlled conservation settings, such as Yellowstone National Park.

Though existing research suggests that grazing bison can diversify habitats and drive nutrient cycling and productivity, studying how they shape larger, ecosystem-scale landscapes has been difficult. A new study conducted in Yellowstone does just that, showing how bison grazing boosts nitrogen cycling and improves plant health to create resilient grasslands.

Yellowstone offers a unique national laboratory for the study because the 5,000 bison who call the park home range freely along a 50-mile (80-kilometer) migration route. Their migration is a reminder of a time when millions of these massive herbivores roamed the continent.

Grazing Helps the Grass Grow

Researchers measured the plant productivity of 16 Yellowstone sites between 2015 and 2022. These sites spanned across lawn-like valley bottoms, which were grazed throughout grass-growing seasons; dry hillsides, which were grazed in spring, fall, and winter (depending on snowpack); and high-elevation wet areas, which were grazed from early summer until frosts arrived.

“Bison are true grazers. They put their heads down and just do their thing.”

Though other species subsist on these grasses, cameras and GPS data from tracking collars showed bison were the primary grazing animals in these locations. “Bison are true grazers. They put their heads down and just do their thing, whereas elk and mule deer and pronghorn are a little more selective in what they eat,” said study author Bill Hamilton, an ecologist at Washington and Lee University.

To compare areas of vegetation that were and were not grazed by bison, researchers constructed a series of movable “exclosures” that kept bison out of 9-square-meter areas. Some of the exclosures remained fixed in place from April, when snowpack melts and new plants emerge, to October, the time when grasses stop growing. Moveable exclosures, shifted every 30 days, followed the bison along their migration path.

By comparing fenced and unfenced areas, researchers were able to estimate how much biomass had been eaten. The missing biomass was added back into the productivity total to give a fuller picture of plant production. “It would be like if each time you mow your lawn and put it into a bag and then you weighed that pile at the end of the summer, you would know how much your grass you actually grew,” said Hamilton.

Having thousands of large animals grazing at once may seem like it would inhibit plant growth, but the study showed the opposite effects. As bison graze, they speed up the nitrogen cycle in the plants and soil around them. Urine is one concentrated source of nitrogen, and as it enters the soil, enzymes and microbes break it down into ammonia, which is then converted to ammonium. Some plants absorb the ammonium directly, and microbes further convert some of the ammonium into nitrate that is absorbed by other plants.

Populations of ammonium-oxidizing bacteria were concentrated more highly in heavily grazed areas, leading to more available nitrogen for plant growth. Researchers determined nitrogen levels by burying reverse osmosis membranes in the ground and measuring the amount of ammonium and nitrate collected on the membrane after 30 days.

The large amounts of bison urine and feces entering the soil weren’t the only cause of increased nitrogen, Hamilton explained. “We found differences in the amount of nitrogen in the leaf tissue above ground. But where’s it coming from? It’s coming from the nitrogen cycle that’s being stimulated by the grazing.”

Mutually Beneficial

When a bison chomps off the top of a patch of grass, the plants quickly release carbon into the soil through their roots to regrow their lost tissue. The carbon stimulates the microbes belowground to accelerate decomposition and nutrient cycling. “In 7 days, there’s more nitrogen in the leaf tissue of that [grazed] plant than a comparable ungrazed plant,” said Hamilton. “The key is that plants are not passive in this process.”

“Animals, through their natural behavior of congregating and eating and hanging out, are changing the way plant communities grow and respond.”

Increased nitrogen in the grasses means more nutritious food for Yellowstone’s migrating bison herds and resident ruminants: The rise in nitrogen translated to a 156% crude protein increase in lawn-like grasslands, a 155% increase in high-elevation habitats, and a 119% increase in dry areas.

“What this study tells me is that what’s happening in Yellowstone is very special,” said Tyler Kartzinel, an ecologist at Brown University who was not part of the study. “Animals, through their natural behavior of congregating and eating and hanging out, are changing the way plant communities grow and respond. And that has cascading effects on nutrient cycling and the functioning of the entire ecosystem.”

Yellowstone and Beyond

Yellowstone’s free-roaming bison herds provide a glimpse at the past, but they also might offer insight into how to preserve and improve grasslands in the future, the study authors suggest. When large groups of herbivores move freely across landscapes—like wildebeest in the Serengeti and caribou in Alaska—they can influence the broader ecosystem in a positive way.

Restoring bison in large-scale settings allows them to fulfill not only significant ecological roles but cultural roles as well. “That’s important for Indigenous tribes that have spiritual and cultural connections to these animals,” said Hamilton.

Besides Yellowstone, few places exist in North America to study how large grazing animals affect the land that sustains them. The nonprofit American Prairie aims eventually to connect 3.2 million acres (about 1.3 million hectares) of grasslands and host thousands of free-roaming bison in Montana—offering another venue where bison could migrate and interact with plants and soil on a large scale. “This study says it could work,” said Hamilton.

—Rebecca Owen (@beccapox.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: Owen, R. (2025), Free-roaming bison graze life into grasslands, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250355. Published on 24 September 2025. Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Supercritical subsurface fluids open a window into the world

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 09/24/2025 - 09:00
Researchers have built on past studies and introduced new methods to explore the nature and role of subsurface fluids, including water, in the instances and behaviors of earthquakes and volcanoes. Their study suggests that water, even heavy rainfall, can play a role in or even trigger seismic events. This could potentially lead to better early warning systems.

A morphological study of sporadic E layer occurrence using recent COSMIC-2 radio occultation observations (2020-2024)

Publication date: Available online 17 September 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Xue Chen, Na Yang, Yifan Qi

Modification of Size Estimation of Earthquake Precursor Manifestation Zones Referring to LCAI Coupling and Seismic Strain Radius Calculations

Publication date: Available online 15 September 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Rabia Rasheed, Biyan Chen, Wenfei Mao, Syed Amer Mahmood, Wu Lixin

Ionospheric Slant Total Electron Content Mapping Algorithm: IONOLAB-SMAP

Publication date: Available online 15 September 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Meltem Koroglu, Ozan Koroglu, Feza Arikan, Orhan Arikan

Interhemispheric and Latitudinal Variability of Ionospheric Disturbances During the 19-20 December 2015 Geomagnetic Storm: Insights from the South American Sector

Publication date: Available online 13 September 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Oladayo O. Afolabi, Claudia M.N. Candido, F. Becker-Guedes, Christine Amory-Mazaudier, Rolland Fleury

Characterization of the ionosphere response to the X1.3 solar event occurred on 30 March 2022

Publication date: Available online 13 September 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Emilia Correia, Eduardo P. Macho, Juliano Moro, Alessandro J. de Abreu, Christiano G.M. Brum, José H. Fernandez, Gareth Chisham, José V. Bageston

Cracking the code of kimberlite eruptions: How diamonds make their rapid ascent

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 09/23/2025 - 18:11
If you've ever held or beheld a diamond, there's a good chance it came from a kimberlite. Over 70% of the world's diamonds are mined from these unique volcanic structures. Yet despite decades of study, scientists are still working to understand how exactly kimberlites erupt from deep in Earth's mantle to the surface.

Solving the mystery of whether a Bolivian salt flat is the world's largest natural mirror

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 09/23/2025 - 17:10
The largest salt flat in the world is Salar de Uyuni in Bolivia, a popular tourist attraction due to its stunning mirror-like surface when covered with a thin layer of water. While considered by many to be the "world's largest natural mirror," this claim had not been scientifically verified. Now, in a study published in the journal Communications Earth & Environment, scientists set out to confirm the effect and discovered that the surface is more complex than previously thought.

Human activity is choking Oman's fragile desert rivers, scientists warn

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 09/23/2025 - 16:11
Ephemeral desert rivers known as wadis—lifelines for biodiversity and water in some of the world's driest landscapes—are being dangerously constricted by human activity, new research has found.

Running dry: New study warns of extreme water scarcity in the coming decades

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 09/23/2025 - 15:50
A new study published in the journal Nature Communications by researchers from the IBS Center for Climate Physics (ICCP) at Pusan National University in the Republic of Korea reveals that global warming is accelerating the risk of multi-year droughts that can lead to extreme water scarcity, threatening water demands in cities, agriculture, and livelihoods worldwide, already within the coming decades.

Earth system engineering: New concept sheds light on how living organisms shape ecosystems on a global scale

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 09/23/2025 - 15:00
University of Nebraska–Lincoln's S. Kathleen Lyons is providing a new framework—Earth system engineering—for examining how organisms, including humans, have fundamentally altered ecosystems on a global scale across hundreds, thousands or millions of years.

Andes glaciers grew during Younger Dryas period, study finds

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 09/23/2025 - 13:31
Andean glaciers advanced during an acute period of climate change at the end of the last Ice Age, new research has found.

“Passion Project” Reveals Auckland’s Hidden Urban Faults

EOS - Tue, 09/23/2025 - 12:25

For decades, as Jill Kenny drove around her hometown of Tāmaki Makaurau Auckland, Aotearoa New Zealand, the now-retired geologist and geomorphologist wondered about the shape of the landscape. Auckland, the country’s largest urban area, is located on a volcano-studded isthmus on the North Island. Obvious volcanic mounds aside, why does the city have the shape it does?

Kenny noticed similar flat, eroded surfaces at different heights above sea level and one day in 2004 had an aha moment: Maybe these surfaces were at different elevations because they had been offset by faults. In other places, scientists can trace the echo of fault lines in the landscape or through seismic data, but Auckland has few earthquakes and is covered over by a patchwork of small lava flows and ash deposits, as well as by a modern concrete jungle.

Were there faults hidden beneath the city, and could any of them still be active?

A Passion Project

For years, Kenny trawled through paper and digital records detailing data culled from boreholes drilled through the lava and into Auckland’s underlying sedimentary rock. The boreholes were part of geotechnical investigations conducted for construction purposes and resulted in a total of 2,000 logs.

In those records was evidence of Miocene epoch layers of sandstone and mudstone called the Waitematā Group. The top of this layer, which eroded between 15 million and 5 million years ago, is the “only potential marker horizon that can be followed with any certainty across the Auckland region,” wrote Kenny and University of Auckland volcanologist Jan Lindsay in a 2012 paper describing the borehole research. That study identified a number of previously hidden faults under Auckland, as indicated by adjacent boreholes showing the surface suddenly raised or lowered along a consistent line.

In the years since Kenny and Lindsay’s 2012 paper, Auckland borehole data have proliferated. Logs that were once closely guarded by companies and organizations have been brought together in the New Zealand Geotechnical Database.

“Every little extra piece of information adds to the overall jigsaw puzzle,” said Lindsay.

Now, in a new study published in the New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics, Kenny, Lindsay, and colleagues have used information from 8,200 boreholes in addition to new remote sensing and geophysical data to provide a revised model of post-Miocene faulting in the Auckland region. The model includes a new geospatial database, fault maps, and a suggested standard methodology for classifying obscured urban faults. The research identifies 10 likely and 25 possible faults in the region and erases some nonfaults that have been incorrectly propagated through the literature for decades.

Jill Kenny and colleagues trawled through data from 8,000 urban boreholes to identify 10 likely and 25 possible faults under Auckland. Credit: Kenny et al., 2025, https://doi.org/10.1080/00288306.2025.2519722, CC BY-NC-ND 4.0

“This paper is really a passion project,” said Lindsay. “It was a long, painstaking process, but we think we’ve ended up with a really robust catalog of buried faults in Auckland with a range of different confidences attached to them.”

Finding Urban Faults

While earthquakes are among the deadliest threats to urban areas, cities are tricky places to find faults, said Nicolas Harrichausen, who studies crustal deformation at the University of Alaska Anchorage but was not involved in the New Zealand research. Surface offsets can be just a few meters across, and when a shopping center, road, high-rise, or house is built, evidence of the fault is erased.

Another problem is access. “Say you do find something that is interesting—you can’t go dig a trench in somebody’s yard or dig up a street in the name of finding a potential fault,” said Harrichausen, who recently discovered an active fault in the city of Victoria on Vancouver Island, Canada.

Finally, seismic surveying is one of the most common fault-finding methods, and cities are just seismically noisy places. Vibrations from construction and highways consistently interfere with seismic signals. Some cities restrict or even ban seismic surveys for ecological reasons.

However, cities do have some advantages when compared to places like the extremely remote Alaskan fault he’s currently investigating, Harrichausen said: People are already digging lots of holes.

The new Auckland borehole database is a great starting point for research into the geomorphology of the region, Harrichausen said, but because of the ancient age of the marker horizon, “for earthquake hazard, it’s just kind of a baseline.” The United States considers a fault active if it’s ruptured in the past 12,000 years. In New Zealand, it’s 125,000 years. So far, the faults Kenny and Lindsay have identified can be constrained only to the past 5 million or so years.

“It may be that none of [the suggested Auckland faults] are active,” Lindsay acknowledged. “But we need to better understand our faults and how active they are in order to work out what our actual seismic risk is.”

The study has revealed several compelling candidates for further investigation, she said, including one fault near the peninsula suburb of Bucklands Beach, where offset evidence from the boreholes lines up with a visible scarp through a golf course. “If I were studying faults in Auckland, that’s where I would start,” said Harrichausen.

Where Magma Meets Fault

Even if none of the Auckland faults turn out to be active, for Lindsay, a volcanologist who leads the transdisciplinary Determining Volcanic Risk in Auckland project, the fault maps and database are also the starting point for another line of inquiry with significant implications for the people of the city.

“We need to know as much as we can about the rocks beneath our feet.”

The new maps show that the region’s volcanoes consistently erupted near the faults and associated structures, but not right along them. “Volcanologists are not in agreement as to whether magma prefers to move along faults or whether it prefers to move between faults,” said Lindsay. There seems to be some relationship between the structural fabric of the region and its volcanism, she and her coauthors wrote.

“In order to better understand the active volcanoes in Auckland, we need to know what the subsurface looks like,” Lindsay said. “We need to know the structure, we need to know where the faults are—we need to know as much as we can about the rocks beneath our feet.”

—Kate Evans (@kategevans.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: Evans, K. (2025), “Passion project” reveals Auckland’s hidden urban faults, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250354. Published on 23 September 2025. Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Marine Protected Areas Show Promise for Kelp Forest Recovery

EOS - Tue, 09/23/2025 - 12:24

Kelp forests are underwater jungles and some of Earth’s most productive ecosystems, absorbing carbon, providing refuge for a myriad of marine life, and buffering vulnerable shoreline communities and infrastructure. But kelp ecosystems are under increasing climate stress and have been whittled down by overgrazing urchins as key food webs have collapsed.

“Our results suggest that kelp canopy can be a useful indicator of ecosystem resilience within MPAs under climate stress.”

New research led by a team from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) and published in the Journal of Applied Ecology examines the effects of marine protected areas (MPAs) on giant and bull kelp forests off the coast of California. When comparing kelp in protected and unprotected waters, researchers found only modest differences in the surface layer of fronds. Following climate disturbances like marine heat waves, however, kelp within MPAs proved far more resilient, especially in Southern California.

“Our results suggest that kelp canopy can be a useful indicator of ecosystem resilience within MPAs under climate stress,” said Emelly Ortiz-Villa, a graduate student at UCLA and lead author of the study.

California as a Bellwether

California’s kelp forest ecosystems are threatened by factors such as marine heat waves and imbalanced food webs. As sea surface temperatures get hotter, researchers say, California’s experience may be a bellwether for temperate ecosystems globally.

During a catastrophic marine heat wave that struck the California coast between 2014 and 2016, Northern California lost more than 90% of its kelp canopy, which wreaked havoc on marine food webs as well as coastal economies that rely on tourism and fishing.

Compounding the threat posed by marine heat waves is the purple sea urchin, an animal that can devour kelp faster than the seaweed can reproduce. Predators of the sea urchin, including sea stars and sea otters, face pressures, including disease and habitat loss. When urchins outnumber their predators, once lush and verdant kelp forests can become spindly outcrops nicknamed “urchin barrens.”

In the future, said Ortiz-Villa, “research should examine how multiple stressors interact to influence kelp forest recovery, so we can better pinpoint where and when MPAs are most effective at enhancing resilience.”

“What We Mean by Protected”

Marine managers have long sought tools to buy time for kelp forests to recover.

MPAs are one such tool. Many MPAs limit or ban extractive activities, including fishing, but until now, their effectiveness for kelp conservation remained understudied. Using 4 decades of Landsat imagery of the California coast, researchers compared 54 kelp forests in MPAs to those with similar environmental features in unprotected waters.

Following climate disturbances like the 2014–2016 marine heat wave, researchers found an 8.5% increase in kelp coverage in fishing-restricted MPAs. In these protected areas, healthy populations of predator species like California sheepshead and spiny lobsters helped control sea urchin populations that might otherwise have overwhelmed compromised kelp forests.

There’s “a growing body of evidence that we need to be more targeted in terms of what we mean by protected.”

Previous research established the value of MPAs for preserving biodiversity, but this study is among the first to document their advantage to kelp forests. “It’s important to demonstrate that there is an additional benefit of MPAs, and they can be an extra part of the toolbox for protecting kelp forests,” said Aaron Eger, director of the Kelp Forest Alliance and a postdoctoral fellow at the University of New South Wales in Australia who was not involved in the study.

While MPAs tend to follow guidelines established by the International Union for Conservation of Nature, their levels of protection and management can differ greatly. Reserves range from strictly protected “no-take” areas, where all extractive activities are prohibited, to “multiple-use” zones that accommodate fishing and industrial operations. Some MPAs even allow controversial bottom-trawling practices.

The differing standards are “part of a growing body of evidence that we need to be more targeted in terms of what we mean by protected,” said Eger.

—Amelia Macapia (@ameliamacapia), Science Writer

Citation: Macapia, A. (2025), Marine protected areas show promise for kelp forest recovery, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250350. Published on 23 September 2025. Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

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