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Old Forests in the Tropics Are Getting Younger and Losing Carbon

EOS - Thu, 10/02/2025 - 13:10

The towering trees of old forests store massive amounts of carbon in their trunks, branches, and leaves. When these ancient giants are replaced by a younger cohort after logging, wildfire, or other disturbances, much of this carbon stock is lost.

“We wanted to actually quantify what it means if an old forest becomes young.”

“We’ve known for a long time that forest age is a key component of the carbon cycle,” said Simon Besnard, a remote sensing expert at the GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences in Potsdam, Germany. “We wanted to actually quantify what it means if an old forest becomes young.”

The resulting study, published in Nature Ecology and Evolution, measured the regional net aging of forests around the world across all age classes between 2010 and 2020, as well as the impact of these changes on aboveground carbon.

To do this, the team developed a new high-resolution global forest age dataset based on more than 40,000 forest inventory plots, biomass and height measurements, remote sensing observations, and climate data. They combined this information with biomass data from the European Space Agency and atmospheric carbon dioxide observations.

The results point to large regional differences. While forests in Europe, North America, and China have aged during this time, those in the Amazon, Southeast Asia, and the Congo Basin were younger in 2020 than 10 years prior.

A number of recent studies have shown that forests are getting younger, but the new analysis quantifies the impact of this shift on a global level, said Robin Chazdon, a tropical forest ecologist at the University of the Sunshine Coast in Queensland, Australia, who was not involved in the study. “That’s noteworthy and a very important concept to grasp because this has global implications, and it points out where in the world these trends are strongest.”

Carbon Impact

The study identifies the tropics, home to some of the world’s oldest forests, as a key region where younger forests are replacing older ones.

In this image from 2020, old-growth forests are most evident in tropical areas in South America, Africa, and Southeast Asia. Credit: Besnard et al., 2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-4881-2021, CC BY 4.0

On average, forests that are at least 200 years old store 77.8 tons of carbon per hectare, compared to 23.8 tons per hectare in the case of forests younger than 20 years old.

The implications for carbon sequestration are more nuanced, however. Fast-growing young forests, for instance, can absorb carbon much more quickly than old ones, especially in the tropics, where the difference is 20-fold. But even this rate of sequestration is not enough to replace the old forests’ carbon stock.

Ultimately, said Besnard, “when it comes to a forest as a carbon sink, the stock is more important than the sink factor.”

“It’s usually more cost-, carbon-, and biodiversity-effective to keep the forest standing than it is to try to regrow it after the fact.”

In the study, only 1% of the total forest area transitioned from old to young, primarily in tropical regions. This tiny percentage, however, accounted for more than a third of the lost aboveground carbon documented in the research— approximately 140 million out of the total 380 million tons.

“It’s usually more cost-, carbon-, and biodiversity-effective to keep the forest standing than it is to try to regrow it after the fact. I think this paper shows that well,” said Susan Cook-Patton, a reforestation scientist at the Nature Conservancy in Arlington, Va., who was not involved in the study. “But we do need to draw additional carbon from the atmosphere, and putting trees back in the landscape represents one of the most cost-effective carbon removal solutions we have.”

The increased resolution and details provided by the study can help experts better understand how to manage forests effectively as climate solutions, she said. “But forest-based solutions are not a substitute for fossil fuel emissions reductions.”

Open Questions

When carbon stored in trees is released into the atmosphere depends on what happens after the trees are removed from the forest. The carbon can be stored in wooden products for a long time or released gradually through decomposition. Burning, whether in a forest fire, through slash-and-burn farming, or as fuel, releases the carbon almost instantly.

“I think there is a research gap here: What is the fate of the biomass being removed?” asked Besnard, pointing out that these effects have not yet been quantified on a global scale.

Differentiating between natural, managed, and planted forests, which this study lumps together, would also offer more clarity, said Chazdon: “That all forests are being put in this basket makes it a little bit more challenging to understand the consequences not only for carbon but for biodiversity.”

She would also like to see future research on forest age transitions focus on issues beyond carbon: “Biodiversity issues are really paramount, and it’s not as easy to numerically display the consequences of that as it is for carbon.”

“We are only looking at one metric, which is carbon, but a forest is more than that. It’s biodiversity, it’s water, it’s community, it’s many things,” agreed Besnard.

—Kaja Šeruga, Science Writer

Citation: Šeruga, K. (2025), Old forests in the tropics are getting younger and losing carbon, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250369. Published on 2 October 2025. Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

机器学习模拟千年气候

EOS - Thu, 10/02/2025 - 13:10
Source: AGU Advances

This is an authorized translation of an Eos article. 本文是Eos文章的授权翻译。

近年来,科学家们发现,基于机器学习的天气模型可以比传统模型更快地做出天气预测,且使用更少的能耗。然而,许多这些模型无法准确预测未来15天以上的天气,并且到第 60 天时就会开始模拟出不切实际的天气。

深度学习地球系统模型(Deep Learning Earth System Model,简称DLESyM)建立在两个并行运行的神经网络上:一个模拟海洋,另一个模拟大气。在模式运行期间,对海洋状况的预测每四个模式日更新一次。由于大气条件演变得更快,对大气的预测每12个模式小时更新一次。

该模型的创建者Cresswell-Clay 等人发现,DLESyM 与过去观测到的气候非常吻合,并能做出准确的短期预测。以地球当前的气候为基准,它还可以在不到 12 小时的计算时间内,准确模拟 1000 年周期内的气候和年际变化。它的性能通常与基于耦合模式比对计划第六阶段(CMIP6)的模型相当,甚至优于后者,CMIP6目前在计算气候研究中被广泛使用。

DLESyM 模型在模拟热带气旋和印度夏季季风方面优于 CMIP6 模型。它至少与 CMIP6 模型一样准确地捕捉了北半球大气“阻塞”事件的频率和空间分布,而这些事件可能导致极端天气。此外,该模型预测的风暴也非常真实。例如,在 1000 年模拟结束时(3016 年)生成的东北风暴的结构与 2018 年观测到的东北风暴非常相似。

然而,新模型和CMIP6 模型都无法很好地描述大西洋飓风 的气候特征。此外,对于中期预报(即未来 15 天左右的预报),DLESyM 的准确性低于其他机器学习模型。尤其重要的是,DLESyM 模型仅对当前气候进行模拟,这意味着它没有考虑人类活动引起的气候变化。

作者认为,DLESyM模型的主要优势在于,它比运行CMIP6 模型所需的计算成本要低得多,这使得它比传统模型更容易使用。(AGU Advances, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025AV001706, 2025)

—科学撰稿人Madeline Reinsel

This translation was made by Wiley. 本文翻译由Wiley提供。

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Text © 2025. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
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As California glaciers disappear, people will see ice-free peaks exposed for the first time in millennia

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 10/02/2025 - 09:32
For as long as there have been people in what is now California, the granite peaks of the Sierra Nevada have held masses of ice, according to new research that shows the glaciers have probably existed since the last Ice Age more than 11,000 years ago.

The aftermath of the Matai’an landslide and dam breach in Taiwan

EOS - Thu, 10/02/2025 - 07:54

Good digital data is now being published that presents the scale of landscape change that occurred as a result of the Matai’an landslide hazard cascade. There is also interesting information about the root causes of the vulnerability of the town of Guangfu, where the fatalities occurred.

Some interesting information is now emerging about the Matai’an landslide and dam breach, much of it published in Taiwan in Mandarin. A very interesting post has appeared on the website of the Aerial Survey and Remote Sensing Branch that uses aerial imagery before and after the hazard cascade to analyse terrain changes. It is based upon this figure that they have published:-

Vertical elevation change before and after the Matai’an landslide and dam breach. Published by ASRS in Taiwan.

This uses LIDAR data from before and after the sequence of events, which has been turned into one metre Digital Elevation Model, which have then been digitally compared. Note this gives vertical change.

In the source area of the landslide, where the topography is extremely steep, there is over 300 metres of elevation reduction. Downslope and in the area of the dam and lake, the elevation change is over 200 m of accumulation – this is the landslide debris, whivch will now be mobilised in successive rain storm events. In the main channel, the river bed has aggraded (increased in elevation) by over ten metres, although the analysis shows that at point C this was 52 metres! This is going to cause very substantial issues in the future unless a large scale mitigation exercise is undertaken.

The cross-section through the landslide is fascinating:-

A cross-section showing vertical elevation change before and after the Matai’an landslide and dam breach. Published by ASRS in Taiwan.

This shows extremely well the rupture surface of the failure, which clearly had a rotational element, and the infilling of the bedrock topography by the landslide debris. Meanwhile, there is a good helicopter video on Facebook that shows the aftermath of the dam breach.

On a different matter, there is a huge amount of discussion in Taiwan as to why so little effort was made to mitigate the hazard associated with a breach of the Matai-an landslide dam. Writing in the Taipei Times, Michael Turton has a great article exploring the socio-political reasons why this disaster played out as it did. The bottom line is that Guangfu was built on a floodplain – a problem in so many places, but particularly acute in the almost uniquely dynamic physical geography of Taiwan. Levees were built to protect the town, which caused the river to aggrade even before the dam break event. And thus, the scene was set.

Hazards can be natural, disasters are not.

Return to The Landslide Blog homepage Text © 2023. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
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Antarctic Sea ice emerges as key predictor of accelerated ocean warming

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 10/02/2025 - 06:00
A study published today in Earth System Dynamics provides a critical and previously underestimated connection between Antarctic sea ice, cloud cover, and global warming. This research is important because it shows that a greater extent of Antarctic sea ice today, compared to climate model predictions, means we can expect more significant global warming in the coming decades.

Satellite inspection flying using a Lorentz spacecraft

Publication date: Available online 24 September 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): M.A. Klyushin, A.A. Tikhonov

Analysis of the Differences between Galileo Satellite Code Biases and Their Impact on Ambiguity Resolution

Publication date: Available online 24 September 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Jun Huang, Xiaopeng Gong, Liwenle Liu, MengJiao LYU, Zheng Zhang, Shengfeng Gu, Yidong Lou

Land subsidence and groundwater storage change from decadal InSAR measurements in Southern Tangshan, China

Publication date: Available online 24 September 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Xuguo Shi, Yuan Jin, Daqing Ge, Wei Tang, Guijie Wang, Li Zhang, Shaocheng Zhang, Ling Zhang

Effect of Geomagnetic Storm Intensity on the Occurrence Rate of Large-Scale Ionospheric Irregularities Across Various Latitudes

Publication date: Available online 24 September 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Mukulika Mondal, Jitesh Barman, A.K. Singh

Four central climate components are losing stability, says study

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 10/01/2025 - 18:56
Four of the most important interconnected parts of the Earth's climate system are losing stability, according to a review article based on observational data published in Nature Geoscience. The researchers succeeded in highlighting the warning signals for destabilization of the Greenland Ice Sheet, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), the Amazon rainforest, and the South American monsoon system.

Deep-sea sediment cores reveal major ecological turnover before warming event 56 million years ago

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 10/01/2025 - 18:50
A large proportion of the carbon dioxide emissions that are currently being released into the atmosphere by human activities are absorbed by the surface ocean, making it more acidic. As a result, the tiny organisms (plankton), which lie at the base of the marine food web and make the surface ocean their home, are at risk. The fossil record can tell us how these plankton responded during ancient intervals of climatic change that were similarly associated with increased carbon dioxide emissions.

Sunlight worsens wildfire smoke pollution, study finds

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 10/01/2025 - 18:00
Wildfire smoke causes more air pollution than current atmospheric models can predict. A new study by researchers at King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST) and the Chinese Academy of Sciences explains why by revealing that, under sunlight, wildfire smoke particles act like tiny chemical factories, producing harmful oxidants such as peroxides, a group of highly reactive pollutants contributing to smog and haze.

Microplastics reduce soil fertility and boost production of a potent greenhouse gas, study shows

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 10/01/2025 - 16:56
More than 90% of plastic waste ends up in the soil, where it breaks down into microplastics that are invisible to the naked eye. Microplastic pollution of the soil poses a severe threat to soil health as it can harm essential microbial communities and reduce crop yields. The presence of these tiny plastics may also worsen climate change by boosting the production of greenhouse gases, according to a new study published in Environmental Science & Technology.

Python-based framework makes climate dynamics more approachable for students and researchers

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 10/01/2025 - 16:14
A team of researchers at the University of Miami has developed a global atmospheric modeling framework that blends powerful research capabilities with accessibility for students and scientists alike.

Science Agencies Shuttered in Government Shutdown

EOS - Wed, 10/01/2025 - 15:21
body {background-color: #D2D1D5;} Research & Developments is a blog for brief updates that provide context for the flurry of news regarding law and policy changes that impact science and scientists today.

At 12:01 a.m. this morning, the U.S. federal government shut down. This shutdown comes after weeks of negotiations and pressure tactics failed to bring Congressional Republicans and Democrats together on a budget for the 2026 fiscal year or a continuing resolution to fund the government for a few more weeks.

The federal government has experienced numerous shutdowns over the past decade, the longest of which happened during the first Trump administration and lasted 35 days.

This shutdown, however, may be different, and far more devastating, for the federal workers, including scientists, who live and work across the nation.

In a typical shutdown, employees and contractors who are deemed nonessential to government function, including most workers at science and science-adjacent agencies, are furloughed (temporarily suspended) without pay. Those whose jobs are deemed essential work without pay. Employees receive backpay when the shutdown lifts, but contractors do not.

As of this morning, the shutdown has been proceeding as before.

“The plan to exploit a shutdown to purge federal workers is illegal, unconstitutional, and deeply disturbing.”

But experts are watching how the Trump administration proceeds, as, earlier this week, it ordered all agencies to prepare plans for mass firings and reductions in force (RIFs), not furloughs, should a shutdown occur. According to the White House’s Office of Personnel Management, RIF plans must work within the budget outlined by the President’s Budget Request (PBR). On top of this, thousands of federal workers took offers of deferred resignation earlier this year and have been on paid leave for months. With the shutdown, they may be officially out of jobs.

Exceptions to the shutdown include departments that align with the president’s agenda and received money from his domestic policy megabill, such as the Department of Defense and the Department of Homeland Security, along with a few essential services like Medicare and Social Security.

Trump had doubled down on the threat to fire federal employees yesterday afternoon, which spurred a set of federal employee unions to file a lawsuit alleging that the threats are an unlawful abuse of power.

“The plan to exploit a shutdown to purge federal workers is illegal, unconstitutional, and deeply disturbing,” Tim Whitehouse, the executive director of Public Employees for Environmental Responsibility, said in a statement. “To weaponize it as a tool to destroy the civil service would mark a dangerous slide into lawlessness and further consolidate power in the Executive Branch.”

 
Related

These mass firing plans, poised to radically downsize and reshape the federal government, have not yet been implemented and it’s unclear if or when that will change. In preparation for possible firings, the Interior Department instructed employees to take home government laptops and cellphones to be able to receive updates.

Nonetheless, until this shutdown is resolved many federal science agencies have largely ceased operations or are working with very limited capacity. Some agencies that have submitted revised shutdown plans, like NOAA and the U.S. Geological Survey, have not yet received approval for the plans, leaving significant uncertainty about what parts of an agency will be allowed to legally operate.

Below is a nonexhaustive list of science-related agencies and how they are being affected by the shutdown.

  • Environmental Protection Agency (EPA): An updated contingency plan from the EPA, posted 30 September, is much the same as in past years. Research at the EPA was already suffering: Staff cuts to the agency’s research arm, the Office of Research and Development, are expected to set back much of the agency’s research into environmental hazards, for example.
    • Under the plan, about 89% of EPA staff are now furloughed.
    • The plan calls for a cessation of new grants, updates to the EPA website and communications, all Superfund cleanup activities not necessary to safeguard human lives, inspections of industrial sites, and issuance of permits. Any research and publication activities not deemed necessary to maintain critical operations (such as care for lab animals, plants, and maintenance of instrumentation) must cease as well. Although not mentioned in the current plan, The New York Times notes that during past shutdowns, most employees responsible for monitoring pollution and ensuring industry compliance were furloughed.
    • Past EPA employees think the shutdown could also derail administrator Lee Zeldin’s plans to restructure the agency and revoke landmark EPA rules, such as the 2009 Endangerment Finding.
  • National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA):
    • Per NASA’s shutdown plan, less than 17% of essential personnel will remain at work, tasked with protecting mission-critical assets such as spacecraft in orbit, astronauts aboard the International Space Station, and other safety operations. Research activities, educational support, and NASA Center tours will cease. NASA Television and the NASA.gov website will not be updated. The agency has requested an exemption from furlough for operations related to upcoming Artemis missions. Although a bipartisan group of lawmakers included a request in a proposed continuing resolution that NASA follow funding guidelines set in the appropriations bill passed by the House of Representatives, for now NASA is following the more severe PBR. Federal whistleblowers recently reported that NASA was illegally implementing the PBR before now, so this shutdown might lead to many spacecraft and their operators being terminated.
    • Proposals for the next observing cycle of the James Webb Space Telescope are due 15 October. The Space Telescope Science Institute has extended the deadline for scientists affected by the shutdown.
  • National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and National Weather Service (NWS): NWS was chronically understaffed before January 2025 and staffing problems have only gotten worse this year. The current shutdown will likely deepen the existing strain on NWS staff and slow down the hiring process for new meteorologists and forecasters.
    • NWS will continue to issue weather warnings and watches, including those related to developing Atlantic storms. NWS and NOAA tours, outreach, and educational activities will cease. Hurricane Hunter crew and maintenance workers are exempted from being furloughed. Flights are expected to continue. Many employees who operate NOAA satellites are exempted from being furloughed. NOAA satellite data should continue to flow. Most NOAA research activities will cease.
    • If NOAA implements firings in line with the PBR, research related to climate, weather and air chemistry, habitat conservation, ocean science, coastal conservation, and the Great Lakes would be eliminated, as would the Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR).
  • National Park Service (NPS): The most recent NPS shutdown contingency plan is from March 2024.
    • Activities related to law enforcement, emergency response, fire suppression and monitoring, and public safety should continue. Most national parks are not expected to close. However, some former park superintendents have asked people not to visit due to safety concerns and bad public behavior during past shutdowns. Visitor centers, bathrooms, trash collection, and park ranger services are now unavailable in most locations. No staff are maintaining trails, clearing brush, or monitoring wildlife. The majority of NPS staff are furloughed and some may soon be laid off.
    • Access to some wildlife refuges has been restricted.
  • National Science Foundation (NSF):
    • According to a 2023 contingency plan for the agency, no new grants, cooperative agreements, or contracts are being awarded, and no new funding opportunities issued. The agency’s plan also calls for responses to any questions about upcoming grant deadlines to pause, so calls and emails won’t be answered. Scientists are still free to complete work that has already been funded, and the Award Cash Management Service, responsible for disbursing already-awarded funds, will still operate. However, funding decisions have been halted or delayed. Websites such as Grants.gov and Research.gov remain operational and will accept materials, but processing of those materials will be delayed.
    • NSF scientists temporarily working at the agency but paid by their home institutions are continuing to work.
  • U. S. Forest Service (USFS):
    • A 2024 contingency plan from the agency calls for more than half its staff to remain active, as thousands of employees have been deemed necessary to protect life and property. Some USFS work to manage forests, such as reducing hazardous fuels, running fire training, planting new trees, or supervising controlled burns, will continue. However, the 2024 plan states that an extended shutdown could delay these activities, possibly impacting fire risk over hundreds of thousands of acres of forest as windows of favorable burn conditions dwindle.
    • Per the 2024 plan, USFS science, including experiments that rely on specific timing, such as prescribed burn studies, may face delay or cessation.
  • U.S. Geological Survey (USGS):
    • In the past, USGS shutdown plans have called for all employees who are not deemed necessary to protect human lives and property to be furloughed, resulting in about half of the agency’s staff temporarily losing their paychecks. According to past contingency plans, some research activities at USGS are supported by supplemental funding from laws such as the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act and the Inflation Reduction Act. Such projects can continue. However, much of the USGS’s monitoring and analyzing of Earth systems and natural resources will cease.
    • Online access to USGS maps, publications, and data may be limited, including water quality data and Landsat data critical for emergency response, agriculture, Earth science research, and more.

“It’s incredibly difficult to predict what the federal research enterprise might look like on the other side.”

We don’t know how long this shutdown will last. But the Office of Management and Budget’s posture means “there are likely to be more questions than answers about the operating status of science agencies,” Cole Donovan, associate director of science & technology ecosystems at the Federation of American Scientists, wrote in an email to Eos. “It’s incredibly difficult to predict what the federal research enterprise might look like on the other side.”

Eos will be following news related to this shutdown and monitoring impacts to the federal workforce and larger scientific community. If you have a tip, suggestion, or personal story to share about how this shutdown has affected you, please email us at eos@agu.org.

–Grace van Deelen (@gvd.bsky.social) and Kimberly M. S. Cartier (@astrokimcartier.bsky.social), Staff Writers

These updates are made possible through information from the scientific community. Do you have a story about how changes in law or policy are affecting scientists or research? Send us a tip at eos@agu.org. Text © 2025. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
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'Expect extremes': California officials warn of severe wet–dry swings

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 10/01/2025 - 14:30
California heads into the new water year facing continued risks from climate-driven extremes, the California Department of Water Resources said.

Earth's crust is tearing apart off the Pacific Northwest—and that's not necessarily bad news

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 10/01/2025 - 12:55
With unprecedented clarity, scientists have directly observed a subduction zone—the collision point where one tectonic plate dives beneath another—actively breaking apart. The discovery, reported in Science Advances, sheds new light on how Earth's surface evolves and raises fresh questions about future earthquake risks in the Pacific Northwest.

Scientists May Have Finally Detected a Solid Inner Core on Mars

EOS - Wed, 10/01/2025 - 12:51

Almost a decade after NASA’s InSight mission put the first working seismometer on the Martian surface, researchers are still combing through its records of faint ground vibrations to reveal secrets of the planet’s deep interior.

In a recent analysis, scientists reported seismic evidence that Mars has a solid inner core, an unexpected finding that challenges earlier studies that suggested the planet’s core was entirely molten.

Like Earth—and onions and ogres—the interior of Mars has layers. These layers have different densities and can be solid or liquid. As seismic waves move through the layers, they are bent or reflected, especially at boundaries where density changes sharply. By analyzing how these waves propagate, scientists can trace their paths and infer the structure and properties of the materials they pass through.

Previous analyses of InSight data had already mapped the structure of the Martian crust and mantle and also revealed that the planet has a surprisingly large molten metallic core, spanning nearly half its radius. Such a large core, combined with measurements of the planet’s relatively low density, suggested that it must contain a lot of light elements such as sulfur, carbon, hydrogen, and oxygen. These light elements lower iron’s melting point, making it less likely to crystallize to form a solid inner core, which partly explains why the new finding caught InSight scientists off guard.

“None of us really believed that you would have a solid inner core,” said Amir Khan, a geophysicist at ETH Zurich who is part of the InSight science team but wasn’t involved in the new study.

A Long Way to the Core

Still, seismologist Daoyuan Sun of the University of Science and Technology of China in Hefei and his colleagues decided to look for signs of a solid core in the publicly available InSight data. Specifically, they reexamined data from a set of 23 marsquakes with seismic waves that passed through the planet’s core before returning to the surface.

To enhance the faint signals from the seismometer, the team combined—or stacked—recordings from these quakes. This revealed two types of compressional (P) waves that crossed the core. One set, known as P′P′ waves, traveled through the outer core to the farside of the planet, reflected off the surface there, and then passed back through the core to reach the seismometer. The other set, called PKKP waves, passed through the outer and inner core before being reflected back to the surface and encountering the core-mantle boundary on the way out.

“To me that’s the most exciting thing. That’s basically saying that you see this inner core structure. ”

Initially, the researchers could not find the PKKP waves at their expected arrival times. Instead, the waves were arriving 50–200 seconds earlier than predicted if the core was fully molten. The early arrivals suggested the waves had traveled through solid material, which transmits seismic P waves faster than liquids.

While looking for these early-arriving signals, the team also picked up a third set of seismic waves, called PKiKP. These are P waves that reflect back to the surface right at the boundary between the inner and outer core. This is the same type of seismic phase that seismologist Inge Lehmann used to reveal the existence of Earth’s solid inner core in 1936.

Finding these PKiKP waves in InSight data offered scientists a strong clue that Mars, too, may have a solid core.

“To me that’s the most exciting thing,” Sun said. “That’s basically saying that you see this inner core structure.”

By measuring the travel times of the seismic phases, Sun’s team estimated that Mars has a solid inner core with a radius of about 613 kilometers—roughly 18% percent of the radius of the planet itself. That ratio is very similar to that of Earth’s inner core, which is about 19% of Earth’s radius, and much larger than many researchers anticipated Mars could have. The new findings were published in Nature.

The team posited that their seismic observations could be explained by an outer core made up mostly of liquid or molten iron and nickel, as well as smaller amounts of sulfur and oxygen, and no more than 3.8% carbon, encasing a solid inner core enriched in more oxygen.

“It’s like Mars has lifted just the corner of its veil and allowed us to peek inside, but only a sneak peek—we could not get the full picture.”

These levels of light elements remain difficult for scientists to explain, Khan said. As light elements prefer to stay liquid, the existence of a solid inner core means that the outer core around it would have to be even richer in light elements than in previous models, which were already pushing the limits of what seemed plausible. On top of that, the building blocks from which scientists think Mars formed don’t contain enough of these elements to account for the abundance required by a solid core, Khan added.

The finding is also at odds with two studies published 2 years ago, one of them led by Khan, that proposed that a layer of molten rock sits at the bottom of the mantle, just above the core, insulating it like a thermal blanket. Such a layer would keep the core hotter, making it more difficult for it to crystallize and solidify.

“It’s like Mars has lifted just the corner of its veil and allowed us to peek inside, but only a sneak peek—we could not get the full picture,” Khan said. “We are not there yet.”

A Hibernating Dynamo

The new finding also renews questions about the absence of a global magnetic field on Mars. Earth’s magnetic field is sustained by the slow crystallization of the core, which drives magnetism-inducing convective motions in the liquid outer core. We know that Mars once had a magnetic field, but it died out billions of years ago.

If Mars does have a solid inner core, why is its magnetic dynamo inactive?

The likely reason is that core crystallization, and thus convection in the outer core, is too slow to power a global magnetic field on Mars, said Douglas Hemingway, a planetary scientist at the University of Texas at Austin and a coauthor of the new study. Mars’s early magnetic field was likely powered by primordial heat escaping from its core. As the planet cooled over billions of years, this convection weakened, and the magnetic field eventually disappeared.

Finding a solid core on Mars, however, opens up the intriguing possibility of a global magnetic field eventually reigniting, Hemingway said. The process of crystallization happens at the boundary of the outer core and the inner core, and if this surface grows larger over time, it could reach a point where there’s enough convective motion to kick-start the dynamo and revive the global magnetic field.

In earlier work, Hemingway predicted that if the Martian core is crystallizing from the center outward, the magnetic field could turn on sometime within the next billion years. “So, you know, if we wait a billion years and it doesn’t happen, then we were wrong,” he joked.

There may be no definitive confirmation of the existence of a solid core on Mars for a long time. The InSight mission ended in 2022, after dust piling up on the lander’s solar panels drained the device’s power supply, and new seismic data from Mars won’t be available for decades, most likely.

“Maybe when we send humans, we would be motivated to bring a few seismometers,” Hemingway said.

—Javier Barbuzano (@javibar.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: Barbuzano, J. (2025), Scientists may have finally detected a solid inner core on Mars, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250367. Published on 1 October 2025. Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
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Long-lasting seismic swarming induced from flooding of an abandoned coal mine at Gardanne, France

Geophysical Journal International - Wed, 10/01/2025 - 00:00
SummaryFlooding of abandoned excavation mines implies significant changes in the hydromechanic rock behavior often associated with instantaneous rock instabilities which cause underground and ground failure and collapses, sometimes (but not always) accompanied by induced seismicity. The permanent modification of the hydrogeological setting may, in certain cases, also induce long-term seismic activities persistent over several years. The governing hydromechanic triggering mechanisms are poorly understood in these cases what bares challenges in related seismic hazard and risk assessment. In this study, we provide new insights into this poorly explored field of fluid induced seismicity, by investigating the long-lasting (> 10 years) swarm activity induced by the flooding of an abandoned coal mine at Gardanne in Southern France. The strongest events of the activity have comparatively small magnitudes (Mw < 2) but are felt by the local population due to their shallow source depth (< 1 km). Thanks to full waveform based source analysis we show that the swarm is associated with the permanent activation of preexisting faults situated below the flooded mining voids which act as a very high-capacity anthropogenic reservoir and aquifer. We further show that mine water level changes caused by either natural or anthropogenic driving forces cause seismic triggering which involves direct pore-pressure as well as poroelastic effects. These findings provide constraints for adequate guidelines for safe mine water level management and seismic risk mitigation.

Recursive Interferometric Surface-wave Suppression For Improved Reflection Imaging

Geophysical Journal International - Wed, 10/01/2025 - 00:00
SummaryHigh-resolution seismic reflections are essential for imaging and monitoring applications. In seismic land surveys using sources and receivers at the surface, surface waves often dominate, masking the reflections. In this study, we demonstrate the efficacy of a two-step procedure to suppress surface waves in an active-source reflection seismic dataset. First, we apply seismic interferometry (SI) by cross-correlation, turning receivers into virtual sources to estimate the dominant surface waves. Then, we perform adaptive subtraction to minimise the difference between the surface waves in the original data and the result of SI. We propose a new approach where the initial suppression results are used for further iterations, followed by adaptive subtraction. This technique aims to enhance the efficacy of data-driven surface-wave suppression through an iterative process. We use a 2D seismic reflection dataset from Scheemda, situated in the Groningen province of the Netherlands, to illustrate the technique’s efficiency. A comparison between the data after recursive interferometric surface-wave suppression and the original data across time and frequency-wavenumber domains shows significant suppression of the surface waves, enhancing visualization of the reflections for subsequent subsurface imaging and monitoring studies.

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