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The 8 December 2024 fatal landslide on the Güngören hillslope in Artvin, northeastern Türkiye

EOS - Wed, 02/25/2026 - 08:22

A landslide that killed four people in Turkey was associated with progressive failure of a slope with known stability issues. Final failure was triggered by heavy, but not exceptional, raifall.

On 8 December 2024, a fatal landslide occurred on the Güngören hillslope in Artvin, northeastern Türkiye. The failure, which occurred at 3:05 am local time, lowed across the D010 (E70) Black Sea coastal road, killing four people. I blogged about this landslide at the time, but now a detailed analysis (Görüm et al. 2026) has been published in the journal Landslides. The paper is both Open Access and published under a Creative Commons Licence, which is very helpful for those of us who write blogs.

The Güngören hillslope is located at [41.337634, 41.26327]. This image, from Görüm et al. (2026), shows the aftermath of the landslide:-

The aftermath of the a fatal landslide occurred on the Güngören hillslope in Artvin, northeastern Türkiye. Image from Görüm et al. (2026) .

Görüm et al. (2026) describe this landslide as a debris avalanche with a length of 522 m, a width of 250 m and an elevation difference of 287 m. It has a volume of about 100,000 m3. There have been previous landslides on this slope, one of which (in 2006) was fatal.

The landslide was associated with heavy rainfall (80 mm/day), but this was not exceptional, which means that the history of the slope is important in terms of the development of progressive failure. Görüm et al. (2026). They have used InSAR to show that the slope was deforming in the two years leading up to the failure, with rates in the range of 60 mm per year. Just 23 days before the Güngören hillslope failed, the 15 November 2024 Mw=4.7 Pazar (Rize) earthquake occurred about 45 km from the site. The calculated peak ground accelerations on the Güngören hillslope were low, but this may have played a role in the development of the final failure.

Görüm et al. (2026) also highlight two potentially important human factors in the occurrence of the landslide. First, the slope was quarried in the period leading up to 2006 for construction materials for the Black Sea Coastal Road. Notably, the fatal 3 April 2006 landslide was triggered by quarry blasting. One person died.

Second, the construction of the Black Sea Coastal Road may have destabilised the slope, perhaps through excavation at the toe.

Of course further instability on this slope seems likely, so Görüm et al. (2026) recommend ongoing monitoring of the site.

Reference

Görüm, T., Tanyaş, H., Yılmaz, A. et al. 2026. Fatal debris avalanche on an anthropogenically disturbed, earthquake-perturbed slope during antecedent rainfall. Landslides. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-026-02713-0.

Return to The Landslide Blog homepage Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Delving into 'deep time': What NZ's ancient past reveals about its present

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 02/25/2026 - 02:40
We know Aotearoa New Zealand is home to many geographically and biologically special features. Yet few of us know it also has its very own measure of "deep time." Known as the New Zealand Geological Timescale, it has just undergone its most comprehensive revision in 20 years.

Human activity is making the Arctic's waters louder

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 02/25/2026 - 00:00
Climate change is having a profound impact on the Arctic. We know that the region is warming significantly faster than the global average, resulting in the melting of sea ice and disrupted habitats.

Identifying mainshock-aftershock sequences on the Longmen Shan Fault: comparison between two cluster analysis techniques

Geophysical Journal International - Wed, 02/25/2026 - 00:00
SummaryThe Sichuan Basin in China has experienced a number of devasting earthquakes in the past 20 years, particularly on the Longmen Shan fault (LMSFZ) with the 2008 Wenchan and 2013 Luschan events. This study employs a hierarchical, four-dimensional (latitude, longitude, depth, time) clustering framework to characterize seismic activity in the Sichuan Basin. After the identification of spatial features of the region (e.g., faults), we then apply two cluster algorithms on the Longmen Shan fault data and compare the identification of the 2008 and 2013 events. In particular, we apply and compare Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise (DBSCAN) and Bayesian Gaussian Mixture Model (BGMM) on the identification of mainshock-aftershock sequence (as well as any foreshock events). By applying temporal clustering to the dataset and comparing DBSCAN and BGMM methods, we find distinct differences between the results. Specifically, we find that DBSCAN identifies a simple mainshock-aftershock sequence, while BGMM produces a more complex foreshock-mainshock-aftershock sequence. However, both scenarios have been identified within previous work on these events, highlighting that additional analysis is required and that single cluster algorithms should be applied with caution. The work here in comparing machine learning techniques within an integrated clustering framework is timely and will serve as a guide for more in-depth analysis on earthquake patterns and fault dynamics using these methods.

Performance of untrenched surface-DAS in near-surface seismic exploration: a comparison with conventional sensors

Geophysical Journal International - Wed, 02/25/2026 - 00:00
SummarySurface fibre-optic distributed acoustic sensing (S-DAS) typically requires trenching to achieve adequate coupling, which can be challenging and costly in hardrock environments. As an alternative, untrenched S-DAS offers significant time and cost savings, though at the expense of data quality. In this study, we systematically evaluated the impact of untrenched deployment on DAS data quality through a multi-method comparison with conventional sensors, including three-component geophones and vertical-component accelerometers. All recorded data were converted to particle velocity to enable direct amplitude comparisons across arrays. Phase fidelity was assessed using the surface-wave method, cross-power spectral analysis, and ambient noise interferometry. Untrenched S-DAS recorded amplitude levels that differed from those of conventional sensors, particularly above 50 Hz. However, within the surface-wave band (up to 35 Hz), the data quality was sufficient to derive reliable shear-wave velocity profiles, especially when the data were resorted to common-receiver gathers. Sensitivity and coherence decreased significantly at higher frequencies and larger offsets, and a systematic time delay was observed for DAS in the surface-wave band. Ambient noise interferometry was ineffective for the untrenched DAS array, largely due to variable channel coupling and system-specific noise. This study provides a systematic field comparison of untrenched S-DAS and conventional sensors in hardrock settings, outlining both the limitations and the practical potential of this cost-effective deployment method.

Acoustic signatures of fault reactivation and healing under hydrothermal conditions

Geophysical Journal International - Wed, 02/25/2026 - 00:00
SummaryFaults and fractures heal and seal over time, decreasing along-fault permeability, and increasing reactivation stress. This presents a dilemma in geothermal reservoirs as maintaining permeability is crucial for reservoir longevity, but the reactivation of faults to increase permeability can also cause hazardous seismicity. The healing rate of faults is temperature-dependent and shows significant differences under wet and dry conditions. We investigate the healing behavior of a bare, water-saturated fault surface at temperatures up to 163°C through slide-hold-slide experiments. The gneiss sample from the UtahFORGE geothermal demonstration project, is continuously actively probed with P-waves and monitored for passive acoustic emissions radiating from the fault. Our data show that with increased temperatures, the fault surface friction decreases, healing rate increases and the fault becomes more prone to unstable slip. The decrease in friction and increase in healing rate we measure are larger and occur at lower temperatures than previously demonstrated. P-wave amplitudes and P-wave velocities increase during healing, with amplitudes sensitive to temperature but velocities conversely insensitive. We attribute this to a sensitivity of the P-wave amplitude to changes in contact area with P-wave velocity correlating with mechanical compaction, off-fault microcracks, and the formation of wear products during sliding. The sample continues to creep throughout holds during our hotter experiments, but the creep motion does not erase continuous healing. Acoustic emissions spike upon slip reactivation, where higher event rates and higher slip velocities occur as healing progresses—after longer hold times and at higher temperatures. The amplitude of the P-wave, as well as the acoustic emission rate, show precursory signs of spontaneous reactivation and therefore might have potential in forewarning slip.

Canada's Magdalen Islands' peatlands hold vital clues about ancient Atlantic hurricanes

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 02/24/2026 - 23:20
Eastern Canada has seen a rise in the number of hurricane- and near-hurricane strength events battering its maritime areas, with particularly violent storms in 2003 (Hurricane Juan), 2019 (Dorian) and 2022 (Fiona). While this seems to be a recent phenomenon, the region has experienced this kind of surge in activity before, according to a new Concordia University study.

Blaming beavers for flood damage is bad policy and bad science, research shows

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 02/24/2026 - 23:00
Beaver dams are critical to river health and a source of biodiversity. They create wetlands, slow water and improve water quality. They also reduce flood peaks and delay runoff. But beaver dams are often blamed when extreme rainstorms cause flooding—especially when they fail.

New Aegean index unlocks advance in Mediterranean seasonal rainfall forecasting

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 02/24/2026 - 22:00
A new study has identified a distinct climate precursor in the Mediterranean Sea that can predict winter precipitation levels in the Levant months in advance. The study, published in Weather and Climate Dynamics, is titled "Mediterranean Sea heat uptake variability as a precursor to winter precipitation in the Levant."

Ice Age erosion may explain Appalachians' smoother northern peaks

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 02/24/2026 - 21:30
Hike north on the Appalachian Trail and the scenery slowly transforms. Rugged, steep ridgelines in Tennessee and Virginia soften into the broad summits and smooth peaks of Pennsylvania and New Jersey. According to new research from William & Mary Assistant Professor of Geology Joanmarie Del Vecchio, this contrast speaks to an ancient past.

Major gap in Earth's rock record likely due to tectonics—not glaciers

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 02/24/2026 - 21:10
The Great Unconformity is a major gap in Earth's geologic record. The missing layer between Precambrian and Cambrian rocks represents a gap of around a billion years of history. Among much debate surrounding the cause of the gap, a new study, published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, indicates that the timing of the erosion leading to the Great Unconformity aligns with the assembly of the Columbia supercontinent, and that glaciation only contributed minimally.

Lasers and drones assess health of world forests and help track climate change

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 02/24/2026 - 20:40
Highly detailed 3D scans of dense tropical rain forest plots are enabling precise estimates of tree structure, volume and stored carbon, as part of a first-of-its-kind pilot initiative, led by UCL researchers. Published in the journal Earth System Science Data, the finalized full dataset of the 3D tree census is helping scientists better understand how much biomass (or plant material) forests contain, an important step in understanding how much carbon is stored across the entire forest.

Comparative Analysis of Surface Albedo Estimation Methods Using Landsat 8 and 9 Satellite Imagery Over Multiple Ground Observation Sites

Publication date: Available online 17 February 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Emirhan Ozdemir

Refined atmospheric load correction modeling in vertical GNSS coordinate time series in the Sichuan-Yunnan region

Publication date: Available online 17 February 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Bin Liu, Linzhi Wei, Shenghui Zeng, Chao Liu, Wujiao Dai

Early Twenty-First Century Analysis of Changes in Vegetation Health and Carbon Storage in Iran: Quantifying the Impacts of Climate Variability and Human Activities

Publication date: Available online 16 February 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Pouyan Dehghan Rahimabadi, Bing Liu, Arash Malekian, Maliheh Behrang Manesh, Hossein Azarnivand, Weihao Sun, Bin Wang, Changkun Yang, Xiao Wang, Wen Li

A segment-based approach for global vertical adjustment of precipitable water vapor

Publication date: Available online 16 February 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Maijin Lin, Shaofeng Xie, Liangke Huang, Yifei Yang, Xiangping Chen, Xianghong Li, Weiwei Li, Lilong Liu

Subsurface imaging with a voice-coil portable active seismic source and a single geophone: From field validation to lunar application

Publication date: Available online 16 February 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Takeshi Tsuji, Kazutoshi Sakamoto, Tarek S. Imam, Arata Kioka, Yuya Takenaka, Fumitoshi Murakami, Hitoshi Tsukahara, Kimiaki Ochi, Susumu Abe, Satoshi Tanaka, Taichi Kawamura

Towards the real-time downlink of high-resolution images via low-rate telemetry using POD-based algorithms

Publication date: Available online 16 February 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): P. Salgado Sánchez, F. Varas, J. Porter

Estimation of PPP-B2b Clock Constant Bias for Single-Epoch Decimeter-Level Positioning

Publication date: Available online 16 February 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Qing Zhao, Shuguo Pan, Wang Gao, Xianlu Tao, Hong Huang

Adaptive antifragile predefined-time dynamic surface control for attitude tracking of spacecraft with time-varying constraints

Publication date: Available online 16 February 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Run Zhang, Zhonghe Jin

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