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Deep tectonic movement beneath the Northeastern Tibetan Plateau based on InSAR and GRACE

Geophysical Journal International - Fri, 06/27/2025 - 00:00
AbstractActive tectonic movements and surface deformation are observed in the eastern Tibetan Plateau. Understanding variations in crustal thickness and the deep Moho interface is crucial for elucidating the expansion of the Tibetan Plateau. This study utilizes InSAR to derive vertical surface deformation and applies loading corrections based on Green's function method. Additionally, satellite gravity data are used to separate hydrological and tectonic signals to infer changes in the Moho interface. Our results indicate that the regionally averaged loading effects, estimated using localized Green's functions (LGF), account for approximately 16.5 per cent of the InSAR-derived vertical displacement field. This contribution exhibits significant spatial variability, exceeding 100 per cent in regions with strong hydrological activity. The loading calculation is highly sensitive to Earth model: the relative difference between the load displacement obtained using the local Green's function and that obtained with an average Green's function reaches 48.2 per cent. After applying loading corrections, a more accurate Moho uplift rate of –8.2 ± 3.1 mm/a is obtained. The findings support the conclusion that the Moho interface rises in the southern region of the study area, with crustal thinning, while the Moho surface sinks in the northern region, with crustal thickening.

Fireball Passes Over Southeastern United States

EOS - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 23:50
body {background-color: #D2D1D5;} Research & Developments is a blog for brief updates that provide context for the flurry of news that impacts science and scientists today.

It’s a bird! It’s a plane! It’s… a bolide!

People in Georgia, Tennessee, and the Carolinas reported sightings of a fireball overhead on Thursday afternoon, 26 June. It is unclear whether it was a meteor or space junk entering Earth’s atmosphere. Meteors can exceed one meter in size and are referred to as bolides when they explode in the atmosphere.

VIDEO | This was just sent to me taken from a dash camera on I-85 SB in Upstate South Carolina pic.twitter.com/49PvNsorAK

— Cody Alcorn (@CodyAlcorn) June 26, 2025

Sometimes, meteorite pieces can be recovered on the ground after such an event. In this case, they may need to be fished out of the foundation of a home. One fragment was reported to have struck a roof in Henry County, Georgia, according to Atlanta news station 11 Alive.

 
Related

Mike Hankey, operations manager of the American Meteor Society, told 11 Alive that the organization received more than 100 reports of fireball sightings within 2 hours. Most reported said the sighting occurred between 12:25 and 12:40 p.m. EDT.

He explained that bolides can enter the atmosphere at speeds of up to 50,000 miles (80,000 kilometers) per hour, but slow to hundreds of miles per hour as they near Earth’s surface.

“You don’t want to get hit by one,” he clarified. (We at Eos tend to agree.) “It can cause a lot of harm, damages. They’ll go through multiple floors of a home, oftentimes.”

The bolide was bright enough that it was captured briefly by NOAA’s GOES-19 satellite, around the border of Virginia and North Carolina.

There have been many reports of a #fireball streaking across the southeastern U.S. this afternoon! The Geostationary Lightning Mapper (#GLM) on @NOAA's #GOES satellites can occasionally detect these bright meteors (aka #bolides) when they pass through the atmosphere.

See the… pic.twitter.com/SeODhBdYiK

— NOAA Satellites (@NOAASatellites) June 26, 2025

NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory’s Center for Near Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) fireballs database reports that this marks the 20th fireball detected by U.S. government sensors this year. However, the Geostationary Lightning Mapper aboard the NOAA-operated GOES East and GOES West satellites detected nearly 700 this year. In April, another bolide made headlines when it flew over Mexico City.

@matthewcappucci

WOW! A fireball METEOR just EXPLODED over Georgia and South Carolina! Shards/meteorites may be found near/south of Atlanta. In SC and GA, some folks reported a sonic boom. Did you see or hear it!? #meteor #georgia #atlanta #southcarolina #meteorite #meteoroid #fireball #weather #science #space #astronomy

♬ original sound – Capooch

According to the Swinburne University of Technology, about 5,000 bolides fall to Earth each year, but very few are observed, in large part because so many of them enter the atmosphere over the ocean.

—Emily Dieckman (@emfurd.bsky.social), Associate Editor

These updates are made possible through information from the scientific community. Do you have a story idea about science or scientists? We’re listening! Send us a tip at eos@agu.org. Text © 2025. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Mild to moderate harmful algal bloom predicted for western Lake Erie

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 20:33
NOAA and its research partners are forecasting a mild to moderate harmful algal bloom (HAB) in western Lake Erie this summer. This year's bloom is expected to measure 3 on the HAB severity index, with a potential range of 2–4.

New research aims to better predict and understand cascading land surface hazards

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 20:16
When an extreme weather event occurs, the probability or risk of other events can often increase, leading to what researchers call "cascading" hazards.

These Canadian rocks may be the oldest on Earth

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 19:15
Scientists have identified what could be the oldest rocks on Earth from a rock formation in Canada.

New gravity mission will detect weakening ocean conveyor

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 19:10
At this year's Living Planet Symposium, attendees heard how ESA's Next Generation Gravity Mission could provide the first opportunity to directly track a vital ocean circulation system that warms our planet—but is now weakening, risking a possible collapse with far-reaching consequences.

Shedding Light on the Mysteries of Deep Earthquakes

EOS - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 18:26
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: AGU Advances

Deep earthquakes are still a mystery that has been debated for a long time, but no consensus has been made so far. They originate at depths of 500 to 700 kilometers where there are extreme pressure and temperature conditions that should prevent the failure mechanisms that generate shallow earthquakes. Despite decades of observations and various proposed theories, a coherent mechanism that accounts for deep earthquake magnitudes has yet to be identified.

Jia et al. [2025] present an unprecedented analysis of 40 deep earthquakes worldwide with large magnitudes. They find that most of them are governed by a common mechanism facilitated by shear thermal runaway, ultimately allowing earthquakes to grow larger and release more energy. This explanation applies to deep earthquakes across diverse environments, from the coldest slabs such as Tonga, to the warmest, including those beneath South America.

Citation: Jia, Z., Fan, W., Mao, W., Shearer, P. M., & May, D. A. (2025). Dual mechanism transition controls rupture development of large deep earthquakes. AGU Advances, 6, e2025AV001701. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025AV001701

—Alberto Montanari, Editor-in-Chief, AGU Advances

Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Scientists capture slow-motion earthquake in action

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 18:00
Scientists for the first time have detected a slow slip earthquake in motion during the act of releasing tectonic pressure on a major fault zone at the bottom of the ocean.

Ocean warming patterns key to accurate tropical cyclone climate projections

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 17:00
A new review published in Advances in Atmospheric Sciences sheds light on one of climate science's enduring puzzles: how the patterns of tropical ocean warming influence the behavior of tropical cyclones (TCs) in a warming world. An international team of scientists synthesizes decades of observational evidence and climate modeling advances to chart a path forward for more reliable TC projections.

Study shows controlled burns can reduce wildfire intensity and smoke pollution

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 13:00
As wildfires increasingly threaten lives, landscapes, and air quality across the U.S., a Stanford-led study published in AGU Advances finds that prescribed burns can help reduce risks.

Study challenges climate change's link to the wild winter jet stream

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 13:00
A new study challenges the idea that climate change is behind the erratic wintertime behavior of the polar jet stream, the massive current of Arctic air that regulates weather for much of the Northern Hemisphere.

Precipitation Extremes Drive Swings in Lake Tahoe’s UV Exposure

EOS - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 12:55

Lake Tahoe’s sparkling, clear water is a point of pride among locals and a draw for tourists. Although the water clarity—measured by how deep visible light can penetrate—has decreased since measurements began in 1968, conservation efforts over the past 2 decades have stabilized it.

However, a new study published last month in Limnology and Oceanography Letters shows that ultraviolet (UV) light tells a different story. The depths to which UV radiation reaches in Lake Tahoe vary dramatically between extreme wet and dry years. Because UV radiation can affect chemical and biological processes, shifting underwater light environments between years could have significant implications for Lake Tahoe’s ecosystem.

A Question of Clarity

To measure water clarity in Lake Tahoe, a 1,645-foot-deep (594-meter-deep) freshwater lake straddling the border of California and Nevada in the Sierra Nevada Mountains, scientists drop a white disk into the water and record how deep they can see it. They use a similar approach to measure UV light, but because it’s invisible to our eyes, they drop a sensor that measures different wavelengths of UV light as it sinks.

Eighteen years ago, scientists at the University of California, Davis Tahoe Environmental Research Center began collecting UV data from the lake every 2 to 3 weeks, creating a long-term record rare for lakes anywhere in the world.

“You can use satellites to look at long-term trends in water clarity, and people have done that all over the U.S. and around the world,” said Kevin Rose, a freshwater ecologist at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute in New York, but “a multidecade record of UV radiation is a unique asset.” Rose was not involved in the study.

“We found a huge fluctuation in UV transparency year to year.”

Several studies have used data from the record, but limnologist Shohei Watanabe at the Tahoe Environmental Research Center and his colleagues wanted to do a comprehensive analysis of whether Lake Tahoe was experiencing changes in the penetration of UV light between 2006 and 2023.

Watanabe initially expected to see a gradual decrease in UV penetration over the study period, mirroring the trend in visible light. “Instead, we found a huge fluctuation in UV transparency year to year,” he said.

In drought years, such as 2014–2015, UV radiation penetrated deeper than in exceptionally wet years such as 2017, when the Sierra Nevada received its second-highest amount of precipitation since 1910.

“It’s an amazing difference,” Watanabe said. The most dramatic differences occurred during the spring and early summer, when solar radiation is at its strongest. UV radiation was 100 times stronger 10 meters (32 feet) below the surface and reached up to nearly 4 times deeper in summers during drought years.

Shohei Watanabe and other scientists have been collecting data on UV radiation in Lake Tahoe for 18 years. Credit: Karin Higgins

The phenomenon occurs because wet years wash more particulates and dissolved organic matter off the slopes of the surrounding mountains and into the lake, which blocks the UV radiation.

Visible light showed only a twofold difference in how deep it penetrated the lake between wet and dry years because the longer wavelengths of visible light are not as easily blocked by dissolved organic matter in the water. To the naked eye, visitors might notice some changes in the water clarity between years, “but it’s not like a 100-fold difference,” Watanabe said.

A Sunburn on the Ecosystem

The balance of UV light and visible light is crucial in freshwater ecosystems. UV radiation breaks down dissolved organic matter, releasing carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. Just like UV light can give us a sunburn, it can harm freshwater organisms by damaging DNA and inhibiting photosynthesis. It can also affect zooplankton behavior—these organisms actively avoid harmful UV light by migrating deeper during the day.

For the most biologically damaging UV wavelengths, including 305 and 320 nanometers, the differences from year to year in Lake Tahoe were most pronounced.

UV radiation isn’t always harmful to the ecosystem, however. Rose noted previous research showing that it prevents invasive fish, such as bluegill, from successfully reproducing in Lake Tahoe’s clear waters because larvae don’t survive high UV exposure. The fish become restricted to murky nearshore areas such as marinas.

“I really want to stress the importance of long-term monitoring for this kind of environmental study.”

Drastic shifts in UV penetration between wet and dry years therefore imply big changes in the ecosystems in the lake—and those swings could get more intense with human-caused climate change. “When we think about Lake Tahoe, now, going through precipitation cycles, that also means potential biological damage,” Rose said. Fully understanding how these communities will react will require continued monitoring.

Similar UV cycles might also occur in other clear mountain lakes worldwide, but each lake system has unique characteristics that would influence light patterns. “I really want to stress the importance of long-term monitoring for this kind of environmental study,” Watanabe said.

Watanabe and his colleagues are now planning and performing studies to determine how these UV variations affect Lake Tahoe’s carbon cycle, primary productivity, and other biological processes. “That’s the next step,” he said.

—Andrew Chapman (@andrewchapman.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: Chapman, A. (2025), Precipitation extremes drive swings in Lake Tahoe’s UV exposure, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250234. Published on 26 June 2025. Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

AI enhances sea surface temperature data for better climate and weather forecasts

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 11:07
Every summer, typhoons threatening the Korean Peninsula draw their energy from the warm waters of the Northwest Pacific Ocean. In recent years, the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events—such as heat waves, droughts, and heavy rains—have been increasingly linked to rising sea surface temperatures (SST).

Separation of bidispersed microspheres in dusty plasma ratchet experiments

Physical Review E (Plasma physics) - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 10:00

Author(s): Ting-yu Yao, Ji-xu Gao, Miao Tian, Shun-xin Zhang, Fu-cheng Liu, Bao-quan Ai, Yan Feng, and Ya-feng He

It is demonstrated experimentally that the effective separation of bidispersed microspheres (dust particles) in the underdamped and strongly coupled regime is realized using a designed dusty plasma ratchet. Experimental findings reveal that these dust particles can undergo directional transport at v…


[Phys. Rev. E 111, 065216] Published Thu Jun 26, 2025

The 24 June 2025 landslide at Granizal near to Medellín, Colombia

EOS - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 05:29

A major landslide has occurred in the vicinity of Altos de Oriente and Manantiales, near to Medellín and Bello, in Colombia. It is believed that about 25 people died.

On 24 June 2025 at 3:20 am, a large landslide occurred in the vicinity of Altos de Oriente and Manantiales, near to Granizal in Colombia. At the time of writing, 13 bodies have been recovered and a further 12 are missing. In total, 50 houses were destroyed.

I don’t yet have the precise location of this landslide tied down. A map on the El Colombiano news site places it at [6.30905, -75.53277], but this is yet to be confirmed.

There is very good aerial footage of it in a news report posted to Youtube by Cubrinet:-

At around 1 minute 45 seconds into this footage, this image is captured-

The 25 June 2025 landslide at Granizal in Colombia. Still from a video posted to Youtube by Cubrinet.

This image shows the crown of the landslide:-

The crown of the 25 June 2025 landslide at Granizal in Colombia. Still from a video posted to Youtube by Cubrinet.

The failure has occurred in deeply weathered regolith. It is a debris slide, with the main portion being comparatively deep-seated. It is notable that there is a considerable volume of water visible in the images:-

The upper portion of the 25 June 2025 landslide at Granizal in Colombia. Still from a video posted to Youtube by Cubrinet.

Some news sites note that a water pipe has ruptured in the landslide. The failure occurred during a period of very heavy rainfall – the El Colombiano site quotes a local resident as saying:-

“It was raining all day and all night. About 10:00 p.m. there was a downpour that cleared before 2:00 a.m. When it wasn’t even raining, we heard the noise and when we found out, we realized that the mountain had come and covered the entire neighborhood”.

Sometimes, a small failure associated with heavy rainfall can rupture a water pipe, which feeds water into the slope, triggering a much larger landslide.

Low down in the track of the landslide, it has spread and bifurcated, controlled by the topography:-

The main body of the 25 June 2025 landslide at Granizal in Colombia. Still from a video posted to Youtube by Cubrinet.

Thee are concerns about a further landslide at this site, imperiling the teams charged with recovering the victims.

Return to The Landslide Blog homepage Text © 2023. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Physics-Informed Neural Networks for Offshore Tsunami Data Assimilation

Geophysical Journal International - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 00:00
AbstractIn recent years, offshore tsunami observation networks equipped with ocean bottom pressure gauges (OBPGs), such as S-net, DONET, and N-net, have been deployed around Japan, enabling real-time collection of high-quality tsunami data near the source. These networks make it possible to estimate the spatiotemporal variation of the tsunami wavefield using a data assimilation approach, and to predict coastal tsunamis from the initial or current tsunami wavefield. This study proposes a novel tsunami data assimilation method that uses physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) to estimate tsunami wavefields from the observed OBPG data. The neural network was optimised by minimising the sum of the data loss, which quantifies discrepancies from the tsunami data, and the physical loss, which quantifies the satisfaction of the linear long wave equation. This was performed to ensure that the estimated results are consistent with both the observed data and the physics of tsunami propagation, even when there are limited observational data and significant noise. We first validated the effectiveness of the proposed method using synthetic S-net OBPG data from the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake (Mw 9.0) tsunami. The results confirmed that by using both data and physical constraints in the PINN optimisation, the PINN could adequately assimilate the spatiotemporal distribution of the tsunami wavefield from OBPG data, even for predictions outside the network coverage area. The predicted tsunami waveforms at the coastal stations, computed from the estimated initial wavefield, showed good agreement with the actual waveforms. Next, we conducted an experiment using actual S-net OBPG data from the 2016 Fukushima-oki earthquake (Mw 6.9) tsunami. The initial tsunami source estimated by PINN was in good agreement with other studies based on waveform inversion, although the maximum source amplitude and maximum coastal tsunami heights were underestimated. We also conducted an experiment using N-net OBPG data from the 2024 Hyuganada earthquake (Mw 7.0) tsunami. The PINN could accurately estimate the initial tsunami source, even though the tsunami source of this event was located outside the N-net coverage area. Finally, we have shown that incorporating tsunami observations over time into the iterative optimisation of the PINN model allows for accurate and efficient tsunami data assimilation.

Stochastic Inversion of Transient Electromagnetic Data to Derive Aquifer Geometry and Associated Uncertainties

Geophysical Journal International - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 00:00
AbstractUnderstanding processes in the Critical Zone requires reliable information about the vadose-zone aquifer, its geometry, and spatial variability. Commonly, such information is obtained from boreholes, yet large areas might render their application prohibitively expensive. Additionally, limited geological a-priori information might bias the interpretation due to lateral geological changes smaller than the borehole sampling scale. The transient electromagnetic method (TEM) has emerged in the last decades as a well-suited method to efficiently investigate the subsurface, as required for many hydrogeological applications. The interpretation of TEM measurements relies mainly on deterministic inversions, offering only a limited insight on the uncertainty of the subsurface model. Uncertainty quantification, however, is essential for integrating TEM results into hydrogeological models. Hence, we propose a combined approach using both deterministic and stochastic inversion of TEM soundings to investigate the uncertainty of shallow (< 40 m) aquifers. Current stochastic approaches for TEM data rely on Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms, which have to be run from scratch for each individual sounding. Alternatively, machine learning approaches, such as Bayesian Evidential Learning (BEL), can be much faster because they do not require retraining for every new data set. Hence, we investigate, in particular, the application of a single, common prior model space instead of multiple, individual prior model spaces to directly estimate the uncertainty of multiple TEM soundings. To this end, we combine forward modelling routines with the stochastic inversion approach BEL1D and assess our approach using both field data and numerical experiments.

FENCAT - An Update of the Fennoscandian Earthquake Catalogue

Geophysical Journal International - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 00:00
SUMMARYThe Fennoscandian earthquake catalogue (FENCAT) assembles data on the natural seismicity in Fennoscandia, Northern Europe. We present an updated and standardized version of the catalogue originally published in the early 1990s. New instrumental data are recorded by the seismic networks of Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Norway, and Sweden, and analyzed by the Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland, the Geological Survey of Estonia, the University of Helsinki in Finland, the University of Bergen and the NORSAR research foundation in Norway, and Uppsala University in Sweden. The updated catalogue provides the available earthquake parameters in a brief, user-friendly version: origin time, source coordinates, focal depth, macroseismic data (maximum intensity and radius of the area of perceptibility), up to three observed magnitudes, seismic moment estimate, and a standardized moment-related magnitude, mW(HEL), for each event. The standardized magnitude is defined in this paper and its relation to other magnitude scales is provided. Suspected non-earthquakes (e.g. frost events, explosions, human-induced events) have been removed. The standardized event magnitudes range from mW(HEL) -1.0 to 6.2. To enable the usage of earthquake data in a large variety of seismological, geological and earthquake engineering investigations, the data are not truncated at the low magnitude end.The updated catalogue, FENCAT (2021), contains about 23 000 earthquakes for the period 1467–2021 in an area bounded by 54–75°N latitudes and 0–45°E longitudes. The completeness and quality of the earthquake solutions is best within the areal coverage of the above-mentioned networks.

A Benchmark for Finite Prandtl Number Convection: Comparison of Boltzmann and Navier-Stokes Solutions

Geophysical Journal International - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 00:00
AbstractWhile modern thermal convection in rocky planets is controlled by a slow solid-state creep flow, the earliest stages of terrestrial planets likely experienced turbulent flow during which their silicate envelope was fully molten, usually called magma ocean. The main parameter separating the two regimes is the Prandtl number (Pr), which is so high for mantle convection to be usually assumed infinite, whereas magma oceans are characterized by Pr on the order of 1. We compared the results of isoviscous convection simulations performed with three codes: (GAIA, TLBM, StreamV). These codes are based on different numerical formulations and were used for modeling convection with Pr ranging from 1 to 1000, while exploring different convection intensity by varying the Rayleigh number (Ra) from 104 to 106. GAIA (Generic Automaton for planetary Interior Analysis) is a Finite Volume fluid flow and energy solver for the Navier-Stokes equations across arbitrary geometries. TLBM (Thermal Lattice Boltzmann Method) solves the mesocale momentum and energy distribution densities for colliding particles on a discrete lattice. StreamV is a Eulerian-Lagrangian Finite Volume code that solves the Navier-Stokes equations under the Boussinesq approximation. The codes are compared over 24 different simulation setups, analogue to the classical Blankenbach infinite Pr benchmark (Blankenbach et al., 1989a), but extending it to finite Pr and to two types of boundary conditions, free-slip and no-slip. We show that the results of the three codes are generally in good agreement, and discuss differences. Finite Pr solutions show a much richer dynamics varying from stable steady-state solutions, to oscillatory and chaotic ones, and converging to infinite Prandtl number solution for increasing values of Pr for larger Ra: Pr ≥ 100 is sufficient for Ra = 105 but Pr ≥ 1000 is required for Ra = 106. Our results offer a robust set of solutions useful for testing future finite Prandtl number convection codes.

Gender balance and inclusivity lie in the organizers’ hands: Insights from Organizing the 7th International Induced Polarization Workshop

Geophysical Journal International - Thu, 06/26/2025 - 00:00
SUMMARYOur viewpoint highlights the challenges faced by women in the Induced Polarization (IP) community (and elsewhere), particularly the persistent gender imbalance in scientific workshops. This underrepresentation in leadership roles, presentations, and discussions reflects broader systemic biases in academia. By sharing the experience of the 7th IP workshop, where the organizing team made deliberate efforts to prioritize gender and diversity in organizing committees, recruitment, and session formats, we demonstrate how intentional actions can create a more inclusive, gender-balanced environment. This approach is crucial not only for the IP community but for all research communities. Emphasizing diversity and inclusion fosters a welcoming atmosphere that encourages participation from all individuals, regardless their background. In turn, this enriches the research process by incorporating diverse perspectives, driving innovation, and improving scientific outcomes. We aim to inspire other academic communities to actively promote diversity and inclusivity, recognizing that such efforts not only benefit underrepresented groups but elevate the success and relevance of science as a whole.

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