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Modelization of the MiniCaLMa neutron monitor based on Geant4 and Garfield++

Publication date: 1 February 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research, Volume 77, Issue 3

Author(s): Alberto Regadío, Juan José Blanco, J. Ignacio García Tejedor, Carlo Luis Guerrero, Du Toit Strauss

Nonlinear shock and solitary wave structures in nonplanar non-Maxwellian plasmas

Publication date: 1 February 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research, Volume 77, Issue 3

Author(s): Shakir Ullah, Abdullah Alshehab, Muhammad Shohaib, Huda Alfannakh, Najeh Rekik

Global map catalogs 459 rare continental mantle earthquakes since 1990

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 02/05/2026 - 19:00
Stanford researchers have created the first-ever global map of a rare earthquake type that occurs not in Earth's crust but in our planet's mantle, the layer sandwiched between the thin crust and Earth's molten core. The new map will help scientists learn more about the mechanics of mantle earthquakes, in turn opening a window into the complexities and triggers for all earthquakes.

Scientists explain why methane spiked in the early 2020s

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 02/05/2026 - 19:00
A combination of weakened atmospheric removal and increased emissions from warming wetlands, rivers, lakes, and agricultural land increased atmospheric methane at an unprecedented rate in the early 2020s, an international team of researchers report today in the journal Science.

Understanding the hazard potential of the Seattle fault zone: It's 'pretty close to home'

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 02/05/2026 - 17:52
In the Pacific Northwest, big faults like the Cascadian subduction zone located offshore, get a lot of attention. But big faults aren't the only ones that pose significant hazards, and a new study investigates the dynamics of a complex fault zone that runs right under the heart of Seattle.

Snowball Earth: Ancient Scottish rocks reveal annual climate cycles

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 02/05/2026 - 17:20
Scientists at the University of Southampton have uncovered evidence from ancient rocks that Earth's climate continued to fluctuate during its most extreme ice age—known as Snowball Earth. During the Cryogenian Period, between 720 and 635 million years ago, it has long been believed that Earth's climate entirely shut down.

Unlocking the 'black box' of Grand Canyon's water supply

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 02/05/2026 - 15:36
Every year at Grand Canyon National Park, millions of visitors from all over the world stop at one of a dozen water spigots. Most people are on a rim, seeing the canyon's majesty for the first time, when they step off the trail to refill a water bottle. Others are deep in the belly of the canyon, sweaty and tired, facing a hike up in punishing heat, filling their reservoirs and dumping water over their heads to avoid dehydration and heat stroke.

Capturing gravity waves: Scientists break 'decades of gridlock' in climate modeling

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 02/05/2026 - 15:05
Global climate models capture many of the processes that shape Earth's weather and climate. Based on physics, chemistry, fluid motion and observed data, hundreds of these models agree that more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere leads to hotter global temperatures and more extreme weather. Still, uncertainty remains around how seasonal weather patterns and atmospheric systems like the jet stream will respond to global warming. Some of this uncertainty stems from the way models approximate the effects of relatively short-lived, small-scale phenomena known as gravity waves.

Seamounts promote expansion of oxygen minimum zone in western Pacific, researchers discover

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 02/05/2026 - 14:32
Seamounts and the oxygen minimum zone (OMZ) are two typical deep-sea habitats that often coexist. However, determining whether the "seamount effect" alters OMZ structure through marine stratification, thereby influencing the deep-sea hypoxic environment and carbon sink processes, remains unconfirmed.

Meet the Mysterious Electrides

EOS - Thu, 02/05/2026 - 14:22

This story was originally published by Knowable Magazine.

For close to a century, geoscientists have pondered a mystery: Where did Earth’s lighter elements go? Compared to amounts in the Sun and in some meteorites, Earth has less hydrogen, carbon, nitrogen and sulfur, as well as noble gases like helium—in some cases, more than 99 percent less.

Some of the disparity is explained by losses to the solar system as our planet formed. But researchers have long suspected that something else was going on too.

Recently, a team of scientists reported a possible explanation—that the elements are hiding deep in the solid inner core of Earth. At its super-high pressure—360 gigapascals, 3.6 million times atmospheric pressure—the iron there behaves strangely, becoming an electride: a little-known form of the metal that can suck up lighter elements.

Electrides, in more ways than one, are having their moment.

Study coauthor Duck Young Kim, a solid-state physicist at the Center for High Pressure Science & Technology Advanced Research in Shanghai, says the absorption of these light elements may have happened gradually over a couple of billion years—and may still be going on today. It would explain why the movement of seismic waves traveling through Earth suggests an inner core density that is 5 percent to 8 percent lower than expected were it metal alone.

Electrides, in more ways than one, are having their moment. Not only might they help solve a planetary mystery, they can now be made at room temperature and pressure from an array of elements. And since all electrides contain a source of reactive electrons that are easily donated to other molecules, they make ideal catalysts and other sorts of agents that help to propel challenging reactions.

One electride is already in use to catalyze the production of ammonia, a key component of fertilizer; its Japanese developers claim the process uses 20 percent less energy than traditional ammonia manufacture. Chemists, meanwhile, are discovering new electrides that could lead to cheaper and greener methods of producing pharmaceuticals.

Today’s challenge is to find more of these intriguing materials and to understand the chemical rules that govern when they form.

Electrides at High Pressure

Most solids are made from ordered lattices of atoms, but electrides are different. Their lattices have little pockets where electrons sit on their own.

Normal metals have electrons that are not stuck to one atom. These are the outer, or valence, electrons that are free to move between atoms, forming what is often referred to as a delocalized “sea of electrons.” It explains why metals conduct electricity.

The outer electrons of electrides no longer orbit a particular atom either, but they can’t freely move. Instead, they become trapped at sites between atoms that are called non-nuclear attractors. This gives the materials unique properties. In the case of the iron in Earth’s core, the negative electron charges stabilize lighter elementsat non-nuclear attractors that were formed at those super-high pressures, 3,000 times that at the bottom of the deepest ocean. The elements would diffuse into the metal, explaining where they disappeared to.

In an experiment, scientists simulated the movement of hydrogen atoms (pink) into the lattice structure of iron at a temperature of 3,000 degrees Kelvin (2,727 Celsius), at pressures of 100 gigapascals (GPa) and 300 GPa. At the higher pressure (right) an electride forms, as indicated by the altered distribution of the hydrogen observed within the iron lattice — these would represent the negatively charged non-nuclear attractor sites to which hydrogen atoms bond, forming hydride ions. Duck Young Kim and his coauthors think that the altered hydrogen distribution at higher pressure in these simulations is good evidence that an electride with non-nuclear reactor sites forms within the iron of Earth’s core. Credit: Knowable Magazine, adapted from I. Park et al./Advanced Science 2024

The first metal found to form an electride at high pressure was sodium, reported in 2009. At a pressure of 200 gigapascals (2 million times greater than atmospheric pressure) it transforms from a shiny, reflective, conducting metal into a transparent glassy, insulating material. This finding was “very weird,” says Stefano Racioppi, a computational and theoretical chemist at the University of Cambridge in the United Kingdom, who worked on sodium electrides while in the lab of Eva Zurek at the University at Buffalo in New York state. Early theories, he says, had predicted that at high pressure, sodium’s outer electrons would move even more freely between atoms.

The first sign that things were different came from predictions in the late 1990s, when scientists were using computational simulations to model solids, based on the rules of quantum theory. These rules define the energy levels that electrons can have, and hence the probable range of positions in which they are found in atoms (their atomic orbitals).

Simulating solid sodium showed that at high pressures, as the sodium atoms get squeezed closer together, so do the electrons orbiting each atom. That causes them to experience increasing repulsive forces with one another. This changes the relative energies of every electron orbiting the nucleus of each atom, Racioppi explains—leading to a reorganization of electron positions.

This graphic shows alternative models for metal structures. At left is the structure at ambient conditions, with each blue circle representing a single atom in the metallic lattice consisting of a positively charged nucleus surrounded by its electrons. The electrons can move freely throughout the lattice in what is known as a “sea of electrons.” Earlier theories of metals at high pressures assumed a similar structure, with even greater metallic characteristics (top, right), but more recent modeling shows that in some metals like sodium, at high pressure the structure changes (bottom, right) to a system in which the electrons are localized (dark blue boxes) between the ionic cores (small light blue circles)—an electride. This gives the structure very different properties. Credit: Knowable Magazine, adapted from S. Racioppi and E. Zurek/Ar Materials Research 2025

The result? Rather than occupying orbitals that allow them to be delocalized and move between atoms, the orbitals take on a new shape that forces electrons into the non-nuclear attractor sites. Since the electrons are stuck at these sites, the solid loses its metallic properties.

Adding to this theoretical work, Racioppi and Zurek collaborated with researchers at the University of Edinburgh to find experimental evidence for a sodium electride at extreme pressures. Squeezing crystals of sodium between two diamonds, they used X-ray diffraction to map electron density in the metal structure. This, they reported in September 2025, confirmed that electrons really were located in the predicted non-nuclear attractor sites between sodium atoms.

Just the Thing for Catalysts

Electrides are ideal candidates for catalysts—substances that can speed up and lower the energy needed for chemical reactions. That’s because the isolated electrons at the non-nuclear attractor sites can be donated to make and break bonds. But to be useful, they would need to function at ambient conditions.

Several such stable electrides have been discovered over the last 10 years, made from inorganic compounds or organic molecules containing metal atoms. One of the most significant, mayenite, was found by surprise in 2003 when material scientist Hideo Hosono at the Institute of Science Tokyo was investigating a type of cement.

Mayenite is a calcium aluminate oxide that forms crystals with very small pores—a few nanometers across—called cages, that contain oxygen ions. If a metal vapor of calcium or titanium is passed over it at high temperature, it removes the oxygen, leaving behind just electrons trapped at these sites—an electride.

Unlike the high-pressure metal electrides that switch from conductors to insulators, mayenite starts as an insulator. But now its trapped electrons can jump between cage sites (via a process called quantum tunnelling)—making it a conductor, albeit 100 to 1,000 times less conductive than a metal like aluminum or silver. It also becomes an excellent catalyst, able to surrender electrons to help make and break bonds in reactions.

By 2011, Hosono had begun to develop mayenite as a greener and more efficient catalyst for synthesizing ammonia. Over 170 million metric tons of ammonia, mostly for fertilizers, is produced annually via the Haber-Bosch process, in which metal oxides facilitate hydrogen and nitrogen gases reacting together at high pressure and temperature. It is an energy-intensive, expensive process—Haber-Bosch plants account for some 2 percent of the world’s energy use.

The company estimates that this will avoid 11,000 tons of CO2 emissions annually—about equal to the annual emissions of 2,400 cars.

In Haber-Bosch, the catalysts bind the two gases to their surfaces and donate electrons to help break the strong triple bond that holds the two nitrogen atoms together in nitrogen gas, as well as the bonds in hydrogen gas. Because mayenite has a strong electron-donating nature, Hosono thought mayenite would be able to do it better.

In Hosono’s reaction, mayenite itself does not bind the gases but acts as a support bed for nanoparticles of a metal called ruthenium. First, the nanoparticles absorb the nitrogen and hydrogen gases. Then the mayenite donates electrons to the ruthenium. These electrons flow into the nitrogen and hydrogen molecules, making it easier to break their bonds. Ammonia thus forms at a lower temperature—300 to 400° C—and lower pressure—50 to 80 atmospheres—than with Haber-Bosch, which takes place at 400 to 500° C and 100 to 400 atmospheres.

In 2017, the company Tsubame BHB was formed to commercialize Hosono’s catalyst, with the first pilot plant opening in 2019, producing 20 metric tons of ammonia per year. The company has since opened a larger facility in Japan and is setting up a 20,000-ton-per year green ammonia plant in Brazil to replace some of the nation’s fossil-fuel-based fertilizer production. The company estimates that this will avoid 11,000 tons of CO2 emissions annually—about equal to the annual emissions of 2,400 cars.

There are other applications for a mayenite catalyst, says Hosono, including a lower-energy conversion of CO2 into useful chemicals like methane, methanol or longer-chain hydrocarbons. Other scientists have suggested that mayenite’s cage structure also makes it suitable for immobilizing radioactive isotope waste in nuclear power stations: The electrons could capture negative ions like iodine and bromide and trap them in the cages.

Mayenite has even been studied as a low-temperature propulsion system for satellites in space. When it is heated to 600°C in a vacuum, its trapped electrons blast from the cages, causing propulsion.

Organic Electrides

The list of materials known to form electrides keeps growing. In 2024, a team led by chemist Fabrizio Ortu at the University of Leicester in the UK accidentally discovered another room-temperature-stable electride made from calcium ions surrounded by large organic molecules, together known as a coordination complex.

“You put something in a milling jar, you shake it really hard, and that provides the energy for the reaction.”

He was using a method known as mechanical chemistry—“You put something in a milling jar, you shake it really hard, and that provides the energy for the reaction,” he says. But to his surprise, electrons from the potassium he had added to his calcium complex were not donated to the calcium ion. Instead, what formed “had these electrons that were floating in the system,” he says, trapped in sites between the two metals.

Unlike mayenite, this electride is not a conductor—its trapped electrons do not jump. But they allow it to facilitate reactions that are otherwise hard to get started, by activating unreactive bonds, doing a job much like a catalyst. These are reactions that currently rely on expensive palladium catalysts.

The scientists successfully used the electrideon a reaction that joins two pyridine rings—carbon rings containing a nitrogen atom. They are now examining whether the electride could assist in other common organic reactions, such as substituting a hydrogen atom on a benzene ring. These substitutions are difficult because the bond between the benzene ring carbon and its attached hydrogen is very stable.

There are still problems to sort out: Ortu’s calcium electride is too air- and water-sensitive for use in industry. He is now looking for a more stable alternative, which could prove particularly useful in the pharmaceutical industry to synthesize drug molecules, where the sorts of reactions Ortu has demonstrated are common.

Still Questions at the Core

There remain many unresolved mysteries about electrides, including whether Earth’s inner core definitely contains one. Kim and his collaborators used simulations of the iron lattice to find evidence for non-nuclear attractor sites, but their interpretation of the results remains “a little bit controversial,” Racioppi says.

Sodium and other metals in Group 1 and Group 2 of the periodic table of elements—such as lithium, calcium and magnesium—have loosely bound outer electrons. This helps make it easy for electrons to shift to non-nuclear attractor sites, forming electrides. But iron exerts more pulling power on its outer electrons, which sit in differently shaped orbitals. This makes the increase in electron repulsion under pressure less significant and thus the shift to electride formation difficult, Racioppi says.

Electrides are still little known and little studied, says computational materials scientist Lee Burton of Tel Aviv University. There is still no theory or model to predict when a material will become one. “Because electrides are not typical chemically, you can’t bring your chemical intuition to it,” he says.

“The potential is enormous.”

Burton has been searching for rules that might help with predictions and has had some success finding electrides from a screen of 40,000 known materials. He is now using artificial intelligence to find more. “It’s a complex interplay between different properties that sometimes can all depend on each other,” he says. “This is where machine learning can really help.”

The key is having reliable data to train any model. Burton’s team only has actual data from the handful of electride structures experimentally confirmed so far, but they also are using the kind of modeling based on quantum theory that was carried out by Racioppito create high-resolution simulations of electron density within materials. They are doing this for as many materials as they can; those that are confirmed by real-world experiments will be used to train an AI modelto identify more materials that are likely to be electrides — ones with the discrete pockets of high electron density characteristic of trapped electron sites. “The potential,” says Burton, “is enormous.”

—Rachel Brazil (@rachelbrazil.bsky.social), Knowable Magazine

“This article originally appeared in Knowable Magazine, a nonprofit publication dedicated to making scientific knowledge accessible to all. Sign up for Knowable Magazine’s newsletter.” Read the original article here.

AI to track icebergs adrift at sea in boon for science

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 02/05/2026 - 10:00
British scientists said Thursday that a world-first AI tool to catalog and track icebergs as they break apart into smaller chunks could fill a "major blind spot" in predicting climate change.

Upper Crustal Anisotropy in the Southeastern Termination of the Zagros Mountains and Qeshm Island

Geophysical Journal International - Thu, 02/05/2026 - 00:00
SummaryWe investigate upper crustal seismic anisotropy in the southeastern termination of the Zagros Mountains and Qeshm Island through shear wave splitting analysis on the aftershock records of 3 local earthquakes: the 2006 Tiab earthquake (Mw = 6) in the north of the Main Zagros Reverse Fault (MZRF), the 2006 Fin event (Mw = 5.9) in SE Zagros, and the 2005 Qeshm Island event (Mw = 5.8). The results show that north of the MZRF in the Faryab region, the local anisotropy as measured by fast axis orientations of the shear waves, is mainly controlled by crustal structures such as fault shear fabrics or plane fractures around a set of orthogonal active strike-slip faults of a dominantly NE-SW strike. Stress-induced anisotropy caused by fluid-filled microcracks aligned with local maximum horizontal compression seems to be of minor importance. In the vicinity of the MZRF and the Zendan-Minab-Palami Fault, another major fault of the region, local anisotropy is controlled by the structural fabric developed by those faults. Far from the faults, the fast orientations rotate to become aligned with the regional compressional stress. The MZRF is located on an old subduction suture, and it seems that the metamorphic or mylonite fabrics that prevail in this part have shaped the anisotropic structure in the upper crust. In the Simply-Folded Belt of the Zagros and in Qeshm Island, where the deformation of the upper crust is younger, local anisotropy is mostly stress-induced, and the role of fault structures, even though the region is affected by extensive and complex sets of active faulting, is relatively minor. The intensity of anisotropy, as witnessed by splitting delay times, decreases from the metamorphic belt north of the MZRF, to the deformation front in Qeshm Island. This observation is in agreement with the decrease in the accumulated deformation from north to south everywhere in the Zagros. Crustal anisotropy in the Zagros does not show large-scale uniform patterns, rather, it varies over relatively small distances. This is partly due to the fact that both stress-induced and structurally-controlled anisotropies are at work, and partly because of the short-distance variations of the modern stress field in the Zagros.

Single and Multi-Objective Optimization of Distributed Acoustic Sensing Cable Layouts for Geophysical Applications

Geophysical Journal International - Thu, 02/05/2026 - 00:00
SummaryWe present a systematic approach to optimise distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) fibre-optic cable layouts using global optimisation techniques. Our method represents cable geometries using splines, enabling efficient exploration of layouts while respecting physical deployment constraints. The use of evolutionary algorithms enables single and multi-objective optimisation, taking into account complex design constraints such as terrain, accessibility, exclusion zones, cable length, and coupling-related or local site effects, while allowing efficient parallelisation of the optimisation process. We demonstrate the approach on a real-world case study, optimising the layout of a DAS cable for monitoring slope stability in the Cuolm da Vi area of Switzerland. We adapt design criteria for seismic source location problems, and for ambient noise surface wave tomography, to account for the unique characteristics of DAS, such as directional sensitivity patterns. The results show significant potential for improvements in source location accuracy and surface wave tomographic resolution by optimising cable layouts, highlighting the potential of this approach for optimising DAS deployments in various geophysical applications.

Investigations of compacted soil-organics mixtures with Spectral Induced Polarisation

Geophysical Journal International - Thu, 02/05/2026 - 00:00
SummaryIn this study, we present a new integrated experimental approach to investigate simultaneously the electrical spectral induced polarisation (SIP), mechanical, hydraulic and chemical properties of synthetic clayey soil mixed with different types and quantities of organic matter. It addresses knowledge gaps that aim to advance SIP as a non-destructive analysis tool for soils. We used an inorganic clay as a proxy for clayey soil with a moderate cation exchange capacity to achieve more realistic test conditions since most studies use sand. Three organic matter (OM) types with contrasting properties, biosolids, peat and sugar cane residue, broaden the range of organic carbon materials that have been tested. Our study demonstrates a strong relationship between the imaginary part of the complex conductivity and the total organic carbon content of the soil-OM mixtures. It indicates that the relationships depend on the degree of aromaticity, with the slope angle increasing as the degree of aromaticity of the OM increases. Hence, the quantity of OM, as well as its chemical structure, plays a key role in SIP response. Interestingly, these relationships are independent of soil water saturation and bulk density. These findings are of paramount importance for enabling field-scale applications and confirm the potential of SIP as a non-invasive tool for monitoring and characterising soil in situ.

When continents try, and fail, to break apart

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 02/04/2026 - 22:03
Great things can come from failure when it comes to geology. The Midcontinent rift formed about 1.1 billion years ago and runs smack in the middle of the United States at the Great Lakes. The rift failed to completely rupture, and had it succeeded it would have torn North America apart. Under immense pressure from receding tectonic plates, the weakened lithosphere instead created a basin in the crust eventually filled by Lake Superior, and it also exposed a 3000-km-long band of deeply buried igneous and sedimentary rocks.

Forest soils increasingly extract methane from the atmosphere, long-term study reveals

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 02/04/2026 - 20:37
Forest soils have an important role in protecting our climate: They remove large quantities of methane—a powerful greenhouse gas—from our atmosphere. Researchers from the University of Göttingen and the Baden-Württemberg Forest Research Institute (FVA) have evaluated the world's most comprehensive data set on methane uptake by forest soils. They discovered that under certain climate conditions, which may become more common in the future, forest soils' capacity to absorb methane actually increases.

Analysis reveals interhemispheric thermal imbalance as key to Asian-Australian monsoon variability

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 02/04/2026 - 20:11
The Asian-Australian monsoon system (A-AuMS) is the world's most typical cross-equatorial coupled monsoon system. On a seasonal timescale, the summer monsoon in one hemisphere is usually linked to the winter monsoon in the other via outflows. However, robust evidence is lacking as to whether such cross-equatorial monsoon coupling persists during orbital-scale paleoclimate evolution. A scarcity of high-resolution paleoclimatic records from the Northern Australian monsoon region in the Southern Hemisphere has limited a full understanding of the A-AuMS's dynamic mechanisms.

Hadean zircons reveal crust recycling and continent formation more than 4 billion years ago

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 02/04/2026 - 16:00
Parts of ancient Earth may have formed continents and recycled crust through subduction far earlier than previously thought. New research led by scientists at the University of Wisconsin–Madison has uncovered chemical signatures in zircons, the planet's oldest minerals, that are consistent with subduction and extensive continental crust during the Hadean Eon, more than 4 billion years ago.

CFC replacements behind vast quantities of global 'forever chemical' pollution, research reveals

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 02/04/2026 - 14:00
Chemicals brought in to help protect our ozone layer have had the unintended consequences of spreading vast quantities of a potentially toxic "forever chemical" around the globe, a new study shows. Atmospheric scientists, led by researchers at Lancaster University, have for the first time calculated that CFC replacement chemicals and anesthetics are behind around a third of a million metric tons (335,500) of a persistent forever chemical called trifluoroacetic acid (TFA) being deposited from the atmosphere across Earth's surface between the years 2000 and 2022.

Snowball Earth’s Liquid Seas Dipped Way Below Freezing

EOS - Wed, 02/04/2026 - 13:53

Earth froze over 717 million years ago. Ice crept down from the poles to the equator, and the dark subglacial seas suffocated without sunlight to power photosynthesis. Earth became an unrecognizable, alien world—a “snowball Earth,” where even the water was colder than freezing.

In Nature Communications, researchers reported the first measured sea temperature from a snowball Earth episode: −15°C ± 7°C. If this figure holds up, it will be the coldest measured sea temperature in Earth’s history.

For water to be that cold without freezing, it would have to be very salty. And indeed, the team’s analysis suggests that some pockets of seawater during the Sturtian snowball glaciation, which lasted 57 million years, could have been up to 4 times saltier than modern ocean water.

“We’re dealing with salty brines,” said Ross Mitchell, a geologist at the Institute of Geology and Geophysics of the Chinese Academy of Sciences. “That’s exactly what you see in Antarctica today,” he added, except that snowball Earth’s brines were a bit colder than even the −13°C salty slush of Antarctica’s ice-covered Lake Vida today.

Past Iron

The Sturtian snowball was a runaway climate catastrophe that occurred because ice reflects more sunlight than land or water. Ice reflected sunlight, which cooled the planet, which made more ice, which reflected more sunlight and so on, until the whole world ended up buried under glaciers that could have been up to a kilometer thick.

This unusual time left behind unusual rocks: Rusty red iron formations that accumulated where continental glaciers met the ice-covered seas. To take snowball Earth’s temperature, the team devised a new way to use that iron as a thermometer.

Scientists used information about the iron in formations like this one to estimate the temperature of Earth’s ocean 717 million years ago. Credit: James St. John/Flickr, CC BY 2.0

Iron formations accumulate in water that’s rich in dissolved iron. Oxygen transforms the easily dissolved, greenish “ferric” form of iron into rusty red “ferrous” iron that stays solid. That’s why almost all iron formations are ancient, relics of a time before Earth’s atmosphere started filling with oxygen about 2.4 billion years ago, or from the more recent snowball Earth, when the seas were sealed under ice. Unable to soak up oxygen from the air or from photosynthesis, snowball Earth’s dark, ice-covered seawater drained of oxygen.

Iron-56 is the most common iron isotope, but lighter iron-54 rusts more easily. So when iron rusts in the ocean, the remaining dissolved iron is enriched in the heavier isotope. Over many cycles of limited, partial rusting—like what happened on the anoxic Archean Earth—this enrichment grows, which is why ancient iron formations contain isotopically very heavy iron compared to iron minerals that formed after Earth’s atmosphere and oceans filled with oxygen.

Snowball Earth’s iron is heavy, too, even more so than iron formations from the distant, preoxygen past. The researchers realized that temperature could be the explanation: Iron minerals that form in cold water end up istopically heavier. We don’t know exactly how hot it was when the ancient iron formations accumulated, but it was likely warmer than during snowball Earth, when glaciers reached the equator. Using a previous estimate of 25°C for the temperature of Archean seawater, the team calculated that the waters that formed the snowball Earth iron formations would likely have been 40°C colder.

“It’s a very interesting, novel way of getting something different out of iron isotope data,” said geochemist Andy Heard of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, who was not involved in the study. “It’s a funny, backwards situation to be in where you’re using even older rocks as your baseline for understanding something that formed 700 million years ago.”

In part because of that backward situation, Heard thinks the study is best interpreted qualitatively as strong evidence that seawater was really cold, but maybe not that it was exactly −15°C.

The team also analyzed isotopes of strontium and barium to determine that snowball Earth’s seawater was up to 4 times saltier than the modern ocean. Jochen Brocks of the Australian National University, who wasn’t involved in the study, said the researchers’ results align with his own salinity analysis of snowball Earth sediments from Australia based on a different method. Those rocks formed in a brine that Brocks thinks was salty enough to reach −7°C before freezing. Another group reaching a similar conclusion using different methods makes that extreme scenario sound a lot more plausible, he said.

“It was very cool to get the additional confirmation it was actually very, very cold,” he said.

—Elise Cutts (@elisecutts.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: Cutts, E. (2026), Snowball Earth’s liquid seas dipped way below freezing, Eos, 107, https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EO260048. Published on 4 February 2026. Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
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