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Satellite data and weather models improve short-term solar irradiance forecasts in China

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 12/31/2025 - 01:20
The intermittent nature of solar energy poses challenges to grid stability, making accurate ultra-short-term solar irradiance forecasting crucial for balancing supply and demand. However, traditional numerical weather prediction models often struggle with cloud initialization, leading to forecast inaccuracies.

High-Resolution Analysis of the 2025 Offshore Seismic Sequence in the Aeolian Archipelago (Southern Tyrrhenian Sea, Italy)

Geophysical Journal International - Wed, 12/31/2025 - 00:00
SummaryIn February-March 2025 a seismic sequence occurred in the western sector of the Aeolian Archipelago (Southern Tyrrhenian Sea, Italy), a seismotectonic complex region located along the Africa-Eurasia plate boundary and mainly controlled by their NW-trending convergence. The seismicity, located ∼20 km south of Alicudi Island and ∼40 km north of the coast of Sicily, started on February 7 with an earthquake of magnitude Mw 4.7 that was followed in the next month by 42 events with local magnitudes between 1.2 and 3.4. Notwithstanding its moderate energy, this recent seismicity offers a unique opportunity to investigate seismogenic processes in a region for which a seismic potential of ∼M7 or even more has been suggested and a relevant data paucity mainly related to its offshore location was widely recognized. We tackle the limitations of not-optimal network configuration, by designing an ad-hoc approach, which integrates different advanced techniques. Specifically, we combine Bayesian methodology for accurate absolute hypocenter locations, machine learning techniques for detection of weaker events, Distance Geometry Solvers for relative locations, and a probabilistic inversion tool for source mechanism estimation. Our analysis led us to strongly enrich the dataset of detected earthquakes, and to define the causative source of the 2025 sequence as a NE-SW trending N-dipping thrust faulting structure. The proposed source agrees with the regional seismogenic stress field and with the structural architecture of the southern Tyrrhenian portion of the Africa-Eurasia plate margin by also adding new constraints in a sector where no known fault segments were previously reported. This study provides new insights on seismogenic processes in the investigated area, while proving the effectiveness of the employed combined approach for characterizing seismogenic sources in poor network configurations.

What's inside Mexico's Popocatépetl? Scientists obtain first 3D images of the whole volcano

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 12/30/2025 - 12:43
In the predawn darkness, a team of scientists climbs the slope of Mexico's Popocatépetl volcano, one of the world's most active and whose eruption could affect millions of people. Its mission: figure out what is happening under the crater.

Editorial Board

Earth and Planetary Science Letters - Mon, 12/29/2025 - 19:11

Publication date: 1 February 2026

Source: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 675

Author(s):

Isotopic constraints on the Barium subduction cycle

Earth and Planetary Science Letters - Mon, 12/29/2025 - 19:11

Publication date: 1 February 2026

Source: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 675

Author(s): Qasid Ahmad, Martin Wille, Carolina Rosca, Thomas Pettke, Jörg Hermann, Stephan König

Melting phase relations in Fe-FeS under Martian core pressures: Crystallization of Fe<sub>12</sub>S<sub>7</sub> at the inner core?

Earth and Planetary Science Letters - Mon, 12/29/2025 - 19:11

Publication date: 1 February 2026

Source: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 675

Author(s): Fumiya Sakai, Kei Hirose

Using rate-and-state friction constitutive laws to predict seismicity rates for ice rifts on the Ross Ice Shelf in Antarctica

Earth and Planetary Science Letters - Mon, 12/29/2025 - 19:11

Publication date: 1 February 2026

Source: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 675

Author(s): Kathrine Udell-Lopez, Mong-Han Huang, Vedran Lekić

Fixation of atmospheric nitrogen on present-day Mars during dust events

Earth and Planetary Science Letters - Mon, 12/29/2025 - 19:11

Publication date: 1 February 2026

Source: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 675

Author(s): Wenshuo Mao, Xiaohui Fu, Zhongchen Wu, Jiang Zhang, Zongcheng Ling, Yang Liu, Yu-Yan Sara Zhao, Jiacheng Liu, He Cui, Hitesh G. Changela, Yuheng Ni, Lifang Li, Joseph R. Michalski

Friction heterogeneity constrains rupture dynamics across a narrow seismogenic zone: The 2021 Mw 7.4 Maduo Earthquake (Eastern Tibet)

Earth and Planetary Science Letters - Mon, 12/29/2025 - 19:11

Publication date: 1 February 2026

Source: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 675

Author(s): Kuilin Xiao, Qiang Qiu

Enhanced marine primary productivity during the long-term Ordovician cooling: A barium isotope perspective from South China

Earth and Planetary Science Letters - Mon, 12/29/2025 - 19:11

Publication date: 1 February 2026

Source: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 675

Author(s): Shengchao Yang, Junxuan Fan, Chao Li, Yi-Bo Lin, Yiying Deng, Zongyuan Sun, Jian Cao, Shu-zhong Shen

Tectonic structures and stress state associated with seamount subduction in accretionary prism. Implications for slip behavior

Earth and Planetary Science Letters - Mon, 12/29/2025 - 19:11

Publication date: 1 February 2026

Source: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 675

Author(s): Alexis Gauthier, Nadaya Cubas, Laetitia Le Pourhiet

Apatite records mechanical and chemical processes over the lifetime of a subduction interface, Andros Island, Greece

Earth and Planetary Science Letters - Mon, 12/29/2025 - 19:11

Publication date: 1 February 2026

Source: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 675

Author(s): Eirini M. Poulaki, Cailey B. Condit, Margaret L. Odlum, Jason N. Ott, Megan E. Ferrell

Three-dimensional density structure underneath the Marius Hills volcanic complex on the Moon

Earth and Planetary Science Letters - Mon, 12/29/2025 - 19:11

Publication date: 1 February 2026

Source: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 675

Author(s): Shiyu Zhang, Bo Chen, Qian Huang, Changyi Xu, Xiaolong Wei

The role of crystal-bubble interactions, outgassing and magma composition in the ascent dynamics of alkaline magmas: Implications for eruptions at Vesuvius

Earth and Planetary Science Letters - Mon, 12/29/2025 - 19:11

Publication date: 1 February 2026

Source: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 675

Author(s): Fabio Arzilli, Giuseppe La Spina, Emily C. Bamber, Daniele Morgavi, Lorenzo Fedele, Lucia Mancini, Marko Prašek, Ileana Santangelo, Giulia Chiominto, Annamaria Perrotta, Thomas Lemaire, Hélène Balcone-Boissard, Daniele Giordano, Claudio Scarpati

A new subduction initiation mechanism induced by lateral subduction propagation

Earth and Planetary Science Letters - Mon, 12/29/2025 - 19:11

Publication date: 1 February 2026

Source: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 675

Author(s): Chunyang Wang, Weiwei Ding, Wouter P․ Schellart, Zhengyi Tong, Yinxia Fang, Jiabiao Li

Role of hydrothermal alteration and thermally activated healing on earthquake dynamics along oceanic transform faults

Earth and Planetary Science Letters - Mon, 12/29/2025 - 19:11

Publication date: 1 February 2026

Source: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 675

Author(s): Mingqi Liu, Sylvain Barbot

Ultramafic float rocks at Jezero crater (Mars): excavation of lower crustal rocks or mantle peridotites by impact cratering?

Earth and Planetary Science Letters - Mon, 12/29/2025 - 19:11

Publication date: 1 February 2026

Source: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 675

Author(s): O. Beyssac, E. Clavé, O. Forni, A. Udry, A.C. Pascuzzo, E. Dehouck, P. Beck, L. Mandon, C. Quantin-Nataf, N. Mangold, G. Lopez-Reyes, C. Royer, O. Gasnault, T.S.J. Gabriel, L. Kah, S. Schröder, J.R. Johnson, T. Bertrand, B. Chide, T. Fouchet

Variable roles of oceanic transform faults in plume dispersion along segmented mid-ocean ridges

Earth and Planetary Science Letters - Mon, 12/29/2025 - 19:11

Publication date: 1 February 2026

Source: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 675

Author(s): Fan Zhang, Sibiao Liu, Lars H. Rüpke, Yiming Luo, Ming Chen, Xubo Zhang, Lei Zhao, Yinuo Zhang, Zhanying Chen, Jian Lin

Long-term faulting history of the Central Taurides based on U-Pb dating of syn-tectonic calcites

Earth and Planetary Science Letters - Mon, 12/29/2025 - 19:11

Publication date: 1 February 2026

Source: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 675

Author(s): Tunahan Aykut, I. Tonguç Uysal, Cengiz Yıldırım, Timur Ustaömer, Nicole Leonard

Equivalence of Relaxation Time Distribution in Spectral Induced Polarization

Geophysical Journal International - Mon, 12/29/2025 - 00:00
SummaryDecomposing spectral responses in induced polarization on the basis of elementary Debye relaxation kernels with a distribution of time constants (Relaxation Time Distribution) is a powerful tool for analysing observations in this low-frequency electromagnetic method. Notably, it enables the estimation of the sizes of polarisation sites, particularly in the presence of metallic particles, as well as facilitating environmental studies. These decompositions generalise a plethora of historical models, some of which can be considered equivalent to each other in the sense of mathematical equivalence classes. Here, we explicit several types of these equivalence relations, which we recall in their definition in relation to a common property, the elements of a given class belong to a given set. For example, we present a class of models that fall under the same differential equation, meaning this is the class of models that belong to the set of distributions that verify the differential equation. We also exhibit another class of models where we can pass from one to the other by an elementary calculation. Among all the possibilities, a particular class often interests us in IP: RTD classes such as spectra are practically indistinguishable as they are so close according to a defined criterion. In this particular case, we study here the equivalence (or non-equivalence) of certain classical models. We confirm that two models play major roles: the lognormal distribution (because it is the most natural) and the Cole-Cole distribution, which is empirical but also often used for its simplicity (and the associated RTD is analytical, unlike that of the lognormal which requires numerical evaluations). It turns out that these two distributions are equivalent in terms of their quasi-equal spectra, a fact known since Cole and Cole (1941), but whose scope is extended here by an in-depth study of the objective function which separates them in the least squares sense.

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