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Seismic Tomography of Aluto Volcano: Insights into Subsurface Fluid Distribution

Geophysical Journal International - Wed, 01/14/2026 - 00:00
SummaryUnderstanding subsurface fluid distribution in volcanic reservoirs is critical for geothermal energy development, critical mineral exploration, and forecasting eruptions. Here, we use travel-time tomography to image the seismic velocity structure beneath Aluto volcano, the first pilot geothermal project in Ethiopia, located in the Main Ethiopian Rift. Using seismic data recorded from January 2012 to January 2014, we invert for the 3D P-wave (Vp), S-wave (Vs), and Vp/Vs ratio. To reduce the non-uniqueness in interpretation, we also compare our results with previously published work on attenuation tomography and magnetotelluric images. Elevated Vp/Vs ratios (at 0 km below sea level (bsl)) around productive geothermal wells suggest high fluid content and/or elevated temperature. Vp/Vs values above 1.8 are observed along the caldera rims and hydrothermal vents, indicating fault and fracture systems as primary fluid conduits. High Vp/Vs below 6 km bsl likely reflects high-temperature areas or the presence of partial melt. In contrast, low Vp/Vs (<1.5), low Vp, and average to high Vs beneath the caldera at around 5 km bsl is interpreted as a crystallised body with over-pressurised gas volume formed during phase separation and transported upward through fractures and fault systems, accumulating at shallower levels. These findings highlight fluid pathways through the caldera rims and faults, with volatile-rich partial melt at greater depth beneath the caldera centre. Travel-time tomography thus offers a valuable constraints on subsurface fluid distribution and is valuable tool in geothermal exploration.

Signs of ancient life turn up in an unexpected place

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 01/13/2026 - 21:55
Dr. Rowan Martindale, a paleoecologist and geobiologist at the University of Texas at Austin, was walking through the Dadès Valley in the Central High Atlas Mountains of Morocco when she saw something that literally stopped her in her tracks.

Microbial genes could improve our understanding of water pollution

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 01/13/2026 - 19:16
Underground environments like soil and aquifers teem with microbial life. These tiny microbes play a big role in cycling nutrients and breaking down or transforming pollutants. However, scientists still struggle to reliably model how microbes grow and decay.

Melting glaciers may mix up waters more than we thought

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 01/13/2026 - 19:13
As marine-terminating glaciers melt, the resulting freshwater is released at the seafloor, which mixes with salty seawater and influences circulation patterns. As the oceans warm, it's growing increasingly important to study this process.

Marine sediments suggest glaciers retreated in sync across both hemispheres

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 01/13/2026 - 17:54
An international team of scientists has uncovered evidence glaciers in the Southern and Northern hemispheres were synchronous during the last ice age.

Sailboat measurements improve estimates of ocean CO₂ uptake

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 01/13/2026 - 17:06
During training cruises and regattas, sailors collect valuable data for climate research at sea. A study appearing in Science Advances showed that this data can help improve estimates of the marine carbon sink.

How the Tibetan Plateau-Himalayan uplift shaped Asian summer monsoons

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 01/13/2026 - 16:05
Research from Monash University reveals the climate history behind Asia's summer monsoon—Earth's most influential climate system. In a new study published in npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, an international team of researchers led by Monash University has uncovered the pivotal role of the Tibetan Plateau's uplift in shaping Asia's iconic summer monsoon.

Melting Glaciers Mix Up Waters More Than We Thought

EOS - Tue, 01/13/2026 - 14:12
Source: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans

As marine-terminating glaciers melt, the resulting freshwater is released at the seafloor, which mixes with salty seawater and influences circulation patterns. As the oceans warm, it’s growing increasingly important to study this process. Researchers do so using the framework of buoyant plume theory, which describes how rising freshwater interacts with denser salt water. Falling chunks of ice, which can easily crush boats, make working near glaciers dangerous. Thus, empirical data that can verify buoyant plume theory have rarely been collected.

Ovall et al. helped fill this gap by using remotely operated kayaks equipped with instruments to monitor the features of water flowing out from Xeitl Sít’ (also called LeConte Glacier) in southeastern Alaska. Their work marked the first time researchers took measurements of a plume’s size, shape, and velocity from directly above the upwelling plume.

The robotic kayaks allowed the researchers to observe the plume of rising freshwater without risking their own safety. Instruments aboard the kayaks sent acoustic signals downward, which bounced off particles within the rising plume to measure its velocity.

The volume and characteristics of the rising plume of water are substantially different from those predicted by buoyant plume theory, they found. The study’s measurements found that upwelling water moves at rates of more than a meter per second. Buoyant plume theory doesn’t capture the extent to which freshwater pulls salt water into the rising plume, leading researchers to underestimate the volume of the plume by as much as 50%. That mismatch likely arose in part because scientists underestimated how the shape of a glacier’s submarine portion affects the interaction between freshwater and ocean water. However, the authors note, there are likely other factors at play that have not yet been identified. (Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JC022902, 2025)

—Saima May Sidik (@saimamay.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: Sidik, S. M. (2025), Melting glaciers mix up waters more than we thought, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250474. Published on 13 January 2025. Text © 2025. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Microbial Genes Could Improve Our Understanding of Water Pollution

EOS - Tue, 01/13/2026 - 14:12
Source: Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences

Underground environments like soil and aquifers teem with microbial life. These tiny microbes play a big role in cycling nutrients and breaking down or transforming pollutants. However, scientists still struggle to reliably model how microbes grow and decay.

Most studies of groundwater microbe communities focus on free-floating planktonic microbes, which make up less than 10% of an aquifer’s microbial population. The majority of microbes in groundwater are attached to sediment, making examination more difficult. Many studies are also done in labs, rather than on site.

Strobel et al. set out to study whether tracking biomarkers, such as specific genes produced by microbes during their life cycles, can improve models aimed at predicting how well microbes degrade pollutants in aquifers. They conducted research in southwestern Germany’s Ammer River floodplain, where groundwater sources with low oxygen levels and sediment with a high organic carbon content were ideal for microbial denitrification (the reduction of nitrate to nitrogen gas) to occur. The team constructed two 8.4-meter-deep wells surrounded by PVC casings and inserted seven microbial trapping devices (MTDs)—containers of sterilized sediment packed into a filter that served as a proxy for the microbial community in the aquifer matrix—into one of the wells. The MTDs remained submerged for 4.5 months prior to any experiments to allow the microbial community time to adapt to the environment and proliferate.

During a roughly 10-day period, while the MTDs were in the outflow well, the researchers injected nitrate-rich groundwater at the inflow well and extracted groundwater from the outflow well. The presence of nitrate, a pollutant that comes from sources such as fertilizer and sewage waste, spurred the microbial community into the process of denitrification. The team monitored the concentration of nitrate at the outflow and periodically withdrew an MTD to be transported to a lab for DNA analysis.

The growing abundance of key denitrification genes (napA and narG) in the earlier samples, followed by a decline in the later samples, indicated a dynamic microbial response to the added nitrate. The researchers’ efforts to use mathematical models to match their observations showed the importance of microbial growth during denitrification to control the extent of nitrate removal. The researchers note that though MTDs do not act as a perfect proxy for studying real aquifers, overall, the findings provide insight into the use of biomarkers to track biogeochemical processes, such as denitrification, in nature. (Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JG009181, 2025)

—Rebecca Owen (@beccapox.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: Owen R. (2026), Microbial genes could improve our understanding of water pollution, Eos, 107, https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EO260015. Published on 13 January 2026. Text © 2026. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Investigating a plume of bright blue in the wake of Hurricane Melissa

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 01/13/2026 - 14:03
Hurricane Melissa made landfall in Jamaica on October 28, 2025, as a category 5 storm, bringing sustained winds of 295 kilometers (185 miles) per hour and leaving a broad path of destruction on the island. The storm displaced tens of thousands of people, damaged or destroyed more than 100,000 structures, inflicted costly damage on farmland, and left the nation's forests brown and battered.

Are We Really Seeing More Foreshocks with Enhanced Catalogs?

EOS - Tue, 01/13/2026 - 14:00
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth

Foreshocks are smaller earthquakes that sometimes occur before bigger ones and studying them could help give early warnings of large earthquakes and understand how large earthquakes occur. But, because scientists use different ways to define and find foreshocks, estimates for how often they happen before big earthquakes in Southern California vary a lot—from 19% to 72%.

Khan et al. [2025] looked at both regular earthquake catalog and special “enhanced” catalogs with more small events to figure out why these estimates are so different. They found that using a simple method, just by checking small quakes near big ones in space and time, could lead to high foreshock rate, but the rate is comparable between standard and enhanced catalogs. Using statistics of past seismicity to define foreshock is better, but the choice of statistical representation matters. Assuming a constant average rate of past earthquakes (using a Poisson distribution) produces the highest foreshock rates and makes the results most sensitive to magnitude cut-offs and catalog choice. Their preferred method uses statistical distributions that account for variations in past earthquake rates, resulting in more reliable foreshock rates that are less sensitive to the magnitude cut-off or the type of earthquake catalog used.

This study clears up confusion about the wide range of foreshocks rates from previous studies in the same region and is the most thorough review of foreshock studies in Southern California so far. The authors also provide clear definitions, guidelines, and computer codes for other researchers to use. The authors emphasize the need to carefully consider biases in data and statistical methods in searching for precursory signals before large earthquakes and offer useful tips for improving short-term earthquake forecasts in the future.

Citation: Khan, R. A., Werner, M. J., Biggs, J., & Fagereng, Å. (2025). Effect of mainshock selection, earthquake catalog and definition on foreshock rate estimates in Southern California. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 130, e2024JB030733. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JB030733

—Xiaowei Chen, Associate Editor, JGR: Solid Earth

Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

What is the global water cycle and how is it amplifying climate disasters?

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 01/13/2026 - 12:14
Floods, droughts and heat waves continue to dominate headlines around the world and in Australia.

El Niño and La Niña synchronize global droughts and floods, study finds

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 01/12/2026 - 22:10
Water extremes such as droughts and floods have a huge impact on communities, ecosystems, and economies. Researchers with The University of Texas at Austin have turned their attention to tracking these extremes across Earth and have discovered what is driving them.

Atmospheric physicists find error in widely cited Arctic snow cover observations

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 01/12/2026 - 22:01
For decades, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has offered a snapshot of the planet's changing climate—but University of Toronto researchers have found that some of the underlying data underrepresents a key driver of Arctic warming.

Open-source model more accurately measures greenhouse gas emissions from natural gas

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 01/12/2026 - 21:16
McGill engineering researchers have introduced an open-source model that makes it easier for experts and non-experts alike to evaluate greenhouse gas emissions from U.S. natural gas supply chains and yields more accurate results.

Hundreds of Scientists “Vehemently Oppose” U.S. Effort to Purchase Greenland

EOS - Mon, 01/12/2026 - 20:49
body {background-color: #D2D1D5;} Research & Developments is a blog for brief updates that provide context for the flurry of news regarding law and policy changes that impact science and scientists today.

More than 200 scientists have signed a letter condemning U.S. President Donald Trump’s efforts to acquire Greenland.

“Greenland’s scientists and citizens have made enormous contributions to the world’s understanding of the Arctic and how rapid Arctic changes are affecting people around the world,” the letter reads. “To Greenlanders: Qujanaq, and we stand with you.”

It follows another letter issued in February 2025, which called the effort “a dangerous distraction from the urgent work of addressing environmental change impacts to U.S. citizens.”

The president first expressed interest in buying Greenland, an autonomous territory of Denmark, in 2019, during his first term in office, and has mentioned it throughout his second term. The campaign for the acquisition has intensified in the wake of the United States’ seizure of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.

 
Related

Greenland is rich in oil and in minerals such as lithium, copper, and rare earths. However, Malte Humpert, founder and senior fellow at The Arctic Institute, told CNN that the idea of extensive rare earth mining on the island is “completely bonkers.”

“You might as well mine on the Moon,” he said. “In some respects, it’s worse than the Moon.”

Greenland is also strategically located between the North American and Eurasian Arctic. Its northwest coast is also home to the U.S. Pituffik Space Base.

“If we don’t take Greenland, Russia or China will take Greenland, and I am not going to let that happen,” Trump told reporters on 11 January from Air Force One. “One way or the other, we’re going to have Greenland … They need us much more than we need them.”

“Times have changed since Inuit lands were mere commodities that could be bought and sold,” wrote Sara Olsvig, Chair of the Inuit Circumpolar in a January 2025 statement. “In today’s world, we are active participants in decision-making about our lands and resources. We are beyond the times of typical colonial attitudes of superiority.”

In a LinkedIn post last week, Greenland’s prime minster, Jens-Frederik Nielsen, called the rhetoric “totally unacceptable” and “disrespectful.” A statement issued by the leaders of several European countries affirmed that “Greenland belongs to its people.”

Greenland is a critical location for climate science research, and many researchers have expressed concerns about how a U.S. takeover could affect this international scientific enterprise.

“Anything that injures our long-standing friendly relationship with Greenland is also an injury to science,” Yarrow Axford, a paleoclimatologist and one of the creators of the letter, wrote in an email to Eos. “There’s so much climate science and other important work that can only be done in Greenland, and only in partnership with Greenland’s people. I hope we can all weather this latest storm together.”

Mia Tuccillo, a paleolimnologist and Arctic scientist who is advised by Yarrow and also helped author the letter, wrote in an email to Eos that the research collaborations between the two nations are relatively new, and are delicate because of the history of U.S. intervention in Greenland.

“The statements by our government and by Trump that challenge Greenland’s sovereignty directly threaten these new priorities and collaborations—things that have greatly revolutionized and improved the ethos of geosciences—and things that are still very new and very, very valuable,” Tuccillo wrote.

“A unilateral US takeover threatens to disrupt the open scientific collaboration that is helping us understand the threat of global sea-level rise,” wrote glaciologist Martin Siegert in The Conversation.

The U.S. scientists behind the letter also issued a statement expressing solidarity with Greenland. Many shared (unattributed) personal messages at the end of the letter.

“Greenland is a unique culture and a critical part of the earth’s climate system, not a pawn in a real estate deal,” wrote one scientist.

“Without the help, knowledge, and skills of people in Greenland, we would have never been able to even reach our field site let alone conduct our research. When Greenlanders lead the way, our science improves and becomes more useful and relevant to both local and the international communities,” wrote another.

—Emily Gardner (@emfurd.bsky.social), Associate Editor

Editor’s note: This article has been updated to correctly differentiate between the letters issued in February 2025 and January 2026.

These updates are made possible through information from the scientific community. Do you have a story about how changes in law or policy are affecting scientists or research? Send us a tip at eos@agu.org. Text © 2026. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

How hidden factors beneath Istanbul shape earthquake risk

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 01/12/2026 - 19:56
The fault beneath Istanbul doesn't behave the way scientists once thought.

Equilibrium Points and Stability Analysis in Binary Asteroid Systems Using a Double Mass Dipole Model

Publication date: Available online 9 January 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): A.K. Almeida Jr., L.B.T. Santos, C.E.S. Gomes, E.V.M. Andrade, A.L.S. Barros, K.G.F. Santos, G.M. Fernandes, F. Monteiro, A. Amarante, R.I.S. Bastos, N.B. Lima, H.C.B. Nascimento, N.B.D. Lima, A.F.B.A. Prado

Evaluating Various Vegetation Indices in Triangle Method to enhance High-Resolution Soil Moisture Estimation

Publication date: Available online 9 January 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Bharatkumar S. Prajapati, Sonu Kumar, Rajendra Prasad, Prashant Kumar Srivastava, Jyoti Sharma, Shubham Kumar Singh, Manika Gupta, Muskan Dua

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