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Atacama Desert's extreme aridity initiated 20 million years earlier than previously thought, study finds

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 16:00
A collaborative study with the University of Cologne, recently published in Nature Communications, provides compelling evidence that the extreme aridity in the hyperarid core of the Atacama Desert began over 40 million years ago—significantly earlier than previously assumed. The findings require a reconsideration of how deserts form and offer a new perspective on the long-term evolution of Earth's most extreme environments. Researchers from SUERC Centre for the Isotope Sciences are co-authors of a study which casts new light on the history of Earth's driest region, the Atacama Desert in Chile.

Active fault mapped for first time in New Zealand's largest city

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 14:00
A fault line running alongside the Hunua Ranges in South Auckland is now identified as active and has the potential to cause a major earthquake with serious consequences, University of Auckland researchers say.

A Unique African Volcano Could Solve a Mystery on Mercury

EOS - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 12:40

The volcano Ol Doinyo Lengai in Tanzania is unique on Earth: Its lava is rich in carbon compounds that melt at significantly lower temperatures than typical silicon-rich lavas from other terrestrial volcanoes.

It is possible, however, that carbon volcanoes could exist elsewhere, including on exoplanets, or—as suggested in a recently published article in Icarus—perhaps even on planet Mercury.

Despite being known from antiquity, Mercury is very hard to study because of its closeness to the Sun. As a result, the best data so far were gathered within the past 20 years by NASA’s MESSENGER (Mercury Surface, Space Environment, Geochemistry, and Ranging) probe. In particular, scientists identified mysterious pits they dubbed “hollows” scattered across Mercury’s surface. The hollows’ relatively bright appearance indicates they were formed in recent geological times, and could even be still forming today. The origins and geochemical makeup of these hollows are unknown.

“Mercury looks like the Moon a little bit, so we don’t expect large volcanoes,” said Maximilian Paul Reitze, a planetologist at Universität Münster’s Institut für Planetologie who is first author of the Icarus study. Without volcanic conditions like those on Earth or even on Jupiter’s moon Io, researchers expect Mercury to be largely geologically dormant. In other words, to explain hollows, “we need some volcanism under the conditions we expect on Mercury,” Reitze said.

Hence the interest in Ol Doinyo Lengai, known as the Mountain of God to the Maasai and Sonjo peoples. This volcano produces lava made up of carbonatites, igneous rocks composed of more than half carbon (and which are known to host critical minerals). These lavas flow at temperatures roughly 100°C lower than Mercury’s blazingly hot daytime temperature of 424°C. If the planet has a carbon-rich subsurface, as Reitze and his collaborators proposed, then the hollows could be Mercury’s version of Ol Doinyo Lengai.

This theory, however, has its skeptics.

“We know that there is carbon in [Mercury’s] crust, but the amount is very low,” said Paul Byrne, a planetary scientist at Washington University in St. Louis, who was not involved in the Icarus study. He also pointed out that the surface regions where carbon is most concentrated don’t correspond to higher concentrations of hollows. “For this to be some kind of carbon-based lava, it would imply a lot more carbon than we might think, given how widespread the hollows are.”

The Making of a Weird Planet

Mercury’s proximity to the Sun means that NASA’s Mariner 10 spacecraft provided humanity’s first-ever views when it flew by in 1974 and 1975. Three decades later, the MESSENGER mission was the first probe to orbit Mercury, mapping the planet’s full surface and turning up unexpected features like the hollows. The BepiColombo mission, a joint project of the European Space Agency and the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, is only the third mission ever to visit the planet, so when its two spacecraft settle into orbit in November 2026, it will almost inevitably reveal something unexpected, because it’s a weird planet.

“Basically, Mercury is a molten ball bearing wrapped in a thin blanket of rock.”

Unlike Earth, Mars, or the Moon, Mercury has a freakishly large core and a thin mantle.

“Basically, Mercury is a molten ball bearing wrapped in a thin blanket of rock,” Byrne said. “One explanation is that early in the planet’s life, either one large or several smaller impacts stripped the outer portion away.”

The question then becomes what got vaporized, and what was left behind, particularly when trying to understand hollows. Many planetary researchers proposed that sulfides in the mantle could drive volcanism, but Reitze had doubts.

“The problem with sulfides I see is that they’re stable up to 1,000°C or so, which cannot explain the explosive volcanism that’s needed to form those hollows,” he said.

Instead, he and his coauthors contacted a colleague working on Ol Doinyo Lengai, who obtained a sample of the lava for laboratory study while it was still molten. Because carbonatite lava reacts chemically with Earth’s air very quickly, the researchers needed to isolate it to understand how the unaltered materials might behave under conditions on Mercury, particularly infrared spectra that could be confirmed by the BepiColombo mission.

Ol Doinyo Lengai, a volcano in Tanzania, is unique because of its carbonatite lava. Credit: Ben Shoshana/Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

In the hypothesis proposed by Reitze and colleagues, impacts from meteorites heat the carbon-rich magma below Mercury’s surface, melting it and driving eruptions. The hollows, which are found frequently on the slopes of Mercury’s craters or their central peaks, are the remains of those eruptions. Over time, further meteorite bombardments and intense solar radiation destroyed older hollows, which is why the ones in MESSENGER data were all formed within the past 270 million years—a short time ago, geologically speaking.

“Anytime people have been confident about anything in planetary science, [planets have] shown you wrong.”

“The carbonatite angle is an interesting one, and I certainly wouldn’t rule it out,” Byrne said. “Anytime people have been confident about anything in planetary science, [planets have] shown you wrong. I’m certainly open to it, but is it the only explanation for all of the hollows? I am skeptical of that.”

Byrne and Reitze both dream of a future Mercury lander, a very challenging and expensive proposition nobody expects will happen soon. In the meantime, they agreed that BepiColombo data will help settle the question of whether the most Mercury-like place on Earth is a volcano in Tanzania.

—Matthew R. Francis (@BowlerHatScience.org), Science Writer

Citation: Francis, M. R. (2026), A unique African volcano could solve a mystery on Mercury, Eos, 107, https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EO260176. Published on 2 June 2026. Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Rivers in the Antarctic Sky, Captured in 3D

EOS - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 12:38
Source: Geophysical Research Letters

Atmospheric rivers act like “rivers in the sky,” shuttling intense bands of warm, heavy moisture from lower to higher latitudes. When an atmospheric river encounters cold air or mountainous terrain, the moisture it carries condenses and falls as heavy rain or snow. In Antarctica, the arrival of an atmospheric river can help build surface ice mass. Much of Antarctica is very dry; an atmospheric river can bring the moisture needed to potentially offset some ice loss.

Antarctica’s varied topography and dry conditions have made detecting atmospheric rivers over the continent challenging. Previous efforts to do so have suggested that atmospheric rivers contribute up to 30% of Antarctica’s total annual precipitation, but these methods may not be capturing the full picture of atmospheric river activity.

Takahashi et al. developed a new 3D atmospheric river detection algorithm to better capture how atmospheric rivers affect Antarctica’s complex terrain. Previous methods have mostly been 2D, meaning they do not accurately account for the vertical variations within an atmospheric river.

To evaluate the algorithm, the researchers applied it to two datasets: (1) daily snowfall totals measured during the 44th Japanese Antarctic Research Expedition (JARE44) at Dome Fuji from February 2003 to January 2004 and (2) the ERA5 (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts atmospheric reanalysis) dataset of daily weather patterns and conditions in Antarctica from 1979 to 2023.

The results of the study’s new algorithm showed 16 significant snowfall events during the JARE44 expedition, all of which were not detected by the older 2D method. The new 3D method identified 17 days of atmospheric river activity, which corresponded with 10 heavy snowfall events and accounted for approximately 40% of the total precipitation. Between 1979 and 2023, atmospheric rivers occurred about 10% of the time yet contributed 30%–60% of total precipitation in the Antarctic interior.

The 3D method in the new study suggests that atmospheric river events contribute a greater proportion of total snowfall than previously thought—between 30% and 90%, depending on the Antarctic region. The researchers also suggest that long-term changes in Antarctic snowfall are closely linked with the changes in atmospheric river activity. This connection is especially apparent in East Antarctica, where the link between snowfall increases and atmospheric rivers had not yet been clearly identified in previous studies. (Geophysical Research Letters, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL120986, 2026)

—Rebecca Owen (@beccapox.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: Owen, R. (2026), Rivers in the Antarctic sky, captured in 3D, Eos, 107, https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EO260179. Published on 2 June 2026. Text © 2026. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Pre-Existing Structure and Stress Shape Geothermal-Induced Seismicity

EOS - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 12:00
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth

Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) can expand low-carbon energy production, but fluid injection may trigger earthquakes whose locations and mechanisms are difficult to predict. Feng et al. [2026] investigate induced seismicity at China’s first EGS site in the Gonghe Basin using a comprehensive observational dataset. Machine learning processing of data from 20 surface seismic stations produced a high-resolution earthquake catalog with well-constrained locations and focal mechanisms. Stress inversion and modeling, constrained by borehole stress measurements, reveal mechanically weak faults with low friction coefficients, indicating that low-to-moderate fluid overpressure can trigger seismic slip. Site-scale analysis shows that seismicity reflects shear reactivation of pre-existing natural faults, rather than the creation of new tensile fractures. Further integration with borehole image logs reveals a fine-scale relationship between the main seismogenic zones and stress heterogeneity, expressed as rotations of the principal stress axes that likely reflect localized lithological contrasts and fault-damage zones.

Together, these integrated analyses show that geothermal-induced seismicity is controlled by inherited fault architecture at the site scale and localized stress heterogeneity at the borehole scale. By linking seismic observations to borehole stress and image-log evidence, the study provides a more physically constrained framework for seismic-hazard assessment and stimulation design in enhanced geothermal reservoirs.

Citation: Feng, P., Wang, R., Zhang, H., Zhang, C., Schultz, R., & Yang, L. (2026). Pre-existing structures and stress variations jointly control the induced seismicity in enhanced geothermal system of Gonghe Basin, China. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 131, e2025JB033158. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JB033158  

—Xiaowei Chen, Associate Editor, JGR: Solid Earth

Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Onset of Rayleigh-Bénard convection at fuel-ablator interfaces in inertial confinement fusion simulations

Physical Review E (Plasma physics) - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 10:00

Author(s): Raymond Lau and Seth Davidovits

We demonstrate the onset of Rayleigh-Bénard convection (RBC) near the fuel-ablator interface of inertial confinement fusion (ICF) implosion simulations for the scenario in which Rayleigh-Taylor or Richtmyer-Meshkov instabilities are suppressed. This convective heating within the cold fuel can degrad…


[Phys. Rev. E 113, 065201] Published Tue Jun 02, 2026

Deep carbon cycling in subduction zones: 2. Moderate thermal parameter favors carbonate dissolution

Geophysical Journal International - Tue, 06/02/2026 - 00:00
SummaryCarbonate dissolution represents a key mechanism for slab carbon release in oceanic subduction zones. However, the magnitude and controlling factors of carbonate dissolution remain unclear. Here, we develop a coupled thermo-petrological modeling method that integrates slab dehydration, carbonate mineral abundances and their solubilities into subduction-zone thermal models. Systematic model results establish a quantitative relationship between the dissolved CO2 outflux and the subduction-zone thermal parameter (here defined as φ = slab age × subduction velocity/100 in kilometers), which reveals a peak outflux at φ ≈ 13 km, corresponding to warm subduction zones. The dissolved CO2 outflux exhibits a sublinear increase at φ < 13 km and an exponential decline at higher φ. This indicates that warm subduction zones with moderate thermal parameters provide the favorable thermal conditions for carbonate dissolution. The style of aqueous fluid migration strongly influences both the pattern and magnitude of carbonate dissolution. In the pervasive-flow system, fluid infiltration substantially enhances the dissolved CO2 outflux, producing magnitudes approximately three times higher than those in the channelized-flow system. The specific model results for three representative subduction zones—hot Cascadia, warm Nicaragua, and cold Hokkaido—confirm that warm Nicaragua exhibits higher dissolved CO2 outflux, potentially explaining its high arc CO2 degassing outflux.

Future jet stream changes could ease drying across Asian drylands

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 06/01/2026 - 22:20
Mid-latitude Asian drylands, stretching from Central Asia to northern China, are among the largest dryland systems in the world. Home to extensive agricultural activities and fragile ecosystems, the region is highly vulnerable to climate change and water scarcity.

Judge Blocks NSF From Dismantling NCAR

EOS - Mon, 06/01/2026 - 21:09
body {background-color: #D2D1D5;} Research & Developments is a blog for brief updates that provide context for the flurry of news regarding law and policy changes that impact science and scientists today.

A Colorado judge has granted a preliminary injunction to the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR). The move temporarily blocks the federal government from moving forward with one part of its effort to dismantle UCAR’s National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) by transferring stewardship of a state-of-the-art supercomputing facility.

Together, UCAR—a nonprofit consortium of universities and colleges—and the National Science Foundation (NSF) operate and maintain the NCAR-Wyoming Supercomputing Center (NWSC) in Cheyenne, Wyo. The facility provides scientists with enormous computational power necessary to run sophisticated analyses of weather, climate, and other Earth systems.

 
Related

In February, as another step in a chain of actions taken to dismantle NCAR, the NSF informed UCAR and NCAR that it would transfer management and operations of NWSC to a third-party operator.

In turn, UCAR filed a lawsuit alleging that the action violated federal law under the Administrative Procedure Act (APA). To halt NSF’s action under the act, the agency’s attempt to remove UCAR’s stewardship of the facility must be shown to be “arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law.”

Judge Richard Brooke Jackson of the U.S. District Court for the District of Colorado wrote in a 1 June court order that the action was both arbitrary and capricious “for at least two reasons.” First, NSF didn’t offer an explanation for its decision, and second, it didn’t follow an outlined process to consider public feedback.

The decision means that UCAR will temporarily retain its stewardship of NWSC. 

“NSF’s failure to provide any explanation for its decision—let alone a reasonable one—thwarts meaningful judicial review and renders the challenged action arbitrary and capricious,” Jackson wrote.

He went on to note that efforts to transfer stewardship of UCAR assets, including the supercomputing center, to other institutions, pose the risk of “irreparable harm” to UCAR. One of the chief harms would be brain drain, the judge noted multiple times, writing that “UCAR cannot easily replace employees with the level of education, specialized training, and institutional knowledge necessary to operate and maintain the NWSC’s ‘highly integrated, high-performance supercomputing system.'”

In addition to brain drain, Jackson cited financial injuries to UCAR that would be “difficult, if not impossible” to quantify, as well as an overall threat to the consortium’s mission.

“Any degradation in forecasting, modeling, or related scientific capabilities carries real-world consequences, including potential harm to property and human life. Given those stakes, the public interest strongly favors maintaining the status quo unless and until NSF demonstrates that its transfer decision complies with the APA,” he concluded.

In a statement posted to the UCAR website, the consortium’s interim president, Eric Barron, said UCAR was pleased that Judge Jackson recognized how harmful the proposed transfer would be for the the nation’s scientific enterprise.

“UCAR’s top priority is to advance Earth system science in service to society,” he wrote. “Today’s decision ensures that the NWSC will be able to continue its vital work on behalf of the United States and its stakeholders without interruption.”

—Grace van Deelen (@gvd.bsky.social), Staff Writer, and Emily Gardner, (@emfurd.bsky.social), Associate Editor

These updates are made possible through information from the scientific community. Do you have a story about how changes in law or policy are affecting scientists or research? Send us a tip at eos@agu.org. Text © 2026. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Cold-grown plankton shells sharpen Arctic climate reconstructions

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 06/01/2026 - 20:00
Researchers at iC3 have found a way to improve records of past high latitude ocean change using tiny plankton shells called foraminifera. By growing these foraminifera under controlled cold-water conditions, the team has extended a key temperature tool into the range most relevant for subpolar and polar oceans.

Atlantic 'cold blob' may be reshaping Indian monsoon, steering rain northwest

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 06/01/2026 - 18:40
The Indian monsoon has shifted over the past quarter century. Northwest India now receives substantially more rain than it once did, while a lack of rain sends the Indo-Gangetic Plain toward drought.

Space station dust maps slash climate uncertainty over iron-rich particles

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 06/01/2026 - 18:00
New research from a team of scientists led by Cornell is transforming how researchers understand one of the atmosphere's most abundant and least understood constituents: mineral dust.

White House Proposes Sweeping Changes to Grantmaking Process

EOS - Mon, 06/01/2026 - 17:54
body {background-color: #D2D1D5;} Research & Developments is a blog for brief updates that provide context for the flurry of news regarding law and policy changes that impact science and scientists today.

The Office of Management and Budget (OMB) proposed a new rule on 28 May that, if finalized, would give political appointees approval power over scientific grants, reduce support for international collaboration, limit funding for publication fees, and make other extensive alterations to the federal government’s funding review process. 

The proposed “Guidance for Federal Financial Assistance” would require senior political appointees to conduct reviews of each grant, and would not allow those appointees to defer to peer reviewers for grantmaking decisions. Scientific peer review “remains advisory and does not replace agency discretion,” according to the proposal.

“It replaces expertise with political appointees, globally decouples the U.S. and completely guts our scientific ecosystem.”

The proposed rule would further codify an executive order from last August, titled “Improving Oversight of Federal Grantmaking,” in which the White House ordered federal agency heads to award grants that “advance the President’s policy priorities” and align with its criteria for “Gold Standard Science.”

The proposal states that the OMB made the suggested revisions in response to a lack of “transparency, accountability, and proper oversight” between 2021 and 2024. “Federal awards were often used during those years to promote a ‘woke’ policy agenda that did not reflect the values of the vast majority of the American public,” the proposal claims, referencing “unlawful DEI [Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion] practices, various anti-American ideologies in American education,” and “non-replicable and highly misleading studies” as examples. 

“We warned of this exact form of government overreach in science a year ago,” Colette Delawalla, founder of Stand Up for Science, told Scientific American in reference to the administration’s proposed rule. “It replaces expertise with political appointees, globally decouples the U.S. and completely guts our scientific ecosystem.”

In addition to elevating government oversight of the grantmaking process, the proposed rule would, among other changes:

  • Allow federal agencies to terminate active grants at any time if they are deemed “inconsistent with program goals or agency priorities.”
  • Prohibit the use of federal funds for research collaborations with foreign entities affiliated with countries under sanction by the United States, unless exceptions are authorized by federal law or the head of a federal agency.
  • Disallow federal grants from being used for most publication costs and open access fees. 
  • Require that grant recipients obtain pre-approval from federal agencies to use their funding to attend conferences or obtain professional memberships related to the scientific work covered by their grant.
  • Allow federal agencies to receive exemptions from the requirement to publicly advertise grant competitions when “publicly announcing an opportunity would pose a risk to national security or is in the national interest of the United States.”
  • Ban federal funds from being used to “fund, promote, encourage, subsidize, or facilitate” any activities related to DEI or “gender ideology,” defined as “theories or ideologies that deny the biological reality of sex or the sex binary in humans.”
 
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“Congress has repeatedly appropriated funds for science agencies with the expectation that those funds would be administered through merit-based, expert-driven processes insulated from political interference,” Elizabeth Ginexi, a former official at the National Institutes of Health, wrote in a blog post. “This rule attempts to override that expectation.”

Stand Up for Science will host an online meeting with scientist speakers on Tuesday, 2 June at 4 p.m. ET to review the proposed rule. The Office of Management and Budget is accepting public comments on it until 13 July. 

AGU President Brandon Jones released a statement about the rule on 3 June, urging the AGU community to submit public comment via AGU’s Action Center.

“This is not a routine regulatory update,” he wrote. “What it actually does is restructure the foundational rules of U.S. science funding—with cascading impact for global collaborators—to serve political priorities rather than the public good. We have seen executive orders, budget cuts, and terminations take aim at the scientific enterprise one by one. This proposed rule would codify that agenda into federal regulation, making it far harder to reverse.”

—Grace van Deelen (@gvd.bsky.social), Staff Writer

These updates are made possible through information from the scientific community. Do you have a story about how changes in law or policy are affecting scientists or research? Send us a tip at eos@agu.org. Text © 2026. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Cities are making it rain more—but not as much as scientists thought

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 06/01/2026 - 17:00
After another spell of wet weather along Australia's east coast, with storms, heavy rain and flash flooding across Sydney and parts of New South Wales, it is natural to ask whether our cities are shaping the rainfall that descends upon them.

Trees and greenery can cool cities by as much as 18°C—but only if they're the right type

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 06/01/2026 - 15:20
Cities around the world are planting more trees to cope with rising urban heat. But our research shows trees alone are often not enough. In some cases, the wrong kind of greening can even make streets feel less comfortable on a hot day.

Atmospheric wave theory falls short in explaining rising extreme weather, study suggests

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 06/01/2026 - 14:40
Across much of the northern hemisphere, extreme weather events like heat waves and heavy precipitation have increased in frequency and severity over the last several decades. A new study from the Harvard John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences (SEAS) shows that one proposed partial explanation, so-called "quasiresonant amplification of quasistationary Rossby waves," may not be capable of explaining any of this increase in severe weather events.

Model of Complex Blanket Bog Improves Prediction of Peat Expansion

EOS - Mon, 06/01/2026 - 14:11
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: Water Resources Research

Recent studies have shown the climatic envelope for blanket bog peatlands to be contracting, yet questions remain about what will happen to existing peatlands as they pass outside of this shrinking bioclimatic envelope.

DigiBog, a process-based model, accurately predicts peat depth in an area of very complex topography. This presents a significant advancement in modeling peat depth in areas with complex terrain. The implications of peat expanding at a faster rate on the relatively dry and steeper slopes, compared to the wetter basins, is contrary to the current thinking.

Despite being at the edge of the future climatic envelope for blanket bog, under all climate scenarios, the site continues accumulating peat until 2100, with the greatest accumulation occurring under the moderate Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 scenario. 

While peat thickness generally depends on wetness, wetness does not fully explain accumulation patterns in blanket bogs, with some very wet areas having only shallow peat accumulation.

Tom Winter’s conceptual model proposed that wetland vulnerability to climate change depends on wetness and the position within the hydrological landscape. Baird et al. [2026] does indeed show peat depth to have moderate to strong correlations with wetness. However, greater recent peat accumulation, and predicted future accumulation, is away from basins which contradicts Winter’s “wetter is better” and may be partially explained by the ability of peatlands themselves to engineer and alter landscape wetness.

Overall, ecohydrological models that are process-based are better than simple bioclimatic models for assessing future peatland carbon, when accounting for accumulation rates and spatial patterns.

Citation: Baird, A. J., Young, D. M., Ramirez, J. A., Gill, P. J., Morris, P. J., Peleg, N., et al.(2026). Assessing the response of blanket peatlands to climate change using the DigiBog model and winter’s concept of the “hydrologic landscape”. Water Resources Research, 62, e2025WR042050. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025WR042050

 —Paul Whitfield, Associate Editor, Water Resources Research, with input from Joshua Ratcliffe

Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

New study sheds light on Victoria's future rainfall

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 06/01/2026 - 13:40
New research led by Monash University sheds a new perspective on forecasts of future rainfall in Victoria, showing that recent dry conditions may not fully reflect long-term climate change signals.

Ancient oceans began suffocating millions of years before Triassic mass extinction, geologists discover

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 06/01/2026 - 13:20
One of the most devastating extinctions in Earth's history is best known for what didn't die—dinosaurs. But the end-Triassic extinction 201 million years ago wiped out roughly 60% of Earth's species, and scientists are still piecing together how it unfolded.

An Off-Road Itinerary

EOS - Mon, 06/01/2026 - 13:17
Off Track, On Purpose

Iceland, Chile, Kenya, Antarctica, Papua New Guinea, and the Great Salt Lake. That ambitious lineup covers (most of) the destinations where scientists featured in our annual fieldwork collection have ventured to test innovative instruments and answer pressing questions about natural processes on—and off—Earth.

Read along to learn about some fascinating field science and to hit all these hot spots and cool destinations for yourself.

In “Discovering Venus on Iceland,” scientists describe a multiweek effort traversing three rugged and rocky sites to collect samples and validate airborne radar measurements. Iceland’s basaltic lava fields are about the closest analogue to the surface of Venus that Earth has to offer, and the team’s data collection is helping to test the performance of instruments that will be a part of NASA’s VERITAS (Venus Emissivity, Radio Science, InSAR, Topography, and Spectroscopy) mission in several years’ time.

From Iceland, travel west and south to Chile, Guatemala, and Idaho to learn how researchers have been building and using their own inexpensive, lightweight sensors to detect infrasound emanating from volcanoes, earthquakes, and wildfires in “Sensing the Sounds from Earth’s Hazardous Environments.” At Villarica volcano in the Chilean Andes, for example, they have deployed sensor clusters on, around, and even hanging from a cable above the volcano’s summit crater to better understand how infrasound may be useful for eruption monitoring.

Meanwhile, at Lake Turkana in Kenya, scientists have been partnering with local industries to map the subsurface and better understand how the continent is unzipping along the East African Rift System, as Kimberly Cartier describes in “Eastern Africa Is Splitting Apart, but Not Where We Expected.”

Stick with Cartier for another leg of our fieldwork trip as she relates how researchers have instrumented an underwater volcanic vent off Papua New Guinea to track effects of ocean acidification on corals in “Coral Diversity Drops as Ocean Acidifies.”

From there, head to the decidedly less tropical climes of the South Pole, where a team recently installed a pair of seismometers deep in the Antarctic ice, completing a challenging and years-long feat of engineering, reports Grace Van Deelen in “These South Pole Seismometers Will Detect Vibrations 1.5 Miles Under the Ice.”

Finally, journey to the North American interior to learn what scientists found when they installed electrodes on the now-desiccated surface of Utah’s Great Salt Lake in Carolyn Wilke’s—spoiler alert—“What’s Below the Great Salt Lake? More Water.”

We’ll understand if you need a break after all that globe-trotting. But you’re always welcome to join us for more adventures in the field.

—Timothy Oleson, Eos Senior Science Editor

Citation: Oleson, T. (2026), An off-road itinerary, Eos, 107, https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EO260181. Published on 1 June 2026. Text © 2026. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

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