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Scientists discover surface carbonates can transport heavy boron isotopes into deep mantle

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 04/29/2025 - 14:33
Volatiles are crucial for sustaining life and Earth's habitability, with subduction zones being the main pathways for these materials to enter the mantle. However, the devolatilization of subducting slabs may impede the recycling of volatiles like carbon. Boron, a moderately volatile element with strong fluid mobility, serves as a useful tracer for tracking the recycling of volatiles through its isotopic composition (δ¹¹B).

Billion-year-old impact in Scotland sparks questions about life on land

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 04/29/2025 - 13:45
New Curtin University research has revealed that a massive meteorite struck northwestern Scotland about 200 million years later than previously thought, in a discovery that not only rewrites Scotland's geological history but alters our understanding of the evolution of non-marine life on Earth.

一些专家认为人类世应得到官方认可

EOS - Tue, 04/29/2025 - 12:54
Source: AGU Advances

This is an authorized translation of an Eos article. 本文是Eos文章的授权翻译。

人类对地球的改造如此深刻,以至于大气化学家保罗·克鲁岑(Paul Crutzen)和生物学家尤金·斯托默(Eugene Stoermer)在2000年提出,全新世已经结束,“人类世”(Anthropocene)或人类时代已经开始。然而,尽管人类活动引发了如此巨大的变化,国际地质科学联合会(IUGS)去年仍决定不将人类世正式认定为当前的地质时代。现在,参与这一过程的几位科学家发表了一篇评论文章,解释了为什么他们认为应该再给人类世一个被认定为地质时代的机会。

McCarthy等人反驳了针对该提议的两个相关批评:首先,拟议的人类世仅开始于72年前,而每个地质时代通常跨越数百万年;其次,未来不属于地质时间,因此,基于人类将在遥远的未来在地球上留下印记的预期来指定一个时代是不恰当的。

作者认为,人类世的长度无关紧要,因为从功能上讲,地球已经进入了一个前所未有的时期。自20世纪中叶以来,地球的能源消耗量是之前11700年的六倍。由此产生的结果是,全球气温急剧上升,对从海平面到生物多样性再到冰盖等方方面面都产生了广泛的影响。这些变化将是长期的,有些甚至是不可逆转的。作者说,事实上,在如此短的时间内发生如此剧烈的变化,表明地球已经进入了一个新纪元。

一些地层学家认为,划定一个以人类为中心的时代会使地质学变得政治化,但作者认为,忽视数据以维持现状同样具有政治性。同样,有报道称,这个问题在十年内不会被重新讨论,因此我们是否生活在人类世的问题在那之前是确定的,作者对此感到愤慨。“事实并非如此,”他们写道。

—科学撰稿人Saima May Sidik (@saimamay.bsky.social)

This translation was made by Wiley. 本文翻译由Wiley提供。

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A Two-Step Approach to Training Earth Scientists in AI

EOS - Tue, 04/29/2025 - 12:53

You can’t teach an old dog new tricks, but can you teach the current generation of Earth scientists about emerging artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) methods relevant to their research? From our experience helping run a program intended to do just that at the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), the answer is yes.

Earth scientists, from those focused on the atmosphere or ocean to those studying the continents or deep subsurface, often work with extremely large—sometimes global—datasets, trying to find patterns among noisy real-world observations. AI/ML is well suited for such tasks.

Relatively few Earth scientists have been trained in artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) methods, meaning unfulfilled opportunities exist to learn from the growing volumes of Earth science data available.

AI/ML approaches have recently been used, for example, to replace slow, numerical representations of rainfall in a global general circulation model [Gettelman et al., 2021]. Similarly, AI/ML image detection techniques have been used with weather radar datasets to better predict short-term rainfall [Ji and Xu, 2024]. Yet relatively few domain scientists in the field have been trained in these methods, meaning unfulfilled opportunities exist to learn from the growing volumes of Earth science data available.

Several hundred data scientists work at PNNL, and for more than a decade, the lab has developed AI/ML approaches to address critical challenges in scientific discovery, energy resilience, and national security. Recent advancements in computational techniques and methodologies have sparked renewed interest in applying AI/ML across various disciplines. However, connecting the expertise of PNNL’s data scientists to Earth science research at the lab—encompassing atmospheric, hydrological, and environmental sciences—has been a challenge.

Beginning in 2022, researchers at PNNL implemented a two-step approach—a boot camp followed by a hackathon—to prepare their colleagues to incorporate AI/ML into their research effectively. Eighty percent of those who participated in both events are now using ML techniques in their research, and the experience has boosted collaboration between the lab’s data scientists and Earth scientists. The program has also led to innovative new projects, and its initial success suggests it may be a useful model for other organizations.

Boot Camp

Prior to PNNL initiating the program, many of the lab’s Earth scientists expressed interest in learning more about AI/ML and exploring its applicability for addressing a wide variety of science questions.

Atmospheric science in particular offers ideal ground for teaching and applying ML methods because these methods are conducive to tackling many common tasks in the field. For example, they can help fill patchy datasets, such as in time series of satellite imagery [Appel, 2024]; correct biases in gridded data (e.g., overestimations of solar radiation reaching Earth in reanalysis products) [Chakraborty and Lee, 2021]; merge measurements of atmospheric properties into numerical models [Krasnopolsky, 2023]; and iteratively improve models [Irrgang et al., 2021]. Furthermore, the field is ripe with the sort of very large, high-quality datasets that are necessary for applying modern ML methods.

The staff’s interest and the clear relevance of AI/ML for their work motivated development of an initial 10-week boot camp, held in fall 2022, with weekly hybrid (online and in-person) sessions attended by 30–50 people. We enlisted 10 in-house data scientists to design lessons, hands-on tutorials, and activities covering a range of AI/ML methods and tools.

As a result of the boot camp approach, participants gained understanding and appreciation of data curation for AI/ML and the full gamut of AI/ML methods they could use in their research.

The first four sessions introduced participants to the basics of ML, with each session building upon the previous one and focusing on more state-of-the-art approaches. The remaining sessions covered popular deep learning techniques such as convolutional neural networks (CNNs), generative adversarial networks, transformers, and recurrent neural networks. They also covered topics such as how to use the ML libraries Keras and PyTorch, which offer the tools to run these models and other useful resources.

To connect the lessons to the participants’ research interests, each one featured an Earth science–relevant activity, such as using maps of monthly sea surface temperature anomaly data from NOAA satellites with unsupervised learning algorithms to detect the phases of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (i.e., El Niño and La Niña). The instructors developed and guided participants through virtual notebook environments that included fundamental information (with references) about the topic of the activity and heavily commented model code that could be run interactively. Time was also allotted for participants to better familiarize themselves with the models by running them in parallel on their own research computing environments.

As a result of the boot camp approach, participants gained understanding and appreciation of data curation for AI/ML and the full gamut of AI/ML methods they could use in their research. One remarked that they were impressed by the diversity of applications for ML and said, “I can tell if I continue to work on this skill, it will open a lot of doors and funding opportunities in the future for me.” Another commented, “By the end, I felt my programming skills had improved as well.”

Together with colleagues, one scientist at the lab who took part in the training applied knowledge and code directly from the boot camp material in research exploring stochasticity in aerosol-cloud interactions using field campaign data [Li et al., 2024].

The instructors also reported that participating in the boot camp was worthwhile for several reasons. Each of their lessons and student demonstrations were reviewed by the other instructors, which fostered connections among peers knowledgeable in ML. According to one instructor, teaching their fellow staff also “helped provide context of how valuable my expertise is here at the lab.”

Additional hands-on opportunities were necessary to bridge the gap between learning ML and putting it into practice. So we organized a second learning opportunity—this time a hackathon.

In addition, creating and presenting the weekly lesson plans to an audience with limited knowledge about AI/ML offered opportunities for instructors to improve their teaching skills. Furthermore, the adaptability of the instructional materials to other domain sciences supports the materials’ value, longevity, and easy reuse in future trainings and research.

One year after the boot camp, participant responses to a questionnaire indicated that though many had gained literacy in ML, most had not taken the next step to start incorporating ML methods into their research. The results also showed that additional hands-on opportunities were necessary to bridge the gap between learning ML and putting it into practice. So we organized a second learning opportunity—this time a hackathon—focused on pairing ML experts and data scientists with domain scientists who share common research interests.

The Hackathon

Twenty-five domain and data scientists, many of whom had participated in the boot camp, took part in the 6-week hackathon, which began in January 2024. The domain scientists involved work in various areas of Earth science and as part of DOE projects such as the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement user facility and the PNNL-led Addressing Challenges in Energy: Floating Wind in a Changing Climate (a DOE Energy Earthshot research center), as well as NASA’s Aerosol Cloud Meteorology Interactions over the western Atlantic Experiment project.

In preparing for the course, we discovered that these scientists often had trouble formulating research questions suited to ML methods and selecting which ML method to use. Prehackathon brainstorming sessions proved critical to success. During the first prehackathon meeting, the organizing committee gathered participants virtually to group the domain scientists by their topics of interest—vegetation-atmosphere interactions, clouds and precipitation, aerosols and aerosol-cloud interactions, hydrology, and wind energy—and to brainstorm potential research questions to address.

Each of the five groups then pitched project ideas to the participating ML experts and data scientists, who selected which team to join. With the teams assembled, each further workshopped a research question within their topic focus area—as well as which ML methods to use—that they could address within the duration of the hackathon. For example, one team chose to use a CNN model to identify open- versus closed-cell atmospheric convection in radar data, which helps explain distributions of clouds and rainfall.

During the hackathon, all the teams met weekly to discuss progress and exchange ideas for continuing work. This assessment method allowed the domain scientists to engage further with experts in the PNNL ML community, who provided feedback and answers to follow-up questions, such as how to prepare data for use in the ML models. Data preparation proved to be the most time-consuming step for the domain scientists because of the challenges of correctly formatting time series and gridded atmospheric datasets (e.g., temperature, relative humidity, and pressure) before they were fed into the models.

At the end of the 6 weeks, four of the five project groups had successfully processed their data and run them through their models to achieve results related to their initial questions. The fifth group, upon reflection, agreed that selecting an overly broad research question hindered progress on their project. Their experience underscored the importance of clearly defining a focused research question—and an appropriate ML approach—with cross-disciplinary consultation among scientists.

Soon after the hackathon concluded, a representative from each team presented their project during a seminar. A postseminar Q&A about the projects with staff who had not participated in the hackathon was positive and engaging, indicating a base level understanding of AI/ML methods within the division that was not present before the boot camp.

Fostering an AI-Literate Workforce

With growing datasets of Earth observations and ongoing computing advancements, AI/ML is an increasingly useful tool to aid in skillfully assessing conditions and processes in the Earth system.

Jingjing Tian presents results from the hackathon at the HydroML Symposium in May 2024. Her project involved training a convolutional neural network (CNN) model to detect open versus closed convection using weather radar data. Credit: Andrea Starr/Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

At PNNL, more than 20% of the research workforce is advancing AI and its applications in science. The initial goal of the recent training activities was to further grow ML expertise and implementation specifically within the lab’s Atmospheric, Climate, and Earth Sciences (ACES) division. The lessons and successes of these activities suggest that other organizations similarly seeking to expand their use of AI/ML may benefit from the model of PNNL’s approach.

The different approaches of the boot camp and the hackathon allowed instructors to meet participants at their preferred comfort level and cater to different learning styles.

The boot camp created a long-term, structured environment for a large number of staff to better understand the increasingly complex ML landscape, whereas the follow-up hackathon allowed a smaller group of eager staff to be coached in a faster-paced environment to produce deliverables. The different approaches of the boot camp and the hackathon allowed instructors to meet participants at their preferred comfort level and cater to different learning styles.

The results demonstrate that although learning new skills in AI/ML takes time, the effort is worthwhile and a collaborative, cross-disciplinary environment accelerates such learning. Staff self-reported that work done during the boot camp and hackathon had resulted in three conference presentations, including at the HydroML 2024 Symposium, and two publications (another is still in preparation).

Furthermore, PNNL reported an uptick in proposals from its Earth scientists for various internal funding opportunities focused on leveraging AI/ML methods. More proposals means more competition for funding, which should drive innovation and ultimately lead to stronger projects moving forward.

Another lesson from our experience was that sourcing instructors from within PNNL (i.e., ML experts who are already colleagues of Earth scientists in the ACES division) facilitated future collaborations between data and domain scientists and new research opportunities that wouldn’t have been possible previously. One of the participating AI/ML experts noted to us that “after the hackathon, many lab scientists reached out to me for help in implementing ML/AI algorithms into their work,” leading to multiple collaborations.

Hackathon participant Sha Feng’s comments offer additional, anecdotal evidence of the success of PNNL’s program: “Participating in the hackathon has been a transformative experience,” Feng said. “By bridging the gap between atmospheric science and data science, we have created a foundation for future projects that leverage the strengths of both fields.”

We plan to continue to bridge such gaps at PNNL—and we support other organizations doing the same—to advance applications of AI/ML to address crucial questions about our planet, from the atmosphere to the ocean to the solid Earth.

Acknowledgments

We acknowledge the instructors who took part in the boot camp and hackathon: Peishi Jiang, Tirthankar “TC” Chakraborty, Andrew Geiss, Sing-Chun “Sally” Wang, Robert Hetland, Rachel Hu and Danielle Robinson from Amazon Web Services, Erol Cromwell, Maruti Mudunuru, Robin Cosbey, Samuel Dixon, and Melissa Swift. We also acknowledge the work of colleagues who contributed to this article and supported these efforts: Sing-Chun “Sally” Wang, Court Corley, Larry Berg, Timothy Scheibe, Ian Kraucunas, and Rita Steyn.

References

Appel, M. (2024), Efficient data-driven gap filling of satellite image time series using deep neural networks with partial convolutions, Artif. Intell. Earth Syst., 3, e220055, https://doi.org/10.1175/AIES-D-22-0055.1.

Chakraborty, T. C., and X. Lee (2021), Using supervised learning to develop BaRAD, a 40-year monthly bias-adjusted global gridded radiation dataset, Sci. Data, 8(1), 238, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-021-01016-4.

Gettelman, A., et al. (2021), Machine learning the warm rain process, J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 13(2), e2020MS002268, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002268.

Irrgang, C., et al. (2021), Towards neural Earth system modelling by integrating artificial intelligence in Earth system science, Nat. Mach. Intell., 3, 667–674, https://doi.org/10.1038/s42256-021-00374-3.

Ji, C., and Y. Xu (2024), trajPredRNN+: A new approach for precipitation nowcasting with weather radar echo images based on deep learning, Heliyon, 10(18), e36134, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e36134.

Krasnopolsky, V. (2023), Review: Using machine learning for data assimilation, model physics, and post-processing model outputs, Off. Note 513, 32 pp., Natl. Cent. for Environ. Predict., College Park, Md., https://doi.org/10.25923/71tx-4809.

Li, X.-Y., et al. (2024), On the prediction of aerosol-cloud interactions within a data-driven framework, Geophys. Res. Lett., 51, e2024GL110757, https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL110757.

Author Information

Lexie Goldberger, Peishi Jiang, Tirthankar “TC” Chakraborty, Andrew Geiss, and Xingyuan Chen (xingyuan.chen@pnnl.gov), Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, Wash.

Citation: Goldberger, L., P. Jiang, T. Chakraborty, A. Geiss, and X. Chen (2025), A two-step approach to training Earth scientists in AI, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250160. Published on 29 April 2025. Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Calibrating Climate Models with Machine Learning

EOS - Tue, 04/29/2025 - 12:00
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Climate models are essential tools for understanding and predicting our planet, but accurately setting their many internal parameters is complex and has been a labor-intensive manual task in the past.

Elsaesser et al. [2025] showcase a method using machine learning to automatically tune, or “calibrate,” the NASA GISS climate model against real-world observations. The authors develop a neural network surrogate of GISS ModelE to efficiently explore different parameter settings, creating a collection of well-performing model versions known as a calibrated physics ensemble. A key success was significantly improving the model’s simulation of challenging features such as shallow cumulus clouds and Amazon rainfall—longstanding modeling challenges—without negatively impacting, for example, radiation fields.

This work represents an important advance, moving automated calibration techniques from theoretical research into practical application for large-scale climate modeling. It brings us an essential step closer to more trustworthy climate predictions. 

Citation: Elsaesser, G. S., van Lier-Walqui, M., Yang, Q., Kelley, M., Ackerman, A. S., Fridlind, A. M., et al. (2025). Using machine learning to generate a GISS ModelE calibrated physics ensemble (CPE). Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 17, e2024MS004713. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004713

—Tapio Schneider, Editor, JAMES 

Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Rainfall patterns found to trigger extreme humid heat in tropics and subtropics

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 04/29/2025 - 09:00
Scientists believe they have found a way to improve warning systems for vulnerable communities threatened by humid heat waves, which are on the rise due to climate change and can be damaging and even fatal to human health.

Noto quake 3D model adds dimension to understand earthquake dynamics

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 04/29/2025 - 00:00
On New Year's Day 2024, a massive 7.5-magnitude earthquake struck the Noto Peninsula in north central Japan, resulting in extensive damage in the region caused by uplift, when the land rises due to shifting tectonic plates. The observed uplift, however, varied significantly, with some areas experiencing as much as a 5-meter rise in the ground surface.

High-resolution climate models reveal how Tasman Sea temperatures may influence Antarctic peninsula warming

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 04/28/2025 - 21:14
The Antarctic Peninsula, one of the fastest-warming regions on Earth, has seen temperatures rise five times faster than the global average in recent decades. Extreme heat events, such as the record-breaking 20.8° C recorded at Seymour Island in February 2020, have raised urgent questions about the drivers behind these dramatic changes.

Climate change drives more overlapping wildfire seasons in Australia and North America, study finds

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 04/28/2025 - 21:12
Climate change is increasing the risk of wildfires in many regions of the world. This is due partly to specific weather conditions—known as fire weather—that facilitate the spread of wildfires.

NASA 3D wind-measuring laser aims to improve forecasts from air, space

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 04/28/2025 - 20:47
Since last fall, NASA scientists have flown an advanced 3D Doppler wind lidar instrument across the United States to collect nearly 100 hours of data—including a flight through a hurricane. The goal? To demonstrate the unique capability of the Aerosol Wind Profiler (AWP) instrument to gather extremely precise measurements of wind direction, wind speed, and aerosol concentration—all crucial elements for accurate weather forecasting.

Snowball Earth: Drone mapping and isotopic dating suggest Marinoan glaciation spanned 4 million years

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 04/28/2025 - 20:20
Scientists at the University of California, Berkeley, and Boise State University have found evidence suggesting that the Marinoan glaciation began approximately 639 million years ago and lasted for approximately 4 million years. In their study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, the group used drone and field imagery along with isotopic dating of glacial deposits to learn more about global glaciation events during the Neoproterozoic Era.

Anatomy of a 'zombie' volcano: Investigating the cause of unrest inside Uturuncu

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 04/28/2025 - 19:00
Scientists from China, the UK and the U.S. have collaborated to analyze the inner workings of Bolivia's "zombie" volcano, Uturuncu. By combining seismology, physics models and analysis of rock composition, researchers identify the causes of Uturuncu's unrest, alleviating fears of an imminent eruption. The findings have been published in the journal PNAS.

Earthquake-driven land sinking could increase flood risk in Pacific Northwest

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 04/28/2025 - 19:00
The next great earthquake isn't the only threat to the Pacific Northwest. A powerful earthquake, combined with rising sea levels, could significantly increase flood risks in the Pacific Northwest, impacting thousands of residents and properties in northern California, Oregon, and Washington, according to new Virginia Tech research.

Glaciers offer clues into the path of fossil fuel pollution

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 04/28/2025 - 18:24
Glaciers provide a unique opportunity for researchers to measure levels of atmospheric carbon deposition. Unlike other terrestrial ecosystems, these slow-moving rivers of ice do not have other large reservoirs of soil or vegetation that might obscure how much carbon they receive from the atmosphere.

Humanity's recent history leaves marks in deep marine sediments

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 04/28/2025 - 18:22
Research led by the Spanish Institute of Oceanography (IEO-CSIC), with the participation of the Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona and the Institute of Marine Sciences (ICM-CSIC), has reconstructed the history of pollution in the seabed of the Cantabrian Sea and the northwestern Mediterranean over the past centuries.

Granular systems, such as sandpiles or rockslides: New research will help scientists describe how they work

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 04/28/2025 - 17:15
Did you eat cereal this morning? Or have you walked on a gravel path? Maybe you had a headache and had to take a pill? If you answered any of these questions with a yes, you interacted with a granular system today.

Extreme rainfall—a long-standing hypothesis on temperature dependence may finally be settled

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 04/28/2025 - 17:09
Flash floods resulting from extreme rainfall pose a major risk to people and infrastructure, especially in urban areas. Higher temperatures due to global climate change affect continuous rainfall and short rain showers in somewhat equal measure.

Industrial waste is turning to rock in just decades, research reveals

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 04/28/2025 - 13:59
An aluminum tab from a drinks can found encased in a new form of rock on the Cumbrian coastline has helped provide scientists with a shocking new insight into the impact of human activity on Earth's natural processes and materials.

Tropical mountain ice cores help decipher climate riddles in Earth's history

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 04/28/2025 - 13:44
Scientists are working to shed new light on an enduring climate mystery—one that, if solved, could help them make more accurate predictions about the planet's future.

Geoengineering technique could cool planet using existing aircraft

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 04/28/2025 - 13:00
A technique to cool the planet, in which particles are added to the atmosphere to reflect sunlight, would not require developing special aircraft but could be achieved using existing large planes, according to a new modeling study led by UCL (University College London) researchers.

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