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pseudo trans-dimensional 3d geometrical inversion: a proof of concept using gravity data

Geophysical Journal International - Wed, 12/10/2025 - 00:00
SummaryWe present and apply a pseudo trans-dimensional inversion method for 3D geometrical gravity inversion, in which the number of rock units, their geometry, and their density can vary during sampling. The method is designed for efficient exploration of the model space and to infer the presence and properties of units not directly observable but detectable with geophysical data. Sampling relies on a non-reversible Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, during which rock units can be added or removed from the model, interface geometries are perturbed using random fields, and densities are sampled from distributions informed by prior information. To visualise the space of sampled models and to aid interpretation, a workflow is proposed that combines dimensionality reduction with the clustering of models in families. The capabilities of the inversion method are evaluated using two synthetic cases. The first is a motivating example aimed at recovering an intrusion missing from the prior model. It features a horizontal layer-cake where fixed-dimensional inversion fails to adequately fit the data and sample models close to the true model, while the proposed pseudo trans-dimensional approach is much more successful. The second case investigates the recovery of two missing units and the capability to overcome prior model biases. Results show the potential of our method to infer the presence of unseen geological features such as intrusions. However, they suggest that with biased prior geological modelling, it may be challenging to infer with certainty the presence of more than two previously unknown rock units at depth.

Wave propagation in rock media with highly viscous fluids based on a fractional thermoporoelastic theory

Geophysical Journal International - Wed, 12/10/2025 - 00:00
SummaryWhen highly viscous fluids are present in a rock medium, the viscous effect of such fluids cannot be neglected in the propagation of elastic waves. In this paper, a fractional thermoporoelastic theory is newly proposed, which is a further improvement of the two-temperature generalized thermoporoelastic theory. Firstly, by introducing the Kelvin-Voigt model into the stress-strain constitutive equation, the viscous effect of highly viscous fluids is considered. Then, fractional derivatives are introduced into the heat conduction equations of the solid and fluid phase to consider the anomalous heat conduction caused by the viscous effect in rock media. Plane wave analysis method is adopted to obtain the phase velocity and attenuation factor of four longitudinal waves (P1, P2, T1, T2). Numerical results show that the introduction of fluid viscosity leads to the appearance of new relaxation peaks in the P wave at high frequencies, and the introduction of fractional derivatives causes a decrease in the phase velocity and attenuation factor of T waves. The results provide a reference for further research on the wave propagation in rock media containing highly viscous fluids.

Induced polarization effects in fixed-wing airborne EM: the TEMPESTTM system – Part A, connecting numerical modelling with field evidence at continental scale

Geophysical Journal International - Wed, 12/10/2025 - 00:00
SummaryInduced polarization (IP) effects in airborne electromagnetic (AEM) surveys have commonly been investigated in helicopter-borne systems, leaving both a bibliographic and application gap for fixed-wing configurations. This gap partly reflects the large relative number of helicopter compared to fixed wing AEM systems, but also the geometric complexity of fixed wing platforms. In these platforms, nine geometric parameters come into play: the pitch, roll, and yaw of both transmitter and receiver, plus the three-axis offsets between the coils. Shifts in these factors can distort the measured data in ways that aren’t uniquely attributable, making it hard to pinpoint whether negative recordings truly arise from IP or from geometry-related effects. The non-fixed geometry also complicates removal of the primary field, often requiring iterative processing steps that may suppress or alter spectral content linked to IP. With advances in airborne IP understanding from helicopter-borne systems, revisiting fixed-wing platforms is both timely and necessary. Part A of this two-part study addresses this issue using the TEMPEST™ fixed-wing system connecting numerical modelling with field evidence. A suite of synthetic two-layer models with variable resistivity and chargeability parameters was developed to evaluate the system’s sensitivity to polarizable structures. The experiments demonstrate that IP effects, including negative secondary field responses, can be reliably detected in fixed-wing AEM data, both in X and Z magnetic field components. The capacity of these systems to detect IP phenomena is, however, strongly dependent on the electrical conductance of the environment. For instance, both fixed-wing and helicopter-borne systems, elevated near-surface conductance enhances the amplitude of purely electromagnetic induction currents, which in turn can dominate the recorded response and obscure the comparatively weaker polarization currents. More in general, IP detectability depends on the strength of the EM response generated by induction currents flowing elsewhere, which can dominate the small reverse current flow from a polarizable target. This highlights the critical role of near-surface conductivity in controlling the expression of IP responses and underscores the need to carefully account for these factors when interpreting survey data. The synthetic results are then connected with field-scale observations from a subset of the AusAEM dataset, over 470 000 line-km of TEMPESTTM data, where negative responses align with areas of low shallow conductance, confirming the simulation results. These finding open the way to the Part B of this study, where TEMPESTTM data are inverted taking into account IP and compared with helicopter-borne results and geological information.

Three things that might trigger massive ice sheet collapse

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 12/09/2025 - 23:10
The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets are highly vulnerable to global warming and scientists are being increasingly worried about the possibility of large parts of the ice sheets collapsing, if global temperatures keep on rising.

Geomorphological approach evaluates Galápagos watersheds

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 12/09/2025 - 21:34
Galápagos is a living laboratory where every environmental decision matters. On Santa Cruz, the most populated island of the archipelago, freshwater is a limited and increasingly vulnerable resource due to urban growth, agricultural pressure, saltwater intrusion, and climate change. In this context, understanding how water behaves across the landscape becomes essential for water security.

Fast-tracking a natural climate solution by compressing millennia of carbon capture into hours

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 12/09/2025 - 20:20
What if it were possible to take a very slow geological process, one that takes thousands of years in nature, and speed it up so that it happens within hours, in order to slow the rate of global warming?

GNSS-IR retrieval of soil moisture at hourly resolution taking into account corrections for inter-orbit phase bias of satellites

Publication date: Available online 2 December 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Yueji Liang, Xingyu Zhao, Binglin Zhu, Xi Guo, Chao Ren, Xianjian Lu, Zhengzhou Feng, Jinlong Pan

Hybrid deep reinforcement learning and indirect method for low-thrust trajectory optimization in cislunar space

Publication date: Available online 2 December 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Izhar Ul Haq, Honghua Dai, Jiye Zhang, Liangjun Song

Comparison and Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Aerosol Optical Depth between MODIS and PSR Sun Photometer over the Tengchong Volcanic Region

Publication date: Available online 2 December 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Yuxiang Tian, Qinqin Liu, Wenxiu Liu, Wenjie Wang, Xuhui Shen

Satellite Altimetry Over Frozen Rivers. Satellite Altimetry and Hydrodynamic Model Reproduce the Ice Jam Conditions

Publication date: Available online 2 December 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): E.A. Zakharova, I.N. Krylenko, P.P. Golovlev, A.A. Lisina, A.A. Sazonov, N.К. Semenova, A.V. Kouraev

A multi-scale geometric feature-adaptive density-aware framework for robust sub-conductor segmentation in high-voltage transmission corridors

Publication date: Available online 2 December 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Yueqian Shen, Chenyang Zhang, Jinhu Wang, Jinguo Wang, Junjun Huang, Yanming Chen

Revealing Crustal Deformation and Fault Slip Behavior of the Northern Qaidam-West Qinling Tectonic Belt Using Integrated GNSS/InSAR Observations

Publication date: Available online 2 December 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Dan Yang, Xiaoning Su, Jiale Huang, Weifang Yang

Reinforcement Learning-Based Winding Capture and Obstacle-Avoidance Path Planning for Rope-Driven Manipulator

Publication date: Available online 2 December 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Ziliang Zhao, Xiaofeng Li, Haiyu Gu, Kangjia Fu, Cheng Wei

Response Relationship between Surface Deformation and Groundwater Changes and Estimation of Aquifer Parameters in Tianjin Under New Hydrological Conditions

Publication date: Available online 2 December 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Banding Wei, Zhicai Li, Wei Yan, Junli Wu, Zhiquan Zhang, Xiaoqing Wang, Lv Zhou

Is Convection Wobbling Venus?

EOS - Tue, 12/09/2025 - 18:32
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: AGU Advances

If you spin a bowling ball, the finger-holes will end up near the rotation axis because putting mass as far from the axis as possible minimizes energy. So, on planets –if there is a large mountain, it will end up at the equator; in physics terms, the axes of rotation and maximum inertia align.

Conversely, a planet that is very spherical will be rather unstable, so that the solid surface can move relative to the rotation axis, so-called true polar wander (TPW). Because of its slow rotation, Venus is extremely spherical; TPW can thus easily occur, driven for example by mantle convection, which is time-dependent. Furthermore, Venus’s axes of maximum inertia and rotation are offset, by about 0.5o.

In a new paper, Patočka et al. [2025] analyze the effect of convection on Venus’s axial offset and potential for TPW. They find TPW rates that are consistent with geologically-derived values, but that the resulting axial offset is much smaller than observed. Their conclusion is that atmospheric torques are likely responsible, as they probably are for the apparent variations in Venus’s rotation rate measured from Earth.

The angular offset between the rotation and maximum inertia axis as a function of time, driven by time-dependent convection. The mean value (0.0055o) is two orders of magnitude smaller than the observed value (0.5o). Convection cannot be causing this offset. Credit: Patočka et al. [2025], Figure 2e

Three spacecraft missions will soon be heading to Venus. Direct measurement of the effects predicted by the researchers are challenging, but the coupling between atmospheric dynamics and planetary rotation will surely form an important part of their investigations.

Citation: Patočka, V., Maia, J., & Plesa, A.-C. (2025). Polar motion dynamics on slow-rotating Venus: Signatures of mantle flow. AGU Advances, 6, e2025AV001976. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025AV001976

—Francis Nimmo, Editor, AGU Advances

Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Chaotic 3D currents form multiple microplastic 'attractors' beneath the ocean surface, study finds

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 12/09/2025 - 16:00
The ocean is saturated with microplastics. While we know the location of the great garbage patches, where plastic particles may accumulate below the ocean surface remains unknown. The vastness of the ocean means particle sampling data are sparse, but modeling how particles aggregate in 3D fluid flows can help determine where to look.

GeoFlame VISION: Using AI and satellite imagery to predict future wildfire risk

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 12/09/2025 - 13:30
Wildfires pose a significant threat across the southwestern United States, due to the region's unique topography and weather conditions. Accurately identifying locations at the highest risk of a severe wildfire is critical for implementing preventive measures.

Primed to burn: What's behind the intense, sudden fires burning across New South Wales and Tasmania?

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 12/09/2025 - 13:02
Dozens of bushfires raged over the weekend as far afield as the mid-north coast of New South Wales and Tasmania's east coast. A NSW firefighter tragically lost his life, 16 homes burned down in the NSW town of Koolewong and four in Bulahdelah, and another 19 burned down in Tasmania's Dolphin Sands.

Celebrating the MacGyver Spirit: Hacking, Tinkering, Scavenging, and Crowdsourcing

EOS - Tue, 12/09/2025 - 12:32

In 2009, Rolf Hut—then a doctoral student at Delft University of Technology in the Netherlands—hacked a $40 Nintendo Wii remote, turning it into a sensor capable of measuring evaporation in a lake.

The innovation, tested in his lab’s wave generator basin, became part of Hut’s doctoral thesis and changed the course of his career. Though he’s now an associate professor at Delft, Hut considers himself a professional tinkerer and a teacher of tinkerers.

Back in 2009, Hut and a group of fellow Ph.D. students organized a session at AGU’s annual meeting in which hydrologists could demonstrate the quirky measurement devices they’d made, hacked, scavenged, or used in a manner entirely different from what manufacturers intended.

Rolf Hut from Delft University of Technology organized the AGU 2010 MacGyver session. The session included homemade devices such as a “disdrometer” for counting raindrops and a demonstration of the “rising bubble“ method of determining canal discharge. Credit: Rolf Hut

The session, “Self-Made Sensors and Unintended Use of Measurement Equipment,” was so popular that Hut organized it again the next year and the next. In addition to Hut’s remodeled Wiimote, early sessions included an acoustic rain sensor made from singing birthday card speakers, a demonstration of how to use a handheld GPS unit to measure tidal slack in estuaries, and a giant temperature-sensing pole that showed how the room heated up after the coffee break.

Since then, the endeavor has grown from a single session to many, expanded to the annual meeting of the European Geosciences Union in addition to AGU’s, and gained a new name: “People just kept calling it ‘the MacGyver session,’” Hut said.

This year, there are five MacGyver sessions, encompassing space weather, ocean environments, the geosphere, and crowdsourced science—the biggest program yet, said Chet Udell of Oregon State University, an electrical engineer and musical composer who is convening the hydrology session.

“The MacGyver sessions are a powder keg of possibilities,” Udell said. “You never know who’s gonna talk with who and what really cool collaboration or initiative could get started that way.”

The MacGyver Spirit

The term “MacGyver” originated with the 1980s television character, a resourceful secret agent known for elegantly solving complex problems with a Swiss Army knife, a few paper clips, chewing gum, or the roll of duct tape he always kept in his back pocket.

That can-do attitude is a natural fit for science, said Udell. “The MacGyver spirit is all about empowering the curiosity that drives science to also drive instrumentation.”

“Oftentimes, [scientists] come up to the barrier of, ‘I can’t ask that question because measuring this thing would be too infeasible, too complicated, too expensive, [the sensor] doesn’t exist,’” he said.

In addition to innovation—“There are a lot of people generating new science because they’ve hacked their instrumentation”—collaboration is key to the MacGyver spirit, Udell said. The ethos is less do-it-yourself (DIY) and more do-it-together. With strong links to the open-source and makerspace traditions, community and transparency are prioritized over competition and secrecy.

“No one lab has all of the expertise, the tools, and the capacity to bring these really interesting, handmade types of DIY innovation to the sciences,” Udell said.

Until recently, the MacGyver sessions were among the only places scientists and engineers could share these kinds of innovations with others. Journal articles’ methods sections typically aren’t long enough to explain exactly how to make one of these hacked or duct-taped devices.

But in 2017, the multidisciplinary, peer-reviewed journal HardwareX was launched with the aim of accelerating the distribution of low-cost, high-quality, open-source scientific hardware. Udell is an associate editor of the journal and recently published an article there with instructions on how to build a “Pied Piper” device that senses pest insects and then lures them into a trap. Citations from HardwareX can help MacGyver scientists justify time spent tinkering, he added.

The Alchemy of Serendipity

The in-person MacGyver sessions remain the heart of the movement, said Udell. There’s a certain alchemy that happens when you bring similarly geeky people together. “You know you’ve really found your community,” said Udell. “There’s a sensation that we’re all cut from the same cloth.”

“We want people to bring the physical device they’ve made and have a nerd-on-nerd discussion about that.”

There’s a reason they’re usually poster sessions, too, added Hut. “We want people to bring the physical device they’ve made and have a nerd-on-nerd discussion about that, which is a very different sort of communication than one-to-many broadcasting your awesome work.”

The format facilitates serendipitous discovery, too. “People walk by and they’re like, ‘Hey, what’s this weird device? I didn’t know you could measure that,’” said Udell. The conversation might spark an epiphany that could help someone solve a problem they’ve been wrestling with in their own research.

Kristina Collins, an electrical engineer who has convened several MacGyver sessions, said scientists and engineers from all disciplines are welcome at any of them—not just those in their own “Hogwarts House” or discipline.

“Having open-source hardware gives people a way to exchange information across different scientific cultures,” she said. “The point of Fall Meeting is to connect with the gestalt of what’s happening at the level of your field and also across fields. I really like that. I think everything interesting happens at the interface.”

Crowdsourced Science

Collins, now a research scientist at the Space Science Institute in Boulder, stumbled upon the MacGyver sessions at her first AGU annual meeting, in 2019—when she was a graduate student and the sessions were hydrology only.

At the time, she was working on making low-cost space weather station receivers for taking Doppler measurements and working with the worldwide ham radio community to deploy them—harnessing low-cost tech and crowdsourced science to gather data from the ionosphere and provide insights into the effects of solar activity on Earth.

“We named [our first receiver] the Grape because people like to name electronics after tiny fruit, and everything else was taken,” she explained (think: kiwis, limes, raspberries, blackberries, apples). “And also, it does its best work in bunches—many, many instruments [working] as a single meta instrument.”

The following year, Collins and some colleagues organized their own MacGyver session on sensors for detecting space weather. At AGU’s Annual Meeting 2025, there will be both oral and poster space weather MacGyver sessions . Collins will present an update on the Personal Space Weather Station Network and the various instruments, including Grape monitors, that make up this distributed, crowdsourced system.

For many geoscientists, the MacGyver spirit is not just a fun side quest, but a fundamental part of the scientific process, said Udell. “The questions we ask and the things that we observe are shaped by what we can measure, and this is shaped by our instrumentation,” he said.

“And so, in a way, what we make ends up making us.”

—Kate Evans (@kategevans.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: Evans, K. (2025), Celebrating the MacGyver spirit: Hacking, tinkering, scavenging, and crowdsourcing, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250460. Published on 9 December 2025. Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

The Long and the Weak of It—The Ediacaran Magnetic Field

EOS - Tue, 12/09/2025 - 12:30

Time travelers to the Ediacaran can forget about packing a compass. Our planet’s magnetic field was remarkably weak then, and new research suggests that that situation persisted for roughly 3 times longer than previously believed.

That negligible magnetic field likely resulted in increased atmospheric oxygen levels, which in turn could have facilitated the observed growth of microscopic organisms, researchers have now concluded. These results, which will be presented at AGU’s Annual Meeting on Wednesday, 17 December, pave the way for better understanding a multitude of life-forms.

The Ediacaran period, which spans from roughly 640 million to 540 million years ago, is recognized as a time in which microscopic life began evolving into macroscopic forms. That transition in turn paved the way for the diversification of life known as the Cambrian explosion. The Ediacaran furthermore holds the honor of being one of the most recent inductees into the International Chronostratigraphic Chart, the official geologic timescale. (Last year, the Anthropocene was rejected as an addition to the International Chronostratigraphic Chart.)

A Collapsing Field, with Implications for Life

The Ediacaran was a time of magnetic tumult. An earlier study showed that our planet’s magnetic field precipitously fell from roughly modern-day values, decreasing by as much as a factor of roughly 30.

“We have this unprecedented interval in Earth’s history where the Earth’s magnetic field is collapsing.”

“We have this unprecedented interval in Earth’s history where the Earth’s magnetic field is collapsing,” said John Tarduno, a geophysicist at the University of Rochester involved in the earlier study as well as this new work.

The strength of our planet’s magnetic field has implications for life on Earth. That’s because Earth’s magnetic field functions much like a shield, protecting our planet’s atmosphere from being pummeled by a steady stream of charged particles emanating from the Sun (the solar wind). A weaker magnetic field means that more energetic particles from the solar wind can ultimately interact with the atmosphere. That influx of charged particles can alter the chemical composition of the atmosphere and allow more DNA-damaging ultraviolet radiation from the Sun to reach Earth’s surface.

There’s accordingly a strong link between Earth’s magnetic field and our planet’s ability to support life, said Tarduno. “One of the big questions we’re interested in is the relationship between Earth’s magnetic field and its habitability.”

We’re Getting Older (Rocks)

Tarduno and his colleagues previously showed that a weak magnetic field likely persisted during the Ediacaran from 591 to 565 million years ago, a span of 26 million years.

But maybe that period lasted even longer, the team surmised. To test that idea, the researchers analyzed an assemblage of 641-million-year-old anorthosite rocks from Brazil. Those rocks date to the late Cryogenian, the period immediately preceding the Ediacaran.

Back in the laboratory, the researchers extracted pieces of feldspar from the rocks. Within that feldspar, the team homed in on tiny inclusions of magnetite, a mineral that records the strength and direction of magnetic fields.

Team member Jack Schneider, a geologist at the University of Rochester, used a scanning electron microscope to observe individual needle-shaped bits of magnetite measuring just millionths of a meter long and billionths of a meter wide. “We can see the actual magnetic recorders,” said Schneider.

Working in a room shielded from Earth’s own magnetic field, Schneider measured the magnetization of feldspar crystals containing those magnetite needles. To ensure that the magnetite needles were truly reflecting Earth’s magnetic field 641 million years ago rather than a more recent magnetic field, the team focused on single-domain magnetite. A single domain refers to a region of uniform magnetization, which is much more difficult to overprint with a new magnetic field than a region magnetized in multiple directions. “We make sure that they’re good samples for us to use,” said Schneider.

Don’t Blame Reversals

The average field strength that the team recorded was consistent with zero, with an upper limit of just a couple hundred nanoteslas. “Those are the type of numbers you measure on solar system bodies today where there’s no magnetic field,” said Tarduno. For comparison, Earth’s magnetic field today is several tens of thousands of nanoteslas.

Given the weak magnetic field strengths dating to 565 million years ago and 591 million years ago and these new measurements of rocks from 641 million years ago, there might have been a roughly 70-million-year span in which Earth’s magnetic field was unusually feeble and possibly nonexistent, the team concluded.

And magnetic reversal—the periodic switching of Earth’s north and south magnetic poles—isn’t the likely culprit, the researchers suggest. It’s true that the planet’s magnetic field drops to very low levels during some parts of a magnetic reversal, but that situation persists for at most a few thousand years, said Tarduno. That’s far too short a time to show up in this dataset—the rocks that the team measured all cooled over tens of thousands of years, so the magnetic fields they recorded are an average over that time span.

Take a Deep Breath

If it’s true that Earth’s magnetic field was anomalously weak for about 70 million years, cascading effects might have helped prompt the transition from microscopic to macroscopic life, the team suggests. That shift, known as the Avalon explosion, preceded the better-known Cambrian explosion.

In particular, a weak magnetic field would have allowed the solar wind to impinge more on our planet’s atmosphere, a process that would have preferentially kicked out lighter inhabitants of the atmosphere such as hydrogen. Such a depletion of hydrogen would have, in turn, boosted the relative concentration of an important atmospheric species: oxygen.

“If you’re removing hydrogen, you’re actually increasing the oxygenation of the planet, particularly in the atmosphere and the oceans,” explained Tarduno. And because oxygen plays such a key role for so many species across the animal kingdom, it’s not too much of a stretch to imagine that the important life shift that occurred soon thereafter—miniscule creatures evolving into ones that measured centimeters or even meters in size—owes something to the invisible actor that is our planet’s magnetic field, the team concluded. “We passed a threshold that allowed things to get big,” said Tarduno.

It’s difficult to test this hypothesis by measuring ancient atmospheric oxygen levels, the team admits. (The ice cores that famously record atmospheric gases stretch back in time just about a million years, give or take.)

But this idea that the planet’s magnetic field may have triggered atmospheric changes that in turn played a role in animals growing larger makes sense, said Shuhai Xiao, a geobiologist at Virginia Tech not involved in the research. “If the oxygen concentration is low, you simply cannot grow very big.”

In the future, it will be important to fill in our knowledge of the magnetic field during the Ediacaran with more measurements, added Xiao. “One data point could change the story a lot.”

Cathy Constable, a geophysicist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography not involved in the research, echoed that thought. “The data are sparse,” she said. But this investigation is clearly a step in the right direction, she said. “I think this is exciting work.”

—Katherine Kornei (@KatherineKornei), Science Writer

Citation: Kornei, K. (2025), The long and the weak of it—The Ediacaran magnetic field, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250454. Published on 9 December 2025. Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

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