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Microbial Genes Could Improve Our Understanding of Water Pollution

EOS - Tue, 01/13/2026 - 14:12
Source: Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences

Underground environments like soil and aquifers teem with microbial life. These tiny microbes play a big role in cycling nutrients and breaking down or transforming pollutants. However, scientists still struggle to reliably model how microbes grow and decay.

Most studies of groundwater microbe communities focus on free-floating planktonic microbes, which make up less than 10% of an aquifer’s microbial population. The majority of microbes in groundwater are attached to sediment, making examination more difficult. Many studies are also done in labs, rather than on site.

Strobel et al. set out to study whether tracking biomarkers, such as specific genes produced by microbes during their life cycles, can improve models aimed at predicting how well microbes degrade pollutants in aquifers. They conducted research in southwestern Germany’s Ammer River floodplain, where groundwater sources with low oxygen levels and sediment with a high organic carbon content were ideal for microbial denitrification (the reduction of nitrate to nitrogen gas) to occur. The team constructed two 8.4-meter-deep wells surrounded by PVC casings and inserted seven microbial trapping devices (MTDs)—containers of sterilized sediment packed into a filter that served as a proxy for the microbial community in the aquifer matrix—into one of the wells. The MTDs remained submerged for 4.5 months prior to any experiments to allow the microbial community time to adapt to the environment and proliferate.

During a roughly 10-day period, while the MTDs were in the outflow well, the researchers injected nitrate-rich groundwater at the inflow well and extracted groundwater from the outflow well. The presence of nitrate, a pollutant that comes from sources such as fertilizer and sewage waste, spurred the microbial community into the process of denitrification. The team monitored the concentration of nitrate at the outflow and periodically withdrew an MTD to be transported to a lab for DNA analysis.

The growing abundance of key denitrification genes (napA and narG) in the earlier samples, followed by a decline in the later samples, indicated a dynamic microbial response to the added nitrate. The researchers’ efforts to use mathematical models to match their observations showed the importance of microbial growth during denitrification to control the extent of nitrate removal. The researchers note that though MTDs do not act as a perfect proxy for studying real aquifers, overall, the findings provide insight into the use of biomarkers to track biogeochemical processes, such as denitrification, in nature. (Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JG009181, 2025)

—Rebecca Owen (@beccapox.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: Owen R. (2026), Microbial genes could improve our understanding of water pollution, Eos, 107, https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EO260015. Published on 13 January 2026. Text © 2026. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Investigating a plume of bright blue in the wake of Hurricane Melissa

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 01/13/2026 - 14:03
Hurricane Melissa made landfall in Jamaica on October 28, 2025, as a category 5 storm, bringing sustained winds of 295 kilometers (185 miles) per hour and leaving a broad path of destruction on the island. The storm displaced tens of thousands of people, damaged or destroyed more than 100,000 structures, inflicted costly damage on farmland, and left the nation's forests brown and battered.

Are We Really Seeing More Foreshocks with Enhanced Catalogs?

EOS - Tue, 01/13/2026 - 14:00
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth

Foreshocks are smaller earthquakes that sometimes occur before bigger ones and studying them could help give early warnings of large earthquakes and understand how large earthquakes occur. But, because scientists use different ways to define and find foreshocks, estimates for how often they happen before big earthquakes in Southern California vary a lot—from 19% to 72%.

Khan et al. [2025] looked at both regular earthquake catalog and special “enhanced” catalogs with more small events to figure out why these estimates are so different. They found that using a simple method, just by checking small quakes near big ones in space and time, could lead to high foreshock rate, but the rate is comparable between standard and enhanced catalogs. Using statistics of past seismicity to define foreshock is better, but the choice of statistical representation matters. Assuming a constant average rate of past earthquakes (using a Poisson distribution) produces the highest foreshock rates and makes the results most sensitive to magnitude cut-offs and catalog choice. Their preferred method uses statistical distributions that account for variations in past earthquake rates, resulting in more reliable foreshock rates that are less sensitive to the magnitude cut-off or the type of earthquake catalog used.

This study clears up confusion about the wide range of foreshocks rates from previous studies in the same region and is the most thorough review of foreshock studies in Southern California so far. The authors also provide clear definitions, guidelines, and computer codes for other researchers to use. The authors emphasize the need to carefully consider biases in data and statistical methods in searching for precursory signals before large earthquakes and offer useful tips for improving short-term earthquake forecasts in the future.

Citation: Khan, R. A., Werner, M. J., Biggs, J., & Fagereng, Å. (2025). Effect of mainshock selection, earthquake catalog and definition on foreshock rate estimates in Southern California. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 130, e2024JB030733. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JB030733

—Xiaowei Chen, Associate Editor, JGR: Solid Earth

Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

What is the global water cycle and how is it amplifying climate disasters?

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 01/13/2026 - 12:14
Floods, droughts and heat waves continue to dominate headlines around the world and in Australia.

El Niño and La Niña synchronize global droughts and floods, study finds

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 01/12/2026 - 22:10
Water extremes such as droughts and floods have a huge impact on communities, ecosystems, and economies. Researchers with The University of Texas at Austin have turned their attention to tracking these extremes across Earth and have discovered what is driving them.

Atmospheric physicists find error in widely cited Arctic snow cover observations

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 01/12/2026 - 22:01
For decades, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has offered a snapshot of the planet's changing climate—but University of Toronto researchers have found that some of the underlying data underrepresents a key driver of Arctic warming.

Open-source model more accurately measures greenhouse gas emissions from natural gas

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 01/12/2026 - 21:16
McGill engineering researchers have introduced an open-source model that makes it easier for experts and non-experts alike to evaluate greenhouse gas emissions from U.S. natural gas supply chains and yields more accurate results.

Hundreds of Scientists “Vehemently Oppose” U.S. Effort to Purchase Greenland

EOS - Mon, 01/12/2026 - 20:49
body {background-color: #D2D1D5;} Research & Developments is a blog for brief updates that provide context for the flurry of news regarding law and policy changes that impact science and scientists today.

More than 200 scientists have signed a letter condemning U.S. President Donald Trump’s efforts to acquire Greenland.

“Greenland’s scientists and citizens have made enormous contributions to the world’s understanding of the Arctic and how rapid Arctic changes are affecting people around the world,” the letter reads. “To Greenlanders: Qujanaq, and we stand with you.”

It follows another letter issued in February 2025, which called the effort “a dangerous distraction from the urgent work of addressing environmental change impacts to U.S. citizens.”

The president first expressed interest in buying Greenland, an autonomous territory of Denmark, in 2019, during his first term in office, and has mentioned it throughout his second term. The campaign for the acquisition has intensified in the wake of the United States’ seizure of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.

 
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Greenland is rich in oil and in minerals such as lithium, copper, and rare earths. However, Malte Humpert, founder and senior fellow at The Arctic Institute, told CNN that the idea of extensive rare earth mining on the island is “completely bonkers.”

“You might as well mine on the Moon,” he said. “In some respects, it’s worse than the Moon.”

Greenland is also strategically located between the North American and Eurasian Arctic. Its northwest coast is also home to the U.S. Pituffik Space Base.

“If we don’t take Greenland, Russia or China will take Greenland, and I am not going to let that happen,” Trump told reporters on 11 January from Air Force One. “One way or the other, we’re going to have Greenland … They need us much more than we need them.”

“Times have changed since Inuit lands were mere commodities that could be bought and sold,” wrote Sara Olsvig, Chair of the Inuit Circumpolar in a January 2025 statement. “In today’s world, we are active participants in decision-making about our lands and resources. We are beyond the times of typical colonial attitudes of superiority.”

In a LinkedIn post last week, Greenland’s prime minster, Jens-Frederik Nielsen, called the rhetoric “totally unacceptable” and “disrespectful.” A statement issued by the leaders of several European countries affirmed that “Greenland belongs to its people.”

Greenland is a critical location for climate science research, and many researchers have expressed concerns about how a U.S. takeover could affect this international scientific enterprise.

“Anything that injures our long-standing friendly relationship with Greenland is also an injury to science,” Yarrow Axford, a paleoclimatologist and one of the creators of the letter, wrote in an email to Eos. “There’s so much climate science and other important work that can only be done in Greenland, and only in partnership with Greenland’s people. I hope we can all weather this latest storm together.”

Mia Tuccillo, a paleolimnologist and Arctic scientist who is advised by Yarrow and also helped author the letter, wrote in an email to Eos that the research collaborations between the two nations are relatively new, and are delicate because of the history of U.S. intervention in Greenland.

“The statements by our government and by Trump that challenge Greenland’s sovereignty directly threaten these new priorities and collaborations—things that have greatly revolutionized and improved the ethos of geosciences—and things that are still very new and very, very valuable,” Tuccillo wrote.

“A unilateral US takeover threatens to disrupt the open scientific collaboration that is helping us understand the threat of global sea-level rise,” wrote glaciologist Martin Siegert in The Conversation.

The U.S. scientists behind the letter also issued a statement expressing solidarity with Greenland. Many shared (unattributed) personal messages at the end of the letter.

“Greenland is a unique culture and a critical part of the earth’s climate system, not a pawn in a real estate deal,” wrote one scientist.

“Without the help, knowledge, and skills of people in Greenland, we would have never been able to even reach our field site let alone conduct our research. When Greenlanders lead the way, our science improves and becomes more useful and relevant to both local and the international communities,” wrote another.

—Emily Gardner (@emfurd.bsky.social), Associate Editor

Editor’s note: This article has been updated to correctly differentiate between the letters issued in February 2025 and January 2026.

These updates are made possible through information from the scientific community. Do you have a story about how changes in law or policy are affecting scientists or research? Send us a tip at eos@agu.org. Text © 2026. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

How hidden factors beneath Istanbul shape earthquake risk

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 01/12/2026 - 19:56
The fault beneath Istanbul doesn't behave the way scientists once thought.

Modular Detection Framework for Space Targets in Short-Exposure Imagery

Publication date: Available online 6 January 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Jiaxin Liu, Feng Yu, Yunxiao Yang, Yinghao Wu

Robust optimal control for reconfiguration of Coulomb spacecraft formations along invariant manifolds

Publication date: Available online 6 January 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Peerawat Artitthang, Chuang Yao, Mingpei Lin

Why Greenland's vast natural resources won't necessarily translate into huge profits

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 01/12/2026 - 18:33
The US is saber-rattling over Greenland once again. The vast island's natural resources are back on the agenda, a year after then-US national security advisor Michael Waltz announced: "This is about critical minerals. This is about natural resources."

Perfect storms: Researchers shine light on extreme weather preparedness in Connecticut

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 01/12/2026 - 16:48
Connecticut gets snow in the winter, but that's about it for bad weather.

El Niño events projected to cut life expectancy gains and cost trillions by 2100

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 01/12/2026 - 16:32
The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the planet's greatest driver of year-to-year climate swings, shapes temperature, rainfall, and extreme weather around the world. Its impact ranges from heat waves and floods to air pollution and disruptions to food security, with growing evidence that these climate fluctuations influence human health and economic growth.

Sinking boreal trees in the deep Arctic Ocean could remove billions of tons of carbon each year

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 01/12/2026 - 15:57
Global efforts to reduce pollution will not be enough to mitigate the worst effects of climate change, scientists say. We will also need to extract over 10 gigatons of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere every year for the next century. However, currently only two gigatons are being removed annually, so we have to rapidly scale up existing methods or come up with new ideas.

Africa's climate finance rules are growing, but they're weakly enforced, new research suggests

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 01/12/2026 - 15:05
Climate change is no longer just about melting ice or hotter summers. It is also a financial problem. Droughts, floods, storms and heat waves damage crops, factories and infrastructure. At the same time, the global push to cut greenhouse gas emissions creates risks for countries that depend on oil, gas or coal.

Cyclone Senyar: Why hazards continue to turn into disasters in Indonesia

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 01/12/2026 - 14:54
Weeks after Cyclone Senyar made landfall in northern Sumatra, Indonesia, the province of Aceh continues to struggle. The cyclone passed through the Strait of Malacca in late November, bringing heavy rains and causing widespread flooding in parts of Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand. More than 500 people were killed and 250,000 people displaced in Aceh alone.

Rain one minute, heat wave the next: How climate 'whiplash' drives unpredictable fire weather

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 01/12/2026 - 14:44
After a weekend of extreme heat and windy conditions, more than 30 blazes were still burning in Victoria and New South Wales as of Sunday evening, including major fires in the Otways, near the town of Alexandra in central Victoria, and on the NSW-Victoria border near Corryong.

River chemistry insights may boost coastal ocean modeling

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 01/12/2026 - 14:16
Rivers deliver freshwater, nutrients, and carbon to Earth's oceans, influencing the chemistry of coastal seawater worldwide. Notably, a river's alkalinity and the levels of dissolved inorganic carbon it brings to the sea help to shape regional conditions for marine life, including shellfish and corals. These factors also affect the ability of coastal seawater to absorb carbon dioxide from Earth's atmosphere—which can have major implications for climate change.

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