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The Storfjorden earthquake sequence: role of inherited crustal heterogeneity

Geophysical Journal International - Tue, 10/07/2025 - 00:00
SummaryA strong earthquake sequence in Storfjorden, south of Svalbard, was initiated by an Mw 6.1 event on 21 February 2008. Earthquake distribution and fault plane solutions indicate that seismic activity is controlled by unmapped NE-SW striking oblique-normal faults, contrasting with the major N-S oriented faults mapped onshore Svalbard. We present a geophysical model derived from an ocean bottom seismometer profile crossing the seismogenic zone to identify structures in the crust and uppermost mantle that potentially control the earthquake source mechanism. Travel-time forward modeling using raytracing, combined with travel-time tomography and gravity-magnetic modeling, reveal distinct crustal domains across the earthquake region. Crystalline crustal P-wave velocities range from 6.1 km/s to 6.7 km/s at the Moho depth in the eastern section. The western profile section exhibits a higher Vp velocity lower crust (6.6–7.0 km/s) with Vp/Vs ratios of 1.75–1.8 and high density (∼3100 kg/m³). Basement depth reaches 8 km in the west, forming a sedimentary basin, and shallows eastward. The Moho remains relatively flat at 29-32 km depth throughout the profile. The N-S oriented Caledonian suture, identified from deep seismic and potential field data, traverses the Storfjorden earthquake zone. The lithological contacts within the suture zone, inferred from the new OBS data, may facilitate seismic failure oblique to the N-S oriented structure, following the regional stress field.

Amplitude-corrected receiver function imaging for a dipping interface

Geophysical Journal International - Tue, 10/07/2025 - 00:00
SummaryWe developed a new amplitude correction method for receiver function imaging to analyze velocity contrasts along dipping interfaces. Because receiver function imaging typically assumes a horizontally layered structure, corrections are needed for amplitude and polarity variations of P-to-S converted phases when analyzing dipping interfaces. However, previous studies have not adequately addressed these effects, and improved receiver function analysis is required to better delineate dipping structures, such as subducting plate surfaces and the oceanic Moho. Therefore, we propose formulae that quantify converted S-wave amplitude variations between horizontal and dipping interfaces. This relationship is expressed as a function of the back azimuth, the ray parameter of an incident P wave, and the dip angle and dip direction of a dipping interface, and in this study, the geometry of the dipping interface (dip angle and dip direction) is assumed. We applied these formulae to receiver function imaging using synthetic and observed data and confirmed that the amplitude of seismic discontinuities was successfully reproduced. This method enables the use of numerous receiver functions regardless of the back azimuths of incident P waves, thereby providing more detailed amplitude estimations for dipping interfaces.

Satellite scans can estimate urban emissions

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 10/06/2025 - 17:30
Because the hustle and bustle of cities is driven largely by fossil fuels, urban areas have a critical role to play in addressing global greenhouse gas emissions. Currently, cities contribute around 75% of global carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, and urban populations are projected only to grow in the coming decades.

How the Southern Ocean controlled climate and atmospheric carbon dioxide during the lukewarm interglacials

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 10/06/2025 - 17:19
Earth's climate has fluctuated between cold and warm periods for millions of years. During the so-called "lukewarm interglacials"—warm phases between 800,000 and 430,000 years ago—atmospheric CO2 concentrations were only around 240 to 260 ppm (parts per million, i.e., molecules per 1 million molecules of air). Later interglacials reached values of 280 to 300 ppm.

Coastal flooding in the Bay Area: New research illuminates strategies for adaptation

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 10/06/2025 - 15:50
Coastal communities around the world have long faced challenges related to flood risks. But as sea levels continue to rise and extreme weather events become more frequent, the need for more effective response strategies is greater than ever.

Clam shells sound alarm over unstable North Atlantic currents

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 10/06/2025 - 13:53
Bivalves, such as clams, oysters and mussels, record seasonal environmental changes in their shells, making them living chronicles of climate history. A new study of bivalve shells has detected two major episodes of instability in the North Atlantic Ocean's circulation systems, suggesting that the region may be heading toward a tipping point that could trigger sudden, dramatic changes in global weather patterns.

Satellite Scans Can Estimate Urban Emissions

EOS - Mon, 10/06/2025 - 12:52
Source: AGU Advances

Because the hustle and bustle of cities is driven largely by fossil fuels, urban areas have a critical role to play in addressing global greenhouse gas emissions. Currently, cities contribute around 75% of global carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, and urban populations are projected only to grow in the coming decades. Members of the C40 Cities Climate Leadership Group, a network of nearly 100 cities that together make up 20% of the global gross domestic product, have pledged to work together to reduce urban greenhouse gas emissions. Most of the cities have pledged to reach net zero emissions by 2050.

To meet these pledges, cities must accurately track their emissions levels. Policymakers in global cities have been relying on a “bottom-up” approach, estimating emissions levels on the basis of activity data (e.g., gasoline sales) and corresponding emissions factors (such as the number of kilograms of carbon emitted from burning a gallon of gasoline). However, previous studies found some regional variations in emissions estimates depending on which datasets are used, especially in certain geographic locations.

Ahn et al. tried a “top-down” approach, using space-based observations to estimate emissions for 54 C40 cities.

They used data from NASA’s Orbiting Carbon Observatory 3 (OCO-3) mission on board the International Space Station (ISS) to collect high-resolution data over global cities. OCO-3 uses a pair of mirrors called the Pointing Mirror Assembly to scan atmospheric CO2 levels as the ISS flies over a target city.

The researchers found that for the 54 cities, the satellite-based estimates match bottom-up estimates within 7%. On the basis of their measurements, the researchers also found that bottom-up techniques tended to overestimate emissions for cities in central East, South, and West Asia but to underestimate emissions for cities in Africa, East and Southeast Asia, Oceania, Europe, and North America.

The team also examined the link between emissions, economies, and populations. They found that wealthier cities tended to have less carbon intensive economies. For example, North American cities emit 0.1 kilogram of CO2 within their boundaries per U.S. dollar (USD) of economic output, whereas African cities emit 0.5 kilogram of CO2 per USD. They also found that residents living in bigger cities emit less CO2—cities with under 5 million people emit 7.7 tons of CO2 per person annually, whereas cities with more than 20 million people emit 1.8 tons per person, for instance.

The authors note that their findings show that satellite data may help cities better track emissions, improve global monitoring transparency, and support global cities’ efforts to mitigate emissions. (AGU Advances, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025AV001747, 2025)

—Sarah Derouin (@sarahderouin.com), Science Writer

Citation: Derouin, S. (2025), Satellite scans can estimate urban emissions, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250373. Published on 6 October 2025. Text © 2025. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Planets Might Form When Dust “Wobbles” in Just the Right Way

EOS - Mon, 10/06/2025 - 12:52

To start forming a planet, you need a big disk of dust and gas…and a bit of oomph. We see this formation taking place in protoplanetary disks in young star systems, and the same process must have formed the planets in our own solar system, too.

How do you begin planet formation inside a disk? What is the oomph?

But how do you begin planet formation inside a disk? What is the oomph?

A new set of experiments led by Yin Wang at the Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory (PPPL) in New Jersey suggests a process called magnetic rotational instability (MRI) may be a contributing factor. MRI describes how magnetic fields interact with the rotating, electrically charged gas in a star’s disk.

MRI has long been thought to play a role in disks by pushing charged gas toward young stars, which consolidate it in a process called accretion. This new research shows MRI can also trigger “wobbles” in the protoplanetary disk that begin the planet formation process.

Taking Metals for a Spin

Traditional ways of accreting dust in a young disk include pressure bumps, said Thanawuth Thanathibodee, an astrophysicist at Chulalongkorn University in Thailand who was not involved in the new research. The bumps are caused by processes such as “the transition between the gas phase and solid phase of some molecules…. When you have a pressure bump, you can accumulate more solid mass, and from there start forming a planet.”

Wang’s paper shows another way the accretion process might begin.

In his team’s experiments at PPPL, a cylinder was placed inside another cylinder, separated by about 32 liters (8.4 gallons) of the liquid metal Galinstan, the brand name of an alloy of gallium, indium, and tin. By spinning the two cylinders at different speeds exceeding 2,000 rotations per minute, scientists churned the liquid metal in a washing machine–like fashion, causing it to swirl through the cavity and mimic how gas swirls in a young star’s disk.

The team measured changes in the magnetic field of the Galinstan as it moved around the cylinders. They found that some regions of the liquid metal would interface, forming what are known as free shear layers. In these layers, some parts slow down and some speed up, a hallmark attribute of MRI.

In a protoplanetary disk, similar layers arise where different parts of the disk’s gas flow meet. These interfaces cause turbulence that pushes material (dust) toward or away from the star and create pockets where dust can accumulate and eventually form planets.

Wang said his work shows MRI-induced wobbling might be happening more often than expected, suggesting “there might be more planets across the universe.”

The work was published in Physical Review Letters earlier this year.

Building on a Successful Experiment

The contribution of MRI to protoplanetary disk formation was previously proposed but was not shown experimentally until now. As such, Thanathibodee said the new work is “very interesting.”

In future experiments, Wang hopes to try different rotation speeds to better understand the free shear layers and examine how MRI is produced. “We’ve found this mechanism is way easier [than thought], but the explored parameter space is still limited,” he said.

Still, MRI isn’t a slam dunk explanation for planet formation. To make the magnetic fields that MRI relies on, the central star must ionize the swirling gas in a protoplanetary disk into a plasma, a process that likely takes place near the star itself. But material close to the star quickly falls onto the star and thus is unavailable to make planets.

If the process instigated by MRI is encountered too close to the star, the researchers found, “the material will be absorbed,” explained Wang. “But if this mechanism happens away from the star, then it helps planet formation.”

MRI must work more quickly than the accretion timescale if it contributes to protoplanetary disk formation, but by how much?

“Nature is complicated, but what our results show is this instability is likely more common than we used to think.”

“My sense is that in order for some planets to form, this [MRI] process needs to be prolonged,” said Thanathibodee. “Otherwise, all the mass will get accreted in a short timescale.”

If MRI does occur in a “sweet region” not too close to or not too far from the young star, said Wang, it could play a role in planet formation. “It’s a plausible candidate for explaining a solar system like ours,” he said. “Nature is complicated, but what our results show is this instability is likely more common than we used to think.”

This same process might drive accretion around black holes too, said Wang, where magnetic fields are much stronger.

—Jonathan O’Callaghan (@astrojonny.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: O’Callaghan, J. (2025), Planets might form when dust “wobbles” in just the right way, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250372. Published on 6 October 2025. Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Millions rely on dwindling Colorado River—but are kept 'in the dark' about fixes, critics say

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 10/06/2025 - 12:00
The Colorado River, which provides water across the Southwest, has lost about 20% of its flow in the last quarter-century, and its depleted reservoirs continue to decline. But negotiations aimed at addressing the water shortage are at an impasse, and leaders of environmental groups say the secrecy surrounding the talks is depriving the public of an opportunity to weigh in.

The real reasons Endurance sank—study finds Shackleton knew of ship's shortcomings

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 10/06/2025 - 10:00
Sir Ernest Shackleton's ship, Endurance, was crushed by Antarctic sea ice and sank in November 1915. Emblematic of the heroic age of Antarctic exploration, it is widely considered the strongest polar ship of its time, albeit with a fatal flaw—a weakness in the rudder that caused the ship to sink.

How marine heat waves reshape ocean food webs and slow deep sea carbon transport

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 10/06/2025 - 09:00
New research shows that marine heat waves can reshape ocean food webs, which in turn can slow the transport of carbon to the deep sea and hamper the ocean's ability to buffer against climate change.

A late monsoon sting in the tale in the Himalayas

EOS - Mon, 10/06/2025 - 07:25

Very heavy rainfall across Nepal, NE. India and Bhutan has triggered landslides that have killed at least 60 people.

Over the last few days, parts of the Himalayas have been hit by very high levels of rainfall, causing large numbers of damaging landslides. The picture is not yet fully clear, but Nepal and Bhutan, and Darjeeling in India, have been particularly badly hit.

Over on the wonderful Save the Hills blog, Praful Rao has documented the rainfall at in Darjeeling – for example, on 4 October 2025 Kurseong recorded 393 mm of rainfall, whilst in Kalimpong a peak intensity of about 150 mm per hour was recorded. The scale of this event is well captured by the Global Precipitation Measurement dataset from NASA – this is 24 hour precipitation to 14:30 UTC on 5 October 2025:-

24 hour precipitation in 14:30 on 5 October 2025 for South Asia. Data from NASA.

News reports from Nepal indicate that 47 people have been killed and more are missing. Of these fatalities, 37 are reported to have been the result of landslides in Ilam. The Kathmandu Post has started to document the events:-

“According to the District Administration Office, five people died in Suryodaya Municipality, six in Ilam Municipality, six in Sandakpur Rural Municipality, three in Mangsebung, eight in Maijogmai, eight in Deumai Municipality, and one in Phakphokthum Rural Municipality. Among the deceased are 17 men and 20 women, including eight children, the office said in its official report.”

The picture in NE India is also dire. In Darjeeling, a series of landslides have killed 23 people. These include 11 fatalities in Mirik and five in Nagrakata. Praful Rao has indicated that he will provide more detail on the landslides in Darjeeling on the Save the Hills blog in due course.

The rains have also caused extensive damage in Bhutan. At least five fatalities have been reported, mostly in “flash floods”. In this landscape, the term flash flood is usually used to describe channelised debris flows.

Of great concern is the reported situation at the Tala Hydroelectric Power Station dam on the Wangchu river in the Chukha district of Bhutan. Reports indicate that water has overflowed the structure due to a failure of the dam gates. According to Wikipedia, this dam is 92 metres tall, so a collapse would be a significant event. This is Bhutan’s largest hydropower facility, and dams are not usually designed to withstand a major overtopping event.

The situation across this region will be unclear for a while, but loyal readers will remember the late monsoon event in Nepal in 2024, in which over 200 people were killed. These events reflect changes in patterns of rainfall associated with anthropogenic climate change and changes in the pattern of vulnerability associated with poor development and construction activities. Neither are likely to improve in the next decade and beyond.

Return to The Landslide Blog homepage Text © 2023. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Combined Boundary Element and Finite Volume Methods for Modeling Fluid-Induced Seismicity in Fault Networks within Low-Permeability Rocks

Geophysical Journal International - Mon, 10/06/2025 - 00:00
SummaryTo better understand the mechanics of injection-induced seismicity, we developed a two-dimensional numerical code to simulate both seismic and aseismic slip on non-planar faults and fault networks driven by fluid diffusion along permeable faults, in an impervious host rock. Our approach integrates a boundary element method to model fault slip governed by rate-and-state friction with a finite-volume method to simulate fluid diffusion along fault networks. We demonstrate the capabilities of the method with two illustrative examples: (1) fluid injection inducing slow slip on a primary rough, rate-strengthening fault, which subsequently triggers microseismicity on nearby secondary, smaller faults, and (2) fluid injection on a single fault in a network of intersecting faults, leading to fluid diffusion and reactivation of slip throughout the network. This work highlights the importance of distinguishing between mechanical and hydrological processes in the analysis of induced seismicity, providing a powerful tool for improving our understanding of fault behavior in response to fluid injection, in particular when a network of geometrically complex faults is involved.

3D joint inversion of induced polarization and self-potential data for ore body localization

Geophysical Journal International - Mon, 10/06/2025 - 00:00
SUMMARYIn mineral exploration, induced polarization and self-potential are two broadly used active and passive geophysical methods, respectively. In the case of ore bodies, both methods are associated with charge distributions associated with a secondary electrical field (induced polarization) and a source current density (self-potential). Both the chargeability and volumetric source current density distributions bring information regarding the shape of ore bodies. Therefore the joint inversion of these datasets is expected to better tomograms of ore bodies. A joint inversion approach is developed to combine both methods. The objective function to minimize includes two independent components plus a cross-gradient joint function. The use of the cross-gradient is justified from the underlying physics of the two geophysical problems at play. The structure of the cost function is tailored to overcome some problems like convergence and parameter determination in the inverse process. Two synthetic tests and a laboratory experiment are used to benchmark the proposed algorithm. We demonstrate that the joint inversion algorithm performs better than the localizations obtained from independent inversion approaches. To refine the interpretation of the shape of ores, we introduce an ore presence index using the chargeability and source current density resulting from the joint inversion algorithm. The K-Medoids clustering algorithm is used to automatically categorize the calculated ore presence index into different clusters. The cluster with larger values successfully identifies the ore bodies associated with strong chargeability and/or volumetric source current density.

Ground Software Architecture for a Lunar Particle Detector: Implementation with a Double-Sided Silicon Strip Detector

Publication date: Available online 2 October 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Thanayuth Panyalert, Shariff Manuthasna, Peerapong Torteeka, Xu He, Ning Zhang, Jianing Zheng, Bin Zhang, Dong Yang, Haibo Yang, Jingtian Xian, Yiwei Bao, Sichen Lu, Kunlanan Puprasit, Kullapha Chaiwongkhot, Tanawish Masri, Haojiang Zhao, Yaowarat Pittayang, Paparin Jamlongkul, Popefa Charoenvicha, Pakorn Khonsri

Retrieval of Precipitable Water Vapor by using BeiDou PPP-B2b signal with an Ocean-Based Experiment

Publication date: Available online 30 September 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Haibo Ge, Xiaoxue Ke, Zhilu Wu, Peijun Qiao, Qunhui Yang, Miaomiao Wang, Bofeng Li

Performance-based position domain integrity analysis for integer aperture Bootstrapping estimator

Publication date: Available online 30 September 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Jingbo Zhao, Ping Huang, Yao Wang

A study of the Ionospheric response during intense geomagnetic storms over the Indian low-latitude region during the period 2017- 2023

Publication date: Available online 30 September 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Prajakta Chougule, Dadaso Shetti, K. Venkatesh, Gopi K. Seemala, Susmita Chougule

Characteristics of Slant Sporadic-E Layers Observed at Low-Latitudes

Publication date: Available online 30 September 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Peter T. Muka, Marcio T. A. H. Muella, Fredson Conceição-Santos, Laysa C.A. Resende, Paulo R. Fagundes, Olufemi L. Ogunmola, Pedro A. Fontes, Valdir G. Pillat, Mariah Cesar, Rodolfo de Jesus

Global Accuracy Assessment of Ionospheric F2 Peak Characteristics based on coincident-colocated COSMIC-2 RO and Digisonde Measurements: A Three-Year Period Analysis (2020‒2022)

Publication date: Available online 30 September 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): K.S. Paul, H. Haralambous, M. Moses, S.K. Panda

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