Feed aggregator

Paradigm for global gyrokinetic turbulence

Physical Review E (Plasma physics) - Thu, 05/22/2025 - 10:00

Author(s): J. Candy, A. Dudkovskaia, and E. A. Belli

Using a wave-number-advection algorithm, we describe a method to add global profile curvature terms to the local gyrokinetic equations. This approach enables a high-precision global simulation capability without sacrificing the efficiency and spectral accuracy of local simulations. Preliminary numer…


[Phys. Rev. E 111, L053201] Published Thu May 22, 2025

The 21 May 2025 quick clay landslide at Sainte Monique in Quebec, Canada

EOS - Thu, 05/22/2025 - 07:04

The Landslide Blog is written by Dave Petley, who is widely recognized as a world leader in the study and management of landslides.

On 21 May 2025, a family lost their home to a quick clay landslide in Sainte Monique, to the northeast of Montreal in Quebec, Canada.

Radio-Canada Info has posted to Youtube some excellent drone footage of the aftermath of this landslide:-

Meanwhile, The Globe and Mail has a good account of the event:

“Andre Lemire said he was woken up early Wednesday morning by his partner, who had heard ominous noises outside the farm where they live in Sainte-Monique, Que.

“They left the home, and when he looked back he saw the ground open up, swallowing up the land and his neighbour’s house.

“The path disappeared behind me,” Lemire said in an interview.

“A major landslide swept away a home and part of a road northeast of Montreal at around 6 a.m. Wednesday, leaving a gaping hole in the land but no injuries. The landslide – estimated at 760 metres long and 150 wide – was described by an expert as one of the biggest the province has seen in recent years.”

This is a classic quick clay landslide, a well-known hazard in this part of Canada. The location of the landslide is [46.13890, -72.49700] – this is a Google Earth image of the site:-

Google Earth image of the site of the 21 May 2025 quick clay landslide at Sainte Monique in Canada.

It is interesting that the location is at the apex of the river meander, where erosion is intense. Google Street View shows that this is an area with a low slope angle, which is normal in quick clay landslides:-

Google Street View image of the site of the 21 May 2025 quick clay landslide at Sainte Monique in Canada.

The dramatic nature of landslides of this type can be seen in this still from the Youtube footage:-

A drone image of the site of the 21 May 2025 quick clay landslide at Sainte Monique in Canada. Still from a drobe video posted to Youtube by Radio-Canada Info.

It is likely that this area sits on the Leda Clay, a material that is prone to failures of this type. This landslide is reminiscent of the 10 May 2010 landslide at St Jude, which tragically killed four people. It is fortunate that at Sainte Monique the owners of the house were able to escape.

Thanks to loyal readers George Heah and Maurice Lamontagne for highlighting this event to me.

Return to The Landslide Blog homepage Text © 2023. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Frequency-Dependent Seismic Attenuation and Velocity Dispersion in Crystalline Rocks: Insights from the Grimsel Test Site

Geophysical Journal International - Thu, 05/22/2025 - 00:00
SummaryCharacterizing the hydraulic and geomechanical behavior of crystalline rocks is of importance for a wide range of geological and engineering applications. Geophysical methods in general and seismic techniques in particular are extensively used for these purposes due to their cost-effective and non-invasive nature. In this study, we combine legacy seismic observations to analyze the seismic attenuation and velocity characteristics in macroscopically intact regions of the granodiorite hosting the underground Grimsel Test Site in the central Swiss Alps across a wide frequency range. By focusing on data from the intact rock volumes we aim to assess the importance of viscoelastic effects in the crystalline host rock. Our results show consistent frequency-dependent characteristics of the seismic velocity and attenuation. We illustrate that it is possible to fit a microcrack-related wave-induced fluid flow (WIFF) model to the data over the entire frequency spectrum under examination extending from the Hertz to the Megahertz range. Utilizing complementary pressure-dependent ultrasonic measurements, we infer microcrack properties that validate the key parameters of the proposed WIFF model. These findings deepen our understanding of dispersion and attenuation mechanisms at the microscopic scale in crystalline environments, which is critical for a coherent analysis and integration of data from different seismic techniques as well as for the identification of dispersion and attenuation effects related to macroscale heterogeneities, such as fractures and faults.

SWOT satellite spots large-scale river waves for first time

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 05/21/2025 - 20:46
In a first, researchers from NASA and Virginia Tech have used satellite data to measure the height and speed of potentially hazardous flood waves traveling down U.S. rivers. The three waves they tracked were likely caused by extreme rainfall and by a loosened ice jam.

Extreme wet and dry years drive dramatic shifts in Lake Tahoe's underwater UV light

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 05/21/2025 - 20:40
Lake Tahoe is experiencing large-scale shifts in ultraviolet radiation (UV) as climate change intensifies wet and dry extremes in the region. That is according to a study led by the University of California, Davis's Tahoe Environmental Research Center and co-leading collaborator Miami University in Ohio.

Novel AI methodology improves gully erosion prediction and interpretation

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 05/21/2025 - 19:27
Gully erosion is the most severe form of soil erosion, and it can seriously impact agricultural fields, contributing to sediment loss and severe nutrient runoff into waterways. Gullies can be triggered suddenly by a single heavy rainfall event, creating deep channels that are difficult to rehabilitate even with heavy machinery. Accurately predicting where gully erosion is likely to occur allows agricultural producers and land managers to target their conservation efforts more effectively.

How deep-Earth carbon movements shape continents and diamonds

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 05/21/2025 - 19:16
A new study published in Science Advances by researchers from the Guangzhou Institute of Geochemistry of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (GIG-CAS), along with international collaborators, reveals that deeply subducted carbonates can cause significant variations in the redox states of Earth's mantle. This process influences the formation of sublithospheric diamonds and plays a role in the long-term evolution of cratons—ancient stable parts of the continental lithosphere.

Volcanic eruptions trigger ice formation in clouds

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 05/21/2025 - 18:11
When a volcano erupts, it can spew ash high into the atmosphere—inserting aerosols right where clouds typically form. How exactly these aerosols impact cloud formation has long been a mystery to atmospheric scientists.

When lightning strikes: Gamma-ray burst unleashed by lightning collision

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 05/21/2025 - 18:00
Lightning is a phenomenon that has fascinated humanity since time immemorial, providing a stark example of the power and unpredictability of the natural world. Although the study of lightning can be challenging, scientists have, in recent years, made great strides in developing our understanding of this extreme spectacle.

Combining afforestation and oceanic CO₂ removal could reduce pressure on land areas

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 05/21/2025 - 17:20
To reach the goals of the Paris Agreement, we not only have to reduce CO2 emissions, but also remove CO₂ from the atmosphere (carbon dioxide removal, CDR) on a large scale. This can involve both land- and ocean-based methods.

Boulder washed inland a sign of Pacific tsunami history

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 05/21/2025 - 16:21
Analysis has shown a boulder weighing almost 1,200 tons in Tonga is one of the largest known wave-transported rocks in the world, providing new insights into the Pacific region's history and risk of tsunamis.

River alkalinization and ocean acidification face off in coastal waters

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 05/21/2025 - 16:20
The Chesapeake Bay is the continental United States' largest estuary, spanning approximately 320 kilometers (200 miles) between northeastern Maryland and Virginia Beach. Like many coastal ecosystems, its water chemistry is affected by agricultural runoff, chemical weathering, and increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide.

Fool's gold: A hidden climate stabilizer

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 05/21/2025 - 14:23
On our planet, the cycle and balance of carbon from reservoir to reservoir is a matter of life or death. Carbon moves from the atmosphere to the ocean, to carbon-based life forms, to rocks or sediments, and it can be tied up in any of these reservoirs throughout the process.

Atmospheric scientists suggest that AI could be used to make 30-day weather forecasts

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 05/21/2025 - 14:13
A team of atmospheric scientists at the University of Washington has found evidence that weather forecasters may be able to look ahead for up to 30 days when making predictions. In their study, posted on the arXiv preprint server, the group tested Google's GraphCast AI-based weather modeling and predicting system using a technique to improve initial weather conditions to improve its accuracy.

Rock Solid Augmentation: AI-Driven Digital Rock Analysis

EOS - Wed, 05/21/2025 - 13:11
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: Water Resources Research

Rocks are important in subsurface engineering, but they are mostly invisible, extremely heterogeneous, and difficult to access. Thus, data on rock properties is scarce and uncertainties are large.

Liu et al. [2025] provide new AI technologies to augment existing rock data sets, which maintain important geometric characteristics. Now realistic rock images can be generated with this technology that are useful in the quantification of uncertainties. In addition, an analysis workflow is proposed to check the quality of the generated images, lending confidence in the obtained results. While currently the methods are limited to 2D images, the approaches could be applicable in 3D in the future.

Citation: Liu, L., Chang, B., Prodanović, M., & Pyrcz, M. J. (2025). AI-based digital rocks augmentation and assessment metrics. Water Resources Research, 61, e2024WR037939. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024WR037939  

—Stefan Kollet, Editor, Water Resources Research

Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

The Wildest Ride on a Hurricane Hunter Aircraft

EOS - Wed, 05/21/2025 - 12:56

Frank Marks remembers the Diet Coke can floating in front of his face as the plane pitched violently. After several attempts to grab it, he gave up and focused on avoiding the other debris ricocheting around the cabin. Then an engine flamed out, and the pilots dumped 15,000 pounds (6,800 kilograms) of fuel in a last-ditch effort to climb to relative safety without overheating the three working engines. The flight miraculously landed safely in Barbados a few hours later.

Rather than swearing off flying forever, many of the flight’s passengers were back in the air 2 days later for another chance to chase the storm that very nearly killed them.

Most pilots give storms a wide berth, but those flying NOAA’s two WP-3D Orion aircraft—known as Hurricane Hunters—head right for them. Those flights yield important data about storm structure and intensity that can help protect people on the ground. “There’s only so much you can learn from remote sensing,” said Todd Lane, an atmospheric scientist at the University of Melbourne in Australia who was not involved in the research. So scientists, pilots, and crew keep flying, despite the risks that severe turbulence poses.

New research published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society shows that Marks’s memorable flight through Hurricane Hugo in 1989 was rightly infamous—it ranks as the most turbulent NOAA Hurricane Hunter mission to date. Data from that and other bumpy NOAA Hurricane Hunter flights could make future trips safer.

The Bumpiest of Them All

Josh Wadler, a meteorologist at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University in Daytona Beach, Fla., had a wild ride aboard a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft in September 2022. He and his colleagues were flying through Hurricane Ian to study how energy was being transferred from the ocean to the atmosphere and, ultimately, into the hurricane. That Hurricane Hunter flight was by far the bumpiest of the 20 or so he’d been on, with extreme turbulence lasting for an unprecedented 10 minutes or so.

“We’re scientists—let’s try to figure this out.”

When the team finally emerged into smooth air, Wadler and others on board couldn’t help but wonder how their experience stacked up to the infamous 1989 flight through Hurricane Hugo. Being scientists, they decided to throw data at the question. “We’re scientists—let’s try to figure this out,” Wadler said.

Wadler and his colleagues mined in-flight data collected automatically by onboard navigation systems for every NOAA Hurricane Hunter flight into a tropical cyclone from 2004 to 2023. Those data, recorded every second, were already digitized and freely available online. But amassing data from two earlier flights for comparison—through Hurricane Hugo and another notoriously bumpy storm, Hurricane Allen, in 1980—required a bit more finesse. “There’s no record of them online,” Wadler said. “They’re just on tapes.”

Enter the data-wrangling skills of Neal Dorst, a meteorologist with the Hurricane Research Division of NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory in Miami. “Back in the day we would record the flight-level data on magnetic tapes,” Dorst said. Reels of magnetic tape sit in a room just down the hall from Dorst’s office. He’s digitizing them all and processed the Hurricane Hugo and Hurricane Allen data out of sequence after a special request for this project.

For each NOAA Hurricane Hunter flight of interest, the team analyzed six different aircraft motions: three translational (forward and back, side to side, and up and down) and three rotational (roll, pitch, and yaw). For every second, the team calculated the aircraft’s acceleration and jerk—that is, the rate of change of acceleration in time—in each of those six dimensions.

“There’s a lot of folklore about that flight.”

Because rotational motion depends on position relative to an axis of rotation, the team also considered a passenger’s seat position when determining what acceleration and jerk someone on board would have experienced. “The farther away from the axis of rotation you are, the more you feel,” Wadler said. “You’re going to feel the rotational motions more in the front or back of the plane.”

When the researchers tabulated a “bumpiness index” that took into account both acceleration and jerk, Wadler discovered that his memorable flight through Hurricane Ian in 2022 ranked second to the flight through Hurricane Hugo. That finding wasn’t wholly surprising, Wadler said. “There’s a lot of folklore about that flight.”

That infamous Hurricane Hugo flight pierced the storm just 1,600 feet (500 meters) above the Atlantic Ocean. That left dangerously little airspace for maneuvering and sent the plane directly into a region of the storm known for its extreme winds. (Nowadays, NOAA Hurricane Hunters fly roughly 6 times higher.)

Different Kinds of Bumpy

The in-flight data also corroborated something that Marks and his colleagues aboard the 1989 flight remember well: Their wild ride was characterized by extreme up and down motions. “Within a minute, we went through these huge three updraft/downdraft couplets,” said Marks, a meteorologist who retired last year from the Hurricane Research Division of NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory. Wadler’s trip through Hurricane Ian, on the other hand, involved strong turbulence directed largely sideways. “The side to side motions were unique,” Wadler said.

Hurricanes Irma (2017), Sam (2021), and Lane (2018) rounded out the top five positions. Wadler and his collaborators found that turbulence tended to be stronger for large storms that went on to weaken in the next few hours. Bumpiness was also most pronounced near the inner edge of a storm’s eyewall and near features known as mesovortexes, which are basically storms within a storm.

Beyond satisfying a personal curiosity, the finding could help make future NOAA Hurricane Hunter flights safer. “We know what to look for on radar when we’re going into a mission,” Wadler said. He hopes to take this new work in the direction of crew performance and cognition. “Is there a threshold of turbulence where humans are bad at making decisions?” he wondered. But instead of taking willing participants up on flights, Wadler plans to do laboratory experiments mimicking turbulence.

—Katherine Kornei (@KatherineKornei), Science Writer

Citation: Kornei, K. (2025), The wildest ride on a Hurricane Hunter aircraft, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250194. Published on 21 May 2025. Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

River Alkalinization and Ocean Acidification Face Off in Coastal Waters

EOS - Wed, 05/21/2025 - 12:55
Source: AGU Advances

The Chesapeake Bay is the continental United States’ largest estuary, spanning approximately 320 kilometers (200 miles) between northeastern Maryland and Virginia Beach. Like many coastal ecosystems, its water chemistry is affected by agricultural runoff, chemical weathering, and increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide.

Although rising carbon dioxide levels have led to ocean acidification, land use changes and chemical weathering from acid rain have made inland rivers and streams generally more alkaline. But long-term pH trends in coastal waters, such as the Chesapeake Bay, are less clear.

Li et al. ran a simulation to analyze pH trends in the Chesapeake Bay between 1951 and 2010, revealing a complex web of factors that altered the bay’s pH over that 60-year period.

Nutrient runoff into the Chesapeake Bay increased between 1950 and 1980 before dropping in the 1990s, thanks primarily to decreased atmospheric deposition of nitrogen and to upgrades in wastewater treatment systems. Agricultural lime application and intensified chemical weathering, which also decrease acidity, became more common over the study period. In contrast, coal mining, drainage from which can increase water acidity, declined over the study period. Weather played a role as well: Typical spring rainfall, as well as particularly wet decades such as the 1970s, pushed the upper bay freshwater plume farther into the middle of the bay and increased the area’s pH.

The researchers examined all these factors and found that overall, the upper bay generally became more alkaline over time but that deeper waters in the middle and lower bay became more acidic. No long-term trend in the pH of the surface waters of the middle and lower bay was observed, as the effects of river alkalinization and ocean acidification mixed and essentially canceled each other out.

They found that river alkalinization had twice the effect on the Chesapeake Bay’s long-term pH trends compared with ocean acidification. Both processes played a greater role than coastal eutrophication did.

The researchers say their results suggest the potential effectiveness of ocean alkalinity enhancement, a geoengineering technique that adds alkaline minerals to the ocean, for increasing carbon dioxide removal from the atmosphere. (AGU Advances, https://doi.org/10.1029/2024AV001350, 2025)

—Madeline Reinsel, Science Writer

Citation: Reinsel, M. (2025), River alkalinization and ocean acidification face off in coastal waters, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250196. Published on 21 May 2025. Text © 2025. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

A mysterious, highly active undersea volcano near California could erupt later in 2025: What scientists expect

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 05/21/2025 - 11:01
A mysterious and highly active undersea volcano off the Pacific Coast could erupt by the end of this year, scientists say.

The 21 May 2025 update on the landslide threatening Blatten in Switzerland

EOS - Wed, 05/21/2025 - 06:06

The Landslide Blog is written by Dave Petley, who is widely recognised as a world leader in the study and management of landslides.

News this morning from Blatten in Switzerland is that the landslide on Kleiner Nesthorn has continued to develop. Blue News reports that:

“The situation in Blatten in the Valais Lötschental remained tense during the night to Wednesday. According to a spokesperson for the Lötschental regional command post, there were further small rockfalls. The pile of rubble on the Birch Glacier had grown.

“There is still a lot of movement on the Kleiner Nesthorn. A constant rumbling could be heard during the night, said the spokesperson at the request of the Keystone-SDA news agency.”

During yesterday, rockfalls occurred continuously, and it appears that a substantial volume of material has now been evacuated from the site.

Swisstopo has made aerial photography of the site publicly available – the best way to view this is on their visualisation tool.

The Google Earth image below shows the site, with Blatten in the valley and the marker located in the path of the part of the slope that has failed to date:-

Google Earth image from 2022 showing the site of the landslide on Kleiner Nesthorn above Blatten in Switzerland.

There is much interest in the potential behaviour of the small ice sheet – the  Birch Glacier – just below the marker on the image above, which has accelerated during this period. Rockfall debris falling onto glaciers can cause a change in their behaviour. Whilst I don’t have full details, the concern is likely to focus on either the glacier destabilising and collapsing into the valley, or a large landslide entraining the glacier to form a rock and ice avalanche.

Neither of these scenarios is inevitable (indeed, very little is truly inevitable at this stage), but they would be at the upper end of the range of severity of potential events.

Melaine Le Roy continues to provide excellent updates on the events via his BlueSky feed. Yesterday morning, he posted this animation of the development of the failure:-

https://bsky.app/profile/subfossilguy.bsky.social/post/3lplsxku2a222

This provides a fantastic illustration of the scale of the landslide that is developing above Blatten.

Finally, AZPost has some amazing footage of “smaller” collapses occurring on the mountain:-

This includes this still of the upper part of the collapsing slope:-

The upper part of the landslide on Kleiner Nesthorn above Blatten in Switzerland. Still from a video posted to Youtube by AZPost.

The video shows that there is a long way to go before this event is over.

Return to The Landslide Blog homepage Text © 2023. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

The crustal and uppermost mantle dynamics of the South China block revealed by P-wave velocity and azimuthal anisotropic tomography

Geophysical Journal International - Wed, 05/21/2025 - 00:00
SummaryThe South China block (SCB) formed after the collision between the Yangtze craton and the Cathaysia block along the Jiangnan orogenic belt at 980–820 Ma. Afterward, intense tectonic activity occurred in the SCB in the early Paleozoic and early Mesozoic. In the Mid–Late Jurassic and Early Cretaceous, the SCB experienced vigorous magmatic activity, which resulted in assemblage of mineralogenetic materials in the Youjiang basin (YB), Southeast coastal metallogenic belt (SCMB) and Wuyishan metallogenic belt (WMB). The mechanisms involved in the formation of various types of metallic ore deposits have attracted considerable attention. However, the crustal and uppermost mantle dynamics of the metallogenic mechanisms are still controversial. To address this issue, we conducted seismic tomography to image the velocity and azimuthal anisotropy of the crust and uppermost mantle beneath the SCB. In this study, an eikonal equation-based traveltime tomography method was used to invert a total of 143,473 high-quality P-wave first arrivals, which were obtained by manually picking the seismic waveforms of 3615 regional earthquakes recorded by 892 broadband seismic stations. After the inversion, we derived high-resolution images, in which we identified a strong low-velocity anomaly and weak azimuthal anisotropy in the uppermost mantle of the northern YB. Below the SCMB, a low-velocity body extends from the uppermost mantle to the bottom of the crust; the azimuthal anisotropy of the uppermost mantle is weak and does not exhibit a consistent fast-velocity direction (FVD). These characteristics can be attributed to the upwelling of hot materials and crustal partial melting. For both the northern YB and SCMB, the low-velocity anomaly is probably related to hot property of the uppermost mantle and weak azimuthal anisotropy may be due to the nearly vertical α-axis of olivine. These features indicate the upwelling of hot materials beneath the YB. The upwelling of hot materials carried metal elements from deep mantle to shallow crust, resulting in metal deposits. Beneath the WMB, the lower crust and uppermost mantle show high-velocity anomalies and moderate strong azimuthal anisotropy with a consistent NE–SW-oriented FVD. The high-velocity anomalies reflect cold and rigid properties of the lower crust and the uppermost mantle beneath the WMB; consistent FVD of azimuthal anisotropy may indicate ancient fossil anisotropy. These features suggest ancient continental relicts of the Cathaysia block under the WMB.

Theme by Danetsoft and Danang Probo Sayekti inspired by Maksimer