Feed aggregator

Fatal landslides in March 2025

EOS - Wed, 04/02/2025 - 07:05

The Landslide Blog is written by Dave Petley, who is widely recognized as a world leader in the study and management of landslides.

In March 2025, I recorded 37 fatal landslides globally (excluding those triggered by earthquakes), costing 90 lives. The 2004-2016 average number of fatal landslides in March reported by Froude and Petley (2018) was 28.3 landslides, so 2025 is running considerably above the long term mean. However, it is lower that the total recorded for 2024 (49 landslides).

As usual, the best way to present the data is using pentads – five day blocks. Pentad 18 extends to the end of March. This is the cumulative total number of fatal landslides for 2025, with the 2004-2016 average and 2024 plotted for comparison:-

The cumulative total number of fatal landslides for 2025 by pentad, with 2024 and 2004-2016 for comparison. Author’s own data, published under a CC licence.

As the data shows, towards the end of the winter, 2025 was plotting above 2024. However, this has now changed, although the difference is small. 2024 was characterised by a marked increase around at pentad 23 (which starts on 21 April), reflecting the start of the rainy season in the key parts of the Northern Hemisphere, so April 2025 will be very interesting. In general, this acceleration in landslide rate does not start until about pentad 30 (which starts on 26 May).

I also recorded one fatal landslide triggered by an earthquake, which occurred in Hutabarat village, North Sumatra, Indonesia, triggered by a M = 5.6 earthquake. Two people were killed. An unknown number of people may also have been killed by landslides in the earthquake and its aftershocks in Myanmar, but this is very uncertain.

Particularly notable in March 2025 has been a series of landslides, alongside flooding, in Ecuador. This has had a high social cost.

As always, I am happy for others to use this fatal landslide data and the figure, but please attribute to me and cite Froude and Petley (2018). Contact me if you want the data for 2004-2016.

Reference

Froude M.J. and Petley D.N. 2018. Global fatal landslide occurrence from 2004 to 2016Natural Hazards and Earth System Science 18, 2161-2181. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2161-2018

Return to The Landslide Blog homepage Text © 2023. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

North America is dripping from below, geoscientists discover

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 04/01/2025 - 20:27
Researchers have discovered that the underside of the North American continent is dripping away in blobs of rock—and that the remnants of a tectonic plate sinking in Earth's mantle may be the reason why.

Enhanced westerly winds lead to increased ocean heat transport to the East Antarctic Ice Sheet, study finds

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 04/01/2025 - 20:24
A research group led by Associate Professor Kohei Mizobata, Tokyo University of Marine Science and Technology, including researchers from the National Institute of Polar Research, the Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, and the Institute of Low Temperature Science (Hokkaido University), has found that enhanced westerly winds associated with global warming will strengthen the clockwise circulations and transport heat to the ice sheet in the East Antarctic coastal area.

A multiscale and cross-level feature fusion method for remote sensing image target detection

Publication date: Available online 21 March 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): SHAN Wenchao, YANG Shuwen, LI Yikun, KOU Ruixiong

Multi-step probabilistic forecasting for sunspot numbers based on LightGBM

Publication date: Available online 20 March 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): B. Niu, Z. Huang

A Statistical Evaluation of Sentinel 2 and Landsat 9 Sensors in Water Quality Retrieval in Mesotrophic and Hypereutrophic Reservoirs of India

Publication date: Available online 20 March 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): E. Eswarvikram, A. Abdul Wahid, E. ArunBabu, A.V. Akshaya Prabha, P. Gilbert Johnson

Secure Satellite Image Transmission with Dynamic Encipherment and AuthKeX Protocol

Publication date: Available online 20 March 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Eldo P Elias, A Santhanavijayan

Acceleration-level coordinated control of a dual-arm free-floating space robot under hard joint constraints

Publication date: Available online 20 March 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Zhihui Xue, Jinguo Liu, Xin Zhang, Hao Zhou, Yangmin Li

Catchment scale land use and hydrogeomorphology relationship in assessing river water quality using SWAT and RDA modelling in the Damodar River basin, West Bengal, India

Publication date: Available online 19 March 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Souvanik Maity, Ramkrishna Maiti, Sourav Mukherjee

Aquifer restoration in the Lubei Plain, China: Insights from InSAR and groundwater head monitoring

Publication date: Available online 19 March 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Guangli Su, Chunbao Xiong, Wei Zhan, Xuechuan Li, Hong Liang, Yu Li

Pose acquisition of non-cooperative spacecraft by point cloud template matching

Publication date: Available online 19 March 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Jiaqi Feng, Zhang Zhang, Zhongguang Yang, Jinpei Yu, Wen Chen, Liang Chang, Hongyu Chen

Precise baseline determination for the four-satellite InSAR constellation HT-01 with ambiguity resolution constraints

Publication date: Available online 19 March 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Dachen Peng, Shibo Guo, Defeng Gu, Kai Shao, Houzhe Zhang, Ruiyun Yang, Jufeng Lu, Jiangkai Liu, Haoseng Wang, LiuPeng Huang

Determining geocenter motion using combined ground and spaceborne GPS observations with ambiguity resolution

Publication date: Available online 19 March 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Shiwei Guo, Lei Fan, Zongnan Li, Xinqi Fang, Chenshu Huo, Chuang Shi

Observer-based robust preview control for tracking low Earth orbit targets of a 2.5-meter optical telescope with wind disturbance

Publication date: Available online 18 March 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Jueqi Lin, Weirui Chen, Zheng Wang, Xiaojun Zhou, Yu Han

1,900 Scientists Warn Of “Real Danger” In Open Letter

EOS - Tue, 04/01/2025 - 19:03
body {background-color: #D2D1D5;} Research & Developments is a blog for brief updates that provide context for the flurry of news regarding law and policy changes that impact science and scientists today.

In an open letter to the American people, more than 1,900 scientists sent an “SOS” that the Trump administration’s actions have “decimated” the nation’s scientific enterprise and censored scientific work. “We see real danger in this moment,” the scientists wrote.

Each of the scientists who signed the letter is an elected member of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, a congressionally chartered group of nonprofit organizations that provide expertise to the federal government and the public on scientific and technological issues. The letter stated that the signatories hold a range of political beliefs. Signatories represent a range of scientific disciplines, from cell biology to planetary science to economics.

The letter emphasized the need for U.S. scientists to retain their independence and ability to explore scientific questions without the influence of special interests or the limitations of censorship—that ability is now in question due to the administration’s cuts to scientific funding, firings of scientists, removals of public data, and pressure for researchers to abandon certain work.

The Trump administration is “using executive orders and financial threats to manipulate which studies are funded or published, how results are reported, and which data and research findings the public can access. The administration is blocking research on topics it finds objectionable, such as climate change, or that yield results it does not like, on topics ranging from vaccine safety to economic trends,” the letter stated.

Letter from more than 1,900 scientistsDownload

“We have spent 80 years in this country building up our scientific infrastructure,” Steven Woolf, an author of the letter and professor of family medicine at the Virginia Commonwealth University School of Medicine told PBS. “That’s enabled our country to make remarkable scientific discoveries that have made the United States the envy of the world. In a matter of weeks, the Trump administration has pursued a set of policies that are basically removing the capacity of our country to do this kind of research.”

 
Related

Woolf also said he was concerned that the attacks on U.S. science, and in particular, cuts to health research and vaccine regulatory work, would affect the health and life expectancy of U.S. residents.

Scientists who haven’t been directly impacted by funding cuts or firings are still facing a “climate of fear,” Woolf said. In the letter, he and other signatories wrote that the Trump administration’s current investigations of more than 50 universities as part of an anti-DEI effort send a “chilling message” to scientists that their research is in danger of being censored on ideological grounds.

Firings of scientists have continued since the letter’s release: Today, the Department of Health and Human Services began sending notices of termination after announcing a plan to cut 10,000 employees from the agency. Federal scientists at other agencies such as NASA, USGS, NOAA, and the EPA have begun similar terminations, though federal judges have ordered some of these firings to be reversed. 

“We all benefit from science, and we all stand to lose if the nation’s research enterprise is destroyed,” the letter stated. 

—Grace van Deelen (@gvd.bsky.social), Staff Writer

These updates are made possible through information from the scientific community. Do you have a story about how changes in law or policy are affecting scientists or research? Send us a tip at eos@agu.org. Text © 2024. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

The rivers that science says shouldn't exist

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 04/01/2025 - 19:01
Rivers join downstream, flow downhill, and eventually meet an ocean or terminal lake: These are fundamental rules of how waterways and basins are supposed to work. But rules are made to be broken. In the journal Water Resources Research, Sowby and Siegel lay out nine rivers and lakes in the Americas that defy hydrologic expectations.

Tree rings from Canada's Gaspésie mountains reveal effects of global warming dating back almost a century

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 04/01/2025 - 18:53
A study of tree rings in the Gaspesie's Sainte-Anne River area reveals that snowpacks have been declining noticeably in the region's mountains for nearly nine decades. The researchers say the phenomenon is directly linked to global warming.

The Rivers That Science Says Shouldn’t Exist

EOS - Tue, 04/01/2025 - 13:01
Source: Water Resources Research

Rivers join downstream, flow downhill, and eventually meet an ocean or terminal lake: These are fundamental rules of how waterways and basins are supposed to work. But rules are made to be broken. Sowby and Siegel lay out nine rivers and lakes in the Americas that defy hydrologic expectations.

All exhibit instances of bifurcation, in which a river splits into branches that continue downstream. But unlike typical bifurcations, these examples do not return to the main waterway after branching off.

South America’s Casiquiare River, for example, is a navigable waterway that connects the continent’s two largest watersheds, the Orinoco and Amazon basins, by acting as a distributary of the former and a tributary of the latter. It’s “the hydrologic equivalent of a wormhole between two galaxies,” the authors write. The Casiquiare splits from the Orinoco River and meanders through lush, nearly flat rainforests to join the Rio Negro and, ultimately, the Amazon River. The study’s authors point out that the slight slope (less than 0.009%) is enough to send large volumes of water down the river and that this unusual instance results from an incomplete river capture. They note that understanding of the Casiquiare is still evolving.

Dutch colonists first mapped the remote Wayambo River in Suriname in 1717. This river can flow either east or west, depending on rainfall and human modifications of flow using locks. It is also near gold and bauxite mining as well as oil production sites, and its two-way flow makes predicting the spread of pollutants difficult.

Of all the rivers they reviewed, the researchers described the Echimamish River, high in the Canadian wilderness, as the “most baffling.” Its name means “water that flows both ways” in Cree. The river connects the Hayes River and the Nelson River, and by some accounts, the Echimamish flows outward from its middle toward both larger rivers. However, its course is flat and punctuated by beaver dams, leading to uncertainty, even today, about the direction of its flow and exactly where the direction shifts.

The authors also explored six other strange waterways, including lakes with two outlets and creeks that drain to both the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. In doing so, they highlighted how much there is still to learn about how our world’s waters work. (Water Resources Research, https://doi.org/10.1029/2024WR039824, 2025)

—Rebecca Dzombak, Science Writer

Citation: Dzombak, R. (2025), The rivers that science says shouldn’t exist, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250123. Published on 1 April 2025. Text © 2025. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Impact Spewed Debris Away from the Moon’s South Pole

EOS - Tue, 04/01/2025 - 13:00

About 3.81 billion years ago, a giant impactor rocked the Moon’s south pole. It formed the Schrödinger impact basin, which remains clearly visible today.

Astronomers recently found that two extremely deep and long valleys extending away from the crater were formed rapidly by pieces of rock flung outward during the impact.

The debris carved valleys “as big as the Grand Canyon on Earth. But instead of being formed during millions of years, they were formed within 10 minutes.”

“They reimpact the surface—boom, boom, boom, boom—and they form this line of individual craters,” said Danielle Kallenborn, a planetary scientist at Imperial College London and a coauthor of a study outlining the results published in Nature Communications. The debris carved valleys “as big as the Grand Canyon on Earth,” Kallenborn said. “But instead of being formed during millions of years, they were formed within 10 minutes.”

The debris pattern spreads away from sites where NASA’s Artemis mission plans to explore, suggesting that any samples collected there would be less likely to be from the impactor and more likely to be from the Moon itself.

Grand Canyons

The lunar south pole is dominated by the 4.3-billion-year-old South Pole–Aitken basin, among the largest impact craters in the solar system at 2,500 kilometers across. At its edge sits the smaller but still impressive Schrödinger basin, measuring 320 kilometers wide.

The two clearly visible valleys, Vallis Schrödinger and Vallis Planck, extend away from the northwestern edge of the Schrödinger basin. Each appears to be composed of a chain of so-called secondary craters—the result of rocks being thrown from the crater when the main impactor struck. Kallenborn and her colleagues identified 15 secondary craters in Vallis Schrödinger and slightly more in Vallis Planck.

The valleys are 270–280 kilometers long and 2.7–3.5 kilometers deep—about half the length of the Grand Canyon and twice as deep.

A wall of Vallis Planck appears to have partially collapsed following the valley’s formation, whereas Vallis Schrödinger has remained more intact. “The impact events generated rather steep-walled canyons,” said David Kring, a planetary scientist at the Lunar and Planetary Institute in Texas and a study coauthor. “In the case of Vallis Planck, the walls were unable to stay standing.”

“You could look and see them flying through the air.”

In modeling debris patterns from the impact, the researchers estimated the ejecta would have reached speeds of 3,420–4,610 kilometers per hour as the shock wave from the initial impact, millions of times more powerful than the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima, expanded outward.

On the bases of the distances of individual craters in each valley from the center of Schrödinger Crater, the team calculated that the pieces of debris took 5–15 minutes to reach their impact sites. “It is quite fast,” Kallenborn said. “You could look and see them flying through the air.”

Kelsi Singer, a planetary scientist at the Southwest Research Institute in Colorado who was not involved in the research, said secondary crater chains like this exist elsewhere in the solar system. One example is Falsaron Crater on Saturn’s moon Iapetus, which has two clear lines extending away from it. “They’re pretty similar,” she said.

Why an impact would produce a straight line of secondary impact craters is unclear, however.

Impactor Angle

The orientation of the two valleys suggests the impactor was headed north-northwest at an angle of less than 45° from the surface when it struck, according to the authors. The majority of secondary debris, including the rocks that formed the valleys, would therefore have been directed away from the Moon’s south pole.

NASA plans to land astronauts back on the Moon this decade, targeting regions south of Schrödinger. “Most of the ejecta was ejected north, which is away from the Artemis exploration zone,” Kallenborn said. “That’s good news” because any rocks collected are more likely to be older lunar rocks, perhaps even fragments of the Moon’s original crust, rather than pieces of the more recent impactor.

The Schrödinger basin was formed relatively late in the evolution of the early solar system. Scientists are more eager to examine rocks that took shape closer to the Moon’s formation 4.5 billion years ago and that might be present in the planned landing zones for Artemis missions.

“They’re more interested in sampling this [early material],” Kallenborn said. “It tells you more about the very early times of the Earth-Moon formation impact event and so on.”

However, there is still interest in sampling the Schrödinger ejecta too. It is “one of the last great basin-forming impact events that shaped the Moon,” Kring said, so examining a sample of it back on Earth could help us more precisely date the impact. “We still debate the magnitude and duration of that period of early solar system bombardment.”

—Jonathan O’Callaghan (@astrojonny.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: O’Callaghan, J. (2025), Impact spewed debris away from the Moon’s south pole, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250121. Published on 1 April 2025. Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Come on Feel the Noise: Machine Learning for Seismic-Wind Mapping on Mars

EOS - Tue, 04/01/2025 - 12:00
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets

Despite providing critical insights into atmospheric dynamics and weather patterns, wind observations on the surface of Mars remain relatively rare. The Temperature and Wind for InSight (TWINS) instrument onboard NASA’s Insight mission was designed to measure wind speed and direction winds. However, due to power constraints caused by increasing dust accumulation on InSight’s solar panels, TWINS primarily operated during the first 750 Martian days (sols) of the mission. In contrast, the Seismic Experiment for Interior Structure (SEIS) instrument operated almost continuously until the mission’s final transmission on Martian day 1440.

Since winds are the dominant source of energy in the seismic data, Stott et al. [2025] developed a machine learning model, WindSightNet, to map seismic data to wind speed and direction, nearly doubling the coverage of TWINS. The authors find an overall good agreement between both datasets during the first 750 sols, increasing confidence in WindSightNet data for the remaining Martian Days. Using this validated dataset, the authors analyze the interannual (one year on Mars is 669 sols) variability of wind speed and direction, as well as large-scale weather patterns and the height of the lower atmosphere throughout the Insight mission.

This dataset delivers a precious long-term and continuous record of Martian winds for the atmospheric community to refine their atmospheric models and better understand how dust is lifted on Mars. While the approach by the authors cannot capture the fastest wind variations or highest wind speeds recorded by TWINS due to a lower sampling rate, nor accurately predict wind speeds near 0 meters per second due to SEIS’s noise level, this study opens new possibilities for planetary instrumentation.

Citation : Stott, A. E., Garcia, R. F., Murdoch, N., Mimoun, D., Drilleau, M., Newman, C., et al. (2025). WindSightNet: The inter-annual variability of martian winds retrieved from InSight’s seismic data with machine learning. Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets, 130, e2024JE008695. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JE008695   

—Germán Martínez, Associate Editor; and Beatriz Sánchez-Cano, Editor, JGR: Planets

Text © 2024. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Theme by Danetsoft and Danang Probo Sayekti inspired by Maksimer