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Antarctic drilling peers deep into ice shelf's past

Phys.org: Earth science - Sat, 02/21/2026 - 20:30
Scientists say they have drilled deeper than ever beneath the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, peering back millions of years to reveal signs it was once, at least in part, open ocean.

Greenland ice melt surges unprecedentedly amid warming

Phys.org: Earth science - Sat, 02/21/2026 - 16:00
A study led by the University of Barcelona and published in the journal Nature Communications shows that climate change has profoundly altered extreme episodes of melting in the Greenland ice sheet by making them more frequent, more extensive and more intense. Since 1990, the area affected by extreme melting episodes has increased at a rate of 2.8 million km² per decade. Additionally, the production of water from ice melt has increased more than sixfold, rising from 12.7 gigatons per decade to 82.4 gigatons per decade.

How do clouds form in Antarctica? The first flight-based aerosol measurements in 20 years

Phys.org: Earth science - Fri, 02/20/2026 - 22:10
Antarctica plays a crucial role in Earth's climate system by reflecting solar radiation back into space. The large white ice surfaces and clouds play a decisive role in this process. However, how clouds actually form in Antarctica, how they interact with the atmosphere and what role aerosols play in this process has not been sufficiently researched to date. Engaging in the SANAT flight campaign, the Alfred Wegener Institute, the Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research and the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry aim to help close this knowledge gap. The flight-based aerosol measurements conducted in Antarctica are the first of their kind in 20 years and also the first to extend deep into the interior.

Interference-aware multi-dimensional resource scheduling for beam hopping in NGSO satellite constellations

Publication date: 15 February 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research, Volume 77, Issue 4

Author(s): Shengjun Guo, Kai Han, Lu Li, Wenbin Gong

Design of a rendezvous robotic capture arm for <em>DockSat</em>

Publication date: 15 February 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research, Volume 77, Issue 4

Author(s): Dane Groves, Hendrik Willem Jordaan

Optimizing satellite constellations for atmospheric tide detection in the thermosphere

Publication date: 15 February 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research, Volume 77, Issue 4

Author(s): Marco Antonio Ridenti, Charles Swenson

Performance of BeiDou broadcast ionospheric models during the May 2024 intense geomagnetic storm

Publication date: 15 February 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research, Volume 77, Issue 4

Author(s): Dongyu Wang, Huijun Zhang, Lin Zhu, Xiaohui Li

Seismoionospheric signatures associated with M &#60; 6.0 earthquakes using vertical TEC in Türkiye

Publication date: 15 February 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research, Volume 77, Issue 4

Author(s): Pishtiwan Akram Hama Rashid, Fatih Külahcı

Propagation and interaction of ion-acoustic single, N-solitons, and periodic waves in Venus’ upper ionosphere

Publication date: 15 February 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research, Volume 77, Issue 4

Author(s): Shahrina Akter, Tokey Sifullah Tanjil, Md. Golam Hafez

Longitudinal variation in the ionospheric responses to two successive geomagnetic storms in early Solar Cycle 25

Publication date: 15 February 2026

Source: Advances in Space Research, Volume 77, Issue 4

Author(s): Remya S. Nair, K. Unnikrishnan, Smitha V. Thampi, Sreekumar Haridas

New generation of climate models sheds first light on long-standing Pacific puzzle

Phys.org: Earth science - Fri, 02/20/2026 - 17:45
Researchers have long been puzzled by the observed cooling of the eastern tropical Pacific and the Southern Ocean accompanying global warming. Existing climate models have failed to capture this pattern. At the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, researchers have come a significant step closer to the answer: Using a new generation of more physical climate models, they have demonstrated the first successful representation of the observed trend in a climate simulation and have delivered an explanation of the underlying mechanisms.

How massive lava fields formed in the Pacific Northwest

Phys.org: Earth science - Fri, 02/20/2026 - 16:40
Volcanic eruptions are significant geologic hazards. Underwater volcanoes are challenging to study, yet they play an integral role in marine geology and may cause destructive tsunamis that can threaten coastal communities.

Power Plants Will Be Allowed to Release More Than Twice As Much Mercury Into the Air

EOS - Fri, 02/20/2026 - 14:57
body {background-color: #D2D1D5;} Research & Developments is a blog for brief updates that provide context for the flurry of news regarding law and policy changes that impact science and scientists today.

At a 20 February event in Kentucky, the Trump administration announced a final action to loosen pollution restrictions for coal-burning power plants, including limits on emissions of mercury, a hazardous neurotoxin.

The move was originally put forward in June, alongside a proposal to repeal federal limits on power plant carbon emissions.

The new rollback eliminates parts of the Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (MATS) finalized under the Biden administration. The 2024 updates strengthened limits on mercury and other hazardous air pollutant emissions from coal-burning power plants. 

As a result of the repeal, coal-burning power plants will be allowed to emit more than twice as much mercury as they currently do. Specifically, they will no longer need to adhere to the limit of 1.2 pounds of mercury per trillion British thermal units of heat input (lb/TBtu) and instead must comply with the previous mercury release limit (set during the Obama administration in 2012) of 4.0 lb/TBtu.

“Weakening critical clean air safeguards will harm public health.”

The repeal also relaxes limits on emissions of arsenic, cadmium, chromium, lead, and nickel from coal-burning power plants.

The announced rollback shows that the “EPA is letting the dirtiest, least efficient coal plants in the country off the hook,” Joseph Goffman, who worked as an administrator in the EPA’s Office of Air and Radiation during the Biden administration, told The New York Times

In the final rule, the Trump EPA argued that the move will reduce “unwarranted compliance costs” for utilities operating coal-burning power plants. The agency estimated the change would save companies up to $670 million between 2028 and 2037, but did not explain how it arrived at that estimation. 

“The Trump E.P.A. is committed to fulfilling President Trump’s promise to unleash American energy, lowering costs for families, ensuring clean air for ALL Americans and fulfilling the agency’s core mission of protecting human health and the environment,” wrote Brigit Hirsch, an EPA spokesperson, in an email to The New York Times

 
Related

High levels of mercury exposure cause human health harms, including impairment to the nervous system, brain damage and developmental delays in children. Coal plants are responsible for nearly half of the United States’ mercury emissions, according to the EPA. The Biden administration’s EPA had predicted that its amendments to MATS would create health benefits worth $300 million over 10 years.

The repeal adds to a list of actions by the current EPA deregulating the coal industry.

The EPA’s action “will contribute to thousands of additional deaths, asthma attacks, and learning disabilities,” Matthew Davis, a former EPA scientist and policy expert at the League of Conservation Voters said in a statement. “Weakening critical clean air safeguards will harm public health.”

—Grace van Deelen (@gvd.bsky.social), Staff Writer

Correction, 20 February 2026: This article was updated to reflect information in the EPA’s final repeal.

These updates are made possible through information from the scientific community. Do you have a story about how changes in law or policy are affecting scientists or research? Send us a tip at eos@agu.org. Text © 2026. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Why More Rain Doesn’t Mean More Erosion in Mountains

EOS - Fri, 02/20/2026 - 14:55
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface

Climate change reshapes landscapes by altering rainfall, the primary driver of erosion in coupled mountain–basin systems. Yet more rainfall does not necessarily translate into more erosion. Using a two-dimensional numerical model that integrates hillslope processes, river incision, and sedimentation, Luo et al. [2025] reveal a previously underappreciated phenomenon: erosion saturation. When the duration of climate variability exceeds the intrinsic response time of the landscape, the system reaches a state in which additional rainfall fails to amplify erosion. Instead, sedimentation increasingly regulates the system, dampening sediment flux despite continued climatic forcing.

By explicitly comparing the period of climate forcing (P) with the landscape response time (τ), the study introduces a simple and transferable framework for understanding how climatic signals are filtered before being archived in sedimentary records. This mechanism helps explain why some long-period climate oscillations, including those linked to Milankovitch cycles, may leave muted or phase-shifted signatures in downstream deposits. Importantly, erosion saturation is not limited to strictly periodic forcing and may also emerge under prolonged or stepwise climate changes.

These findings bridge a longstanding gap in source–sink research by emphasizing that mountains and basins function as a dynamically coupled system rather than independent sediment producers and receivers. The work also highlights the need to incorporate additional controls—such as spatially variable uplift and vegetation dynamics—into future models of landscape evolution under climate change.

Citation: Luo, T., Yuan, X., Guerit, L., & Shen, X. (2025). Erosion saturation of mountain-basin system in response to rainfall variation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 130, e2025JF008649. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JF008649

­­­­­­­­­­­­­­­­­­—Dongfeng Li, Associate Editor, JGR: Earth Surface

Text © 2026. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

New Method Could Improve U.S. Forecasting of West Nile Virus

EOS - Fri, 02/20/2026 - 13:57
Source: GeoHealth

West Nile virus is the most common mosquito-borne illness in the continental United States and can in rare cases lead to a much more serious disease with an approximately 10% fatality rate. West Nile virus neuroinvasive disease (WNND) has resulted in around 3,000 deaths since its introduction to the country in 1999, but to date no national forecast for the disease exists.

Harp et al. developed a climate-informed, regionally determined forecast method for WNND cases across the United States that outperforms current benchmarks. Key to their success was aggregating historically low county-level caseloads to the regional level, the authors say. Their work highlights key climatic factors and how their regional variation affects WNND rates.

Both mosquitoes and passerine birds (a group that includes more than half of all bird species) are vectors for West Nile virus, meaning caseloads are contingent on the environmental factors affecting these species. The authors picked the most relevant climatic factors as model inputs for each region. They found that drought and temperature are most strongly linked to WNND cases overall, and precipitation is linked in some regions. The central United States saw the most consistent correlation with drought and WNND cases, whereas the northern parts of the country saw the strongest link between WNND and warmer winter and spring temperatures.

The authors compared their climate-driven model with previous benchmark models, including a simple historical caseload model and an ensemble model from a 2022 competition. They found their model consistently outperformed others across regions. Nationally, a version of their model that included both primary and secondary climate factors (such as temperature and soil moisture) offered a prediction improvement of 21.8% over the historical model.

While the advancement represents a building block toward operational West Nile virus forecasts, the authors recommend that future work focus on enhancing county-level forecasting, which would provide authorities with more actionable information to prepare for fluctuations in WNND caseloads. Future WNND forecast models may also need to overcome the issue of climate data latency to offer real-time predictions, the authors say. One option could be to incorporate weather and climate forecasts into modeling, allowing disease forecasts to look further ahead. (GeoHealth, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GH001657, 2026)

—Nathaniel Scharping (@nathanielscharp), Science Writer

Citation: Scharping, N. (2026), New method could improve U.S. forecasting of West Nile virus, Eos, 107, https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EO260065. Published on 20 February 2026. Text © 2026. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Friction-induced scale-selection in the extended Cahn-Hilliard model for zonal staircase

Physical Review E (Plasma physics) - Fri, 02/20/2026 - 10:00

Author(s): M. Leconte and T. S. Hahm

In this work, we describe a possible mechanism to set the radial scale of zonal flows, which may be applicable to the E×B staircase found in the global full-f simulations such as in Dif-Pradalier et al., [Phys. Rev. Lett. 114, 085004 (2015)]. One-dimensional numerical simulation results of the Cahn-…


[Phys. Rev. E 113, L023201] Published Fri Feb 20, 2026

Scientists reveal best- and worst-case scenarios for a warming Antarctica

Phys.org: Earth science - Fri, 02/20/2026 - 05:00
The climate crisis is warming Antarctica fast, with potentially disastrous consequences. Now scientists have modeled the best- and worst-case scenarios for climate change in Antarctica, demonstrating just how high the stakes are—but also how much harm can still be prevented.

Split-Node Physics-Encoded Finite-Element Network for Forward and Inverse Modeling of Fault-Slip-Induced Discontinuous Deformation

Geophysical Journal International - Fri, 02/20/2026 - 00:00
SummaryModeling crustal deformation induced by fault slip is a fundamental problem in structural geology and seismology. However, the challenges of data sparsity and spatial discontinuity impose significant limitations on conventional forward and inverse methods, often resulting in low computational efficiency and limited accuracy. Although AI-based approaches such as Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) and Physics-Encoded Finite Element Networks (PEFEN) offer new solutions for sparse-data problems governed by physical laws, their underlying assumption of spatial continuity conflicts with the inherent displacement discontinuities of fault-slip fields. To address this limitation, we propose a novel method—the Split-Node Physics-Encoded Finite Element Network (SN-PEFEN)—which integrates the node-splitting mechanism into the PEFEN framework. By explicitly encoding spatial discontinuities into the nodal topology during mesh preprocessing, SN-PEFEN not only overcomes the theoretical limitations of existing PEFEN models in handling discontinuous fields but also maintains physical consistency. We apply SN-PEFEN to perform forward and inverse modeling of deformation fields induced by complex fault slip in both 2D and 3D heterogeneous media. For a model with over one million degrees of freedom, the forward simulation achieves over 40× speedup compared to traditional FEM (∼1,800 s vs. 42 s), while maintaining comparable accuracy. In inverse modeling, the solution converges within only 100 iterations, with a total runtime of approximately 2,000 s, demonstrating high computational efficiency. This method establishes a new high-efficiency paradigm for analyzing complex discontinuous deformation in geomechanics, offering promising applications in multi-fault system analysis and fault-slip inversion. Furthermore, SN-PEFEN facilitates rapid, physics-based assessments for emergency seismic response and disaster management, while laying the groundwork for next-generation data-driven regional earthquake early warning systems.

Forest loss can make watersheds 'leakier,' global study suggests

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 02/19/2026 - 20:40
Forest loss does more than reduce tree cover. A new global study involving UBC Okanagan researchers shows it can fundamentally change how watersheds hold and release water. The research, published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, analyzed data from 657 watersheds across six continents.

Flickering glacial climate may have shaped early human evolution

Phys.org: Earth science - Thu, 02/19/2026 - 19:00
Researchers have identified a "tipping point" about 2.7 million years ago when global climate conditions switched from being relatively warm and stable to cold and chaotic, as continental ice sheets expanded in the Northern Hemisphere. Following this transition, Earth's climate began swinging back and forth between warm interglacial periods and frigid ice ages, linked to slow, cyclic changes in Earth's orbit. However, glacial periods after this tipping point became far more variable, with large swings in temperature over relatively short timescales of roughly a thousand years.

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