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Young forests could help to capture carbon in climate change fight

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 07/02/2025 - 15:40
Young forests regrowing from land where mature woodlands have been cut down have a key role to play in removing billions of tons of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) and combating climate change, a new study reveals.

Smarter flight decisions can mitigate climate impact without undue sacrifice

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 07/02/2025 - 15:00
A new study led by a University of California, Irvine scientist reveals that airlines can make smarter tradeoff decisions to cut aviation's warming impact. The research, published in the journal Nature, offers hopeful news for the future of air travel and climate action.

Global climate security atlas developed as tool to help prepare for the impacts of climate change

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 07/02/2025 - 14:32
Irina Marinov, associate professor at the Department of Earth and Environmental Science, leads a research community focused on understanding global climate impacts, risks, and vulnerabilities to enable local action.

Deep Root Respiration Helps Break Down Rocks

EOS - Wed, 07/02/2025 - 13:06
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: AGU Advances

Roots play a role in the weathering and breakdown of rocks, but to what extent is largely unknown. Osorio-Leon et al. [2025] use an ingenious field setup to measure gasses and water constituents around deep roots in sandstone bedrock soils. They find that they can only reproduce their measurements with a reactive transport model when they include the CO2 production that is expected from root respiration or microbial respiration around roots.

The authors further show that the export of weathered solutes from the bedrock by water flow is enhanced by more than 40% through this deep root action. These results reveal that deeply rooted trees are important contributors to hardrock breakdown and ultimately stream chemistry. 

Citation: Osorio-Leon, I. D., Rempe, D. M., Golla, J. K., Bouchez, J., & Druhan, J. L. (2025). Deep roots supply reactivity and enhance silicate weathering in the bedrock vadose zone. AGU Advances, 6, e2025AV001692. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025AV001692

—Marc F. P. Bierkens, Editor, AGU Advances

Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
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Coherent, Not Chaotic, Migration in the Brahmaputra-Jamuna River

EOS - Wed, 07/02/2025 - 12:33
Source: Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface

Compared to single-channel meandering rivers, multichannel braided rivers are often found in environments with sparse vegetation and coarse, shifting bars of sediment. Past research has called the way in which the paths of braided rivers shift over time “chaotic” because their migration depends on many factors, including river shape and changing water levels.

However, because the migration of individual channel threads can affect the likelihood of hazards like flooding or erosion, understanding this migration is critical to protect the residents, structures, and ecosystems surrounding these complicated waterways.

Li and Limaye examined a 180-kilometer span of the Brahmaputra-Jamuna River, a river in Bangladesh whose channels have been well resolved through satellite imagery.

Scientists—and many of the 600,000 people living in the islands between the river channels—already know that the river’s water levels are high during the summer months’ monsoon season and low but consistent from January to March. But this research team used a statistical method called dynamic time warping to map long-term changes in the river channels’ sizes, shapes, and routes between 2001 and 2021. This technique allowed them to calculate how much and how quickly the centerlines of channel threads shifted. They then applied an existing model developed for meandering rivers to see whether it could also predict the movement of braided channel threads.

They found that the Brahmaputra-Jamuna River’s movements were more predictable than previously realized. About 43% of its channels moved gradually, rather than abruptly, during the study period. On average, these channel threads migrated more quickly than most meandering rivers, at a rate of about 30% of their width per year. In some cases, the rate of this migration was closely related to the curvature of the channel thread, and across the board, it was weakly related to channel thread width.

These findings have important implications for future research on braided river channels, the authors say. Knowing that at least some channel threads migrate coherently might inform erosion and flooding mitigation efforts for braided river regions, especially those in densely populated areas. (Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JF008196, 2025)

—Rebecca Owen (@beccapox.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: Owen, R. (2025), Coherent, not chaotic, migration in the Brahmaputra-Jamuna River, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250237. Published on 2 July 2025. Text © 2025. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Ignoring peatlands could derail climate goals

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 07/02/2025 - 12:33
Northern peatlands could seriously complicate efforts to cool the planet, especially after a temporary overshoot of the 1.5°C global warming limit, according to new IIASA-led research.

Un antiguo evento de calentamiento podría haber durado más de lo que pensábamos

EOS - Wed, 07/02/2025 - 12:22

This is an authorized translation of an Eos article. Esta es una traducción al español autorizada de un artículo de Eos.

Source: Geophysical Research Letters

Hace 56 millones de años, durante el Máximo Térmico del Paleoceno-Eoceno (PETM, por sus siglas en inglés), las temperaturas globales aumentaron más de 5°C durante 100,000 años o más. En ese tiempo, se liberaron entre 3,000 y 20,000 petagramos de carbono a la atmósfera, lo que provocó una grave alteración de los ecosistemas y de la vida marina a nivel global, y dio lugar a un prolongado estado de efecto invernadero.

Se espera que el calentamiento global antropogénico actual también altere el ciclo del carbono terrestre durante miles de años. Entre 1850 y 2019, se liberaron aproximadamente 2,390 petagramos de dióxido de carbono (CO₂) a la atmósfera y con el uso continuo de combustibles fósiles, es posible que en los próximos siglos se liberen otros 5,000 petagramos. Sin embargo, las estimaciones sobre la duración de esta alteración varían considerablemente, desde unos 3,000 hasta 165,000 años.

Comprender cuánto tiempo se vio afectado el ciclo del carbono durante el PETM podría ofrecer pistas clave sobre la gravedad y duración de las alteraciones derivadas del cambio climático antropogénico. Investigaciones previas, basadas en registros de isótopos de carbono, estimaban que el PETM duró entre 120,000 y 230,000 años. Ahora, Piedrahita et al. sugieren que este evento de calentamiento se prolongó por casi 269,000 años.

La evidencia del PETM se encuentra en el registro geológico como una marcada disminución en las proporciones de isótopos estables de carbono. Este descenso se divide en tres fases, cada una representando distintas etapas de alteración y recuperación del ciclo del carbono. Las estimaciones previas sobre el final de esta disminución han variado ampliamente debido al ruido presente en los datos sobre los que se basan.

En esta nueva investigación, los científicos analizaron seis registros sedimentarios con edades bien establecidas en trabajos previos: un registro terrestre de la cuenca Bighorn en Wyoming y cinco registros sedimentarios marinos de diversas localidades. En lugar de basarse únicamente en datos sin procesar, como en trabajos anteriores, aplicaron un enfoque probabilístico que considera las incertidumbres analíticas y cronológicas, lo que permitió restringir con mayor precisión el intervalo temporal del PETM.

En particular, el estudio sugiere que el periodo de recuperación tardó mucho más de lo que indicaban las estimaciones anteriores—más de 145,000 años. Según los autores, este tiempo extendido de recuperación durante el PETM indica que los escenarios futuros de cambio climático podrían afectar el ciclo del carbono por más tiempo del que predicen la mayoría de los modelos actuales. (Geophysical Research Letters, https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL113117, 2025)

—Rebecca Owen (@beccapox.bsky.social), Escritora de ciencia

This translation by Saúl A. Villafañe-Barajas (@villafanne) was made possible by a partnership with Planeteando and Geolatinas. Esta traducción fue posible gracias a una asociación con Planeteando y Geolatinas.

Text © 2025. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

New fossils from Earth's most famous extinction show climate tipping point was crossed

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 07/02/2025 - 09:00
The collapse of tropical forests during Earth's most catastrophic extinction event was the primary cause of the prolonged global warming which followed, according to new research.

What we learned from record-breaking 2021 heat wave and what we can expect in the future

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 07/02/2025 - 08:53
The deadly, record-breaking heat wave that hit the Pacific Northwest in June 2021 continues to be the subject of intense interest among scientists, policymakers and the public.

The Soweto geologist uncovering the Earth's secrets

Phys.org: Earth science - Wed, 07/02/2025 - 08:34
In the 1997 action film "Dante's Peak," Pierce Brosnan plays the role of a volcanologist sent to investigate seismic activity beneath a long-dormant volcano.

The 22 November 1815 Gejer Bali disaster

EOS - Wed, 07/02/2025 - 06:12

A new paper (Faral et al. 2025) provides details of a seismically-triggered landslide cascade and tsunami that killed up to 12,000 people.

On 22 November 1815, a very significant landslide disaster occurred in Bali, in what is now Indonesia, killing between 10,000 and 12,000 people. A very interesting new paper (Faral et al. 2025) in the journal Geomorphology has sought to investigate and understand this catastrophe.

The event, which occurred on Buyan-Bratan caldera, was triggered by the Mw=7.3 1815 Bali earthquake offshore. This triggered a translational landslide near the peak of the caldera. To provide a context, this is a Google Earth image of the site:-

Google Earth image of the site of the 22 November 1815 Gejer Bali disaster.

This image shows the steep caldera at the top, with the steep slopes down to the sea.

Faral et al. (2025) have identified the location of the initial failure. This is surprisingly clear on the Google Earth imagery:-

Google Earth image of the source zone of the 22 November 1815 Gejer Bali disaster.

The failure was a translational landslide – the source zone is so clear because it was left steep slopes in the rear scar and the lateral scarps, which now have dense vegetation. These lateral scarps are 30 to 35 m tall, delineating a landslide with a source area of 2.38 km2 and a volume of about 64 million cubic metres. Descriptions of the event highlight that the area had been subject to “intense and prolonged rainfall”, which may have contributed to the instability.

Faral et al. (2025) have undertaken detailed work to understand the characteristics of the landslide as it travelled the c.17 km to the coast. I think the initial path is quite easy to spot on the imagery:-

Google Earth image of the source zone and possible initial track (my own interpretation) of the 22 November 1815 Gejer Bali disaster.

Lower down the path becomes much less clear, but Faral et al. (2025) have used a range of mapping and stratigraphic techniques to try to understand it. In an earlier paper (Faral et al. 2024), the team has also mapped the c.15 villages that historical records indicate were destroyed by the landslide. They conclude that the initial failure transitioned into a debris avalanche and then a debris flow, eroding saturated sediment from the lower slopes and spreading laterally. This huge landslide moved enormous blocks of rock – one of which is 9 metres long for example – that are now scattered on the lower slopes.

Eventually the landslide reached the sea, and there are reports of a local tsunami. Faral et al. (2025) psotualte that this was most likely generated by the landslide rather than by the original earthquake. They note that there are no known deposits from the tsunami, which supports the notion of a smaller, localised event.

The 22 November 1815 Gejer Bali disaster was a very significant event that warrants more attention – I thank the authors of the two papers from highlighting and investigating this most fascinating disaster. I’m left pondering how we could anticipate a similar event. The nature of this type of initial failure seems hard to determine in advance, given its seismic origin, and the behaviour of the flow is also very difficult to forecast. Thus, such events represent a massive challenge in managing landslide risk.

References

Faral, A., Lavigne, F., Sastrawan, W.J. et al. 2024. Deadliest natural disaster in Balinese history in November 1815 revealed by Western and Indonesian written sourcesNatural Hazards 120, 12011–12041 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06671-5.

Faral, A. et al. 2025. Field evidence of the greatest disaster in Balinese history: The 1815 Geger Bali multi-hazard event in Buleleng. Geomorphology, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2025.109903.

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Bayesian Seismic Inversion with Implicit Neural Representations

Geophysical Journal International - Wed, 07/02/2025 - 00:00
AbstractSeismic inversion translates seismic data into subsurface elastic property models, enabling geophysicists to better understand underground rocks and fluids. Due to the inherently ill-posed nature of this inverse problem, accurately capturing the uncertainty associated with the solution is essential for reliable interpretations. Traditional Bayesian inversion methods, such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Laplace approximations, have been employed for this purpose but face significant limitations in terms of scalability and computational efficiency for large-scale problems. Combined with deep learning, Variational Inference (VI) has emerged as a promising alternative, striking a balance between computational efficiency and flexibility (i.e. the ability to approximate complex posterior distributions). However, selecting an appropriate proposal distribution remains a key challenge, as it directly influences the quality of the estimated posterior distribution. In this study, we extend IntraSeismic, an implicit neural representation (INR)-based framework for seismic inversion applications, to Bayesian inversion using VI with different parameterizations of the proposal distribution. We introduce two methods: B-IntraSeismic (BIS), which uses a mean-field Gaussian proposal, and B-IntraSeismic with Conditional Normalizing Flows (BIS-Flow), which utilizes a mean-field unparameterized proposal distribution to better capture deviations from Gaussianity in the posterior distribution. These methods are evaluated on a synthetic dataset (Marmousi) and two field data (Volve and Sleipner). Our results indicate that both BIS and BIS-Flow can accurately capture structural details and produce high-resolution mean models and standard deviation maps. BIS-Flow is also shown to be able to model complex posterior distributions, offering a more comprehensive characterization of uncertainty while maintaining computational feasibility.

Including converted waves using Shuey’s approximation in elastic Full-Wavefield Migration

Geophysical Journal International - Wed, 07/02/2025 - 00:00
AbstractThe phenomenon of elastic wave conversions, where acoustic, pressure (P-) waves are converted to elastic, shear (S-) waves, and vice-versa, is commonly disregarded in seismic imaging. This can lead to lower-quality images in regions with strong contrasts in elastic parameters. While a number of methods exist that do take wave conversions into account, they either deal with P- and S-waves separately, or are prohibitively computationally expensive, as is the case for elastic Full-Waveform Inversion. In this paper an alternative approach to taking converted waves into account is presented by extending Full Wavefield Migration (FWM) to account for wave conversions. FWM is a full-wavefield inversion method based on explicit, convolutional, one-way propagation and reflection operators in the space-frequency domain. By applying these operators recursively, multi-scattering data can be modelled. Using these operators, the FWM algorithm aims to reconstruct the reflection properties of the subsurface (i.e. the ‘image’). In this paper, the FWM method is extended by accounting for wave conversions due to angle-dependent reflections and transmissions using an extended version of Shuey’s approximation. The resulting algorithm is tested on two synthetic models to give a proof of concept. The results of these tests show that the proposed extension can model wave conversions accurately and yields better inversion results than applying conventional, acoustic FWM.

Central Asia faces 'extreme unsustainability' as land and biosphere limits breached, study warns

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 07/01/2025 - 20:49
A new study delivers a stark warning that Central Asia has overshot its environmental safety limits concerning land footprint and biosphere integrity. The study, led by Prof. Duan Weili from the Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, provides a comprehensive sustainability assessment and identifies Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan as priority areas for environmental management.

Environmental Groups Sue to Block Everglades Detention Facility

EOS - Tue, 07/01/2025 - 17:04
body {background-color: #D2D1D5;} Research & Developments is a blog for brief updates that provide context for the flurry of news regarding law and policy changes that impact science and scientists today.

Today, President Trump is visiting a new immigration detention facility built on a disused airstrip in the Florida Everglades. On 27 June, environmental groups sued the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS), U.S Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), the Florida Division of Emergency Management, and Miami-Dade County, seeking a temporary restraining order to stop the construction and opening of the facility.

The lawsuit from Friends of the Everglades and the Center for Biological Diversity argues that the facility’s construction did not undergo environmental reviews legally required under the National Environmental Policy Act. The groups assert that constructing the facility, transporting and housing thousands of people on site, and then flying them directly from the facility to other locations, will undermine decades of work spent restoring and protecting the Everglades’ delicate ecosystem.

“The site is more than 96% wetlands, surrounded by Big Cypress National Preserve, and is habitat for the endangered Florida panther and other iconic species. This scheme is not only cruel, it threatens the Everglades ecosystem that state and federal taxpayers have spent billions to protect,” Eve Samples, executive director of Friends of the Everglades, said in a statement.

“The Miccosukee Tribe is opposed to the use of our ancestral lands in Big Cypress as a detention facility.”

A spokesperson for Florida Governor Ron DeSantis said that the facility “will have no impact on the surrounding environment” and that they will oppose the lawsuit in court.

DeSantis and other state officials have claimed emergency powers to commandeer Dade-Collier Training and Transition Airport and build the migrant facility in roughly a week. Given the nickname “Alligator Alcatraz,” the detention facility is made of tents, trailers, and other temporary buildings and is designed to hold up to 5,000 people detained by DHS and ICE.

Immigration and human rights activists have raised additional concerns about housing thousands of people in tents and trailers at the height of a hot and humid Florida summer and during what is likely to be an above-normal hurricane season. Others are concerned about the environmental impact of a crowded detention center near an aquifer that supplies drinking water to the surrounding area.

 
Related

Indigenous tribes also vehemently oppose the construction of the facility on the land, which is sacred to the Miccosukee Tribe of Indians of Florida and the Seminole Tribe of Florida. There are 19 traditional Miccosukee and Seminole villages in Big Cypress, as well as ceremonial and burial grounds and other gathering sites.

Talbert Cypress, Chairman of the Miccosukee Tribe of Indians of Florida, stated, “Rather than Miccosukee homelands being an uninhabited wasteland for alligators and pythons, as some have suggested, the Big Cypress is the Tribe’s traditional homelands….The Miccosukee Tribe is opposed to the use of our ancestral lands in Big Cypress as a detention facility.”

Groups of environmental, Indigenous, immigration, and human rights activists protested outside the facility on 28 June. More protests are expected today as the facility opens and the president visits.

—Kimberly M. S. Cartier (@astrokimcartier.bsky.social), Staff Writer

These updates are made possible through information from the scientific community. Do you have a story about how changes in law or policy are affecting scientists or research? Send us a tip at eos@agu.org. Text © 2025. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
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ARMing SCREAM with Observations to Expose Cloud Errors

EOS - Tue, 07/01/2025 - 13:39
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors. Source: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres

Clouds are a major source of uncertainty in atmospheric predictability and simulating them accurately remains a challenge for large-scale models. Bogenschutz et al. [2025] evaluate a new high-resolution model called the Simple Cloud-Resolving E3SM Atmosphere Model (SCREAM) developed by the United States Department of Energy (DOE), which is designed to better capture cloud and storm processes. The authors use a fast, small-scale version of the model and compare its output to modern real-world observations from the DOE’s Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program.

The model performed better at higher resolutions but still struggled with certain cloud types, especially mid-level “congestus” clouds that form between shallow and deep convection. SCREAM also tended to shift too abruptly from shallow clouds to intense storms, and its performance depended on how finely the vertical layers of the atmosphere were represented.

These results help pinpoint key weaknesses in the model’s treatment of clouds and turbulence. The new library of ARM cases added in this work will help guide future improvements to SCREAM and support more accurate simulations of cloud processes.

Citation: Bogenschutz, P. A., Zhang, Y., Zheng, X., Tian, Y., Zhang, M., Lin, L., et al. (2025). Exposing process-level biases in a global cloud permitting model with ARM observations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 130, e2024JD043059. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD043059

—Yun Qian, Editor, JGR: Atmospheres

Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
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New Satellite Adds Evidence of an Earth-Shaking Wave

EOS - Tue, 07/01/2025 - 13:21

On 16 September 2023, a low hum started swaying seismometers around the world. Unlike during the short and jagged frenzy of an earthquake, this signal wobbled every 92 seconds and continued for 9 days. About a month later, while seismologists were still puzzling over the incident, the hum started again and lasted roughly a week.

Researchers traced the confusing signals to East Greenland, where satellite imagery revealed the scars of recent rockslides in Dickson Fjord. They deduced that millions of cubic meters of rock and ice had suddenly fallen into the sea on 16 September, creating a 200-meter (650-foot) tsunami and a long-lasting wave called a seiche. Rather than ricochet out to sea, crooked topography kept the tsunami sloshing back and forth between the fjord’s parallel walls. The later hum was from a second, smaller rockslide and seiche.

The area is unpopulated, meaning no one was threatened by the initial wave but no one observed the event either.

Seiches typically need a continuous energy source such as a windstorm to persist, but the long-lasting waves in Dickson Fjord appeared to be self-sustaining. Two teams independently developed simulations showing Dickson Fjord could support a long-lasting seiche. A new study in Nature Communications builds on that work, using satellite data to provide the first direct observations of the seiche.

“To really robustly be able to say, ‘This is what was shaking the Earth at this time,’ we needed that observational evidence,” said Thomas Monahan, an oceanographer at the University of Oxford and first author of the new paper.

Before (left) and after images show the obvious collapse of a glacier in Greenland’s Dickson Fjord. Credit: Søren Rysgaard As Above, So Below

East Greenland is remote, and the seiche mostly dissipated before the Danish military arrived 3 days after the initial wave to investigate the collapsed mountain face in Dickson Fjord. By then, the amplitude of the wave was already too small to detect from the boat. However, the shift in sea surface was visible from space thanks to the international Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) satellite, launched in 2022.

“We’ve never had the capability to do things in these regions at this level before.”

SWOT uses two altimeters spaced 10 meters apart to triangulate small changes in water height. Prior to SWOT, satellites had one altimeter and could offer a one-dimensional footprint of the ocean. Now, Monahan said, researchers can obtain precise, high-resolution imagery of the sea surface, even between the deep walls of a distant fjord.

“We’ve never had the capability to do things in these regions at this level before,” he said.

The satellite passed over Dickson Fjord several times during the main event and the smaller rockslide that followed. Monahan and his colleagues examined SWOT data from four transits, tracking the sea surface slope along the same transect each time.

The water was sloshing back and forth between the fjord walls.

The researchers extended their search to rule out other causes. The timing of the waves did not match the timing of winds recorded by a weather station in the fjord or the pattern of tides recorded by SWOT over the next 13 months. The magnitude of the wave did, however, match the seismic signal, further suggesting the fjord’s geometry had trapped a wave.

A sloshing tsunami in Dickson Fjord shimmied seismometers for 9 days starting on 16 September 2023. This data visualization of the fjord on 17 September 2023 shows the sloshing water and adds direct observational evidence to earlier models. Credit: NASA Earth Observatory “Science at Its Best”

The study further confirmed the seiche but also showed the early utility of SWOT, which had finished calibrating just 2 months before the initial rockslide.

“They’re sort of perfect partners, satellite and seismic data.”

“It’s a nice surprise to see the result,” said Yao Yu, a physical oceanographer who works with SWOT data at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography. The satellite is built for oceans, rivers, and lakes, she said, but the new study shows it can also collect good data from high-latitude fjords in areas unreachable by prior satellites. “A lot of things we never expected SWOT can do, it’s actually working very well,” she said.

SWOT’s spatial resolution is especially important in the Arctic, where seismometers are sparse. The satellite provides only intermittent observations, but it can access remote locations. That fills a gap, said Stephen Hicks, a seismologist at University College London and coauthor on one of the original seiche papers.

“They’re sort of perfect partners, satellite and seismic data,” he said. The new study backs up and builds upon the original research, he added, and “that’s sort of science at its best.”

—J. Besl (@J_Besl), Science Writer

Citation: Besl, J. (2025), New satellite adds evidence of an Earth-shaking wave, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250236. Published on 1 July 2025. Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

The 19 June 2025 landslide at the Rubaya mining site in the Democratic Republic of Congo

EOS - Tue, 07/01/2025 - 06:43

A major slope failure killed many people, possibly over 300, in an area of unlicenced mining of the mineral Coltan.

On 19 June 2025, a very significant landslide occurred at the Rubaya mining site in Masisi territory, North Kivu, which is located in the eastern part of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). The landslide, which reportedly affected a place called Bibatama, killed at least 21 people, but in all probability many more people died. Local news site Mines.cd reports over 300 fatalities.

The Rubaya mining area is a large, unlicenced and unregulated shallow excavation for the extraction of Coltan (known industrially as tantalite), an ore from which niobium and tantalum are extracted. The primary use of tantalum is in mobile phones, but it is also used in computer hard drives and road vehicle electronics.

These types of disastrous mining landslides in less developed countries rarely attract much interest (imagine what would have happened if this event had occurred in Canada or Australia), so I decided to see whether I could find anything out about it. I must note that landslides at this site are common – for example, about 100 people were killed in a landslide in 2013.

The Rubaya mining area is well covered in Google Earth – this is an image from 2021. The marker gives the general location – we’ll come back to this spot below:-

Google Earth image from 2021 showing the Rubaya mining area in the DRC.

Zoom in and you find a landscape scarred by shallow workings and landslides:-

Google Earth image from 2021 showing a part of the Rubaya mining area in the DRC.

The Rubaya mining area has a very challenging history. In recent years, possession has alternated between the military and various militias, who have run the site as a protection racket. Since April 2024, the site has been controlled by the March 23 Movement (M23), a rebel group with a long history of human rights violations.

I have been trying to use Planet Labs images to try to identify the location of the 19 June 2025 landslide. I think the most likely location is in the mining area located at [-1.58203, 28.89378]:-

Google Earth image from 2021 showing the likely location of the 19 June 2025 landslide in the Rubaya mining area in the DRC.

This mining area has expanded rapidly in recent years. The 2021 Google Earth image shows that it has been subject to a number of landslides.

I have downloaded a Planet Labs image from 14 June 2025 – five days before the landslide, and I have draped onto the Google Earth DEM. Of course, the Planet Labs imagery has a lower spatial resolution than the Google Earth imagery:-

Planet Labs image of the likely site of the 19 June 2025 landslide in the Rubaya mining area. Image copyright Planet Labs, used with permission. Image dated 14 June 2025.

The image shows a higher level of mining activity than was the case in 2021, and possibly some further landslides. By comparison, the image below was captured on 25 June 2025, after the landslide:-

Planet Labs image of the aftermath of the 19 June 2025 landslide in the Rubaya mining area. Image copyright Planet Labs, used with permission. Image dated 25 June 2025.

And here is a slider to allow the images to be compared:-

Image copyright Planet Labs, using the Google Earth DEM.

I think the landslide is visible on the left side of the mining area. A series of shallow workings have been destroyed, and the track and runout zone of the landslidecan be seen. The feature that is probably the landslide is about 250 metres long.

These types of landslides in unlicenced and unregulated mining sites are a major contributor to global landslide fatalities, but they are rarely investigated.

Finally, in an interesting twist, the FT reported last week that an ally of Donald Trump, Gentry Beach, is seeking to “snap up” the Rubaya mine site.

Reference

Planet Team 2024. Planet Application Program Interface: In Space for Life on Earth. San Francisco, CA. https://www.planet.com/

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Out-of-plane signals from deep mantle subducted slabs at teleseismic distances: insights from 3D global modeling and three-component array analysis

Geophysical Journal International - Tue, 07/01/2025 - 00:00
SummaryGlobal seismology mainly uses seismic waves propagating in the sagittal plane along the great circle path (GCP). However, heterogeneities in the mantle laterally deviate the path of seismic signals, which arrive out-of-plane (OOP) at arrays of sensors at teleseismic distances. Detection and back-projection of these signals have, in the past, provided independent evidence for the location of distant subducted slabs in the deep mantle, complementing global tomographic imaging. To infer physical properties of these subducted slabs, 3D waveform modeling of OOP waves for a finite-thickness slab is needed but still missing. In this study, we conduct a series of synthetic tests using a spectral element solver. We test the detectability of OOP signals and, by progressively adding complexities, we evaluate to which extent these signals can be used to infer physical properties of the modeled slab. We carry out three-component array analysis and investigate focal mechanism dependency. Our results show that the transverse component might be the best candidate for such studies, also for P-to-P OOP signals. Vertical and radial component recordings are usually dominated by P-SV energy arriving from the earthquakes along the GCP, which masks possible OOP signals. Contrary, the transverse component filters out any P-SV energy arriving directly from the source and, owing to its intrinsic directionality, allow for higher resolution measurement of P-to-P OOP signals. This is especially the case prior to the arrival of the S-wavefield. We pick a series of OOP arrivals which are back-projected using a multi-phase trial-and-error approach, that is considered successful only when different OOP seismic phases converge to the modeled (true) structure. We retrieve the location of the slab, its bottom and top edges, and its thickness in the lower mantle. These inferences are tested against varying topography, orientation and size of the modeled slab. The insights gained with modeling are confirmed with real data examples, supporting higher resolution mapping of 3D mantle structure based on OOP seismology.

Deep Crustal Structure and Seismogenic Potential of the Southwest Iberian Margin: Insights from Seismic and Gravimetric Data

Geophysical Journal International - Tue, 07/01/2025 - 00:00
SummaryWe investigate the lithospheric structure of the Southwest Iberian margin along an active seismic profile southwest of São Vicente Cape, ranging from the southern Tagus Abyssal Plain to the westernmost part of the Gulf of Cadiz. This profile, approximately 320 km long, intersects almost perpendicularly three major thrust faults: the Tagus Abyssal Plain, Marquês de Pombal and Horseshoe faults. The crustal structure, derived from spatially coincident wide-angle seismic (WAS) and multichannel seismic (MCS) data, was validated and constrained using gravimetric data. Joint travel-time inversion of refracted phases identified in WAS and reflected seismic phases from both WAS and MCS records were used to build a detailed two-dimensional P-wave velocity (Vp) structure. The resulting model reveals a Vp distribution with abrupt lateral velocity and structural variations, characterized by a rugged basement top and sharp changes in crustal thickness. Three main lithospheric domains consisting of continental, oceanic, and exhumed mantle affinity were identified from south to north. The travel-time inversion of the deepest reflected seismic phases reveals four major southeast-dipping reflectors, likely corresponding to major regional thrust faults with significant seismic and tsunamigenic potential. Integrating the modelled and interpreted seismic results with the locations of recent well-constrained earthquakes suggests that the Marquês de Pombal and Tagus Abyssal Plain extend deeper than previously thought, with fairly high seismic activity in the deep levels. This has significant implications for their seismogenic potential and should be taken into account for accurate assessment of seismic hazards in the region.

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