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Deep Entry of Low‐Energy Ions Into Mercury’s Magnetosphere: BepiColombo Mio’s Third Flyby Observations

JGR:Space physics - Fri, 08/02/2024 - 20:29
Abstract

Although solar wind-driven convection is expected to dominate magnetospheric circulation at Mercury, its exact pattern remains poorly characterized by observations. Here we present BepiColombo Mio observations during the third Mercury flyby indicative of convection-driven transport of low-energy dense ions into the deep magnetosphere. During the flyby, Mio observed an energy-dispersed ion population from the duskside magnetopause to the deep region of the midnight magnetosphere. A comparison of the observations with backward test particle simulations suggests that the observed energy dispersion structure can be explained in terms of energy-selective transport by convection from the duskside tail magnetopause. We also discuss the properties and origins of more energetic ions observed in the more dipole-like field regions of the magnetosphere in comparison to previously reported populations of the plasma sheet horn and ring current ions. Additionally, forward test particle simulations predict that most of the observed ions on the nightside will precipitate onto relatively low-latitude regions of the nightside surface of Mercury for a typical convection case. The presented observations and simulation results reveal the critical role of magnetospheric convection in determining the structure of Mercury's magnetospheric plasma. The upstream driver dependence of magnetospheric convection and its effects on other magnetospheric processes and plasma-surface interactions should be further investigated by in-orbit BepiColombo observations.

Interaction of Cosmic Rays With Magnetic Flux Ropes

JGR:Space physics - Fri, 08/02/2024 - 20:19
Abstract

The heliosphere is full of galactic cosmic rays (GCR), high-energy charged particles coming isotropically from the galaxy. The GCR interact with the solar wind blown by the Sun carrying out plasma, magnetic fields and transient structures such as interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) and their associated magnetic flux ropes (MFR). The GCR interaction with ICMEs has been extensively studied particularly the GCR flux attenuation (known as Forbush decreases) as a result of interacting with the ICME sheath and magnetic field. In this work, we investigate the opposite effect: the MFR's ability to generate GCR anisotropies which an observer may detect as an increase in the GCR flux. To achieve this, we simulated a flux of protons with energies in the 10–160 GeV range arriving from all directions to a cylindrical MFR (with and without sheath) with plasma, magnetic field, and spatial dimensions found in average ICMEs observed at 1 au. By following the individual trajectories of the injected particles we found that the MFR deviates the charged particles preferentially in one direction parallel to the MFR–axis. We also found that the peak of this anisotropic GCR flux depends on: the angle between the MFR and ambient magnetic fields; the presence or not of the sheath region; the energy of the incident particles and the observer location inside the MFR.

Seasonal Dependency of the Solar Cycle, QBO, and ENSO Effects on the Interannual Variability of the Wind DW1 in the MLT Region

JGR:Space physics - Fri, 08/02/2024 - 20:03
Abstract

The migrating diurnal tide (DW1) is derived by fitting Hough Mode Extensions to the TIMED/TIDI near-global wind measurements within the mesosphere and lower thermosphere between 85 and 100 km from 2004 to 2014. The tidal amplitude peaks around the equinoxes with a large interannual variability of up to 50%. The correlation coefficients between the tidal amplitude variability and the solar cycle as represented by F10.7, stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO), and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are calculated every 10 days revealing seasonal dependencies. The interannual variability is positively correlated with QBO from spring to fall, maximizing around the equinoxes; anti-correlated to the solar cycle in early winter; and anti-correlated to ENSO in early winter and slightly in March. Multivariate linear regressions are performed to quantitatively analyze the linear relationships between the DW1 amplitude and those factors. The fittings perform best with the QBO at 30 and 50 hPa both being considered. The contribution of QBO peaks around January and October may be related to the polar vortex modulated by QBO in the northern and southern hemispheres, respectively. The correlation between the DW1 amplitude and ENSO is negative with time lags <∼5 months during early winter and spring.

Correlations of Plasma Properties Between the Upstream Magnetosheath and the Downstream Outflow Region of Magnetopause Reconnection

JGR:Space physics - Fri, 08/02/2024 - 19:49
Abstract

The impact of upstream conditions on magnetopause reconnection has been an intriguing question in solar wind-magnetosphere coupling. In this study, we conduct a statistical analysis of plasma properties in the reconnection outflow region and the associated upstream solar wind/magnetosheath. We observe that the normalized ion density (N/N sw ) decreases and the flow speed (V/V sw ) increases in the upstream magnetosheath with distance from the subsolar point, consistent with previous models and observations. The magnetic field strength (|B|), ion density (N), and ion bulk speed (|V|) in the upstream magnetosheath exhibit close correlations with those in the reconnection outflow region. This upstream-downstream correlation likely arises from the process of forming reconnection outflows, where most upstream ions cross the separatrix and mix with ion outflow already accelerated near the X-line. High-speed part of reconnection outflow is mostly located on the magnetosphere side of the magnetopause current layer, with outflow velocities peaking close to the upstream magnetosheath Alfvén speed. The spatial extent of high-speed outflow is greater in conditions of lower solar wind Alfvén Mach number (M A,sw ). Additionally, the southward magnetic field in the magnetosheath and |B| of magnetopause current layer are larger in the cases of lower M A,sw . These findings indicate a close connection of plasma properties between the outflow region of magnetopause reconnection and the upstream magnetosheath.

Hypotheses Concerning Global Magnetospheric Convection, Magnetosphere‐Ionosphere Coupling, and Auroral Activity at Uranus

JGR:Space physics - Fri, 08/02/2024 - 19:33
Abstract

We investigate the unique magnetosphere of Uranus and its interaction with the solar wind. Following the work of Masters (2014), https://doi.org/10.1002/2014ja020077 and others, we developed and validated a simple yet valuable and illustrative model of Uranus' offset, tilted, and rapidly-spinning magnetic field and magnetopause (nominal and fit to the Voyager-2 inbound crossing point) in three-dimensional space. With this model, we investigated details of the seasonal and interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) orientation dependencies of dayside and flank reconnection along the Uranian magnetopause. We found that anti-parallel (magnetic field shear angle greater than 170°) reconnection occurs nearly continuously along the Uranian dayside and/or flank magnetopause under all seasons of the 84 (Earth) year Uranian orbit and the most likely IMF orientations. Such active and continuous driving of the Uranian magnetosphere should result in constant loading and unloading of the Uranian magnetotail, which may be further complicated and destabilized by sudden changes in the IMF orientation and solar wind conditions plus the reconfigurations from the rotation of Uranus itself. We demonstrate that unlike the other magnetospheric systems that are Dungey-cycle driven (i.e., Mercury and Earth) or rotationally driven (Jupiter and Saturn), global magnetospheric convection of plasma, magnetic flux, and energy flow may occur via three distinct cycles, two of which are unique to Uranus (and possibly also Neptune). Our simple model is also used to map signatures of dayside and flank reconnection down to the Uranian ionosphere, as a function of planetary latitude and longitude. Such mapping demonstrates that “spot-like” auroral features should be very common on the Uranian dayside, consistent with observations from Hubble Space Telescope. We further detail how the combination of Uranus' rapid rotation and unique and very active global magnetospheric convection should be consistent with fueling of the surprisingly intense trapped radiation environment observed by Voyager-2 during its single flyby. Summarizing, Uranus is a very interesting magnetosphere that offers new insights on the nature, complexity, and diversity of planetary magnetospheric systems and the acceleration of particles in space plasmas, which might have important analogs to exoplanetary magnetospheric systems. Our hypotheses can be tested with further work involving more advanced models, new auroral observations, and unprecedented missions to explore the in situ environment from orbit around Uranus, which should include a complement of magnetospheric instruments in the payload.

Study yields new insights into the link between global warming and rising sea levels

Phys.org: Earth science - Fri, 08/02/2024 - 19:32
A McGill-led study suggests that Earth's natural forces could substantially reduce Antarctica's impact on rising sea levels, but only if carbon emissions are swiftly reduced in the coming decades. By the same token, if emissions continue on the current trajectory, Antarctic ice loss could lead to more future sea level rise than previously thought.

A deep learning model employing Bi-LSTM architecture to predict Martian ionosphere Electron Density using data from the Mars Global Surveyor mission

Publication date: Available online 23 July 2024

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): T. Venkateswara Rao, M. Sridhar, N.V. Rao, D. Venkata Ratnam

Spatio-temporal monitoring of plant water status using optical remote sensing data and <em>in situ</em> measurements

Publication date: Available online 22 July 2024

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Reza Hassanpour, Abolfazl Majnooni-Heris, Ahmad Fakheri Fard, Masahiro Tasumi

A shipboard integrated navigation algorithm based on smartphone built-in GNSS/IMU/MAG sensors

Publication date: Available online 22 July 2024

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Tengfei Bai, Hongzhou Chai, Xiangyu Tian, He Guo, Hamed Karimian, Jialong Sun, Chao Dong

Orbital Observations Suggest Decoupled Olivine and Carbonate Enrichments in Jezero Crater

GRL - Fri, 08/02/2024 - 18:39
Abstract

It has been hypothesized that the olivine- and carbonate-bearing units within Jezero crater are part of the broader olivine-carbonate rock unit found in the Nili Fossae region. Further, it is commonly proposed that olivine and carbonate are closely associated with each other in Jezero crater based on visible/near-infrared spectral data. In this work, we investigate the olivine- and carbonate-rich units in Jezero crater using spectral, thermophysical, and morphological analyses to determine the relationship between olivine- and carbonate-rich units. Thermal infrared spectral data indicate largely weak to absent olivine signatures in the marginal carbonates. Our analyses suggest a decoupled relationship between olivine and carbonate in Jezero. The distinct appearances of olivine and carbonate in Jezero crater compared to the regional olivine-carbonate rocks in Nili Fossae may imply unique formation mechanisms for olivine and carbonate in Jezero or variable levels of olivine alteration across the broader region.

Not the day after tomorrow: Why we can't predict the timing of climate tipping points

Phys.org: Earth science - Fri, 08/02/2024 - 18:00
A study published in Science Advances reveals that uncertainties are currently too large to accurately predict exact tipping times for critical Earth system components like the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), polar ice sheets, or tropical rainforests.

Probabilistic flood inundation mapping through copula Bayesian multi-modeling of precipitation products

Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences - Fri, 08/02/2024 - 17:00
Probabilistic flood inundation mapping through copula Bayesian multi-modeling of precipitation products
Francisco Javier Gomez, Keighobad Jafarzadegan, Hamed Moftakhari, and Hamid Moradkhani
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2647–2665, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2647-2024, 2024
This study utilizes the global copula Bayesian model averaging technique for accurate and reliable flood modeling, especially in coastal regions. By integrating multiple precipitation datasets within this framework, we can effectively address sources of error in each dataset, leading to the generation of probabilistic flood maps. The creation of these probabilistic maps is essential for disaster preparedness and mitigation in densely populated areas susceptible to extreme weather events.

Quantitative Error Analysis on Polarimetric Phased Array Radar Weather Measurements to Reveal Radar Performance and Configuration Potential

Atmos. Meas. techniques - Fri, 08/02/2024 - 15:39
Quantitative Error Analysis on Polarimetric Phased Array Radar Weather Measurements to Reveal Radar Performance and Configuration Potential
Junho Ho, Zhe Li, and Guifu Zhang
Atmos. Meas. Tech. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-2024-118,2024
Preprint under review for AMT (discussion: open, 0 comments)
This study quantitatively analyzes and compares weather measurements from planar (PPPAR) and cylindrical polarimetric phased array radars (CPPAR). It examines data quality, potential problems, and clarifies misunderstandings between the configurations. The findings highlight 2D PPPAR’s challenges in making accurate weather measurements when the beam steers off broadside. CPPAR shows promise in obtaining high-quality polarimetric data because of its azimuthal scan invariant beam characteristics.

Investigating the link between N₂O ionization and ozone depletion

Phys.org: Earth science - Fri, 08/02/2024 - 15:06
Man-made emissions of nitrous oxide (N₂O) are rapidly increasing globally and are predicted to pose a growing threat to Earth's ozone layer. In the 1970s, it was discovered that N₂O in the upper atmosphere can trigger ozone-depleting reactions through its interaction with low-energy electrons. However, the full impact of this process on the ozone layer remains poorly understood.

Gulf of Mexico 'dead zone' larger than average, scientists find

Phys.org: Earth science - Fri, 08/02/2024 - 13:20
NOAA-supported scientists have announced that this year's Gulf of Mexico "dead zone"—an area of low to no oxygen that can kill fish and marine life—is approximately 6,705 square miles, the 12th largest zone on record in 38 years of measurement. This figure equates to more than 4 million acres of habitat potentially unavailable to fish and bottom species, an area roughly the size of New Jersey.

Sensitivity of Australian Rainfall to Driving SST Data Sets in a Variable‐Resolution Global Atmospheric Model

JGR–Atmospheres - Fri, 08/02/2024 - 11:41
Abstract

In this study, we employ the Conformal Cubic Atmospheric Model (CCAM), a variable-resolution global atmospheric model, driven by two distinct sea surface temperature (SST) data sets: the 0.25° Optimum Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature (CCAM_OISST) version 2.1 and the 2° Extended Reconstruction SSTs Version 5 (CCAM_ERSST5). Model performance is assessed using a benchmarking framework, revealing good agreement between both simulations and the climatological rainfall spatial pattern, seasonality, and annual trends obtained from the Australian Gridded Climate Data (AGCD). Notably, wet biases are identified in both simulations, with CCAM_OISST displaying a more pronounced bias. Furthermore, we have examined CCAM’s ability to capture El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) correlations with rainfall during Austral spring (SON) utilizing a novel hit rate metric. Results indicate that only CCAM_OISST successfully replicates observed SON ENSO- and IOD-rainfall correlations, achieving hit rates of 86.6% and 87.5%, respectively, compared to 52.7% and 41.8% for CCAM_ERSST5. Large SST differences are found surrounding the Australian coastline between OISST and ERSST5 (termed the “Coastal Effect”). Differences can be induced by the spatial interpolation error due to the discrepancy between model and driving SST. An additional CCAM experiment, employing OISST with SST masked by ERSST5 in 5° proximity to the Australian continent, underscores the “Coastal Effect” has a significant impact on IOD-Australian rainfall simulations. In contrast, its influence on ENSO-Australian rainfall is limited. Therefore, simulations of IOD-Australian rainfall teleconnection are sensitive to local SST representation along coastlines, probably dependent on the spatial resolution of driving SST.

Complete quasilinear model for the acceleration-driven lower hybrid drift instability and a computational assessment of its validity

Physical Review E (Plasma physics) - Fri, 08/02/2024 - 10:00

Author(s): G. V. Vogman and J. H. Hammer

A complete quasilinear model is derived for the electrostatic acceleration-driven lower hybrid drift instability in a uniform two-species low-beta plasma in which current is perpendicular to the background magnetic field. The model consists of coupled nonlinear velocity space diffusion equations for…


[Phys. Rev. E 110, 025201] Published Fri Aug 02, 2024

Estimating the Impact of a 2017 Smoke Plume on Surface Climate Over Northern Canada With a Climate Model, Satellite Retrievals, and Weather Forecasts

JGR–Atmospheres - Fri, 08/02/2024 - 09:41
Abstract

In August 2017, a smoke plume from wildfires in British Columbia and the Northwest Territories recirculated and persisted over northern Canada for over two weeks. We compared a full-factorial set of NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies ModelE simulations of the plume to satellite retrievals of aerosol optical depth and carbon monoxide, finding that ModelE performance was dependent on the model configuration, and more so on the choice of injection height approach, aerosol scheme and biomass burning emissions estimates than to the choice of horizontal winds for nudging. In particular, ModelE simulations with free-tropospheric smoke injection, a mass-based aerosol scheme and comparatively high fire NOx emissions led to unrealistically high aerosol optical depth. Using paired simulations with and without fire emissions, we estimated that for 16 days over an 850,000 km2 region, the smoke decreased planetary boundary layer heights by between 253 and 547 m, decreased downward shortwave radiation by between 52 and 172 Wm−2, and decreased surface temperature by between 1.5°C and 4.9°C, the latter spanning an independent estimate from operational weather forecasts of a 3.7°C cooling. The strongest surface climate effects were for ModelE configurations with more detailed aerosol microphysics that led to a stronger first indirect effect.

Retrieval of Aerosol and Surface Properties at High Spatial Resolution: Hybrid Approach and Demonstration Using Sentinel‐5p/TROPOMI and PRISMA

JGR–Atmospheres - Fri, 08/02/2024 - 09:19
Abstract

Satellite remote sensing of aerosol is largely conducted at moderate or coarse spatial resolution around 1–10 km. Nevertheless, at urban areas with high human activity, aerosol can originate from complex emission sources and may also vary strongly in space. Therefore, aerosol characterization at fine spatial resolution is essential for air quality study and assessment of anthropogenic pollution as well as climate effects. However, space-borne instruments with high spatial resolution are usually limited in swath width or spectral coverage which result in lowering information content required for aerosol and surface retrieval. Based on the Generalized Retrieval of Atmosphere and Surface Properties (GRASP) algorithm, we propose a hybrid approach by combining fine and coarse spatial resolution measurements to retrieve aerosol and surface properties simulataneously at fine spatial resolution. The instruments with coarse spatial resolution and high revisting time can provide advanced aerosol characterization. At the same time, the instruments with fine spatial resolution are sensitive to spatial variability of aerosol nearby sources. In this study, the GRASP/Hybrid approach is demonstrated and tested based on the European Space Agency Sentinel-5p/TROPOMI together with the Italian Space Agency PRISMA satellite data. Specifically, the detailed aerosol microphysical properties from Sentinel-5p/TROPOMI 10 km retrievals are used as a priori information for PRISMA to derive aerosol loading and surface properties at 100 meter (m) spatial resolution. The PRISMA 100 m aerosol and surface retrieval based on the developed GRASP/Hybrid approach are evaluated using available ground-based and satellite measurements, including AERONET, VIIRS/DB aerosol and PRISMA Level 2 surface reflectance products.

Source Levels of In‐Cloud Air in Shallow Cumulus: Consistency Between Paluch Diagram and Lagrangian Particle Tracking

JGR–Atmospheres - Fri, 08/02/2024 - 09:08
Abstract

The Paluch diagram is a widely used tool for interpreting aircraft measurements of shallow cumulus clouds. A prior study conducted by Heus et al. (2008, https://doi.org/10.1175/2008jas2572.1) concluded that the source levels of in-cloud air inferred from the Paluch diagram exhibit biases, sometimes of several hundred meters, in comparison to those derived from Lagrangian particle tracking. In this short study we revisit this comparison. The results indicate that the upper source levels of in-cloud air determined from the Lagrangian Particle Tracking and the Paluch diagram are consistent, and the choice of statistical methods is crucial. The significance of this research lies in confirming the reliability of the Paluch analysis, enabling its confident application to aircraft data.

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