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A methodology to compile multi-hazard interrelationships in a data-scarce setting: an application to Kathmandu Valley, Nepal

Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences - Thu, 05/30/2024 - 16:03
A methodology to compile multi-hazard interrelationships in a data-scarce setting: an application to Kathmandu Valley, Nepal
Harriet E. Thompson, Joel C. Gill, Robert Šakić Trogrlić, Faith E. Taylor, and Bruce D. Malamud
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https//doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-101,2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
We describe a methodology to systematically gather evidence of the breadth of single natural hazards and their multi-hazard interrelationships in data-scarce urban settings. We apply this methodology to Kathmandu Valley, Nepal, where we find evidence of 21 single hazard types, and 83 multi-hazard interrelationships. This evidence is supplemented with multi-hazard scenarios developed by practitioner stakeholders engaged in disaster risk reduction research and practice in Kathmandu Valley.

Modelling water quantity and quality for integrated water cycle management with the Water Systems Integrated Modelling framework (WSIMOD) software

Geoscientific Model Development - Thu, 05/30/2024 - 15:29
Modelling water quantity and quality for integrated water cycle management with the Water Systems Integrated Modelling framework (WSIMOD) software
Barnaby Dobson, Leyang Liu, and Ana Mijic
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 4495–4513, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4495-2024, 2024
Water management is challenging when models don't capture the entire water cycle. We propose that using integrated models facilitates management and improves understanding. We introduce a software tool designed for this task. We discuss its foundation, how it simulates water system components and their interactions, and its customisation. We provide a flexible way to represent water systems, and we hope it will inspire more research and practical applications for sustainable water management.

A Unified System for Evaluating, Ranking and Clustering in Diverse Scientific Domains

Geoscientific Model Development - Thu, 05/30/2024 - 15:29
A Unified System for Evaluating, Ranking and Clustering in Diverse Scientific Domains
Zengyun Hu, Xi Chen, Deliang Chen, Zhuo Zhang, Qiming Zhou, and Qingxiang Li
Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., https//doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2024-82,2024
Preprint under review for GMD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
ERC firstly unified the evaluating, ranking, and clustering by a simple mathematic equation based on Euclidean Distance. It provides new system to solve the evaluating, ranking, and clustering tasks in SDGs. In fact, ERC system can be applied in any scientific domain.

Properties of Relativistic Bouncing Microbursts

JGR:Space physics - Thu, 05/30/2024 - 12:44
Abstract

Microbursts are short duration intensifications in precipitating electron flux that are believed to be a significant contributor to electron losses in the magnetosphere. Microbursts have been observed in the form of bouncing electron packets, which offer a unique opportunity to study their properties and importance as a loss process. We present a collection of bouncing microbursts observed by the HILT instrument on SAMPEX from 1994 to 2004. We analyze the locations of the bouncing microbursts in L and MLT and find they align well with the properties of relativistic microbursts as a whole. We find that the majority of bouncing microbursts observed by SAMPEX have scale sizes of ∼30 km at the point of observation, or ∼300 km when mapped to the magnetic equator. The time separation between the peaks of these bouncing microbursts is usually either half a bounce period or a whole bounce period.

Induced Seismicity Controlled by Injected Hydraulic Energy: The Case Study of the EGS Soultz‐Sous‐Forêts Site

JGR–Solid Earth - Thu, 05/30/2024 - 10:59
Abstract

How induced seismicity in deep geothermal project (enhanced geothermal systems, EGS) is controlled by fluid injection is of central importance for monitoring the related seismic risk. Here we analyze the relationship between the radiated seismic energy and the hydraulic energy related to the fluid injection during several hydraulic stimulations and circulation tests at Soultz-sous-Forêts geothermal site. Based on a harmonized database, we show that the ratio between these energies is at first order constant during stimulations and of the same magnitude independently of the stimulation protocol and injection depth. Re-stimulations are characterized by a sharp evolution of this ratio during injection which ultimately converges to the characteristic value of the reservoir. This supports that the seismicity is caused by the relaxation of the pre-existing strain energy in the stimulated volume, rather than by the deformation generated from fluid injection. The ratio appears as an intrinsic large-scale property of the reservoir that can be assessed at the very beginning of the first stimulation. Based on this property, we suggest a way to predict the largest magnitude of the induced seismic events knowing the maximum targeted hydraulic energy of the injection.

Co‐Occurrence of Low and Very Low Frequency Earthquakes Explained From Dynamic Modeling

GRL - Thu, 05/30/2024 - 07:00
Abstract

Very low-frequency earthquakes (VLFs) are characterized by longer source duration and smaller stress drop than regular earthquakes of similar magnitude. Recent studies have shown their frequent correlation with low-frequency earthquakes (LFEs) on shared faults. The underlying source processes governing the occurrence of VLFs and their interaction with LFEs remain elusive. Here, we employ a slip-weakening model for slow earthquakes. By comparing the source parameters of simulations and observations, it is suggested that VLFs are slow self-arresting earthquakes that self-terminate within the nucleation patch. Additionally, we adopt a composite model to reproduce the records of the simultaneous occurrences of a VLF and an LFE in the Nankai area. Our results present the possibility that VLFs, LFEs, and regular earthquakes can be distinguished using a unified dynamic framework.

When, Where and to What Extent Do Temperature Perturbations Near Tropical Deep Convection Follow Convective Quasi Equilibrium?

GRL - Thu, 05/30/2024 - 07:00
Abstract

Convective Quasi-Equilibrium (CQE) is often adopted as a useful closure assumption to summarize the effects of unresolved convection on large-scale thermodynamics, while existing efforts to observationally validate CQE largely rely on specific spatial domains or sites rather than the source of CQE constraints—deep convection. This study employs a Lagrangian framework to investigate leading temperature perturbation patterns near deep convection, of which the centers are located by use of an ensemble of satellite measurements. Temperature perturbations near deep convection with high peak precipitation are rapidly adjusted toward the CQE structure within the [−2, 1] hours centered on peak precipitation. The top 1% precipitating deep convection constrains neighboring free-tropospheric leading perturbations up to 9°. Notable CQE validity beyond a 1° radius is observed when peak precipitation exceeds the 93rd percentile. These findings suggest that only a small fraction of deep convection with extreme precipitation shapes tropical free-tropospheric temperature patterns dominantly.

Reconstructing Mollisol Formation Processes Through Quantified Pedoturbation

GRL - Thu, 05/30/2024 - 07:00
Abstract

Mollisols are highly fertile soils and function as significant carbon reservoirs. However, determining their ages and formation processes is challenging due to extensive pedoturbation, which undermines conventional dating methods. Here, we employed luminescence, a light-sensitive property of minerals widely used in geological dating, to investigate and quantify soil mixing. We analyzed over 2,400 luminescence ages of individual K-feldspar grains from a Mollisol profile in Northeast China, and for the first time, we were able to determine the intensity of pedoturbation in the Mollisol profile over the past 50,000 years. The results showed that the current pedoturbation can penetrate to a depth of approximately 80 cm, with the intensity decreasing with depth. By identifying a significant intensification in historical pedoturbation, we inferred that the paleoenvironment might be suitable for the formation of Mollisols 16,400 years before present.

Future Change in the Vietnam Upwelling Under a High‐Emission Scenario

GRL - Thu, 05/30/2024 - 07:00
Abstract

The Vietnam upwelling is a crucial circulation feature in the South China Sea. Although previous studies have shown that various coastal upwellings around the world may intensify under global warming, future changes in the Vietnam upwelling remain unclear. To address this knowledge gap, we analyzed the long-term trend in the Vietnam upwelling under a high-emission scenario for the period 2006–2100, using simulation results from a global eddy-resolving climate model. In this model, the summertime Vietnam upwelling is projected to intensify in the 21st century and is statistically significant between 12°N and 14°N. A volume flux budget analysis indicates that wind stress curl is the most important contributor to the intensification. The geostrophic flow, to some extent, may suppress the upwelling intensification. The projected increase in upwelling is shown to significantly reduce local ocean warming and freshening and thus may have vital impacts on the local climate and circulation.

AI‐Assisted Design of Printed Edge‐Fed Non‐Uniform Zig‐Zag Antenna for mm‐Wave Automotive Radar

Radio Science - Thu, 05/30/2024 - 07:00
Abstract

In this paper, the design of a novel horizontally polarized single-layer antenna for 77 (GHz) automotive radar applications is4 addressed. An innovative non-uniform zig-zag parametrization of the antenna layout is considered to enable a more flexible control on both the impedance matching in the working frequency band and the shaping of the radiated beam pattern with respect to a standard (uniform) one without compromising the linear (horizontal) polarization of the radiated field. Such a polarization guarantees a lower back-scattering from road pavements, resulting in a reduced amount of clutter and thus allowing a more robust target detection. Moreover, the single-layer layout has several advantages in terms of fabrication simplicity/costs and mechanical robustness to vibrations. The design of the proposed non-uniform zig-zag antenna (NZA) is performed through a customized implementation of the System-by-Design (SbD) approach that fruitfully combines machine learning and evolutionary optimization to efficiently deal with the computational complexity at hand. An extensive numerical validation, dealing with designs of different lengths, verifies the high performance of the NZA in terms of beam direction deviation (e.g., BDD < 1 (deg)), sidelobe level (e.g., SLL < −18.2 (dB)), and polarization ratio (e.g., PR > 20 (dB)) within the working frequency band B=76:78 $\mathcal{B}=\left[76:78\right]$ (GHz), as well as its superiority over competitive designs. Finally, the realization of a prototype and its experimental test, validate the proposed NZA concept for automotive mm-wave radar applications in advanced driver assistance systems and autonomous vehicles such as, for instance, adaptive cruise control, collision avoidance, and blind spot detection.

Issue Information

Radio Science - Thu, 05/30/2024 - 07:00

No abstract is available for this article.

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Hearing the seas

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Imbalanced speciation pulses sustain the radiation of mammals

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