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Subtropical Foehn Winds, Southeast Queensland, Australia

JGR–Atmospheres - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 15:39
Abstract

Foehn winds have been a focus of research in mid-latitude mountainous regions for more than 150 years, where their onset is typically associated with warm, dry, and gusty winds. This research has now extended into high latitude regions, yet research of foehn winds in subtropical and tropical regions remains scarce. Here we present results from the first investigation of foehn winds in the subtropics of Southeast Queensland (SEQ), Australia. Analysis of meteorological records found that foehn winds occur throughout the year with peak frequency and duration in late winter (August) associated with the passage of shortwave troughs over southern Australia. Modeling of wind fields and atmospheric boundary layer conditions for three case studies was conducted using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Results showed foehn events in SEQ can be associated with mountain waves and hydraulic jump features in the lee of topographic barriers. Over lee slopes, acceleration of wind speeds and topographic channeling of foehn winds was found to occur, along with substantial increases in air temperature, and decreases in relative humidity. Warming of the foehn airstream is believed to occur primarily through isentropic drawdown with a likely contribution from surface sensible heat flux. Recommendations for future research are made in light of the importance of foehn winds to wildfire management and mitigation in SEQ.

Melting of Alaskan glaciers accelerating faster than previously thought, research suggests

Phys.org: Earth science - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 15:00
Melting of glaciers in a major Alaskan icefield has accelerated and could reach an irreversible tipping point earlier than previously thought, new research suggests.

Selecting and weighting dynamical models using data-driven approaches

Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 10:42
Selecting and weighting dynamical models using data-driven approaches
Pierre Le Bras, Florian Sévellec, Pierre Tandeo, Juan Ruiz, and Pierre Ailliot
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 31, 303–317, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-31-303-2024, 2024
The goal of this paper is to weight several dynamic models in order to improve the representativeness of a system. It is illustrated using a set of versions of an idealized model describing the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. The low-cost method is based on data-driven forecasts. It enables model performance to be evaluated on their dynamics. Taking into account both model performance and codependency, the derived weights outperform benchmarks in reconstructing a model distribution.

Energetic Charged Particle Measurements During Juno's Two Close Io Flybys

GRL - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 10:15
Abstract

On days 2023-364 and 2024-034, the Juno spacecraft made close passages of Jupiter's moon Io, at altitudes of about 1,500 km. Data obtained from the first flyby, when the spacecraft was on magnetic field lines connected to both Jupiter and Io, revealed deep flux decreases. In addition, Juno's energetic particle detectors observed tens to hundreds of keV electron and proton beams. Such beams could be generated near Jupiter on field lines associated with Io. The second encounter occurred in the plasma wake and a more modest flux decrease was observed. Furthermore, data from both encounters suggest a spatially extensive decrease in >1 MeV electrons that includes regions inward of Io's orbit. In the immediate vicinity of Io, signatures of absorption likely dominate the data whereas diffusion and wave-particle interactions are expected to be needed to understand MeV electron data in the wider spatial region around Io.

Transmissions of an x-ray free electron laser pulse through Al: Influence of nonequilibrium electron kinetics

Physical Review E (Plasma physics) - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 10:00

Author(s): Cheng Gao, Yongjun Li, Fengtao Jin, Jiaolong Zeng, and Jianmin Yuan

A theoretical model for investigating the radiative transfer of an x-ray free electron laser (XFEL) pulse is developed based on a one-dimensional radiative transfer equation. The population dynamics of energy levels is obtained by rate equation approximation coupling with the Fokker-Planck equation,…


[Phys. Rev. E 110, 015201] Published Tue Jul 02, 2024

Average-atom approach for transport properties of shocked argon in the presence of a magnetic field

Physical Review E (Plasma physics) - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 10:00

Author(s): Nadine Wetta and Jean-Christophe Pain

We present electron transport calculations of shocked argon based on an average-atom modeling of the plasma and compare them with measurements, involving both incident and reflected shock waves. Since the corresponding experiments are subject to a 5 T magnetic field, the impact of the latter on the …


[Phys. Rev. E 110, 015202] Published Tue Jul 02, 2024

Droplet dynamics in homogeneous isotropic turbulence with the immersed boundary–lattice Boltzmann method

Physical Review E (Computational physics) - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 10:00

Author(s): Diego Taglienti, Fabio Guglietta, and Mauro Sbragaglia

We develop a numerical method for simulating the dynamics of a droplet immersed in a generic time-dependent velocity gradient field. This approach is grounded on the hybrid coupling between the lattice Boltzmann (LB) method, employed for the flow simulation, and the immersed boundary (IB) method, ut…


[Phys. Rev. E 110, 015302] Published Tue Jul 02, 2024

GNSS Geodesy Quantifies Water‐Storage Gains and Drought Improvements in California Spurred by Atmospheric Rivers

GRL - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 08:58
Abstract

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) deliver significant and essential precipitation to the western United States (US) with consequential interannual variability. The intensity and frequency of ARs strongly influence reservoir levels, mountain snowpack, and groundwater recharge, which are key drivers of water-resource availability and natural hazards. Between October 2022 and April 2023, western states experienced exceptionally heavy precipitation from several families of powerful ARs. Using observations of surface-loading deformation from Global Navigation Satellite Systems, we find that terrestrial water-storage gains exceeded 100% of normal within vital California watersheds. Independent water-storage solutions derived from different data-analysis and inversion methods provide an important measure of precision. The sustained storage increases, which we show are closely associated with ARs at daily-to-weekly timescales, alleviated both meteorological and hydrological drought conditions in the region, with a lag in hydrological-drought improvements. Quantifying water-storage recovery associated with extreme precipitation after drought advances understanding of an increasingly variable hydrologic cycle.

Combined Role of the MJO and ENSO in Shaping Extreme Warming Patterns and Coral Bleaching Risk in the Great Barrier Reef

GRL - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 08:24
Abstract

Local meteorology over the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) can significantly influence ocean temperatures, which in turn impacts coral ecosystems. While El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) provides insight into the expected synoptic states, it lacks details of anticipated sub-seasonal weather variability at local scales. This study explores the influence of the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) on Australian tropical climate, both independently and in combination with ENSO, focusing on GBR impacts. We find that during El Niño periods, including the summer of 2009/10, faster propagating MJO patterns can disrupt background warm, dry conditions, and potentially provide cooling relief via increased cloud cover and stronger winds. In La Niña periods, such as the summer of 2021/22, the MJO tends to be prevented from passing the Maritime continent, forcing it to remain in a standing pattern in the Indian Ocean. This leads to decreased cloud cover and weaker winds over the GBR, generating warm ocean anomalies.

Geostatistical Inversion for Subsurface Characterization Using Stein Variational Gradient Descent With Autoencoder Neural Network: An Application to Geologic Carbon Sequestration

JGR–Solid Earth - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 08:10
Abstract

Geophysical subsurface characterization plays a key role in the success of geologic carbon sequestration (GCS). While deterministic inversion methods are commonly used due to their computational efficiency, they often fail to adequately quantify the model uncertainty, which is essential for informed decision-making and risk mitigation in GCS projects. In this study, we propose the SVGD-AE method, a novel geostatistical inversion approach that integrates geophysical data with prior geological knowledge to estimate subsurface properties. SVGD-AE combines Stein Variational Gradient Descent (SVGD) for sampling high-dimensional distributions with an autoencoder (AE) neural network for re-parameterizing reservoir models, aiming to accurately preserve geologic characteristics of reservoir models derived from prior knowledge. Through a synthetic example of pre-stack seismic inversion, we demonstrate that the SVGD-AE method outperforms traditional probabilistic methods, particularly in inverse problems with complex posterior distributions. Then, we apply the SVGD-AE method to the Illinois Basin—Decatur Project (IBDP), a large-scale CO2 storage initiative in Decatur, Illinois, USA. The resulting petrophysical models with quantified uncertainty enhance our understanding of subsurface properties and have broad implications for the feasibility, decision making, and long-term safety of CO2 storage at the IBDP.

Present‐Day Three‐Dimensional Crustal Deformation Velocity of the Tibetan Plateau Due to Multi‐Component Land Water Loading

GRL - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 07:54
Abstract

Quantitative understanding of the land water loading is a prerequisite to the construction of reliable tectonic deformation velocity field in the Tibetan Plateau (TP). Here, for the first time, we image the three-dimensional crustal loading deformation velocity field of each land water component in the TP. Our results reveal that the loading signal strength of the six land water components ranks from largest to smallest as groundwater, glacier, lake, soil water, permafrost, and snow, with the maximum vertical velocity close to ±1.60 mm/yr and the maximum horizontal velocity exceeding 0.40 mm/yr. All land water components can achieve a strong enough vertical loading velocity exceeding the present-day Global Positioning System (GPS) velocity at some sites. But for horizontal loading, apparent impacts are only from glacier, lake and groundwater, however, are very limited, with the absolute ratio of loading velocity to GPS velocity being smaller than 5% at almost all the sites.

Potential Near‐Term Wetting of the Southwestern United States if the Eastern and Central Pacific Cooling Trend Reverses

GRL - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 07:48
Abstract

Near-term projections of drought in the southwestern United States (SWUS) are uncertain. The observed decrease in SWUS precipitation since the 1980s and heightened drought conditions since the 2000s have been linked to a cooling sea surface temperature (SST) trend in the Equatorial Pacific. Notably, climate models fail to reproduce these observed SST trends, and they may continue doing so in the future. Here, we assess the sensitivity of SWUS precipitation projections to future SST trends using a Green's function approach. Our findings reveal that a slight redistribution of SST leads to a wetting or drying of the SWUS. A reversal of the observed cooling trend in the Central and East Pacific over the next few decades would lead to a period of wetting in the SWUS. It is critical to consider the impact of possible SST pattern trends on SWUS precipitation trends until we fully trust SST evolution in climate models.

Compaction Creep and Evolution of Transport Properties of Carbonate Fault Gouges During the Percolation of CO2‐Rich Fluids

JGR–Solid Earth - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 07:44
Abstract

To investigate the impact of CO2-rich fluids on compaction behaviors and transport properties in carbonate fault zones, we conducted compaction-coupled fluid flow experiments with CO2-rich fluids percolating precompacted calcite aggregates. Our findings reveal distinct responses among samples subjected to different fluid conditions. Specifically, samples exposed to dry conditions exhibited negligible compaction strain, while those under wet-closed conditions displayed relatively minor strain. In contrast, samples subjected to flow-through conditions demonstrated significant compaction strain, with strain rates higher by 2–3 orders of magnitude than closed conditions due to enhanced pressure solution, subcritical cracking, and chemical dissolution. Strain rate, permeability, and grain size distribution exhibited spontaneous variations in response to fluid flow and compaction. Microstructures and mechanical and transport data suggest that deformation during the initial infiltration of CO2-rich fluids was dominated by subcritical cracking, followed by pressure solution as grain size evolved, which resulted in compaction and reduced permeability. The persistent infiltration of CO2-rich fluids further enhanced inhomogeneous dissolution-precipitation with preferred dissolution channels serving as fluid pathways. The re-precipitations may cement fault rocks and form low permeability seals, resulting in anisotropic fluid flow and localized fluid pressure in fault zones. As applied to nature, our results provide experimental evidence for the evolution of internal structures and transport behaviors, shedding important light on the mechanisms and sealing potential of carbonate faults in response to the infiltration of CO2-rich fluids during the post-seismic and inter-seismic processes.

Whistler‐Mode Waves on Density and Magnetic Shelves

JGR:Space physics - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 07:00
Abstract

This study presents a recent finding of magnetic shelf structures and packages of whistler-mode waves in the data obtained from the Magnetospheric Multiscale (MMS) mission satellite in the equatorial magnetosphere. These observations are compared with the waves observed on density shelves by the NASA Van Allen Probes (aka RBSP) mission. By employing simulations of the electron-MHD model, we explain that similar to the density shelf ducting, magnetic shelves effectively guide whistler-mode waves along the ambient magnetic field with little attenuation. The parameters of the guided waves depend on the parameters of the shelves. We discuss the similarities and differences of the wave guided by the density and magnetic field shelf-like structures. The simulations successfully reproduce the parameters of the observed waves.

Integrated satellite clock and code/phase bias combination in the third IGS reprocessing campaign

GPS Solutions - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 00:00
Abstract

In the third reprocessing campaign (repro3) initiated by the International GNSS Service (IGS), 11 analysis centers (ACs) reanalyzed GPS/GLONASS/Galileo observations spanning 1994–2020 for station coordinates, satellite orbits, clocks, biases and attitudes. To improve the robustness of satellite products, the IGS AC Coordinator (ACC) carried out the satellite orbit combination, and the reference satellite attitudes were computed by the Technical University of Graz (TUG). The clock/bias combination was performed by Wuhan University via the IGS “Precise Point Positioning with Ambiguity Resolution” (PPP-AR) Pilot Project using the PRIDE ckcom software. This article aims at reporting the clock/bias combination results in the repro3. In particular, the consistencies for the combined GPS P1–P2/Galileo C1–C5 differential code biases (DCBs) and the GPS/Galileo uncalibrated phase delays (UPDs) among contributing ACs are all better than 0.1 ns and 0.05 cycles, respectively. As a result, the consistencies for the combined GPS/Galileo satellite clocks/biases are better than 10 ps, equating about 3 mm which is very close to the nominal precision of carrier-phase. In general, the Hadamard deviation and PPP-AR results confirm the higher robustness of the combined satellite clock/bias products over their original AC-specific counterparts. This is because the combined satellite clock/bias products harvest the merits of AC-specific contributions by identifying and excluding outlier solutions from the combination process.

Publisher Correction: Amplified positive effects on air quality, health, and renewable energy under China’s carbon neutral target

Nature Geoscience - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 00:00

Nature Geoscience, Published online: 02 July 2024; doi:10.1038/s41561-024-01487-1

Publisher Correction: Amplified positive effects on air quality, health, and renewable energy under China’s carbon neutral target

The rise of the Tibetan Plateau was controlled by overriding plate mantle delamination

Nature Geoscience - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 00:00

Nature Geoscience, Published online: 02 July 2024; doi:10.1038/s41561-024-01488-0

High-resolution numerical simulations show that subduction of the Indian plate peeled off the mantle lithosphere from the Tibetan Plateau. This process successfully explains first-order observations of the stepwise growth of the plateau, the migration of magmatism in the region and its seismic properties.

Uplift of the Tibetan Plateau driven by mantle delamination from the overriding plate

Nature Geoscience - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 00:00

Nature Geoscience, Published online: 02 July 2024; doi:10.1038/s41561-024-01473-7

Delamination of the lithospheric mantle from the overriding Eurasian plate below the Tibetan Plateau is consistent with topographic, magmatic and seismic observations, according to numerical simulations of the geodynamic evolution of the plateau.

Sustained increases in atmospheric oxygen and marine productivity in the Neoproterozoic and Palaeozoic eras

Nature Geoscience - Tue, 07/02/2024 - 00:00

Nature Geoscience, Published online: 02 July 2024; doi:10.1038/s41561-024-01479-1

Oxygen in shallow shelf waters rose linearly with atmospheric oxygen in the Neoproterozoic era, potentially driving the first radiation of marine animals, but widespread ocean oxygenation came later, according to reconstructions of oxygen levels and marine productivity.

Increased atmospheric moisture may dampen the 'seeds' of hurricanes

Phys.org: Earth science - Mon, 07/01/2024 - 20:34
Increased atmospheric moisture may alter critical weather patterns over Africa, making it more difficult for the predecessors of many Atlantic hurricanes to form, according to a new study published this month. The work is published in the Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems.

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