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The titanic dangers icebergs pose to ships are well documented. Sometimes, however, icebergs themselves can capsize, creating earthquakes and tsunamis or even pushing entire glaciers backward. Most of those dramatic events occur right after the chunk of floating ice splits off from its source, but sometimes icebergs flip over in the open ocean.

Earlier lab experiments using simulated plastic icebergs showed that the energy released in capsize events can rival nuclear weapon blasts. But beyond an understanding that capsize events are likely related to melting induced by ocean warming, knowing why icebergs flip is a question that’s harder to answer. Large variations in iceberg size and shape, along with slow drifting across wide distances, make studying icebergs expensive and challenging.

One solution: make miniature icebergs in the lab and watch them melt under controlled conditions.

“Understanding the mathematics and the physics of what’s going on at a base level is important in order to scale up.”

“We wanted to study the simplest capsize problem we could come up with,” said Bobae Johnson, a physicist and Ph.D. student at the Courant Institute at New York University. She and her colleagues simplified and standardized iceberg shape to a cylinder of pure water ice 8 centimeters in diameter and 24 centimeters long. In their article for Physical Review Fluids, they described how each cylinder flipped several times over the course of a 30-minute experiment.

“It is good to look at these things on smaller scales because even what we were doing in the simplest setting gave us something very complex,” Johnson said. “Understanding the mathematics and the physics of what’s going on at a base level is important in order to scale up.”

From their experiments, Johnson and her colleagues linked the different rates of ice melt above and below the waterline to dynamic changes in the shape of the iceberg—including the location of the center of mass, which makes them flip. Despite the small scale of the experiments, the implications could be enormous.

“Icebergs play a key role in the climate system,” said Sammie Buzzard, a glaciologist at the Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling and Northumbria University who was not involved in the experiments. “When they melt, they add fresh, cold water to the ocean, which can impact currents.”

Icebergs, Soda Pop, and Cheerios

Real-world icebergs range in size from about 15 meters to hundreds of kilometers across, rivaling the size of some small nations. Tolkienesque mountain-like structures (“iceberg” literally means “ice mountain”) split off from glaciers, whereas flat slablike icebergs tend to break off from ice sheets like those surrounding Antarctica.

“An iceberg’s shape determines how it floats in the water and which parts are submerged and which parts sit above the ocean’s surface,” Buzzard said, adding that icebergs change shape as they melt or erode via wind and wave action. But the precise manner of this change is uncertain because in situ measurements are challenging. “If this erosion changes the shape enough that the iceberg is no longer stable in the water, [the iceberg] can suddenly flip over into a position in which it is stable.”

“Even if lab experiments aren’t exactly the same as a natural system, they can go a long way to improving our understanding of [iceberg capsizing].”

Whatever their major differences in shape and size, because they are fresh water floating on salt water, icebergs all exhibit the similar property that roughly 10% off their mass is above water, with the remaining 90% beneath. The similarities provided the starting point for the cylindrical iceberg experiments performed by Johnson and her collaborators.

A sphere or irregular body can rotate in many different directions, but a cylinder with a length greater than the diameter of its circular face floating in water will rotate along only one axis, effectively reducing the problem from three dimensions to two.

Standardizing the shape of the icebergs wasn’t the only simplification the team made. Under natural conditions, ice freezes from the outside in, which traps a lot of air. As icebergs melt, they sometimes release enough trapped air bubbles to make the surrounding water fizz like an opened can of soda pop. This effect can create chaotic motion in samples, so Johnson and collaborators opted to eliminate bubbles entirely in their experiment. To do so, they froze water in cylindrical molds suspended in extremely cold brine and stirred the water to drive residual air out—a process that took 24 to 48 hours for each cylinder.

This video depicts the flow of water beneath the surface of a melting model iceberg. Credit: New York University’s Applied Mathematics Laboratory

Finally, to keep the cylinders from drifting randomly in the ocean simulation tank, the researchers exploited the “Cheerios effect.” Floating cereal pieces tend to group together because of surface tension, so the team 3D printed pieces of flat plastic and coated them with wax. Placing those objects in the tank created a meniscus on either side of the cylinder, keeping it in place so the only motion it exhibited was the rotation they were looking for.

“The ice melts very slowly in the air and very quickly underwater,” Johnson said. In the experiment, that difference resulted in a gravitational instability as the center of mass shifted upward, making the whole cylinder flip. “Every time the ice locks into one position, it carves out a facet above the water and very sharp corners at the waterline, giving you a shape that looks quasi pentagonal about halfway through the experiment. We ran many, many experiments, and this happened across all of them.”

Buzzard emphasized the need for this sort of work. “Even if lab experiments aren’t exactly the same as a natural system, they can go a long way to improving our understanding of [iceberg capsizing],” she said. Every flip of a simulated iceberg could help us understand the effects on the warming ocean and the connection between small occurrences and global consequences.

—Matthew R. Francis (@BowlerHatScience.org), Science Writer

Citation: Francis, M. R. (2025), Melting cylinders of ice reveal an iceberg’s tipping point, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250390. Published on 23 October 2025. Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Located on the island of Sicily, in Italy, Mount Etna is one of the world's most active volcanoes. Documentation of its many eruptions stretches back as far as 2,700 years ago, with the most recent occurring in June 2025. The robust seismic, geological, geophysical, and geochemical data from the region are a scientific goldmine for the study of volcanoes.

Author(s): K. L. Baker et al.

A set of experiments in the SQ-n campaign attempts to increase the compression in layered implosions by reducing the design adiabat from 3.0 down to ∼2.6. The experiments utilize nanocrystalline high density carbon ablators driven by a ramped laser pulse drive. Contrary to expectations, the lower de…

[Phys. Rev. E 112, 045214] Published Thu Oct 23, 2025

SummaryTsunami warning systems implemented worldwide rely on the fast characterization of earthquake sources, in particular on the estimation of the moment magnitude Mw. Reliable estimation of Mw typically takes 10 to 20 minutes for large events based on conventional seismic signals. A promising alternative is the use of Prompt Elasto-Gravity Signals (PEGS), which are very low-amplitude gravitational perturbations induced by earthquakes that travel at the speed of light and can be recorded by broadband seismometers at time scales of a few minutes after origin time. We propose here a first implementation of real-time PEGS analysis to enhance the Peruvian earthquake monitoring system by enabling rapid magnitude estimation for large and potentially tsunamigenic earthquakes. We train a graph neural network to recognize the space-time structure of PEGS over a large international set of broadband seismic stations, even when their amplitudes are smaller than the noise level, and to rapidly estimate the magnitude and location of the source. Our results indicate that the PEGS-based system can estimate the magnitude of Mw ≥ 8.2 earthquakes, within 5 minutes after the event’s initiation, with sufficient accuracy for tsunami warning purposes. Simulated real-time tests confirm the viability of the PEGS-based approach for operational early warning, providing robust source estimations of large magnitude events to the Peruvian earthquake monitoring system that are valuable for tsunami warning.

SummaryMagnetotelluric (MT) data inversion seeks to recover resistivity models of the subsurface. Solving the inversion problem is a non-trivial task, as multiple plausible solutions can be recovered due to the non-linearity of the problem. To reduce this non-linearity, we propose a data-driven approach where a 1D cumulative resistance model is estimated from MT data via a direct data transformation. We define the cumulative representation of layered models as the weighted sum of layer thickness divided by resistivity from surface to any depth level, which is the cumulative conductance. Its inverse, cumulative resistance, is directly related to the real part of the impedance computed from MT data. We train a neural network to transform the MT impedance into a resistance model. The corresponding 1D resistivity model is obtained without a priori information. We validate our approach using synthetic and real data, opening the discussion for future developments of this new perspective.

SummaryIn this work, we address the characterization of porosity and water saturation in a synthetic model of a shallow alluvial subsurface using frequency electromagnetic and seismic data. The inversion method employs a Gauss-Newton scheme, where the Jacobian of the merged seismic and electromagnetic data is formulated with respect to the spatially heterogeneous petrophysical parameters. This is made possible by introducing realistic petrophysical relationships, which significantly reduce the number of unknowns in the inverse problem and incorporate a strong prior correlation between the information contained in both data types regarding the subsurface composition. The results obtained show that this Simultaneous Joint Petrophysical Inversion (SiJPI) produces reconstructions with clear improvements compared to Independent Petrophysical Inversion (IPI). Indeed, it greatly enhances the spatial resolution of subsurface mapping, as well as the quantitative estimation of porosity and saturation.

SummaryThe Xiaojiang fault system (XJFS) is located in the southeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau, which has been considered as an ideal site to explore the traces and effects of past tectonic activity. In this study, we obtain a high-resolution P-wave velocity and azimuthal anisotropy model of the upper crust beneath the XJFS, utilizing the 2D Pg wave tomography method including both station and event depth corrections. The upper crust displays obvious heterogeneity of both azimuthal anisotropy and P-wave velocity underlying the XJFS. The large azimuthal anisotropy beneath the XJFS, especially the regions where several faults interact, suggests the cracks are widely distributed. Generally, the upper crust is featured by several high-velocity bodies separated by low-velocity anomalies. The high-velocity bodies are speculated to be related to the remnant magmatic rocks of the Emeishan large igneous province. The low-velocity anomalies are interpreted to represent fault damage zones which could be attributed to the strike-slip faulting/shearing along the faults and upwelling of deeply-sourced partial melts and fluids. The present tectonic activity in the XJFS is characterized by rigid block extrusion along strike-slip faults in the upper crust, which is consistent with the rigid block extrusion model. We further propose a tectonic model to display the evolution of the upper crust beneath the XJFS, in which the faults and fluids activity plays an essential role.

Pink granite boulders scattered across the dark volcanic peaks of the Hudson Mountains in West Antarctica, have revealed the presence of a vast buried granite body—almost 100 km across and 7 km thick, about half the size of Wales in the UK—beneath Pine Island Glacier.

Nearly 600 years ago, a massive volcanic eruption sent clouds of sulfurous gas and ash high into the atmosphere. The blast known as the 1458/59 CE event was so huge that it triggered decades of cooling, especially in the Northern Hemisphere.

Source: Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences

Just as the human body contains a multitude of symbiotic microbial companions, most plant species also live alongside microbial friends. Among these companions are mycorrhizal fungi, which help plants gather water and nutrients—particularly nitrogen—from the soil. In exchange, plants provide mycorrhizal fungi with an average of 3% to 13% of the carbon they pull from the atmosphere through photosynthesis and sometimes as much as 50%.

This carbon donation to support mycorrhizal fungi can incur a significant carbon cost for plants. But few groups have investigated how environmental factors such as soil temperature and nitrogen levels influence the amount of carbon flowing from plants to mycorrhizal fungi and how this flow is likely to shift with climate change. To fill this gap, Shao et al. derived a model that they call Myco-CORPSE (Mycorrhizal Carbon, Organisms, Rhizosphere, and Protection in the Soil Environment) that illustrates how the environment influences interactions between plants and mycorrhizal fungi.

When the researchers fed data from more than 1,800 forest sites in the eastern United States into Myco-CORPSE, they obtained some familiar results and also made some new discoveries. The model echoed previous work in suggesting that increasing the abundance of soil nitrogen, for example, through fertilizer runoff, decreases the dependence of plants on mycorrhizal fungi and therefore reduces the amount of carbon plants allocate to their microbial counterparts. But in contrast to previous studies, these researchers found that rising soil temperatures had the same effect of reducing the amount of nitrogen and carbon exchanged by fungi and plants. That’s because warmth accelerates the breakdown of organic material, which releases nitrogen. Increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide levels, on the other hand, will likely increase the reliance of plants on mycorrhizal fungi by increasing the growth rate of plants and therefore increasing their need for nutrients.

The Myco-CORPSE model also replicated observed patterns, showing that the two major kinds of mycorrhizal fungal species (arbuscular and ectomycorrhizal) behave differently: Arbuscular trees tend to donate less carbon to their associated fungi relative to how much ectomycorrhizal trees donate to theirs. The model also found that forests with a mix of both kinds of species typically accrue less carbon from plants than forests with less mycorrhizal diversity.

As forest managers navigate the many stresses that forests face today, promoting a diversity of mycorrhizal species within forests could optimize plant growth while minimizing the carbon diverted to mycorrhizal fungi, the researchers wrote. (Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JG009198, 2025)

This article is part of the special collection Biogeosciences Leaders of Tomorrow: JGR: Biogeosciences Special Collection on Emerging Scientists.

—Saima May Sidik (@saimamay.bsky.social), Science Writer

Citation: Sidik, S. M. (2025), How plant-fungi friendships are changing, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250397. Published on 22 October 2025. Text © 2025. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

When it comes to famous holes in the ground, northern Arizona has two: Grand Canyon and Barringer Meteorite Crater.

New research now suggests that these famous depressions might, in fact, be linked—the impact that created the crater roughly 56,000 years ago might also have unleashed landslides in a canyon that’s part of Grand Canyon National Park today. Those landslides in turn likely dammed the Colorado River and temporarily created an 80-kilometer-long lake, the team proposed. The results were published in Geology.

Driftwood Then and Now

“These are two iconic features of Arizona.”

Karl Karlstrom, a geologist recently retired from the University of New Mexico, grew up in Flagstaff, Ariz. Grand Canyon and Barringer Meteorite Crater both were therefore in his proverbial backyard. “These are two iconic features of Arizona,” said Karlstrom.

Karlstrom’s father—also a geologist—used to regularly explore the caves that dot the walls of Grand Canyon and surrounding canyons. In 1970, he collected two pieces of driftwood from a cavern known as Stanton’s Cave. The mouth of Stanton’s Cave is more than 40 meters above the Colorado River, so finding driftwood in its recesses was unexpected. Routine flooding couldn’t have lofted woody detritus that high, said Karlstrom. “It would have required a flood 10 times bigger than any known flood over the last 2,000 years.”

The best radiocarbon dating available in the 1970s suggested that the driftwood was at least 35,000 years old. A colleague of the elder Karlstrom suggested that the driftwood had floated into Stanton’s Cave when an ancient landslide temporarily dammed the Colorado, raising water levels. The researchers even identified the likely site of the landslide—a wall of limestone in Nankoweap Canyon.

But what had set off that landslide in the first place? That’s the question that Karl Karlstrom and his colleagues sought to answer. In 2023, the researchers collected two additional samples of driftwood from another cave 5 kilometers downriver from Stanton’s Cave.

A “Striking” Coincidence

Modern radiocarbon dating of both the archival and newly collected driftwood samples yielded ages of roughly 56,000 years, with uncertainties of a few thousand years, for all samples. The team also dated sand collected from the second cave; it too had ages that, within the errors, were consistent with the sand having been emplaced 56,000 years ago.

The potential significance of that timing didn’t set in until one of Karlstrom’s international collaborators took a road trip to nearby Barringer Meteorite Crater, also known as Meteor Crater. There, he learned that the crater is believed to have formed around 56,000 years ago.

That coincidence was striking, said Karlstrom, and it got the team thinking that perhaps these two famous landmarks of northern Arizona—Meteor Crater and Grand Canyon National Park—might be linked. The impact that created Meteor Crater has been estimated to have produced ground shaking equivalent to that of an M5.2–5.4 earthquake. At the 160-kilometer distance of Nankoweap Canyon, the purported site of the landsliding, that ground movement would have been attenuated to roughly M3.3–3.5.

It’s impossible to know for sure whether such movement could have dislodged the limestone boulders of Nankoweap Canyon, Karlstrom and his colleagues concede. That’s where future modeling work will come in, said Karlstrom. It’s important to remember that an asteroid impact likely produces a distinctly different shaking signature than an earthquake caused by slip on a fault, said Karlstrom. “Fault slip earthquakes release energy from several kilometers depths whereas impacts may produce larger surface waves.”

But there’s good evidence that a cliff in Nankoweap Canyon did, indeed, let go, said Chris Baisan, a dendrochronologist at the Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research at the University of Arizona and a member of the research team. “There was an area where it looked like the canyon wall had collapsed across the river.”

An Ancient Lake

Using the heights above the Colorado where the driftwood and sand samples were collected, the team estimated that an ancient lake extended from Nankoweap Canyon nearly 80 kilometers upstream. At its deepest point, it would have measured roughly 90 meters. Such a feature likely persisted for several decades until the lake filled with sediment, allowing the river to overtop the dam and quickly erode it, the team concluded.

“They’re certainly close, if not contemporaneous.”

The synchronicity in ages between the Meteor Crater impact and the evidence of a paleolake in Nankoweap Canyon is impressive, said John Spray, a planetary scientist at the University of New Brunswick in Canada not involved in the research. “They’re certainly close, if not contemporaneous.” And while it’s difficult to prove causation, the team’s assertion that an impact set landslides in motion in the area around Grand Canyon is convincing, he added. “I think the likelihood of it being responsible is very high.”

Karlstrom and his collaborators are continuing to collect more samples from caves in Grand Canyon National Park. So far, they’ve found additional evidence of material that dates to roughly 56,000 years ago, as well as even older samples. It seems that there might have been multiple generations of lakes in the Grand Canyon area, said Karlstrom. “The story is getting more complicated.”

—Katherine Kornei (@KatherineKornei), Science Writer

Citation: Kornei, K. (2025), An asteroid impact may have led to flooding near the Grand Canyon, Eos, 106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EO250391. Published on 22 October 2025. Text © 2025. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

Author(s): Shuai Tang, Jiaqi Wang, Jian Liu, Min Jiang, Zhiyi Yin, Shaojie Wang, Dongjian Liu, and Zhiwei Ma

This study investigates the nonlinear evolution of tearing mode instabilities utilizing a quasiparticle framework integrated with spectral methods. By reformulating the resistive magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) equations via Galerkin spectral decomposition, a direct connection between MHD and quasiparticl…

[Phys. Rev. E 112, 045212] Published Wed Oct 22, 2025

Author(s): Y. Chen, R. Ou, H. Wang, S. J. Chen, Y. X. Zhong, Y. G. Chen, S. Tan, Y. X. Li, C. Y. Zheng, Z. J. Liu, L. H. Cao, M. M. Zhang, D. P. Feng, W. J. Zuo, and C. Z. Xiao

We investigate laser amplification in e−−μ−−ion plasmas, where negative muons partially replace electrons. Theoretical results reveal a hybrid plasma wave, called μ wave, that exhibits ion-acoustic behavior in long-wavelength regime and Langmuir-like behavior in short-wavelength regime. Besides, the…

[Phys. Rev. E 112, 045213] Published Wed Oct 22, 2025

The cloudy, sediment-laden meltwater from glaciers is a key source of nutrients for ocean life, but a new study suggests that as climate change causes many glaciers to shrink and retreat, their meltwater may become less nutritious.

Failure of the landslide debris from the Matai’an rock avalanche allowed another barrier lake to form. This breached on 21 October 2025, generating another damaging debris flow.

Newspapers in Taiwan are reporting that a new landslide barrier lake formed and then failed at the site of the giant Matai’an rock avalanche. The breach event apparently occurred at baout 9 pm local time on 21 October 2025. The risk had been identified in advance and the downstream population had been evacuated successfully this time, so there are no reports of fatalities.

The Taipei Times has an image of the barrier lake that was released by the Hualien branch of the Forestry and Nature Conservation Agency:-

The Matai’an landslide barrier lakes prior to the failure of the lower one on 21 October 2025. Photo courtesy of the Hualien branch of the Forestry and Nature Conservation Agency via the Taipei Times.

There is also a video on Youtube from Focus Taiwan (CNA English News) that includes helicopter footage of the site, also provided by the Forestry and Nature Conservation Agency:-

This includes the following still:-

The lower Matai’an landslide barrier lake prior to the failure on 21 October 2025. Still from a video posted to Youtube by CNA English News – original footage courtesy of the Hualien branch of the Forestry and Nature Conservation Agency.

It appears to me that the barrier lake has formed because of a large landslide in the debris from the original rock avalanche note the dark coloured landslide scar on the left side of the image.

Loyal readers will remember that I highlighted that this could be an issue in my post on 3 October:-

“So, a very interesting question will now pertain to the stability of these slopes. How will they perform in conditions of intense rainfall and/or earthquake shaking? Is there the potential for a substantial slope failure on either side, allowing a new (enlarged) lake to form.”

“This will need active monitoring (InSAR may well be ideal). The potential problems associated with the Matai’an landslide are most certainly not over yet.”

There is a high probability that this will be a recurring issue in periods of heavy rainfall.

Meanwhile, keep a close eye on Tropical Storm Melissa, which is tracking slowly northwards in the Caribbean. This could bring exceptionally high levels of rainfall to Haiti and Jamaica as it is moving very slowly. This one looks like a disaster in waiting at the moment.

Return to The Landslide Blog homepage Text © 2023. The authors. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Except where otherwise noted, images are subject to copyright. Any reuse without express permission from the copyright owner is prohibited.

For decades, researchers seeking to understand global climate change have analyzed ice cores drilled deep within the Antarctic ice sheet. This ice traps chemicals and bubbles of ancient air that tell the story of how Earth's climate has changed over time.

Thailand's northern regions, characterized by complex geology and active fault systems, experience frequent landslides that threaten both lives and critical infrastructure. In 2022, a slope failure occurred along Highway No. 1088 in Chiang Mai Province, northern Thailand. When a research team led by Professor Shinya Inazumi from Shibaura Institute of Technology conducted geotechnical investigations to determine the collapse's cause, they encountered a critical limitation.

Publication date: Available online 17 October 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Xinwei Wang, Chao Han, Roel Leus

Publication date: Available online 17 October 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): N.E. Osborn, Q. Abarr, Y. Akaike, W.R. Binns, R.G. Bose, T.J. Brandt, D.L. Braun, N.W. Cannady, R.M. Crabill, P.F. Dowkontt, S.P. Fitzsimmons, T. Hams, M.H. Israel, J.F. Krizmanic, A.W. Labrador, W. Labrador, L. Lisalda, R.A. Mewaldt, J.W. Mitchell, R.P. Murphy

Publication date: Available online 16 October 2025

Source: Advances in Space Research

Author(s): Zhaowei Yu, Wanchun Chen, Wenbin Yu, Shilei Zhao